Role of Irish Higher Education Sector in Economic
Transcription
Role of Irish Higher Education Sector in Economic
The Role of the Higher Educational Sector and its Institutes of Technology in Irish Economic Development Professor Gabriel M. Crean Vice-President for Research Athlone Institute of Technology Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 1 Outline ¾ Irish Economy Employment Demand Projections National Skills Strategy ¾ Rapidly Changing Higher Educational Sector Universities Institutes of Technology ¾ Role of the Institutes of Technology in Enterprise Development ¾ Athlone Institute of Technology ¾ Future Perspectives Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 2 Ireland Today Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 3 The Irish Economy Today 1988 1997 2004 MAY 1997 Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 4 Ireland’s Economic Growth 1970-2006 Average Annual % Real GDP Growth 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 EU-15 US Ireland 1970-79 1980-87 1988-93 19942000 20012006 Source: Eurostat Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 5 Ireland Campus FAB24-2 IR4 FAB24 FAB14 IR2 IR6 FAB10 IR5 IR1 5,500 Staff; $7bn+ invested in 4 wafer fabrication plants Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 6 Other ICT Leaders 5,500 staff: manufacturing and services center for Europe, Middle East and Africa (EMEA) 4000 staff: R&D, manufacturing; software; banking; e-business; technical support 3500 staff: software development; technical support; manufacturing; global e-procurement portal 1800 staff: EMEA operations; R&D; localization; internet hosting Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 7 Economic Impact of Foreign Direct Investment Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 8 Significant Debt Reduction Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 9 New FDI Jobs by Sector Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 10 Employment in Multinational Companies Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 11 Unemployment Rate Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 12 Origin of FDI Multinational Companies Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 13 Total Tax as a Percentage of GDP, 1973 - 2003 Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 14 Cost per Job Sustained Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 15 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Challenges: • We compete for FDI with city-regions elsewhere with populations of 1 million or more • Ireland’s regions are small in comparison • Critical mass is essential and gateways and Hubs are key: – Availability of skills and expertise – Top class educational and research facilities – Access, especially with airports / motorways – World class business services – Social, cultural and ‘quality of life’ assets • We must think and act regionally, not locally Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 16 Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Ranking of What Investors Seek: • The right people and skills – in abundance • The right infrastructure: – access, energy, telecoms – environment and waste – property solutions – business services – attractive lifestyle and amenities – clusters of similar and supporting businesses • The right attitude Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 17 Full-time Third level students: 1975/76 to 2002/03 in thousands (000) 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 5/7 7 19 6 0/8 8 19 1 5/8 8 19 6 0/9 9 19 1 5/9 9 19 6 0/0 0 20 1 2/0 0 20 3 Source: Higher Education Authority Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 18 % Population aged 25-34 having at least Third Level Education U Fi SA nl an S w d ed e Fr n an ce G U er K m H an un y ga P ry ol an d Ita ly Ir el an d Ja pa n K or ea 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Congres National RCCFC at a Glance 2002 Source: OECDdu Education 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 19 Science and Engineering Graduates Age 20-34 in 2000 Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 20 “The Future will be Different” ¾ Globalisation, technology and digitisation ¾ Changes in economic conditions ¾ New business models and virtual companies – new patterns of investment ¾ New aspirations and expectations in society ¾ Higher value activities and higher skills ¾ More sophisticated and complex jobs ¾ Premium on flexibility and responsiveness Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 21 Employment by Sector and Unemployment, 1970 - 2003 Source: Irish Central Statistics Office Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 22 Employment in High Tech 100% high-tech 80% 60% medium-tech 40% 20% low -tech 0% 74 9 1 78 9 1 82 9 1 86 990 9 1 1 94 9 1 98 9 1 Source: “Third Level Education, FDI and Economic Boom in Ireland” – Frank Barry, forthcoming in International Journal of Technology Management Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 23 Change in absolute and relative employment by occupation from 2005 to 2020 120 107 80 79 74 70 80 60 60 44 35 40 35 40 20 20 4 0 Change in Absolute Employment P la nt & -5 O th er M ac hi ne ry al es S er vi ce er so na l & & R S el at ed ric al C le P -60 -37 C ra ft -40 M an ag er s P ro fe ss io na l A ss oc .P ro f gr ic ul tu -20 ra l 0 -20 -40 Relative Change in Employment (%) 100 100 A Absolute Change in Employment ('000s) 120 -60 Relative Change in Employment Source: EGFSN, ESRI Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 24 Employment Demand Projections Employment by Education Level (%) 100% 90% 16 80% 9 20 12 70% 24 14 16 60% 50% 29 42 40 39 40% 38 30% 20% 10% 19 14 17 Primary Lower Secondary 14 11 8 3 2005 2 0 10 2020 0% 2000 16 Upper Secondary Ordinary Degree, Cert if icat e et c Degree level et c Martin Shanahan: Ireland’s Future Skills Needs to 2020 National Qualifications Authority of Ireland Conference 22nd November 2006 Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 25 National Skills Strategy: Key Targets ¾ Second Level Completion Rate: The Leaving Certificate retention rate needs to reach 90% by 2020 (currently it is about 80%) ¾ Ireland should aspire to have 94% percent of the Population aged 20 - 24 with Upper Secondary Education ¾ The progression rate to third level to increase to 70% over the period to 2020 ( it is currently around 57%). ¾ 478,000 individuals will need to progress by at least one level of educational attainment above their current highest level. Approximately 28,000 will have to progress by two levels or more. Source: Expert Group on Future Skills Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 26 ¾ Binary system of Universities and Institutes of Technology (with some private providers) ¾ Approximately 80,000 and 64,000 students in 7 Universities and 14 Institutes respectively ¾ Most Institutes less than 40 years old ¾ Universities and Dublin Institute of Technology make their own awards; others under Delegated Authority or through Higher Education Training and Awards Council (HETAC) ¾ Increasing emphasis on ‘Fourth Level’ (PhD) ¾ As of February 2007 all Universities and Institutes under the same authority of the Higher Education Authority Congres National du RCCFC 1-3 Novembre 2007, Winnipeg, Canada 27