Mitschrift_Strabag 20110831
Transcription
Mitschrift_Strabag 20110831
STRABAG SE “HY/2011 Results Conference Call” August 31th 2011 14:00 p.m. C.E.S.T MODERATOR: DR. THOMAS BIRTEL: TB TB: Thank you very much, good afternoon ladies and gentlemen. This is, again, Thomas Birtel from Vienna calling and have the pleasure to comment on the first half year's figures of STRABAG SE for the year 2011. I would like to start on page three of the presentation, which should be in front of you. We are quite happy to be able to report that we generated an output volume in the first half of €6 billion 136 million, which correspondence to a considerable increase of 17 percent. In the previous year a significant decline in the output volume had been registered owing to the unfavourable weather conditions known to all of you. We are happy to report that increases could be seen in all segments of the company this year, especially worth mentioning here is the growth in our home market in Scandinavia. Germany, The in higher Poland output and also volume in in Switzerland, however, can be attributed to the acquisitions of two construction companies of medium size, Brunner Erben Holding A.G and Astrada A.G, which took place in the first quarter of 2011. Our consolidated Group revenue of the first six months of 2011 grew in line with the output volume which means that we reached €5 billion 917 million after €5 billion 34 million in the same period the year before. This means an increase of 18 percent. The figure is double digit because of the same reasons as the output volume. 1 Our order backlog reached relatively high level in a multi-year comparison, at €14.9billion however, it was still 6 percent lower than at the end of June of 2010. This can be attributed for the most part to the cancellation of our projects in Libya due to the political unrest in that country. I may remind you that we cancelled a contract amount of about €300 million in the course of the first half of this year. Poland is another factor that influenced the previous year's high order backlog in that country in the form of large infrastructure projects is being continuously worked off and transformed into output. In Austria and Romania, by comparison, the order backlog is on the rise with projects including the Koralm Tunnel in Syria, Austria and several new road construction orders in Romania. Let me now come to slide number four with regard to EBITDA and EBIT. The EBITDA for the first six months of the current financial year rose by 6 percent and reached €197.18 million on good earnings contribution especially from Germany and Poland. This growth is that much more remarkable as an extraordinary revaluation through profit and loss for Czech railway construction company, Viamont DSP in the amount of €24.6 million, reported in the results from associates, led to a positive distortion of the EBITDA last year. This has to be taken into consideration once you compare this year's figure with last year's figure. The facts, in any case, limited 2 the growth rate on a mathematical basis with regard to our EBITDA and led to a pro-forma reduction of our EBITDA margin from 3.7 to 3.3 percent. The depreciation and amortisation fell by 8 percent to minus €180.52 million, in part again, related to one time amortisation of goodwill in the amount of minus €14 million performed in the first quarter of last year and, again, related to the Viamont transaction. Below the line this resulted in something very exceptional for our Group. For the first time in the history of our Group, STRABAG reached the breakeven point in EBIT in the second quarter of the fiscal year already instead of the third quarter as usual. EBIT does move from minus €10.36 million in the same period the year before to a plus of €16.67 million while the margin rose to 0.3 percent from a minus of 0.2 percent last year. Again, there you have to take into consideration that we have the Viamont effect with regard to EBIT it amounted to a plus of €10.6 million last year. When we have a look on the total group and the three operational segments on slide number five, you will easily discover that we see a strong recovery of EBIT in the Special Divisions and Concession segment. You can see the composition of the EBIT for the Group. While it was only a little lower compared to last year in Building Construction and Civil Engineering and you were going to the extraordinary evaluation of Viamont, especially in transportation 3 infrastructures, it nearly tripled in the Special Divisions and Concession segment. The reasons for that positive development are the notoriously volatile business in tunnelling and the non-European markets, those business segments are bundled in Special Divisions and Concession, as you know. Let's now come to the following slide, our earnings per share, however, is again negative and this is due to high minorities. While third-party shareholders still help bear a loss of minus €1.33 million in the same period of 2010, the earnings attributable to minority shareholders this year amounted to a plus of €19.75 million. This results in nearly unchanged consolidated losses of minus €10.9 million over the first half of 2011 whilst it a minus of €11.47 million in the first half of 2010 and also an unchanged earnings per share of about minus €0.10. Here, too, we should again point out the positively distorted comparison value from the Viamont revaluation in 2010. When we have a look at our balance sheet on slide seven, you will see that the balance sheet total reached €10 billion 500 million and hence remained nearly unchanged in comparison to the previous year where the balance sheet total amounted to €10.4 billion. Worth mentioning are the seasonally higher account trade receivables with simultaneous reduction of cash and cash equivalent as well as growth of inventories in connection with project development especially in Germany. 4 On the liabilities side, we can see a significant increase of current financial liabilities mostly due to the forthcoming repayment of and additions to liabilities attributable to the public/private partnership portfolio. The equity ratio also showed only little change settling at 30.6 percent of the 31.1 percent on the 31st December 2010. Our net cash position fell significantly from €669 million to 25 million; 669 was the status by the end of the year and the 25 million and this responded to the build up of the working capital which usually taking place in the first half of the year. But the net debt situation was still registered on the 30th of June of the previous year. Let's now come to the cash situation and the working capital development on slide number eight. The cash flow from profit stood at a little more than €155 million due in part to an improved net income 59 per cent of the comparison period of the year before. Because of the, as planned, lower growth of the working capital the cash flow from operating activities came to rest much less than deeply in negative territory at only minus €292 million the comparison before was minus 407.85 million. Enterprise acquisitions with a simultaneous lower reduction of investments in Property Plan and Equipment and the intangible assets led us to a cash flow from investing activities of minus €301.64 million. This figure grew by 25 percent compared to the same 5 period of the previous year. The cash flow from financing activities moved from minus €14 million to almost €46 million, a development which can be explained by the bond issue in the second quarter of this year. The volume of the issue to remind you that was €175 million for the first time while only €100 million had been issued in the previous year. I may now comment upon our three operational segments. On slide number nine we give you a glance of the Building Construction and Civil Engineering segment. The output volume generated in this segment increased by 25 percent to a little more than €2.3 billion in the first half of 2011. Disadvantageous weather conditions in the same period the year before had led to an unusually reduced output volume in 2010. Especially worth noting is the growth in our home markets of Germany and Poland and in the Russian and neighbouring countries region. The higher output volume in Switzerland, however, can be attributed to the acquisitions of two companies I managed – I'm sorry – I mentioned already before. The revenue of the segment in the first half of this financial year grew in tandem with the output volume to €2 billion 142 million. EBIT in contrast fell slightly from 43 million to €41 million due to an aperiodic effect. The order backlog grew by 7 percent to €6.4 billion. Here, too, the markets of Germany, Poland, Russia and neighbouring countries and 6 Switzerland were responsible for the vast majority of the growth. In contrast, a significant decline can be seen in Hungary. The segment contribution to the consolidated order backlog climbed upward from 38 percent last year to year to 43 percent now. A sign of the general trend reversal toward privately funded projects. Following a series of large orders in the first quarter in Germany, STRABAG, again, registered strong demand in the second quarter for buildings in this core market. Projects include inter alia the revitalisation and partial new construction of the famous Poseidonhaus office building in Frankfurt with a value of €96 million. In another core market that of Austria, STRABAG concluded a contract for the construction of the Oberlaa Ost housing complex worth €82 million. In view of the high order backlog the workforce in Building Construction and Civil Engineering grew as well rising by more than 2,200 persons or 13 percent to a little more than 20,000 employees. The number, however, includes the growth resulting from the Swiss acquisition which contributed slightly over 1100 employees to the overall personal figures. We reiterate our output volume forecast for the segment which had been and will stay with €5.1 billion. In Germany the target output and result are largely covered already. The competitive situation on the sub-contractor side has stabilised the prices as 7 a result. The situation in Poland, however, is quite different. Price dumping and the lack of incoming orders are causing a deteriorating situation in the otherwise still booming market. Let’s now come to slide number ten which gives a survey of our Transportation, infrastructure segment. This segment registered growth of the output volume of 17 percent, where the output reached a little more than €26 billion in the first half of 2011. This can be attributed to the one hand to a milder and shorter winter compared to the same period of the year before resulting in significant increases in the home market of Germany. On the other hand the construction boom in Poland and the expansion in Scandinavia also had a beneficial effect. The revenue of this segment gained a little more than output that was a plus by about 19 percent to settle at €2.5 billion. In contract, the EBIT fell to minus €99.5 million which is 34 percent deeper in negative territory than in the previous year. This development can be blamed, among other things, on the continued weak public sector investments and infrastructure in the Czech Republic forcing STRABAG to respond with structural adaptations. The order backlog stood at €5.3 billion, 8 percent below the level at the end of June 2011. The reason for this is the above average volume of new orders in Poland in the previous year which has now fallen back to a usual level. Additionally, weather 8 conditions have allowed a part of the order backlog in Germany to be already worked off in the first quarter of this year. In contrast growth of the order backlog was registered in Scandinavia, the result of several large projects such as (unclear 15:22) project in Stockholm as well as several new infrastructure projects in various northern European countries. STRABAG also in this segment is staying with it’s estimate and states again Transportation Infrastructures will generate an output volume of about €6.3 billion in the 2011 financial year. At the same time, the economic conditions in the individual markets vary strongly from country to country. The situation in Germany can be described as stable in comparison to the low public sector expenditures in road construction, orders from private and institutional clients are picking up noticeably. The positive influence can be seen from STRABAG’s involvement in the fields of hydraulic engineering. We acquired Cuxhaven-based civil hydraulic engineering firm Ludwig Voss and increased our stake in Josef Möbius Bau-AG, Hamburg from 70 percent to 100 percent and in off shore wind. On the Austrian home market and contrast public sector budget cuts will probably lead to significant decline in the output volume in the Transportation Infrastructure segment. The price pressure here can only partially be countered through the diversification and niche business fields such as railway 9 construction, noise abatement construction or the construction of sport facilities. The construction boom in Poland will likely be over towards the end of the year as we have stated before already. On page eleven we come to the first and last operational segment of the STRABAG Group. Special Divisions and Concessions. The output volume in the segment increased by 6 percent and reached €1.135 billion. This development can be attributed to the naturally quite volatile business tunneling and in direct export jobs. Growth in the Middle East and Italy was countered by declines in Africa and also in Hungary. The revenue grew by 8 percent and reached €1.230 billion. At the same EBIT nearly tripled from 18 million last year to €69.5 million this year. This development can be explained by the extremely volatile business in the non-European market which, above all in Africa and Middle East, developed much better in the first six months of 2011 than in the comparison period. Last year we were, however, as you know not satisfied with the situation at all. Last year’s order backlog was strongly driven by the developments in the non-European market. As a result the order backlog in the first half of 2011 was down by 25 percent to €3.2 billion. Unlike the year before the latter region no longer includes any projects in Libya as STRABAG’s activities in this country were suspended at the beginning of the year due to the political unrest. Although STRABAG will 10 continue to pursue projects in other continents, above all in the form of public/private partnerships, the company was especially successful in Northern Europe during these past few months. While the price level at Central Europe is falling and the region has, in part, already (unclear 18:55) competition expertise and experience are in demand in the North. For this reason the Infrastructure Project Development Division is currently bidding increasingly for projects in Germany, Belgium, Finland and the Netherlands. In April, for instance, this STRABAG unit was awarded the contract in consortium to plant, finance and operate the AH Motorway in the south of Germany. Also for this segment, Special Divisions and Concession we confirm the forecast of €2.5 billion for the output volume made already in May 2011 for the whole financial year 2011. I may sum up my description of the situation of the STRABAG Group as follows. We confirm, again, our rates forecast given at the presentation of our Q1 figures. We expect an output volume and total of about €14 billion in 2011 previous that had been 13.5 billion and of €14.3 billion in 2012. EBIT should be at least at €300 million this year which means an EBIT margin of 2.3 percent and €330 million next year which, again, would be an EBIT margin of 2.3 percent for the Group. This is my short comment on the figures of STRABAG for the first half of the current financial year and now I am happy to answer your eventual questions. Thank you very much. 11 Operator: Excuse me. This is the Chorus Call Conference Operator. We will now begin the question and answer session. Anyone who wishes to ask a question may press star and one on their touch tone telephone. If you wish to remove yourself from the question queue, you may press star and two. Anyone who has a question may press star and one at this time. The first question is from Mr Will Morgan of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead, Mr Morgan. Will Morgan: I have a few questions please. The first one is with the Special Divisions and Concessions, you ran through some of the impacts and the results. I just wondered if you could give a bit more clarity. Certainly the second quarter EBIT that you reported is very high relative to anything we’ve really seen in the last number of quarters. I just wondered to what extend this is kind of one of factors. You do mention the volatility of the business, but I just wondered if you could give a bit more clarity on what really, a sort of more underlying run-rate perhaps is for that business. The second question is, obviously, with Poland you’re seeing the backlog wind down, which is sort of as expected and you’re seeing quite big drops now. I just wondered whether or not you can give us a sort of sense of where that level of backlog might stabilize eventually going forward. The third question, which is a very quick one, you mentioned there’s an aperiodic effect in the Construction and Civil Engineering business, I just wondered what that was and whether 12 or not that was significant and, finally, I just wondered if you could up date us with where you are in terms of your share buyback. Whether or not you’ve been more opportunistic as a result of recent general market weakness. Thanks TB: Thank you very much, Mr Morgan. Well it is true with regard to the EBIT in Special Divisions and Concessions, the development is somehow striking although we should not forget about the very low level last year, which to a large extent explains the level or let’s say the percentage of increase we have reached today. Basically, we believe that we are now more or less back to normal in this division. As you know, we don’t publish segmental EBIT forecast, but I think I can say that we believe that with regard to the segments we believe in the first half we are more or less back to normal again and we don’t expect fall back to the level of 2010 this year. So this, in our eyes, is not a one-off effect but or less a normalization could be somehow the percentage could, for the total year, be a little lower than it is by the first half but it will closer to the first half of this year than of last year. With regard to Poland we have always stated that we see a historical five minute development in this country in 2010 and 2011, which means that Poland climbed to the number two position in order backlog in the Group and it was the number four or number five before. We believe that with the extraordinary big infrastructure projects running out by the end of this 13 year probably the beginning next year, we will also for Poland to be back to normal again in this country, which means that it will be definitely one of the more important countries for STRABAG, but it is no surprise to us that it will, again lose its number two position in order backlog. It will be, probably again, back to number four or five, which could mean that the order backlog could be only 50 percent of what it was at the peak time at the beginning of this year or at the end of last year. With regard to the aperiodic effect in Building Construction and Civil Engineering, we are talking about an insurance claim in Russia we have already incurred the cost and did not yet reach an agreement with the insurance company and according to our strict profit realization rules, we have, of course, taken all the cost but not yet shown the income of the eventual insurance claim. But we believe that we will settle this matter in the course of the year 2011. Regarding the share buyback program, I think we had announced in the course of our team annual report that we have already purchased back about 4.14 percent of the total share capital. I can report to you that by today we have bought back about 4.19 percent. We make use of the rather favorable price situation. If you have a look at our stock price, you see that the price is more or less stable hence we feel we are in quite favorable situation to buy back shares. Currently, we had probably expected that we had to pay slightly higher price for that, but I may 14 remind you that our power to buy-back shares is limited to a total of 10 percent of the nominal capital. Will Morgan: Okay, thank you very much for that. Just to quickly clarify, I mean in terms of the size of the costs where the, of the aperiodic effect, would it be fair to say that if you adjusted for that your margins year on year would have been broadly stable in Building Construction and Civil Engineering? TB: Yes, that is…that is. The margin is definitely we are talking about a medium-size single digit million amount. Will Morgan: Okay. TB: So it will be a little less than last year 2.5 percent was a good figure the total year was even better but it would not have been away. Yes, that’s right. Will Morgan: Okay. Okay. Operator: The next question is from Mr Timo Schmidt from Petrus Advisors. Please go ahead sir. Tim Schmidt: Hello, good afternoon. Thank you very much for the update and congratulations on the strong and impressive results for the first half-year. If I may I would like to raise two questions which to a certain extent go in the direction and Mr Morgan has already touched up on. I mean first of all if I look at your 15 performance Germany and Poland seem to be going growing at fantastic rates. The first half-year EBIT figure looks very impressive, why, and then given the positive news flow from the Toronto project, why are your not increasing your EBIT guidance and then, secondly which to a certain extent goes to in the same direction, again. Libya has been written down completely and my understanding is that you will test the market again by sending in a couple of specialists so potentially you may enter Libya quite soon and, if so, what upside for the order book do you see? I mean isn’t that some kind of tremendous opportunity for STRABAG to go back into Libya. TB: Thank you very much Mr Schmidt. You’re right that we have seen, still today, a very favorable development of the company especially in Poland but we may not forget that there are also market which turned out to be much more difficult than we had initially foreseen. For instance, for building construction, we have been given the example of Hungary for Transportation Infrastructures we have given the example of the Czech Republic where we had to structurally change our set up and to slim-line it. That means that, again the millipede principle works out also in the first half of this year. We have that favorable development in Poland, but we have of course on the other side in certain markets unforeseen negative development. All in all we believe that we are on the safe side in staying with the 16 guidance which we have given in the first quarter of this year. When it comes to Libya, this is again another example of our being rather cautious with on predictions on the eventual chances of the future. We may not forget that all contracts which we have cancelled in our order backlog are by no means being cancelled legally. The contracts are still enforce but we wonder whether we have a counter part to work on them again. So there might be a chance, depending on the further development in Libya, that we are back in the market quite fast especially when administration structures are in place, again, and if financing means are available again. That would by no means pose a legal problem because the contracts are there as well, but it all depends on the further development in this market and until today we feel that we are much too uncertain to predict whether, by the end of the year, we will be in a position to let’s put it that way, to reactivate what we had in our order backlog till the first quarter of 2011. There are chances, but we can’t really make a statement on them today Timo Schmidt: Right and then how exactly will you proceed to test the market opportunity in Libya. I mean, what is the timeline for sending in specialists? 31:13 TB: Yes, we have planned in our (draws? 31:17) to reestablish a presence most probably in Benghazi to start with. In the third or fourth quarter of this year and 17 then, of course, we will try to find counterparts regarding the existing contracts. This will be a factfinding mission in the first place, we will definitely not start again to import material and installations in the first place, but the first place, the first action to be taken will be fact finding missions and I expect that to take place most probably in the fourth quarter of 2011. Timo Schmidt: Okay, thank you very much and then, if I may, can I ask one further question please? TB: Please go ahead. Timo Schmidt: It's again regarding the share buyback. I mean the speed of which you have conducted the share buyback so far is quite impressive according to your webpage you have reacquired 4.2 percent of the company. Are you planning on keep up the same pace for the further acquisitions I mean of course given market opportunity and share price development? TB: Yes, we have the power to buyback a maximum of 10 percent and we will do that if the market permits as it does today. Timo Schmidt: Alright, okay, thank you very much. TB: Thank you very much Mr Schmidt. 18 Operator: The next question is from Mr Marcin Wojtal of Merrill Lynch. Please go ahead, Mr Wojtal. Marcin Wojtal: Good afternoon. I had a few questions. Firstly, I was just wondering if you could provide us with some guidance for working capital for full-year 2011 and then please correct me if I'm wrong, but I think very good very working capital performance in 2010 was helped by large prepayments for contracts in Central Eastern Europe, so I just wanted to check if your current order intake basically gives you enough prepayments related to new contracts to keep that level of working capital. Secondly I just wanted to get a bit of clarity on net income attributable to minorities which was about 19 million in the first half. Your guidance that was published after Q1 release is for the 20 to 25 in the full-year. So I was just wondering if it you could further comment on this or do you expect that net income attributable to minorities to be lower in the in the second half or we should analyse it. These are my two questions. TB: Thank you very much Mr Wojtal. Well with regard to the working capital, you're right that we had reported that prepayments, especially stemming from Poland, had helped with the working capital and this was a one-time effect, which we will not be seeing again because this related to the big contract which we are now working on and it was a prepayment to be more precise, of about €400 million, which we had in cash by the end of the last year. This means that we, 19 today, expect a further increase in working capital and we don't count on a further decline in that figure and this might amount to several hundred million Euros which is by no means an extraordinary development, but which is in line with our expectations and has to do with the one-time which we have seen by the end of last year and which you quoted so rightly. With regard to the net income and the minorities, it is true that the level of minority income in the first half of this year seems to be astonishingly high as compared as to the figure of previous years or previous year, but we, it is true that in the previous year we have also seen some negative effects in minorities which have dampened, which decreased the minority figures in total. For instance we may not forget that the company which was representing us in Libya was a 60 percent stake and we had a 40 percent minority stake and of course this minority stake last year bore a large negative figure due to the fact that we withdrew from Libya. We don't see that effect again this year. We have only, let's say, the normal minorities being accounted for in this figure and I agree that given the figure of more than €19 million by the end of the first part of this year we expect a slightly higher figure for the minorities by the end of this year. The estimate of 20 million is a little too low in light of this development. It might be easily, again, the same figure as we have seen for the first half so it will be considerably higher than 20 million. 20 Marcin Wojtal: Thank you very much. TB: Thank you. Operator: As a reminder, if you wish to register for questions please press star and one on your telephone. This next question is from Mr Christian Baader of Deutsche Bank. Please go ahead sir. Christian Bader: Yes good afternoon Mr (Unclear 37:03) two questions please. First of all your interest cost just in the second quarter went up significantly to €17.3 million after €10 million in the comparison period, can you please tell us why? And secondly, your results from associates and participations seems relatively poor in comparison to the second quarter of last year, can you also tell us why please. TB: Okay. Yes, we have again in one of the results we may not forget that last year we have the Viamont effect which you have to, again, to deduct if you make a comparison with the present year's figures so it was last year's figure which was influenced by an extraordinary effect when it comes to the result. And when it comes to the interest figure this year it is foreign exchange effects which had a stronger effect than last year. Christian Bader: Okay and in terms of interest cost, you say the high number is due to additional FX charges. Is it possible 21 to quantify them please. So that we can work out, let's say, the underlying interest expenses? TB: Yes, I don't have that in front of me to be...(off microphone) Yes, I would if you agree on that Mr Bader, we will work a little bit upon that because we don’t have the details just in front of us but we could probably give you a little more colour on that separately. Christian Bader: Okay and coming back to the associates and participation income. If I remember correctly this Viamont effect was in the first quarter so I was just wondering I mean participation and associate income was 11 million in total in the second quarter last year, this time only 6 million. TB: No, I think there you are not right. Viamont was taking place in the second quarter of last year. No sorry, you're right. That has taken place in the first quarter of 2010 and you are referring to the second quarter of...? Christian Bader: Second quarter, yes. TB: But we don't have that development in the second- if you have a look at the second quarter only and we have the… No, we're talking about the result of the associates. We have in the second quarter 2011 we have 0.79 and in the second quarter of last year we 22 have 1.85 which is, of course, relatively less but in absolute figures almost nil. Christian Bader: Okay. TB: Or you may have a different figure in front of me. Christian Bader: No, no, no that's fine. TB: I think this is next to nil, the percentage is high but the absolute figure is next to nil. You're right but sorry for...with regard to the second part of your rights gain, Viamont transaction took place in the first quarter last year, this is right. Christian Bader: Alright, thank you. TB: Thank you. Operator: The next question is from Mr Will Morgan of Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead sir. Will Morgan: Hi, I just wanted to follow-up again on this Special Divisions and Concessions margin. I mean it seems to me that you are now looking for a margin that's maybe more in the region of perhaps around 5 percent to the full year by the sounds of it. You know if that is the case, I mean that is, I mean you did mention that obviously the margin being depressed in the last year or in recent years. I just wondered if you could elaborate a little bit about exactly what are the 23 areas here that are seeing the margin improvement how we could sort of expect this to be sustained by the mix of the business and what you're doing here just to add a little bit of granularity so that I can get a bit more comfortable. TB: Thank you very much, Mr Morgan. It is true that this business typically is very volatile as you pointed out before and hence it is so difficult to define a normal margin for the segment. One thing is for sure we expect a normally higher margin than in our other core businesses which represent more or less stable operations in certain regions. Whilst we here rely to a large extent on so-called direct export business and it is true that last year the figure was extraordinary low because for the first time in the company's history we had to report a segmental loss in 2010 of minus €(60? 42:25) million EBIT which was equal to minus 0.6 percent in margin. This was definitely an extraordinary event and we have explained why this was taking place, this was due to Libya but this was also due to other non-expected effects in nonEuropean markets. The first half was, of last year, a margin of 1.6 percent was definitely below our, let's say, expectations and our ambition but was not yet taking into consideration the development in Libya. This year we have seen a margin which is, I would say on the right side but probably a little bit on the low end for the first half and this has to do with the favourable development in some tunnelling contracts where we managed to reach agreement with the 24 employer on contracts agenda which led to the remuneration of cost which we had to incur before. So this is why I'm saying I'm not too sure whether we will be seeing the 5.6 percent in margin till the end of the year, but I definitely expect a far better margin than in the first half of 2010 and definitely no negative result by the end of the 2011. Will Morgan: That's very clear. Thank you. TB: Thank you. Operator: Mr. Birtel there are no more questions at this time. TB: Thank you very much for your interest and I'm looking forward to the next time. Thank you very much. 25