Nucléaire
Transcription
Nucléaire
Nucléaire 1/24 Nucléaire En 2009 … “We witness that a growing number of countries have expressed interest in nuclear power programmes as a means to address climate change and energy security concerns.” G8 L’Aquila, July 2009 “The new enthusiasm for nuclear is measurable. Over the next decade, the world is expected to build 180 nuclear power plants, up from just 39 between 1999 and today.” TIME, August 17, 2009 2/24 Nucléaire Newsweek, March 28 – April 4, 2011 3/24 Nucléaire electric Newsweek, March 28 – April 4, 2011 4/24 Nucléaire Quelques chiffres 2006 : 15 % de la production mondiale d’électricité ≈ 450 réacteurs nucléaires actuellement en service 65 en construction (62 GW) 5/24 Nucléaire “According to the National Energy Administration (NEA), China has the world's largest number of nuclear reactors under construction at present. The country is now building 25 reactors with a total capacity of 27.73 GW. The government has also approved the construction of 34 other reactors, which will have a combined capacity of 36.92 GW, according to the NEA.” China Daily (27/09/10) 6/24 Nucléaire Acceptabilité sociale ? • Différence entre Opinion PUBLIQUE et opinion PUBLIÉE • Variabilité de l’opinion publique en fonction de l’actualité Europe 2005 : 37 % 2008 : 44 % favorables 2011 : après Fukushima ? CHANGEMENT CLIMATIQUE 7/24 Nucléaire • Échelle de temps et investissements financiers décision > 15 ans production 60 ans ? • Three Mile Island (1979), Chernobyl (1986), Fukushima (2011) • Gestion des “déchets” • Démantèlement … • Ressources … 8/24 « Ils constituent un danger pendant des millénaires. Les enfouir ne suffit pas à garantir leur innocuité. » Edgar MORIN Nucléaire 9/24 Nucléaire “ … no one today can foresee the future of nuclear energy technology at the end of the 21st century. All that can be said with confidence now is that the nuclear power plants of the year 2100 will have about as much resemblance to today's workhorse lightwater reactors as a modern automobile has to a 1911 Model T…” Richard K. LESTER, Why Fukushima Won’t Kill Nuclear Power The Wall Street Journal, April 6, 2011 10/24 Nucléaire “This is not the time for the nuclear industry to circle the wagons: The need for intellectual vitality, flexibility and creativity has never been greater. An already safe technology must be made demonstrably safer and less expensive, more secure against the threats of nuclear proliferation and terrorism, and more compatible with the capabilities of electric power systems and the utilities that run them.” Richard K. LESTER, Why Fukushima Won’t Kill Nuclear Power The Wall Street Journal, April 6, 2011 11/24 Nucléaire Besoin de Recherche Chimie & Métallurgie Physique des matériaux Mécanique des matériaux Comportement à long terme Simulation au niveau international 12/24 Nucléaire Besoin de Recherche en science & technologie vers une solution nucléaire durable? au niveau international 13/24