Moody`s - Presale report
Transcription
Moody`s - Presale report
International Structured Finance Pre-Sale Report Europe, Middle East, Africa GCE Covered Bonds Covered Bonds / France This pre-sale report addresses the structure and characteristics of the proposed transaction based on the information provided to Moody’s as of [16 May 2008]. Investors should be aware that certain issues concerning this transaction have yet to be finalised. Upon conclusive review of all documents and legal information as well as any subsequent changes in information, Moody’s will endeavour to assign definitive ratings to this transaction. The definitive ratings may differ from the provisional ratings set forth in this report. Moody’s will disseminate the assignment of definitive ratings through its Client Service Desk. This report does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities, and it may not be used or circulated in connection with any such offer or solicitation. Estimated Conversion Date June 2008 Contacts Quentin Rutsaert +44 20 7772-5611 [email protected] PROVISIONAL (P) RATINGS Series Coupon Legal Final Maturity Rating Issuance Serie 1 [•] % [•] (P)Aaa EUR [•] billion The ratings address the expected loss posed to investors. Moody’s ratings address only the credit risks associated with the transaction. Other non-credit risks have not been addressed, but may have a significant effect on yield to investors. TRANSACTION SUMMARY Moody’s has assigned a provisional long-term rating of (P)Aaa to the covered bonds (the “Covered Bonds”) to be issued by GCE Covered Bonds (the “Issuer”) shortly after the date hereof under the terms of a €25 billion covered bonds programme (the “Programme”) established by it. The covered bond investors will benefit from: 1. The credit strength of the Caisse Nationale des Caisses d’Epargne et de Prévoyance (the “Sponsor Bank” or “CNCE” rated Aa2; Prime-1). Moody’s believes that the structure of the Programme enables the Issuer to benefit from the credit strength of the Sponsor Bank whose involvement in and commitment to the Programme is evidenced by the several roles and functions carried out by it in the context of such Programme; 2. A pool of assets (the “Cover Pool”) indirectly backing the outstanding Covered Bonds, comprising loans granted by 18 regional Caisses D’Epargne (each a “Collateral Provider”) to borrowers for the funding of residential real property located in France (each a “Home Loan”). The repayment obligations of the borrowers under the terms of the Home Loans will be either secured by a mortgage or guaranteed by a third party guarantee company (“société de cautionnement”); and 3. 8.1% minimum contractual nominal over-collateralisation. Massimo Catizone +44 20 7772-5428 [email protected] Client Service Desk London: +44 20 7772-5454 [email protected] New York: +1 212 553-1653 Monitoring [email protected] Website www.moodys.com As is the case with other covered bonds, Moody’s considers the credit strength of the transaction to be linked to that of certain parties, in particular the Sponsor Bank. Should such credit strength deteriorate, all other things being equal, the credit strength of the Covered Bonds is expected to be negatively affected. 20 May 2008 OPINION Strengths of the Transaction − − − − − − Sponsor Bank. The following structural features enable the Programme to benefit from the credit strength of the Sponsor Bank: • The Sponsor Bank assumes several roles and functions in the context of the Programme, such as Borrower under the facility granted by the Issuer, as Administrator, Collateral Security Agent and Issuer Calculation Agent. The Sponsor Bank will also be responsible for ensuring that the Programme’s hedging strategy is complied with at all times. • The obligation of the Sponsor Bank to request and the obligation of the Collateral Providers to add additional eligible assets to the Cover Pool by way of granting a collateral security (“garantie financière”) over such assets for the benefit of the Issuer. In the event that the asset cover ratio is lower than 1 in respect of any Asset Cover Test calculation period additional collateral in an amount sufficient to achieve a ratio of 1 or above shall be transferred prior to the immediately following asset cover test date. Credit Quality of the Cover pool: The holders of the Covered Bonds will have the benefit of the support provided by the Cover Pool. As of the date of this report, the Cover Pool is well-seasoned (the average seasoning being 37 months) and has an average unindexed loan-to-value of 69.86% (the indexed LTV being 58.1%). The quality of the Cover Pool is reflected in its collateral score of around 5.4%, which is better than the average collateral score of more than 7% calculated over all mortgage-backed covered bond transactions rated by Moody’s. Strong income underwriting standards. All the Home Loans have been checked to confirm that borrowers can, based on their income at time of origination, afford to repay the loan over its life. This check is carried out on a more conservative basis than is generally the case across Europe. Further income is in all cases verified, and this verification does not rely on borrowers’ self-certification. 8.1% of committed over-collateralisation. The Cover Pool should continue to offer substantial value up until Sponsor Bank Default due to the Asset Cover Test which may adjust the level of assets required to be placed in the Cover Pool based on the evolution of house prices, and the level of losses and arrears in the Cover Pool. Refinancing Risk. Provisions to allow for a principal refinancing period of 180 business days or to automatically extend the maturity date of the Covered Bonds should in the event of a Sponsor Bank Default: 1) improve the sales value of the Cover Pool; 2) increase chances of timely principal payments. Market Risk: Initially there will be no currency risk in this transaction. Mismatches between the Cover Bonds and Cover Pool will hedged pursuant to a hedging strategy as of the loss of A2 or P-1 by the Sponsor Bank. The payments under the swaps rank prior to the payments of the interest and principal under the Covered Bonds, reducing the risk of early termination due to a failure to pay by the Issuer. A strength of this swap is that the failure by the Issuer to make a payment in full or in part under the swap shall not allow during the grace period the swap counterparty (i) to terminate the swap on the basis of such failure or (ii) to withhold in full or in part any payment to be made to the Issuer. Weaknesses and Mitigants − 2 • Moody’s Investors Service Sponsor Bank: As with most covered bonds, until Sponsor Bank Default the Sponsor Bank has the ability to materially change the nature of the Programme. For example, new assets may be added to the Cover Pool, new bonds issued with varying promises and new hedging arrangements entered into. These changes could impact the credit quality of the Cover Pool, refinancing risk and market risks. Mitigant: the rating of Sponsor Bank, rated Aa2. GCE Covered Bonds − GCE Covered Bonds Credit Quality of the Cover Pool: • Substitution risk: As in most covered bond frameworks there are few restrictions on the future composition of the Cover Pool and hence substitution risk exists. Mitigants: the (i) Cover Pool assets are subject to eligibility criteria (please see below), (ii) the Asset Cover Test should ensure there is a Cover Pool appropriately sized to cover the obligations under the Covered Bonds. • Valuation: As is typically the case in France, valuations are based on purchase price. Mitigant: this is taken into account in Moody’s analysis of the Cover Pool. • Quality of the underlying security: The Home Loans are secured through either (i) a first ranking mortgage, or a second ranking mortgage, but only in the event that the Sponsor Bank is also the beneficiary of the first ranking mortgage, or (ii) with respect to about 65% of the Cover Pool, a guarantee provided by Saccef. Saccef is (indirectly) wholly-owned by Natixis, which on its turn is held for about 34.5% by the Sponsor Bank and another 34.5% is held by Banque Federale des Banques Populaires. Accordingly, there is some degree of correlation between the credit strength of the Sponsor Bank and SACCEF’s own credit strength. Hence, the quality of the guarantee securing the borrowers’ payment obligations may be gradually adversely affected as the credit quality of the Sponsor Bank deteriorates. Mitigant: (A) In the scenario of a combined default of the Sponsor Bank and SACCEF, at loss of A3 a reserve fund will be funded according to the mechanics described below on p. 9 (Credit quality of the Cover Pool), which the Sponsor Bank can exclusively use for entering into additional guarantee arrangements with a guarantor guaranteeing the commitments of SACCEF under the SACCEFguaranteed Home Loans. The amount credited to the reserve will be subject to a floor equal to 2% of the outstanding principal amount of the Home Loans Guaranteed by SACCEF. Following the occurrence of a Sponsor Bank Event of Default and provided that the Issuer is unable to find a substitute guarantor guaranteeing the relevant SACCEF commitments, the cash standing to the credit of such reserve, which is part of the Collateral Security, will be transferred to the Issuer who could in particular use it to register mortgages as appropriate. (B) Once the Sponsor Bank has lost Baa2, the Covered Bondholders should benefit from the support of an additional guarantee or re-insurance commitment with respect to the commitments of SACCEF under the relevant Home Loans. (C) In addition to the 5.4% collateral score, Moody’s has assumed 1% losses due to the risk that the Substitute Home Loan Guarantee Reserve would not be sufficient to establish a replacement security of the Home Loans guaranteed by SACCEF. − Quality of over-collateralisation. Covered Bonds are only issued against the portion of loans with an LTV up to 80%. However, over-collateralisation may also be made up of the portion of the Home Loan with an LTV in excess of 80%. Such collateral is of lower quality. Mitigants: Moody’s factors into its analysis the quality of the “over-collateralisation” when determining required overcollateralisation levels. − Refinancing risk: In common with most covered bonds, following Sponsor Bank Default Covered Bondholders may rely on proceeds being raised through the sale of, or borrowing against, assets in the Cover Pool. Following a Sponsor Bank Default the market value of these assets may be subject to substantial volatility. Mitigants: 1) the rating of the Sponsor Bank; 2) the principal refinancing period of 180 business days as built in the pre-maturity test or the automatically extended maturity date in case of soft bullet Covered Bonds; 3) the stressed refinance margins applied by Moody’s. − Market risk: The counterparty for the Issuer Hedging Agreements may be affiliated to the Sponsor Bank Group, so prior to Sponsor Bank Default a swap replacement would have to be found for the swap to continue to support the transaction post Sponsor Bank Default. Mitigants: collateral posting provisions Moody’s Investors Service • 3 should provide material support until Sponsor Bank Default, and replacement triggers may protect bondholders following Sponsor Bank Default. − 4 • Moody’s Investors Service Time Subordination: After Sponsor Bank Default, later maturing Covered Bonds are subject to time subordination. Principal cash collections may be used on a first-come-first-served basis, paying earlier-maturing Covered Bonds prior to latermaturing Covered Bonds. This could lead to over-collateralisation being eroded away before any payments are made to later paying Covered Bonds. Mitigant: the Amortisation Test. GCE Covered Bonds STRUCTURE SUMMARY (see page 6 for more details) Issuer: GCE Covered Bonds (not rated) Sponsor Bank: CNCE (Aa2/P-1) Structure Type: Covered Bonds Issued under Covered Bonds Law: No Applicable Covered Bonds Law: n/a Main Seller/Originator: (remove accordingly) 18 Regional Caisses d’Epargne and Crédit Foncier de France Main Servicer: 18 Regional Caisses d’Epargne and Crédit Foncier de France Intra group Swap Provider No info Monitoring of Cover Pool: PricewaterhouseCoopers Audit Trustees: Issuer Security Agent (Natixis) Timely Payment Indicator Probable COVERED BONDS SUMMARY (for more details see section “Moody’s rating methodology”) Total Covered bonds Outstanding 0 Currency of covered bonds: First issuance is expected to be in € (100%) Extended Refinance Period: Hard and soft bullets can be issued ([first issuance will be hard bullet) Principal Payment Type First issuance will be hard bullet ([100]%) Interest Rate Type: [ ]% fix / [ ] % floating COLLATERAL SUMMARY (see page 8 for more details) Size of Cover Pool: €8.8 billion Main collateral type in Cover Pool: 100% secured residential loans Main Asset Location: 100% in France Loans Count: 159,698 Currency: € (100%) Concentration of 10 biggest borrowers: Not relevant WA Current LTV: 58.1% WA Seasoning: 3 years WA Remaining Term: 15.5 years Interest Rate Type: 87% fixed assets (including floating with cap at 1% or less above current rate) and 13% of floating assets (with no cap or with a cap that is more than 1% above current rate) “Committed” Over Collateralisation: 8.1% Collateral Score: 5.4% Further details: See Appendix 1 Pool Cut-off Date: February 2008 5 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds STRUCTURAL AND LEGAL ASPECTS Chart 1: Structure Chart Issuer Security Covered Bonds Investors Covered Bonds Proceeds Interest and principal payment under the Covered Bonds Issuer Security Agent Issuer (GCE Covered Bonds) Collateral Security Sponsor Bank Advances Interest and principal payment Sponsor Bank (CNCE) Facility Collateral Providers (Various Group Entities) The Issuer The Issuer is a regulated bankruptcy-remote SPV. The Issuer was incorporated on 7 August 2007. It is a French societe anonyme à conseil d’administration. It is a subsidiary of the Sponsor Bank and is licensed as a credit institution with limited and exclusive purpose by the French Comité des établissements de crédit et des entreprises d’investissements (“CECEI”). As a special purpose vehicle its objects and purpose will to the extent possible be restricted to those activities necessary to carry out its obligations under the Programme. The Issuer does not have and will not have any employees, nor will it own or lease any premises. It will undertake not to engage in unrelated business activities or incur any material liabilities other than those contemplated under the Programme. In its relations with the parties to the Programme the Issuer benefits from limited recourse and non-petition clauses, which provide among others that amounts payable by the Issuer under the Programme shall be recoverable only from and to the extent of the amount of the available funds. The Issuer is intended to be a ring-fenced, bankruptcy remote entity that will be unaffected by the insolvency of the Sponsor Group (“GCE”). Under French law, Issuer’s assets would only be caught in insolvency proceedings of any other member of the Sponsor Group if either (i) there is commingling of its assets (confusion de patrimoine) with the assets of that member of the Sponsor Group or (ii) the Issuer is a “fictious” entity (societe fictive). Pursuant to a Shareholder Letter the Sponsor Bank will undertake in favour of the Covered Bondholders of all Series to be issued (i) not to take any steps for the voluntary winding-up, dissolution or reorganisation of the Issuer, (ii) to procure that the Issuer will at all times comply with its undertakings and other obligations as set forth in the banking license of the Issuer or in the related application form filed with the CECEI, (iii) not to permit any amendments to the Programme Documents otherwise than as permitted under the Programme Documents, (iv) not to permit that the Issuer cease to be consolidated with CNCE as head of tax group, (v) not to dispose of the whole or any part of the shares of the Issuer it owns and (vi) to take necessary steps to remain majority shareholder of the Issuer. GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 6 The Issuer shall have independent director. The Board of Directors consists of 5 directors who are also employees of the Sponsor Bank and of one director which is independant from the Issuer, its shareholders or its management. The Security Package The Collateral Providers will grant collateral security over residential loans. The proceeds from the issuance of the Covered Bonds will be used by the Issuer to fund Sponsor Bank Advances to be made available to the Sponsor Bank. The Sponsor Bank will on its turn make advances to the participating Collateral Providers. Each participating Collateral Provider shall benefit from advances in the same proportion as it has contributed to the Cover Pool. The Collateral Providers will grant Eligible Assets as collateral Security for the benefit of the Issuer in order to secure the payment obligations owed by the Sponsor Bank. The collateral security shall not entail any transfer of title with respect to the relevant Eligible Assets until enforcement. As long as no Sponsor Bank Event of Default has occurred, the Asset Cover Test will be applied at least once a month. As long as no Sponsor Bank Event of Default has occurred and been enforced, the Collateral Security Agent shall monitor the collateral security assets so as to ensure compliance with the asset cover test, the details of which are reproduced under Appendix 3. The Pre-Maturity Test mitigates refinancing risk. As no Sponsor Bank Event of Default has occurred and been enforced, the Sponsor Bank shall fund the Cash Collateral Account up to an amount sufficient so as to ensure compliance with a pre-maturity test. According to this test, for each Series of hard bullet Covered Bonds, during the period of 180 business days preceding the final maturity thereof, and upon downgrading of the Sponsor Bank below P-1 (short-term rating), the Sponsor Bank, as cash collateral provider, shall fund the cash collateral account so as to ensure that with respect to each relevant Series of hard bullet Covered Bonds, the amount of cash funded into the cash collateral amount is equal to the costs and the amount of principal scheduled to be redeemed at the final maturity of the relevant Series. Upon enforcement of the Collateral Security following the occurrence of a Borrower Event of Default, the amortisation test ensures that the total amount or value of transferred assets is equal or higher than the aggregate Covered Bond outstanding principal amount. This test is applied at least once a month following the enforcement of a Sponsor Bank event of default. One single failure of the test constitutes a Non-Compliance of the test, while two consecutive failures will constitute a Breach of Amortisation Test, which also constitutes an Issuer Event of Default. Commingling risk is mitigated mainly by the Collection Loss Reserve Account. Following the service of a Sponsor Bank Enforcement Notice and the transfer of title over the Home Loans to the Issuer, the Covered Bondholders will be exposed to the risk that: (i) payment continue to the made to the Collateral Providers instead of being paid to the Issuer directly; and (ii) the collections standing to the credit of the Collection Accounts are not capable of being identified or are not transferred to the Issuer in a timely manner. This may translate in a potential liquidity shortage or, in the event that the collections have not been properly earmarked, in a credit issue. Moody’s believes that the above risks are mitigated by (i) the Collection Loss Reserve Account (which must be funded at loss of P-1 by the Sponsor Bank) and could be mitigated by the extended grace period under the swaps (9 calendar months in favour of the Sponsor Bank instead of 3 business days as provided under the ISDA Master 1992). A list of trigger events and a description of the Sponsor Bank Enforcement Notice and Issuer Enforcement Notice are provided under Appendix 4. Eligibility Criteria The Cover Pool shall be comprised of investments in short term instruments with low risks, the various accounts of the Issuer (among which the cash collateral account), receivables under eligible loan agreements, the credit standing on the Collection Loss Reserve Account and the Substitute Home Loan Guarantee Reserve. Here are some of the eligibility criteria applicable to the Home Loans: GCE Covered Bonds − the customary lending procedures of the originator were satisfied before the inclusion of the related Home Loan into the Cover Pool; − the Home Loan is a residential loan; Moody’s Investors Service • 7 − the underlying property is located in France; it is governed by French law; − all sums under the Home Loan are secured by a fully effective security (see more details below); − the Home Loan is not in arrears of payments; − its is either monthly or quarterly amortising; − the underlying borrower does not benefit from a contractual right of set-off and the opening by the borrower under the Home Loan of a bank account dedicated to payment due under the Home Loan is not provided for in the relevant contractual arrangements as a condition precedent to the originator of the Home Loan. MOODY’S RATING METHODOLOGY Credit Strength of the Issuer The Sponsor Bank (CNCE) is rated Aa2; Prime-1. The proceeds of the Covered Bond issuances will be on-lent by the Issuer to the Sponsor Bank by way of Sponsor Bank Advances under a multicurrency term facility agreement (the “Facility”). The Sponsor Bank, which is responsible for the refinancing of the Sponsor Bank Group’s network, shall use the on-lent funds to make advances to the participating Collateral Providers. The terms and conditions of the Sponsor Bank Advances shall mirror the Final Terms of the Covered Bond, it being provided that the interest to be paid by the Sponsor Bank under a Sponsor Bank Advance shall be the financing costs of the Issuer under the Covered Bonds funding increased by a margin fixed by the Issuer and agreed by the Sponsor Bank. As a consequence, the entire amount of interest and principal due under the Covered Bonds will be full recourse against the Sponsor Bank, which is rated Aa2. Each payment obligation of the Issuer under the Covered Bonds will be mirrored by an obligation of the Sponsor Bank under the Facility granted by the Issuer. Moody’s believes that (i) the obligations imposed on the Sponsor Bank to ensure that a minimum amount of over-collateralisation in the Cover Pool is maintained; and (ii) the Sponsor Bank’s commitment to the Programme evidenced by the several functions carried out by it in the context of such Programme, enable the Issuer to benefit from the credit strength of the Sponsor Bank. For more information on the fundamental credit quality of the Sponsor Bank, please see the latest Moody’s bank credit report on CNCE and GCE. The Credit Quality of the Cover Pool The Home Loans in the Cover Pool are residential loans only. Each Home Loan in the Cover Pool has to satisfy the Eligibility Criteria. The Cover Pool is comprised of prime residential secured loans. The total loan balance as of the date of this report was approximately €8.8 billion. The Cover Pool is well seasoned (37 months), has an average unindexed loan-to-value of 69.86% (the indexed LTV being 58.1%)] and is characterised by some degree of geographical concentration (with almost 20% of the Home Loans originated in the Département of Ile de France). 13% of the Home Loans in the Cover Pool are floating rate and 87% are fixed rate (the latter percentage also includes the 3% of the pool comprised of floating rate loans with a cap that is not more than 1% above the current rate of each Home Loan. 94% of the properties are owner-occupied, 4% are buy-to-let and 2% are second homes. The income of each borrower has been verified by the relevant Caisse d’Epargne. All the above factors were incorporated into Moody’s analysis of the Programme. Moody’s calculates a Collateral Score based on the characteristics of the Home Loans registered in the Cover Pool, using a scoring model in order to assess the credit quality of the Cover Pool. The collateral score for this Programme is 5.4%. In addition to the 5.4% collateral score, Moody's has modelled 1% losses related to the risk that the Substitute Home Loans Guarantee Reserve would not be sufficient to establish a replacement security of the Home Loans guaranteed by SACCEF. As with most covered bonds in Europe, there are few restrictions or limitations on the future composition of the Cover Pool. This may have the effect of creating substitution risk. Mitigants to the substitution risk which should protect the quality of the Cover Pool over time include the following: 8 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds The Home Loans are secured by a mortgage or by a SACCEF guarantee. The correlation between the Sponsor Bank and SACCEF is mitigated by the Home Loan Guarantee Triggers: At loss of A3: a Reserve must be funded. At loss of Baa2: a guarantor rated A3 or above must be appointed to guarantee SACCEF’s commitments under the SACCEF-guaranteed loans. − The Eligibility Criteria; − If the Asset Cover Test detects a deterioration of the assets, the Sponsor Bank shall ensure that more collateral is added in order to satisfy the Asset Cover Test; and − The Cover Pool composition will be monitored by Moody’s. − The Home Loan Security An important aspect of the quality of the Cover Pool lies in the quality of the security guaranteeing each loan in the Cover Pool. The Home Loans included in the Cover Pool may be secured through either (i) a first ranking mortgage, or a second ranking mortgage, but only in the event that the relevant Caisse d’Epargne is also the beneficiary of the first ranking mortgage, or (ii) a guarantee provided by SACCEF or another eligible guarantor. At the time of the first issuance it is expected that approximately 35% of the pool will be secured by a mortgage, while about 65% will be secured by a guarantee granted by SACCEF. The proportion of guaranteed loans is expected to grow over time. SACCEF is 100%-owned by Natixis Guaranties, whose parent company – Natixis – is jointly held by the Sponsor Bank group and by the Groupe Banques Populaires, each holding approximately 34,5%. Moody’s considers that it is not excluded that a weakening of the credit strength of the Sponsor Bank would have a significant impact on the credit strength of SACCEF. Accordingly, the quality of the guarantee securing the receivables of the relevant Caisses d’Epargne under a Home Loans secured by SACCEF could be gradually adversely affected as the credit quality of the Sponsor Bank deteriorates. This is mitigated by the fact that at loss of A3 by the Sponsor Bank, a Substitute Guarantee Home Loan Reserve in an amount equal to the higher of (x) 2 % of the outstanding principal amount of the Home Loans then guaranteed by SACCEF and (y) an amount determined by the Issuer on the basis of firm offers from at least 3 potential eligible SACCEF guarantors to guarantee SACCEF’s commitments with respect to the Home Loans guaranteed by SACCEF. The Failure to establish the Substitute Guarantee Home Loan Reserve within 30 days of the loss of A3 shall constitute a Sponsor Bank Event of Default. Further, at loss of Baa2 by the Sponsor Bank, a guarantor rated A3 or above must have accepted to guarantee the commitments of SACCEF under the SACCEFguaranteed Home Loans within 60 calendar days. If no substitute guarantee is entered into within 90 days of the loss of Baa2, the SACCEF-guaranteed Home Loans will account for 0 under the Asset Cover Test. Refinancing Risk After Sponsor Bank Default, the Cover Pool may be subject to volatility. Following Sponsor Bank Default, where the “natural” amortisation of the Cover Pool assets alone cannot be relied on to repay principal, Moody’s assumes that funds must be raised against the Cover Pool at a discount if covered bondholders are to receive timely principal payment. After a Sponsor Bank Default the market value of these assets may be subject to substantial volatility. Examples of the stressed refinance margins used by Moody’s for different types of prime quality assets are published in Moody’s method piece (“European Structured Covered Bonds: Moody’s Rating Approach”, 7 June 2005 – SF21457). Aspects specific to this programme that are refinancing positive include: The Covered Bonds will benefit from liquidity support − The Covered Bonds will benefit from the liquidity obtained via the automatic extension of the maturity with respect to soft bullet Covered Bonds and from the liquidity support provided through the Pre-Maturity Test. − The Covered Bonds will benefit from the liquidity support provided by the grace period contained in the swap Aspects specific to this programme that are refinancing negative include: GCE Covered Bonds − In the scenario of a combined default of the Sponsor Bank and of SACCEF, the refinancing cost of the Home Loans that have lost their guarantee and which as a consequence have become unsecured loans, cannot be estimated on the basis of historic data since such société de cautionnement (such SACCEF) has never been subject to bankruptcy. − The Issuer will not have the possibility to assign liabilities under the Covered Bonds together with the transfer of Home Loans. Moody’s Investors Service • 9 Market Risk Hedging Strategy: while the Sponsor Bank is rated A2( or above) and P-1, any market risk will be hedged in accordance with the Sponsor Bank’s existing internal hedging policies. For so long as the Sponsor Bank is rated A2 (or above) and P-1, any market risk in respect of the Cover Pool will be hedged pursuant to the terms of the Sponsor Bank’s internal hedging policies. As of the date of this report, the Sponsor Bank Advances, the assets in the Cover Pool and the Covered Bonds are expected to be denominated in Euro. Any interest risk will be mitigated in accordance with the Sponsor Bank’s internal hedging policies. The hedging strategy provides that the specific swaps to cover interest and currency risk will be entered into at loss of A2 or loss of P-1 by the Sponsor Bank. Under the terms of the hedging strategy contemplated by the Programme upon the loss of A2 or P-1 by the Sponsor Bank, swap agreements at the Issuer level and swap agreements at the Sponsor Bank level will be entered into. Each of such swaps will be entered into not later than 30 days from the date on which such a downgrade has occurred. Failure to do so will constitute an Issuer Event of Default. Payments under the swaps (except any termination payment) will rank immediately after the payment of taxes under the various waterfalls of the Programme. Following provisions, which are positive in our analysis (as compared to the ISDA master documentation), will be included (i) standard substitution rating-based triggers, (ii) restriction of the ISDA bankruptcy events in respect of the Sponsor Bank qualifying as Event of Default and (iii) extension of the grace period from 3 business days to 9 calendar months. The hedging strategy can be described as follows: As long as the title over the Cover Pool has not been transferred to the Issuer, a back-to-back swap will be in force between the Sponsor Bank and the Issuer. − For as long as the pool of eligible loans has not been transferred to the Issuer following an enforcement of the security rights granted to the Issuer, the obligations of the Issuer under the Covered Bonds will be hedged by the Retail Banks according to their usual and current strategies and practices, which have not been reviewed by Moody’s for the purpose of this transaction. Mitigant: The high rating of the Sponsor Bank is not only a reflection of its credit strength, but also of its competence in managing risk; There is a risk that the swaps provided for by the hedging strategy will not be in place. − Upon the loss of A2 or loss of P-1by the Sponsor Bank, hedging in respect of the Cover Pool must be in place at the level of the Sponsor Bank in order to hedge interest rate and currency risks which would arise after enforcement by the Issuer of the pledge over the Eligible Assets. There is no reassurance that such hedging arrangements will be entered into in a timely manner. Mitigants: (i) the failure by the Sponsor Bank to enter into a compliant swap would trigger an Issuer Event of Default and a Borrower Event of Default; and (ii) the trigger for entering into a compliant swap has been set relatively conservatively. LINKAGE The rating of the Covered Bonds is linked to the strength of the Sponsor Bank. All Covered Bonds are linked to a sponsor bank. The probability of default on the Covered Bonds may diverge from what is expected for a Aaa senior unsecured debt instrument; however, Moody’s primary rating target is expected loss. As a result the covered bonds will come under increasing rating stress as the sponsor bank’s credit strength deteriorates. Reasons for this include: Moody's covered bond ratings are primarily determined by the expected loss posed to investors. However, these ratings may also be constrained by the issue of "linkage" to the underlying sponsor bank, i.e. the risk of a late payment of either interest or principal on the covered bond following sponsor bank default. − Refinancing risk: Following sponsor bank default, if principal receipts from collections of the cover pool are not sufficient to meet the principal payment on a covered bond, funds may need to be raised against the cover pool. However, the fact that the Issuer has defaulted may negatively impact the ability to raise funds against the cover pool. − The exposure of the programme to the choices of the sponsor bank: In the context of this transaction for example, prior to Sponsor Bank Default, the Sponsor Bank may add new assets to the Cover Pool, take out certain assets (provided the Asset Cover Test is complied with) or ask the Sponsor Bank to issue further Covered Bonds; in addition the Sponsor Bank can enter into new hedging arrangements and issue bonds or other debt instruments. Each of these actions could negatively impact the value of the Cover Pool. More generally, the rating of covered bonds is linked to the sponsor bank default by the incorporation of the strength of the sponsor bank in Moody’s rating method. 10 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds As a result of this linkage, the probability of default of the Covered Bonds may be higher than expected for Aaa-rated senior unsecured debt. However, Moody’s primary rating target is the expected loss, which also takes into account severity of loss, which in this case is consistent with a Aaa rating. The TPI determines the maximum rating a covered bond programme can achieve. Moody's Timely Payment Indicators ("TPIs") (see Moody’s report “Timely Payment in Covered Bonds following Sponsor Bank Default” dated 13 March 2008) assess the likelihood that a timely payment will be made to covered bondholders following Sponsor Bank Default. They thus determine the maximum rating a covered bond programme can achieve with its current structure while allowing for the addition of a reasonable amount of over-collateralisation. Aspects specific to this programme that are TPI positive include: − The Pre-Maturity Test and the extendable maturity of the Covered Bonds − The swaps at Issuer level provide for a long grace period (9 calendar months) to the benefit to the Issuer. Aspects specific to this programme that are TPI negative include: − There is no assurance that swaps will be entered into with counterparties that are external to the Sponsor Bank group. − In case of default of SACCEF after enforcement of the collateral security, Moody’s expects that the Issuer might need more time to claim his rights in court. Moody’s has assigned a TPI of Probable to the Programme. MONITORING Moody’s will monitor the transaction on an ongoing basis to ensure that it continues to perform in the manner expected, including checking all supporting ratings and reviewing the assets on an ongoing basis. Any subsequent changes in the rating will be publicly announced and disseminated through Moody’s Client Service Desk. RELATED RESEARCH For a more detailed explanation of Moody’s approach to this type of transaction as well as similar transactions please refer to the following reports: Rating Methodology: − European Structured Covered Bonds: Moody’s Rating Approach, 7 June 2005 (SF21457) Special Reports: − European Covered Bond Legal Frameworks: Moody’s Legal Checklist, December 2005 (SF66418) − Timely Payment in Covered Bonds following Sponsor Bank Default, March 2008 (SF109992) Credit Opinion: − Caisse Nationale des Caisses d’Epargne Prevoyance,March 2008 Credit Analysis: − Groupe Caisse D’Epargne, December 2007 (105857) To access any of these reports, click on the entry above. Note that these references are current as of the date of publication of this report and that more recent reports may be available. All research may not be available to all clients. GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 11 APPENDIX 1: COVER POOL INFORMATION Table 1: Residential Assets Overview Specific Loan and Borrower characteristics Collateral Score: 5.40% Loans benefiting from a guarantee: 8,750,980,414 Asset balance: Average loan balance: 65.0% Interest Only Loans: 54,797 0.0% Loans for second homes / Vacation: 1.9% 159,698 Buy to Let loans / Non owner occupied properties: 3.9% Number of borrowers: 150,290 Limited income verified 0.0% Number of properties: 152,495 Adverse Credit Characteristics(**): 0.0% Number of loans: WA Remaining Term (in months): 186.28 WA Seasoning (in months): 36.09218446 Performance Details on LTV Loans in arrears ( ≥ 2months - < 6months): 0.0% Loans in arrears ( ≥ 6months - < 12months): 0.0% WA current LTV (*): 69.9% Loans in arrears ( > 12months): 0.0% WA Indexed LTV: 58.1% Loans in a foreclosure procedure: 0.0% Valuation type: Market Value LTV threshold: 80% Multi-Family Properties Junior ranks: 0.0% Loans to tenants of tenant-owned Housing Cooperatives: n/a Prior ranks: 0.0% Other type of Multi-Family loans (****) n/a (*) Based on original property valuation (**) Refers to Borrowers with previous missed payments, Borrowers with a previous personal bankruptcy or Borrowers with record of court claims against them at time of origination (***) n/d : information not disclosed by Issuer (****) This "other" type refers to loans directly to Housing Cooperatives and to Professional Landlords Chart A: Balance per LTV-band Original LTV 40% Chart B: Cover Pool Composition Indexed LTV Residential assets 100% 36.8% 35% 30% 22.6% 25% 20% 12.2% 15% 12.1% 10.5% 13.1% 6.6% 8.5% 10% 14.7% 4.3% 5% 11.1% 10.9% 10.6% 9.4% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0% 0 0-4 % 50 40- % 70 60- % 60 50- % 80 70- % 85 80- % 90 85- % % 100 95- % 95 90- 0.0%1.0% 5 -10 100 % 0.0% 5 -11 105 3.2% % Chart C: Seasoning Chart D: Interest Rate Type 30% 100% 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% 24% 20% 20% 20% 19% 17% 10% 0% 2 <1 87% 13% 0% s n th mo Flo g atin Fix ed y <2 set , re 0% ed Fix set , re in y 2 -5 Chart E: Regional Distribution 30% 19.8% 20% 11.6% 10.3% 10% 7.6% 5.6% 5.0% 4.1% 3.8% 3.8% 3.7% 3.7% 3.5% 2.6% 2.5% 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 1.6% 1.5% 1.3% 0% Ile- F de- ran ven P ro ce Al c e- pes . d'A C. n Rhô e-A No s lpe P as rd - -de a Cal s on n ée sill y ré ou s i-P c-R o Mid d gue L an is 12 • Moody’s Investors Service ta Bre gne ita Aqu ine t Cen re s P ay de o i re la L Lo r rain e Pic a rd ie r Bou e ne ndi go g rma -No e t Hau Als ac e seBas e ie es enn and en t rm Ard har No n eu-C g o t a i Po mp Cha er Auv gne e nch F ra -Co mté GCE Covered Bonds APPENDIX 2: INCOME UNDERWRITING AND VALUATION 1. Income Underwriting Yes. For employed borrowers, income is always checked on the basis of the 3 most recent monthly salary slips, the most recent tax statement and the 3 most recent monthly bank statements. For self-employed borrowers, income is always checked on the basis of the most recent financial statement, the most recent tax statement and the 3 most recent monthly bank statements. No loans are granted to unemployed person. No loans are granted to applicants on a probation period. Applicants with a duration of their employment with current employer less than 1 year, fixed-term contracts and temporary employees are subject to tighter underwriting criteria from GCE. No. 1.1 Is income always checked? 1.2 Does this check ever rely on income stated by borrower (“limited income verification”) income stated by the borrower? 1.3 Percentage of loans in Cover Pool that have limited income verification None 1.4 If limited income verification loans are in the Cover Pool, describe what requirements lender has in place for these loans. Not applicable 1.5 Does income in all cases constrain the amount lent (for example through some form of Income Sufficiency Test (“IST”). 1.6 If not, what percentage of cases are exceptions. Yes With respect to the income sufficiency test (“IST”), the main criteria used by the Caisse d’Epargne are the Debt-to-Income ratio and the available income per family member (“Family Ratio” or “Quotient Familial”). The Family Ratio is determined pursuant to a table specifying the minimum amount of income after tax which must be available per person for a single person, a couple, a family with 1 child, with 2 children, etc. These tables may change slightly from one Caisse d’Epargne to the next. As a matter of rule for some Caisse d’Epargne, when the relevant Debt-To-Income ratio required limit (usually 33%) is exceeded or the Family Ratio is lower than the relevant minimum required limit, the underwriting decision will be taken by a higher authority than the relationship manager. With respect to CFF, the approval procedures are based on different studies carried out at each authorisation levels at which loans are analysed, such levels depending on loan amount, loan purpose (owner occupied or buy to let) and credit risk. As a matter of rule, the underwriting decision takes into account the loan amount, the Basel II rating and the CFF score. The CFF score combines an expert system and a statistical scoring system based on historical performance of the CFF portfolios. Even though an income sufficiency test is not directly used by CFF, the expert score takes into account the Debt-ToIncome ratio. N/A For the purposes of any IST 1.7 Is it confirmed income after tax is sufficient to cover both interest and principal. GCE Covered Bonds Yes, there are no interest-only loans in the cover pool and it is part of the underwriting procedure to verify that there is sufficient income after tax available on the basis of the Family Ratio. Moody’s Investors Service • 13 1. Income Underwriting 1.8 If so over what period is it assumed principal will be paid (typically on an annuity basis)? Any exceptions? Payment of principal is considered over life of the loan. 1.9 Does the age of the borrower constrain the period over which principal can be amortised? No. 1.10 Are any stresses made to interest rates when carrying out the IST? If so when and for what type of products? 1.11 Are all other debts of the borrower taken into account at point loan made? 1.12 How are living expenses of the borrower calculated? And what is the stated maximum percentage of income (or income multiple if relevant) that will be relied on to cover debt payments. (specify if income is pre or post tact) When interest rate on loan is floating, IST may be based on stressed interest rate depending on the Caisse d’Epargne. In such case, the stressed interest rate is the highest applicable interest rate according to the contractual cap of such rate. Interest rate on fixed rate loans is fixed over the life of the loan and there is no need to stress these loans. Yes, whatever consumer loans, revolving loans, mortgages or child maintenance paid, are taken into account. Expenses are taken into account in the Debt-To-Income percentages. Besides the IST, the decision is taken by an underwriter on the basis of other criteria such as the specific profile of the applicant. Other comments 14 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds 2. Valuation With respect to the Caisse d’Epargne, the initial property valuations are based on the purchase price. An independent appraiser may be subsequently used in case the loan is transferred to the recovery department. With respect to CFF, the initial property valuations are either an expert’s valuation of the property, a desktop valuation or the acquisition price. Property values set out in CFF’s files are updated on a yearly basis by applying an index determined by Foncier Expertise on the basis of both the place of location of the property and the type of property (flat/house, newly built/old one). N/A 2.1 Are valuations based on market or lending values? 2.2 Are all or the majority of valuations carried out by external (with no direct ownership link to any company in the Sponsor Bank group) valuers? 2.3 How are valuations carried out where external valuer not used? N/A 2.4 What qualifications for external valuers require? N/A 2.5 What qualifications do internal valuers require? N/A 2.6 Do all external valuations include an internal inspection of a property? N/A 2.7 What exceptions? No Exceptions 2.8 Do all internal valuations include an internal inspection of a property? N/A 2.9 What exceptions? N/A Other comments GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 15 APPENDIX 3: ASSET COVER TEST, PRE-MATURITY TEST AND AMORTISATION TEST 1 The Asset Cover Test The following terms shall have the following definitions: "Asset Cover Test Date" means each Selection Date and each issuance date of a Series or a Tranche of Covered Bonds. "Asset Cover Test Calculation Period" means, in relation to any Asset Cover Test Date, each period starting on, and including, the immediately preceding Asset Cover Test Date, and ending on, and excluding such Asset Cover Test Date. "Selection Date" means, at the latest, the last calendar day of each calendar month, it being provided that the Collateral Security Agent and the Collateral Providers shall use their best effort so that such date occurs on, or as soon as possible as from the twentyfifth (25th) day of each calendar month. Compliance with the Asset Cover Test requires compliance with the asset cover ratio R specified below (the "Asset Cover Ratio"). Such compliance is tested by the Issuer Calculation Agent from time to time subject to, and in accordance with, the relevant terms of the Collateral Security Agreement and the Calculation Services Agreement. The Asset Cover Ratio (R) "R" means the following ratio which shall be at least equal to one (1) at each Asset Cover Test Date: ⎡ ⎤ Adjusted Aggregate Asset Amount (AAAA) ⎢ ⎥ Aggregate Covered Bond Outstandin g Principal Amount ⎦ R =⎣ whereby: "Aggregate Covered Bond Outstanding Principal Amount" means, at any Asset Cover Test Date, the aggregate amount of principal (in euro or euro equivalent with respect to Covered Bonds denominated in a Specified Currency) outstanding at such date under all Covered Bonds. "Adjusted Aggregate Asset Amount (AAAA)" means, at any Asset Cover Test Date: (AAAA) = A + B + C + D – (Y + Z) whereby: "A" means the lower of "A1" and "A2". "A1" is equal to the sum of all Adjusted Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amounts of all Home Loans granted as Collateral Security and excluding the Home Loans which have become Ineligible Home Loans (see "The Collateral Security" for a description of the Home Loans Eligibility Criteria) during the applicable Asset Cover Test Calculation Period (the "Relevant Home Loan"), as such Adjusted Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amounts under Borrower Facility will be calculated on the relevant Asset Cover Test Date, whereby: "Adjusted Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount" means, with respect to each Relevant Home Loan granted as Collateral Security, the lower of: (i) the Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount of such Relevant Home Loan minus the Applicable Deemed Reductions; and (ii) the LTV Cut-Off Percentage of the Indexed Valuation relating to such Relevant Home Loan minus the Applicable Deemed Reductions; "Applicable Deemed Reductions" means the aggregate sum of the financial losses incurred by the Collateral Providers with respect to the Relevant Home Loans to the extent that such financial losses have been incurred as a direct result of a material 1 This Appendix 3 is an extract of the draft prospectus dated 9 May 2008. the defined terms used herein are defined in the prospectus, where the Sponsor Bank is being referred to as “Borrower”. GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 16 breach of the Servicing Procedures by the relevant Collateral Providers during the applicable Asset Cover Test Calculation Period (see "The Collateral Security Agreement – Asset Servicing" for a description of the Servicing Procedures). "Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount" means, with respect to each Relevant Home Loan, the amount of principal outstanding at the relevant Asset Cover Test Date under such Relevant Home Loan. "LTV Cut-Off Percentage" means: (i) eighty per cent. (80%) for each Relevant Home Loan secured by a Mortgage; (ii) eighty per cent. (80%) for each Relevant Home Loan secured by a Home Loan Guarantee issued by Crédit Logement or by SACCEF; or, as long as the Covered Bonds are rated AAA (S&P) and Aaa (Moody's), any lower percentage decided by the Collateral Security Agent, subject to prior Rating Affirmation. "Index" means (i) with respect to properties located in France (except in the Ile de France's district), the index of increases of prices issued by the INSEE and named "Indice trimestriel du prix des logements anciens – Province – Appartements / Maisons", or (ii) with respect to properties located in the Ile de France's district, the index of increases of prices issued by the INSEE and named "Indice trimestriel du prix des logements anciens – Ile de France – Appartements / Maisons". "Indexed Valuation" means at any date in relation to any Relevant Home Loan secured over any Property: (i) where the Original Market Value of that Property is equal to or greater than the Price Indexed Valuation as at that date, the Price Indexed Valuation; or (ii) (where the Original Market Value of that Property is less than the Price Indexed Valuation as at that date, the Original Market Value plus eighty per cent. (80%) of the difference between the Price Indexed Valuation and the Original Market Value. "Original Foreclosure Value" in relation to any Property means the purchase price of such Property or (as applicable) the most recent valuation of such Property, as disclosed to the relevant Collateral Provider by the relevant debtor under the related Relevant Home Loan. "Original Market Value" in relation to any Property means the Original Foreclosure Value divided by one (1). "Price Indexed Valuation" in relation to any Property at any date means the Original Market Value of that Property increased or decreased as appropriate by the increase or decrease in the Index since the date of the Original Market Value. "A2" is equal to the sum of all unadjusted Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amounts of all Relevant Home Loans minus the Applicable Deemed Reductions (as defined above) multiplied by the applicable Asset Percentage, whereby: "Asset Percentage" means (i) 92.5 per cent. (92.5%) or (ii) such percentage figure as is determined on quarterly basis by the Issuer Calculation Agent pursuant to the relevant terms of the Collateral Security Agreement. For the purpose of the calculation of the Asset Percentage referred to in (ii) above, the Issuer Calculation Agent will calculate, on a quarterly basis, the Weighted Average Frequency of Foreclosure ("WAFF"), and the Weighted Average Loss Severity ("WALS") (and/or such figures calculated in accordance with such alternative methodologies as agreed with S&P) for all Relevant Home Loans or for a random sample of the same or as otherwise agreed by S&P. The WALS (or other relevant figures) so calculated will be incorporated by the Issuer Calculation Agent into one (1) or more cash flow models approved by S&P. Such models, which test the credit enhancement required in various cash flow scenarios, will indicate, on the basis of the latest WAFF and WALS figures (or other agreed relevant figures), the Asset Percentage needed in order to provide credit enhancement to cover all such cash flow scenarios. Save where otherwise agreed with S&P, the Asset Percentage will be adjusted in accordance with the various methodologies prescribed by S&P provided that the Asset Percentage may not, at any time, exceed 92.5 per cent. (92.5%). GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 17 "B" is equal to the aggregate amount of cash standing to the credit of the Cash Collateral Account, as reported by the Collateral Security Agent in the relevant Asset Report. "C" is equal to the aggregate value outstanding under all Substitution Assets (the "Aggregate Substitution Asset Amount (ASAA)") granted as Collateral Security provided that, the amount of the Aggregate Substitution Asset Amount (ASAA) (whatever such amount is at any Asset Cover Test Date) shall in any event account only for up to twenty per cent. (20%) of the Adjusted Aggregate Asset Amount (AAAA) for the purposes hereof. The Aggregate Substitution Asset Amount (ASAA) shall be reported by the Collateral Security Agent in the relevant Asset Report. Substitution Assets will be valued on the last Business Day of the calendar month immediately preceding each Asset Cover Test Date and be taken into account for their mark-to-market value at a discount based on a methodology agreed with the Rating Agencies. "D" is equal to the aggregate value outstanding under all Permitted Investments, as determined by the Issuer Accounts Bank (or the Administrator on its behalf) and reported to the Issuer Calculation Agent pursuant to the Issuer Accounts Bank Agreement. Permitted Investments will be valued on the last Business Day of the calendar month immediately preceding each Asset Cover Test Date and be taken into account for their mark-to-market value at a discount based on a methodology agreed with the Rating Agencies. "Y" is equal to (i) zero before any Issuer Hedging Agreement shall be entered into by the Issuer subject to, and in accordance with, the Hedging Strategy and (ii) otherwise, an amount equal to the payments due under the Issuer Hedging Agreements (plus interest thereon) within the period of α plus two (2) months preceding the relevant Asset Cover Test Date where α means the period between two (2) interest payment dates (first day of such period included and last day of such period excluded) under the relevant Issuer Hedging Agreements. "Z" is equal to: WAM * Covered Bond Outstanding Principal Amount * 0.50 per cent. (0.50%), whereby: "WAM" means the greater of (i) the weighted average maturity of Series of Covered Bonds outstanding as at the relevant Asset Cover Test Date, and (ii) one (1) year. "Covered Bond Outstanding Principal Amount" means, at any Asset Cover Test Date, the aggregate amount of principal (in euro or euro equivalent with respect to Covered Bonds denominated in a Specified Currency) outstanding at such date under all Series of Covered Bonds. Calculation of the Asset Cover Ratio (R) On each Asset Cover Test Date, the Asset Cover Ratio (R) shall be calculated by the Issuer Calculation Agent according to the terms, definitions and calculation formula set forth above. No later than three (3) Business Days following any Asset Cover Test Date, the Issuer Calculation Agent shall inform the Issuer, the Borrower and the Collateral Security Agent (with a copy to the Rating Agencies and to the Asset Monitor) of its calculation of the Asset Cover Ratio (R). Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test Non compliance with the Asset Cover Test (the "Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test") would result from the Asset Cover Test Ratio (R) being strictly less than one (1). Remedies Upon Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test on any Asset Cover Test Date, the Collateral Security Agent shall: (i) cause the Collateral Providers to grant additional or substitute Eligible Assets as Collateral Security pursuant to the relevant terms of the Collateral Security Agreement, on the next following Asset Cover Test Date; and/or (ii) (cause the Collateral Providers to release Collateral Security Assets from the Collateral Security pursuant to the relevant terms of the Collateral Security Agreement, on the next following Asset Cover Test Date, 18 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds in each case, as necessary to cure such Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test. A Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test will not constitute an Issuer Event of Default or a Borrower Event of Default. However, it will prevent the Issuer from issuing any further Series as long as it remains unremedied. Breach of Asset Cover Test The failure by the Collateral Security Agent, acting in the name and on behalf of the Collateral Providers, to cure a Non Compliance with Asset Cover Test occurred on any Asset Cover Test Date prior to the next following Asset Cover Test Date shall constitute a "Breach of Asset Cover Test" within the meaning of the Collateral Security Agreement. The Issuer Calculation Agent will inform promptly the Issuer, the Borrower and the Collateral Security Agent (with a copy to the Rating Agencies and to the Asset Monitor) of the occurrence of a Breach of Asset Cover Test. A Breach of Asset Cover Test will result in a Borrower Event of Default within the meaning of, and subject to, the relevant terms of the Borrower Facility Agreement. A Breach of Asset Cover Test will not constitute an Issuer Event of Default but will prevent the Issuer from issuing any further Series. The Pre-Maturity Test Compliance with the Pre-Maturity Test requires compliance with the ratings specified below with respect to the Borrower within each relevant Pre-Maturity Test Period. For the purpose hereof: "Pre-Maturity Test Period" means with respect to any Series of Covered Bonds which is not a Series of Soft Bullet Covered Bonds, the period starting from, and including, the one hundred and eightieth (180th) Business Day preceding the Final Maturity Date of such Series of Covered Bonds and ending on, and excluding, such Final Maturity Date; "Soft Bullet Covered Bonds" means Covered Bonds with a soft bullet maturity which allows the Final Maturity Date of the relevant Series to be extended if the Issuer is about to fail to pay the amount due on the Final Maturity Date, in accordance with, and as described in, the relevant Final Terms of Covered Bonds. Pre-Maturity Ratings Required Levels The required ratings with respect to the Borrower (together, the "Pre-Maturity Ratings Required Levels") are at least A-1 (short-term) (S&P) and P-1 (short-term) (Moody's). Pre-Maturity Test The Issuer Calculation Agent shall test compliance or non compliance by the Borrower with the Pre-Maturity Ratings Required Level subject to, and in accordance with, the relevant terms of the Calculation Services Agreement. Non Compliance with Pre-Maturity Test Upon downgrading of the Borrower below any of the Pre-Maturity Ratings Required Levels within a Pre-Maturity Test Period, the Issuer Calculation Agent shall inform the Cash Collateral Provider of the same within three (3) Business Days from such downgrading by written notice (the "Non Compliance Notice") delivered to the Cash Collateral Provider subject to, and in accordance with, the relevant terms of the Cash Collateral Agreement. The downgrading of the Borrower below any of the Pre-Maturity Ratings Required Levels will not constitute an Issuer Event of Default nor a Borrower Event of Default. Remedies If a Non Compliance Notice is received by the Cash Collateral Provider within a PreMaturity Test Period, the Cash Collateral Provider shall fund the Cash Collateral Account up to an amount (the "Cash Collateral Required Funding Amount (CCRFA)") calculated by the Issuer Calculation Agent as being the amount of cash to be funded by the Cash Collateral Provider into the Cash Collateral Account with respect to the relevant Series of Covered Bonds (not being Soft Bullet Covered Bonds) so as to ensure that the total amount of cash funded by the Cash Collateral Provider into the Cash Collateral Account with respect to such Series of Covered Bonds (the "Cash Collateral Required Total Amount (CCRTA)") is equal to: GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 19 CCRTA = (Covered Bond Principal Amount + Costs) whereby: "Costs" means the aggregate amount of fees, costs, expenses, taxes and other ancillary sums (excluding interest and principal amounts) scheduled to be payable by the Issuer within the relevant Pre-Maturity Test Period under the relevant Series of Covered Bonds (not being Soft Bullet Covered Bonds). "Covered Bond Principal Amount" means the aggregate amount of principal (in euro or euro equivalent with respect to Covered Bonds denominated in a Specified Currency) scheduled to be redeemed at the Final Maturity Date of the relevant Series of Covered Bonds (not being Soft Bullet Covered Bonds). The Cash Collateral Provider shall fund the CCRFA in full within thirty (30) Business Days from the receipt of the Non Compliance Notice. Breach of Pre-Maturity Test The failure by the Cash Collateral Provider to fund into the Cash Collateral Account the relevant Cash Collateral Required Funding Amount (CCFRA) subject to, and in accordance with, the above described conditions shall constitute a Breach of Pre-Maturity Test within the meaning of the Cash Collateral Agreement. A Breach of Pre-Maturity Test will result in a Borrower Event of Default within the meaning of, and subject to, the relevant terms of the Borrower Facility Agreement. A Breach of PreMaturity Test will not constitute an Issuer Event of Default. The Amortisation Test The following terms shall have the following definitions: "Amortisation Test Date" means, at the latest, the last calendar day of each calendar month following the enforcement of a Borrower Event of Default, it being provided that the Administrator and the Issuer Calculation Agent shall use their best effort so that such date occurs on, or as soon as possible as from the twenty-fifth (25th) day of each calendar month following the enforcement of a Borrower Event of Default. "Amortisation Test Calculation Period" means, in relation to any Amortisation Test Date, each period starting on, and including, the immediately preceding Amortisation Test Date, and ending on, and excluding such Amortisation Test Date. Compliance with the Amortisation Test requires compliance with the amortisation ratio RA specified below (the "Amortisation Ratio (RA)"). Such compliance is tested by the Issuer Calculation Agent from time to time throughout the period following the enforcement of a Borrower Event of Default subject to, and in accordance with the Condition 5 (f) and the Calculation Services Agreement. The Amortisation Ratio "RA" means the following ratio which shall be at least equal to one (1) at each Amortisation Test Date: RA = ⎡ TAAA' ⎤ ⎢ ACBOPA ⎥ ⎣ ⎦ whereby: "Aggregate Covered Bond Outstanding Principal Amount (ACBOPA)" means, at any Amortisation Test Date, the aggregate amount of principal (in euro or euro equivalent with respect to Covered Bonds denominated in a Specified Currency) outstanding at such date under all Covered Bonds. "Transferred Aggregate Asset Amount (TAAA')" means, at any Amortisation Test Date: (TAAA') = A' + B + C + D + E – Z whereby: "A'" is equal to the sum of all Transferred Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amounts of all Home Loans title to which has been transferred to the Issuer upon enforcement of the Collateral Security following the enforcement of a Borrower Event of Default (each, a "Relevant Home Loan"), as such Transferred Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amounts will be calculated on the relevant Amortisation Test Date, whereby: 20 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds "Transferred Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount" means, with respect to each Relevant Home Loan, the Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount of such Relevant Home Loan multiplied by M, where for all the Relevant Home Loans that are less than three (3) months in arrears, M = 1 and for all the Relevant Home Loans that are three (3) months or more in arrears, M = 0.7. "Home Loan Outstanding Principal Amount" means, with respect to each Relevant Home Loan, the amount of principal outstanding at the relevant Amortisation Test Date under such Relevant Home Loan. "B", "C", "D" and "Z" have the meaning ascribed to such terms, and shall be determined, on each relevant Amortisation Test Date, subject to, and in accordance with, the terms and formula described in "The Asset Cover Test" above. "E" is equal to the aggregate amount of principal and interest payments, distributions, indemnities, insurance and other proceeds, payments under any Home Loan Security and other sums received during the applicable Amortisation Test Calculation Period by the Issuer from the debtors or other relevant entities under the Collateral Security Assets whose title has been transferred to the Issuer following enforcement of the Collateral Security, as the same shall be reported by the Issuer Calculation Agent on each Amortisation Test Date subject to, and in accordance with, the relevant terms of the Calculation Services Agreement. Calculation of the Amortisation Ratio On each Amortisation Test Date, the Amortisation Ratio (RA) shall be calculated by the Issuer Calculation Agent according to the terms, definitions and calculation formula set forth above. No later than three (3) Business Days following any Amortisation Test Date, the Issuer Calculation Agent shall inform the Issuer (with a copy to the Rating Agencies and to the Asset Monitor) of its calculation of the Amortisation Ratio (RA). Non Compliance with Amortisation Test A "Non Compliance with Amortisation Test" will result from the Amortisation Ratio (RA) being strictly less than one (1). A Non Compliance with Amortisation Test will not constitute an Issuer Event of Default. However, it will prevent the Issuer from issuing any further Series. Breach of Amortisation Test The failure by the Issuer to cure a Non Compliance with Amortisation Test occurred on any Amortisation Test Date prior to the next following Amortisation Test Date shall constitute a "Breach of Amortisation Test". The Issuer Calculation Agent will inform promptly the Issuer, each relevant Representative and the Issuer Security Agent (with a copy to the Rating Agencies and to the Asset Monitor) of the occurrence of a Breach of Amortisation Test. A Breach of Amortisation Test will result in an Issuer Event of Default within the meaning of the Terms and Conditions. GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 21 APPENDIX 4: RATING TRIGGERS AND EVENTS OF DEFAULTS UNDER THE PROGRAMME Table 2: Rating Triggers Defined Term Trigger Event Consequences Collection Loss Trigger CNCE loses P-1 The Collection Loss Reserve Account must be funded (last 3 months of collections) Hedging Rating Trigger CNCE loses A2 or P-1 Entering into the Issuer Hedging Agreement and into the back-to-back Hedging Agreement. Administrator Rating Trigger Administrator loses Baa2 Replacement of the Administrative Agreement (originally CNCE) Issuer Accounts Bank Rating Trigger Issuer Accounts Bank loses P-1 Replacement of the Issuer Accounts Bank Issuer Security Agent Rating Trigger Issuer Security Agent loses Baa2 Replacement of the Issuer Security Agent Collateral Security Agent Trigger Collateral Security Agent loses Baa2 Replacement of the Collateral Security Agent (originally CNCE) Servicing Rating Trigger Sponsor Bank loses Baa2 Replacement of the Collateral Providers as servicers Issuer Calculation Agent Rating Trigger Administrator loses Baa2 Termination of the Calculation Services Agreement and appointment by Issuer of a new calculation agent Calculation Monitoring Rating Trigger CNCE, as Issuer Calculation Agent loses Baa2 The Asset Monitor (PwC) shall test the calculations of the Issuer Calculation Agent on each ACT date and Amortisation date. Pre-Maturity Test CNCE loses P-1 The Pre-Maturity test will be applied. Level 1 Home Loan Guarantee Trigger CNCE loses A3 Substitute Home Loans Guarantee Reserve Account must be funded (min 2%) Level 2 Home Loan Guarantee Trigger CNCE loses Baa2 A Guarantor must be appointed to guarantee SACCEF’s commitments Sponsor Bank Enforcement Notice Sponsor Bank Event of Defaulta Cancellation and acceleration of the Sponsor Bank Facility; Issuer will enforce its rights under the Collateral Security Issuer Enforcement Notice Issuer Event of Defaultb Enforcement of the Issuer Collateral Security Events of Default a. Sponsor Bank Event of Default: Sponsor Bank fails to make payments under the Sponsor Bank Facility; Breach of Asset Cover Test; Breach of Pre-Maturity Test; Breach of Collection Loss Reserve funding requirement; the Sponsor Bank and the Issuer fail to enter into any Hedging Agreement at the Sponsor Bank level, or the Issuer fails to enter into any Hedging Agreement at the Issuer level; Insolvency of the Sponsor Bank b. Issuer Event of Default: Breach of Amortisation test; Failure to pay under the Covered Bonds; Failure to enter into any Hedging Agreement at Issuer level; Insolvency of the Issuer 22 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds GCE Covered Bonds Moody’s Investors Service • 23 SF132920isf © Copyright 2008, Moody’s Investors Service, Inc. and/or its licensors and affiliates (together, “MOODY’S”). All rights reserved. ALL INFORMATION CONTAINED HEREIN IS PROTECTED BY COPYRIGHT LAW AND NONE OF SUCH INFORMATION MAY BE COPIED OR OTHERWISE REPRODUCED, REPACKAGED, FURTHER TRANSMITTED, TRANSFERRED, DISSEMINATED, REDISTRIBUTED OR RESOLD, OR STORED FOR SUBSEQUENT USE FOR ANY SUCH PURPOSE, IN WHOLE OR IN PART, IN ANY FORM OR MANNER OR BY ANY MEANS WHATSOEVER, BY ANY PERSON WITHOUT MOODY’S PRIOR WRITTEN CONSENT. All information contained herein is obtained by MOODY’S from sources believed by it to be accurate and reliable. Because of the possibility of human or mechanical error as well as other factors, however, such information is provided “as is” without warranty of any kind and MOODY’S, in particular, makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the accuracy, timeliness, completeness, merchantability or fitness for any particular purpose of any such information. Under no circumstances shall MOODY’S have any liability to any person or entity for (a) any loss or damage in whole or in part caused by, resulting from, or relating to, any error (negligent or otherwise) or other circumstance or contingency within or outside the control of MOODY’S or any of its directors, officers, employees or agents in connection with the procurement, collection, compilation, analysis, interpretation, communication, publication or delivery of any such information, or (b) any direct, indirect, special, consequential, compensatory or incidental damages whatsoever (including without limitation, lost profits), even if MOODY’S is advised in advance of the possibility of such damages, resulting from the use of or inability to use, any such information. The credit ratings and financial reporting analysis observations, if any, constituting part of the information contained herein are, and must be construed solely as, statements of opinion and not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, sell or hold any securities. NO WARRANTY, EXPRESS OR IMPLIED, AS TO THE ACCURACY, TIMELINESS, COMPLETENESS, MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR ANY PARTICULAR PURPOSE OF ANY SUCH RATING OR OTHER OPINION OR INFORMATION IS GIVEN OR MADE BY MOODY’S IN ANY FORM OR MANNER WHATSOEVER. Each rating or other opinion must be weighed solely as one factor in any investment decision made by or on behalf of any user of the information contained herein, and each such user must accordingly make its own study and evaluation of each security and of each issuer and guarantor of, and each provider of credit support for, each security that it may consider purchasing, holding or selling. MOODY’S hereby discloses that most issuers of debt securities (including corporate and municipal bonds, debentures, notes and commercial paper) and preferred stock rated by MOODY’S have, prior to assignment of any rating, agreed to pay to MOODY’S for appraisal and rating services rendered by it fees ranging from $1,500 to approximately $2,400,000. Moody’s Corporation (MCO) and its wholly-owned credit rating agency subsidiary, Moody’s Investors Service (MIS), also maintain policies and procedures to address the independence of MIS’s ratings and rating processes. Information regarding certain affiliations that may exist between directors of MCO and rated entities, and between entities who hold ratings from MIS and have also publicly reported to the SEC an ownership interest in MCO of more than 5%, is posted annually on Moody’s website at www.moodys.com under the heading “Shareholder Relations – Corporate Governance – Director and Shareholder Affiliation Policy.” 24 • Moody’s Investors Service GCE Covered Bonds