Royal Bank of Canada
Transcription
Royal Bank of Canada
Royal Bank of Canada UBS Best of Americas Conference Gord Nixon President and Chief Executive Officer September 6, 2012 Financial information is presented in Canadian dollars on a continuing operations basis, and is based on International 1 Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), unless otherwise noted. All financials prior to 2011 are based on Canadian GAAP. Caution regarding forward-looking statements From time to time, we make written or oral forward-looking statements within the meaning of certain securities laws, including the “safe harbour” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 and any applicable Canadian securities legislation. We may make forward-looking statements in this presentation and in the accompanying management’s comments and responses to questions during the September 6, UBS Best of Americas Conference (the UBS presentation), in other filings with Canadian regulators or the SEC, in reports to shareholders and in other communications. Forward-looking statements in this presentation include, but are not limited to, statements relating to our vision, aspiration, and strategic goals. The forward-looking information contained in this presentation is presented for the purpose of assisting the holders of our securities and financial analysts in understanding our financial position and results of operations as at and for the periods ended on the dates presented, and our vision, aspiration, and strategic goals, and may not be appropriate for other purposes. Forward-looking statements are typically identified by words such as “believe”, “expect”, “foresee”, “forecast”, “anticipate”, “intend”, “estimate”, “goal”, “plan” and “project” and similar expressions of future or conditional verbs such as “will”, “may”, “should”, “could” or “would”. By their very nature, forward-looking statements require us to make assumptions and are subject to inherent risks and uncertainties, which give rise to the possibility that our predictions, forecasts, projections, expectations or conclusions will not prove to be accurate, that our assumptions may not be correct and that our financial performance objectives, vision and strategic goals will not be achieved. We caution readers not to place undue reliance on these statements as a number of risk factors could cause our actual results to differ materially from the expectations expressed in such forwardlooking statements. These factors – many of which are beyond our control and the effects of which can be difficult to predict – include: credit, market, operational, and liquidity and funding risks, and other risks discussed in the Risk management sections of our Q3 2012 Report to Shareholders and our 2011 Annual Report; general business, economic and financial market conditions in Canada, the United States and certain other countries in which we conduct business, including the effects of the European sovereign debt crisis; changes in accounting standards, policies and estimates, including changes in our estimates of provisions, allowances and valuations; the effects of changes in government fiscal, monetary, economic and other policies; changes to and new interpretations of risk-based capital and liquidity guidelines; the impact of changes in laws and regulations, including relating to the payments system in Canada, consumer protection measures and the Dodd-Frank Wall Street Reform and Consumer Protection Act and the regulations issued and to be issued there under; the effects of competition in the markets in which we operate; our ability to attract and retain employees; judicial or regulatory judgments and legal proceedings; the accuracy and completeness of information concerning our clients and counterparties; our ability to successfully execute our strategies and to complete and integrate strategic acquisitions and joint ventures successfully; development and integration of our distribution networks; and the impact of environmental issues. We caution that the foregoing list of risk factors is not exhaustive and other factors could also adversely affect our results. When relying on our forward-looking statements to make decisions with respect to us, investors and others should carefully consider the foregoing factors and other uncertainties and potential events. Except as required by law, we do not undertake to update any forward-looking statement, whether written or oral, that may be made from time to time by us or on our behalf. Additional information about these and other factors can be found in the Risk management and the Overview of other risks sections of our 2011 Annual Report and the Risk management section of our Q3 2012 Report to Shareholders. Information contained in or otherwise accessible through the websites mentioned does not form part of this Summit presentation. All references in this Summit presentation to websites are inactive textual references and are for your information only. RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 2 Contents 1 RBC Overview 2 Canadian Strategy 3 U.S. & International Strategy 3 3 RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE RBC – Among the Top 20 largest banks globally Market Capitalization U.S.$ billions (1) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 ICBC Wells Fargo China Construction Bank HSBC JP Morgan Agricultural Bank of China Bank of China Commonwealth Bank of Aus. Citigroup Bank of America RBC Westpac Banking TD Banco Santander Aust and NZ Banking Group Itau Unibanco American Express Mitsubishi UFJ Financial U.S. Bancorp Sberbank RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE U.S. $81B (1) Source: Bloomberg, August 31, 2012. 50 100 150 200 250 4 Our strategy 9 In Canada, to be the undisputed leader in financial services 9 Globally, to be a leading provider of capital markets and wealth management solutions Strategic Goals 9 In targeted markets, to be a leading provider of select financial services complementary to our core strengths Extending our lead in Canada and growing globally 5 RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE RBC – Strong financial profile Net Income Return on Equity ($ billions) (%) 7.0 2011 CGAAP 2009 IFRS 2010 2011 YTD 2012 IFRS CGAAP IFRS (1) RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE $2.00 $2.00 2009 2010 2007 $1.44 2006 $1.18 2005 Q3/12 $1.01 2011 2004 2010 CGAAP $0.86 13.0 2003 13.0 $2.00 ($/Share) 13.3 2008 (%) $1.82 Dividend History 2002 2009 19.7 Tier 1 Capital Ratio (1) $0.76 13.0 YTD 2012 20.3 16.5 $1.68 2010 17.9 YTD 2012 2009 5.7 $2.08 5.7 2011 5.7 Announced a quarterly dividend increase in Q3 of $.03 or 5%, to $.60 per share, our third increase in the past 15 months Presented on a consolidated operations basis; 2009 through 2011 calculated under Basel II; Q1/12 onward calculated under Basel 2.5. 6 RBC’s key strengths Earnings by business segment(1)(2) Revenue by geography(1) Average Q4 2011 to Q3 2012 Average Q4 2011 to Q3 2012 22% 17% 57% 10% 68% 15% 10% 1% Canadian Banking Capital Markets Insurance Wealth Management Canada U.S. International International Banking 9 Diversified business mix, with the right balance of retail and wholesale 9 Over two-thirds of revenue from Canada 9 Strategic approach in key businesses in the U.S. and select international markets (1) (2) Amounts represent continuing operations and exclude Corporate Support. For further information, see our Q3 2012 Report to Shareholders. Results exclude the $213 million after-tax loss related to our acquisition of the other 50% interest in RBC Dexia. For further information, refer to the Key corporate events section of the Q3 2012 Report to Shareholders. These are non-GAAP measures, for further details refer to slide 29. RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 7 Contents 1 RBC Overview 2 Canadian Strategy 3 U.S. & International Strategy RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 8 8 Canadian economy G7 Real GDP Growth (2) Strong economic fundamentals (1) Proactively responded to financial crisis with strong fiscal stimulus and monetary policy 0.8% Canada 1.8% US Lowest net debt-to-GDP ratio among the G-7 1.4% 2.2% 1.9% UK 0.7% 1.4% France Highest annual GDP growth rate from 1999 to 2011 among G7 peers Germany Japan Fiscal surpluses for 11 straight years, pre-crisis Italy (% 1999 – 2011) Government Net Debt (2) Stable inflation that has remained within the target range of 1-3% (% of nominal GDP, 2012) 135.2% 102.3% 84.2% 83.7% 83.2% 54.1% Japan Italy France U.S. U.K. 35.4% Germany #1 for soundness of banks for the 5th consecutive year (World Economic Forum, 2012) Canada Canada has benefited from prudent fiscal policy RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (1) (2) Statistics Canada, RBC Economics Research; IMF World Economic Output Database, September 2011. Data from 2010 onward are IMF estimates. 9 Canadian Banking 9 Building on leading market positions – Proven track record of outperformance 9 Extending sales power – Unparalleled distribution network and superior cross sell ability 9 Reducing costs and reinvesting for the future – Simplifying processes and building end-to-end efficiencies Driving growth and extending our lead while improving efficiencies RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 10 Continuing to outperform our peers Q3/12 Net Income Q3/12 Volume Growth ($millions) ($billions) $50 $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 8.4% YoY $120 $42 $100 $80 17% YoY (1) $1,035 8% YoY 5.8% YoY $60 $ 608 $40 $21 $20 $0 RBC Peer Average (2) RBC (2) Peer Average Capturing a disproportionate share of market growth (1) (2) RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE Q3 2012 excludes a favourable adjustment related to a change in estimate of mortgage prepayment of $92 million ($125 million before tax). This is a non-GAAP measure. For more information see slide 29. Peers include: BMO, BNS, CIBC and TD. Based on company reports for Q3 2012. BNS excludes $32 million (after-tax) gain on sale of non-strategic leasing business. 11 Strength in innovation and technology • Retail bank is transforming banking to a multichannel advice centre • Innovative alliances with strong partners • Industry-leading mobile app and digital solutions • Coming soon: “virtual wallet” for mobile phones Differentiating the client experience RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 12 Driving strong operating efficiency Efficiency Ratio (%) 56.1% CGAAP IFRS 56.5% 51.4% 50.9% 49.6% 49.3% 47.8% Peer Average(1) 49.8% 49% 47.3% 45.4% 44.8% (2) 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Q3/12 Investing to drive further efficiencies and transforming our cost base (1) (2) Peers include: BNS, BMO, TD and CIBC. Based on company reports. This is a non-GAAP measure. Non-adjusted efficiency ratio is 43%. For more information see slide 29. RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 13 Insurance – Canada 9 Deepening client relationships – Meeting customers’ unique needs with a broad suite of products and services 9 Simplifying the way we do business – Recently achieved highest ever marks for Likelihood to Recommend and Ease of Doing Business(1) – Automated our underwriting department to improve speed, accuracy and consistency 9 Driving efficiencies and strengthening distribution – Increasing sales through our retail Insurance stores with over 50 stores across Canada – Leveraging our relationships with brokers, travel agents and our banking partners to expand our reach One of the largest Canadian bank owned insurance companies RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (1) Customer satisfaction survey - as per internal tracking. 14 Wealth Management – Canada Fee Based Assets per Advisor Growth in Long Term Fund Assets ($millions) (%) $50 $45 $40 $35 $30 $25 $20 $15 $10 $5 $0 70 Over 2.3X the peer average $42 55 40 25 $18 10 9 Ranked # 1 among bank-owned brokerage firms 6th year in a row 2012 Brokerage Report Card Jun-12 Feb-11 Oct-09 Jun-08 Feb-07 Oct-05 Jun-04 Peer Average Oct-01 RBC Feb-03 (5) (1) 9 Top Lipper Award winner 5 of the last 6 years The leading wealth and asset manager in Canada (1) RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE Peers include: BNS, BMO, TD and CIBC. Data from Investor Economics. 15 Capital Markets – Successfully repositioning the business Capital Markets Revenue by Business (1) Capital Markets Loan Book (2) (Average Q4 2011 – Q3 2012) ($ billions, average wholesale loans and acceptances) 35.6 41% 59% Global Markets 31.4 29.6 24.6 24.6 2010 2011 Corporate & Investment Banking Q1 2012 Q2 2012 Q3 2012 Capital Markets Inventory of Trading Securities RBC Value at Risk (VaR) ($ billions, average) (C$ millions) 147 138 151 85 75 137 131 65 121 121 55 118 113 45 35 25 15 May- Jul- Sep- Nov- Jan- Mar- May- Jul- Sep- Nov- Jan- Mar- May- Jul10 10 10 10 11 11 11 11 11 11 12 12 12 12 2009 2010 Q1/11 Q2/11 Q3/11 Q4/11 Q1/12 Q2/12 Q3/12 (1) Excludes Other. RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (2) Excludes letters of credit and guarantees. 16 Capital Markets – Canada Top Investment Banks – Canadian Market(1) 1H12 Rank Investment Bank Share (%) 1 RBC Capital Markets 14.4 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Scotiabank TD Securities BMO Capital Markets CIBC World Markets National Bank Financial Bank of America GMP Capital Inc Canaccord Genuity Citi 11.7 10.3 8.9 8.0 6.7 3.1 2.9 2.3 2.0 Best Canadian Investment Bank(2) 5th year in a row Top Ranking in Greenwich Quality Index(2) Canadian Fixed Income #1 for overall franchise quality across sales, trading and research Focused on extending our lead in Canada (1) RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (2) Data from Dealogic. Investment Banking includes Debt Capital Markets, Equity Capital Markets, Loans and M&A transactions; Dealogic Revenue Analytics employed where fees are undisclosed. Euromoney - July 2012, Greenwich Associates - August 2012. 17 Contents 1 RBC Overview 2 Canadian Strategy 3 U.S. & International Strategy RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 18 18 Capital Markets – U.S. RBC Capital Markets Geographic Revenue Mix(1) (Average Q4 2011 – Q3 2012) 38% 45% 14% 3% United States Canada Europe Asia and Other Top Global Investment Banks(2) 1H 2012 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Bank Share (%) JPMorgan BoA Goldman Sachs Morgan Stanley Deutsche Bank Credit Suisse Citi Barclays UBS 7.6 6.2 5.7 5.5 5.2 5.2 5.1 4.6 3.0 10 RBC Capital Markets 2.5 11 12 13 14 15 Wells Fargo HSBC RBS BNP Paribas Nomura 2.1 1.6 1.5 1.3 1.5 Up 2 spots from 1H 2011 Gaining momentum in the world’s largest market (1) (2) RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE Excludes certain market and credit related items. For further information see slide 30 of our Q3 2012 results presentation. Data from Dealogic. Investment Banking includes Debt Capital Markets, Equity Capital Markets, Loans and M&A transaction; Dealogic Revenue Analytics employed where fees are undisclosed. 19 Capital Markets – International U.K. / Europe Equity and debt origination, M&A and research with fixed income and FX sales & trading capabilities Covering key sectors including, energy, mining, infrastructure, industrials, financials, and business services Asia Pacific Hong Kong-based fixed income distribution and FX sales & trading Investment bank in Sydney with M&A, debt and equity, supported by our loan book in mining, energy and infrastructure North American focus with select global reach RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 20 Wealth Management – U.S. 2001-2010 Meaningful U.S. presence Built our U.S. business through acquisitions and recruitment 7th largest full service advisory firm – Improving performance though 2015 (1) Growing “share of wallet” and increasing revenue per advisor Over $185 billion in AUA Meeting clients’ international needs with offices in NYC, Houston and Miami Correspondent and advisor services to over 200 broker dealers and independent RIAs (2) Improving operational efficiencies Moving from transaction based to a more fee-based revenue model Driving advisor productivity and business efficiency RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (1) (2) 7th largest by financial advisors (~2,000) in over 42 states. Registered Investment Advisor 21 Wealth Management – International Global Asset Management U.K. , Chanel Islands and Caribbean Leveraging BlueBay to build a global asset manager Looking for similar strategic acquisitions to further expand asset management capabilities Building on our leadership in international trust solutions to grow our Global Trust business Expanding our U.K. wealth management by leveraging Global Trust, Global Asset Management and RBC Capital Markets Latin America Offices in Brazil, Chile and Uruguay High growth potential in a competitive market place EMEA Strong offshore business based in Switzerland, with offices in Madrid and Dubai Expanding distribution strength and market footprint Asia Offices in Hong Kong, Singapore, Beijing, Brunei Building scalable infrastructure to support future growth Building a U.K. presence and laying the groundwork in emerging markets RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 22 Investor Services – a top 10 global custodian 1H12 Rank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Global Custodian BNY Mellon JP Morgan State Street Citi BNP Paribas HSBC AUC USD$B (As of Q2/12) 27,064 17,665 16,387 12,200 6,379 5,400 4,564 4,241 3,029 Northern Trust (1) SocGen CACEIS RBC Investor Services 9 Broad base of global institutional clients 9 Globally integrated suite of products 9 Award-winning customer service 9 Backed by the strength and stability of RBC 2,746 9 Custodian of the year – Canada 9 Fund Administrator of the Year 9 # 1 Overall global custodian in the world 9 ‘Top Ratings’ for Europe, North America and Global Highly complementary to our wealth management and capital markets businesses (1) Northern Trust includes USD 411 billion in AUC for personal business segment. Source: Competitor Financials & websites. RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 23 Canadian leader with select global reach 9 Strong financial position to invest for future growth and return capital to our shareholders 9 Leveraging our leadership in Canada to build competitive businesses in select geographies 9 Diversified model with the right mix of retail and wholesale businesses Well positioned to continue delivering long term value to our shareholders RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 24 Q&A RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 25 25 Appendix RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 26 26 CanadianBanking Canadian Banking Revenue by Business 2012YTD Netincomeof $3,058million (C$ Millions) 11,199 10,555 9,586 9,890 1,830 2,128 2,441 2,457 2,257 8,795 2,238 2,152 6,192 5,760 5,305 5,315 1,732 2,750 2,557 4,911 3,664 2,662 3,044 2,663 2008 2009 2010 2011 CGAAP Q3 2012 Domestic Market Share and Rankings (2) Product Market Share Rank Consumer Lending 23.7% #2 Personal Core Deposits 19.7% #2 Personal Investments 14.1% #1 Business Loans (average) 26.0% #1 Business Deposits & Investments 24.1% #1 2012 YTD IFRS Cards and Payment Solutions Personal Financial Services Business Financial Services Net Income 9 Buildingonleadingmarketpositions 9 Extendingsalespower 9 Eliminatingcostsandreinvestingforthefuture Profitably gaining market share (1) Market share is calculated using most current data available from OSFI (M4), Investment Funds Institute of Canada (IFIC) and Canadian Bankers Association (CBA). OSFI, IFIC and Consumer Lending CBA data is at June 2012 and June 2011, Business Loans CBA data is at March 2012 and March 2011. For more information see our Q3 2012 presentation. 27 RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE Insurance Insurance Revenue by Business Premiums & Deposits (C$ Millions) (C$ Millions) 4,489 4,475 2012YTD NetIncomeof $520million 4,457 4,063 3,799 1,733 1,399 3,861 3,880 2008 2009 4,701 3,634 1,799 1,423 2,664 2,756 2,676 527 491 600 2009 2010 2011 CGAAP Canadian Insurance 2,376 2012 YTD IFRS International & Other Insurance 2010 CGAAP 2011 2012 YTD IFRS Net Income 9 Canadianmarketleaderinlivingbenefitsandtravelinsurancewithasuperior breadthofproducts 9 Excellentdistributionchannelsanddeepeningclientrelationships 9 Pursuingselectinternationalgrowthopportunitiesinreinsurance Enhancing our comprehensive suite of products and services RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 28 WealthManagement Wealth Management Revenue by Business Consistent Growth in Assets (C$ Billions) (C$ Millions) 4,708 3,987 4,080 4,188 650 634 737 2012YTD Netincomeof $556million 1,036 560 534 527 522 502 495 562 3,574 828 1,812 1,949 2,081 223 1,468 1,525 262 246 1,724 1,502 1,365 325 322 313 306 1,948 1,278 665 2008 811 583 669 2009 2010 2011 2012 YTD CGAAP WM-Canada 2008 IFRS U.S. & Int’l WM GAM 2009 2010 2011 Q1/12 CGAAP Net Income Q2/12 Q3/12 IFRS AUA AUM 9 Buildingaglobalhighperformingassetmanager 9 ExpandingHighNetWorthandUltraHighNetWorthmarketshare 9 LeveragingRBCandRBCWealthManagementstrengthsandcapabilities Building a leading global wealth and asset manager 29 RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE CapitalMarkets Capital Markets Financial Results Revenue by Business(1) Revenue by Geography(1) (C$ Millions) 2012YTD NetIncomeof $1,383million 6,923 5,887 Average of the trailing 4 quarters Average of the trailing 4 quarters 5,725 5,065 38% 3,935 17% 41% 59% 2008 45% 1,768 1,647 1,456 2009 2010 2011 1,170 2012 YTD IFRS CGAAP Revenue Global Markets Corporate & Investment Banking United States Canada International Net Income 9 ExtendingourleadershippositioninCanada 9 ExpandingandstrengtheningclientrelationshipsintheU.S. 9 BuildingonourcorestrengthsandcapabilitiesinEuropeandAsiaPacific The premier Canadian investment bank with select global reach RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (1) Excludes the “Other” business. 30 International Banking Revenue by Business (C$ Millions) 1,567 1,527 1,503 710 657 741 817 846 826 2012YTD NetIncome of$10million(1) 1,097 478 RBC Investor Services 9 Completed the acquisition of the remaining 50% ownership of RBC Dexia on July 27 9 Rebranded as RBC Investor Services RBC Caribbean 9 123 92 142 2009 2010 2011 2nd largest bank by assets in the English Caribbean 619 Providing products and solutions through 123 branches in 19 countries and territories U.S. Cross-border banking CGAAP Banking 2012 YTD 9 Launched in March 2012 to serve 160,000 cross-border clients in the U.S. IFRS Investor Services Net Income 9 RBCInvestorServices:Broadeningsuiteofproductofferingstofurthercementahightouch approachwhiledeliveringagloballyintegratedclientexperience 9 RBCCaribbean:Integratingoperationswhilebuildingastrongfranchise 9 U.S.Crossborder:Developingmultipleproductstoservetargetedmarketsegments A diverse, global portfolio serving clients in over 100 countries RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE (1) 2012 YTD net income excludes losses associated with the purchase of the remaining 50% stake in RBC Investor Services of $213 million after-tax. 31 Note to users We use a variety of financial measures to evaluate our performance. In addition to GAAP prescribed measures, we use certain non-GAAP measures we believe provide useful information to investors regarding our financial condition and result of operations. Readers are cautioned that non-GAAP measures, such as results excluding the loss on RBC Dexia, Canadian Banking adjusted results and ratios, and Capital Markets geographic revenue excluding certain items do not have any standardized meanings prescribed by GAAP, and therefore are unlikely to be comparable to similar measures disclosed by other companies. Additional information about our non-GAAP measures can be found under the “Financial Performance and Non-GAAP measures” sections of our Q3 2012 Report to Shareholders, our Q3 2012 Supplementary Financial Information and the “Key performance and Non-GAAP measures” sections in our 2011 Annual Report. Definitions can be found under our “Glossary” sections in our Q3 2012 Supplementary Financial Information and our 2011 Annual Report. Investor Relations Contacts Amy Cairncross, VP & Head Karen McCarthy, Director Robert Colangelo, Associate Director (416) 955-7803 (416) 955-7809 (416) 955-2049 www.rbc.com/investorrelations RBC | UBS BEST OF AMERICAS CONFERENCE 32