Confessions of a Wall Street Analyst
Transcription
Confessions of a Wall Street Analyst
Book Review Alban GONORD & Joëlle MENRATH Mobile Attitude Ce que les portables ont changé dans nos vies Hachette Littératures, 2005, 282 pages by Marie MARCHAND Les auteurs disent du mobile (ou portable) qu'il est un objet à tout faire (bien ou mal) et qu'il n'est pas forcément utilisé pour ses fonctions principales. A cet égard, le portable ne fait que ressembler à tous les objets domestiques qui sont constamment détournés de leur usage (voir les travaux de Philippe Mallein sur le sujet). Les auteurs ajoutent que ce portable s'inscrit dans la gamme des objets qui disent le statut d'une personne, ce qui n'est guère différent d'une Swatch, d'une paire de Nike, d'un appareil photo ou d'un Palm au demeurant. Tout ceci est vrai et a été confirmé dans de nombreuses études sur les objets techniques et sur les objets de communication. Mais, c'est assez plaisant de se reconnaître dans les petites stratégies individuelles que les uns et les autres mettent en œuvre pour se donner l'impression qu'ils utilisent leur téléphone portable différemment de leurs amis ou connaissances, en se créant leur bulle, en branchant l'appareil dès leur réveil pour scander la journée, en téléphonant en compagnie d'autres personnes (vivent les terrasses de cafés !), etc. C'est dans cette chaîne d'objets techniques de communication et d'information (qui va du fixe au mobile, en passant par le minitel, l'internet, le palm, etc.) qu'il me semble devoir analyser le téléphone mobile et je regrette que les auteurs de Mobile attitude aient l'air de considérer qu'ils s'intéressent au premier objet technique de communication individuelle et portable, en faisant fi de la chaîne d'objets qui l'ont précédé et introduit. Mais au fond, les auteurs de Mobile attitude racontent ce "dé-paysement" à leur manière et je voudrais reprendre quelques-unes des idées forces de leur travail. Je retiendrais les idées suivantes : • Le téléphone portable est un objet technique qui comble le vide "existentiel" (la vacuité du temps, l'ennui, les temps morts, tous ces espaces interstitiels, et malheureusement, de mon point de vue, les moments de respiration, et de méditation). COMMUNICATIONS & STRATEGIES, no. 62, 2nd quarter 2006, p. 217. 218 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 • La médiation des relations entre moi et les autres. Les auteurs vont chercher des exemples riches, qui montrent que le téléphone scande toute une vie. Dommage qu'ils n'aient pas analysé le deuil auquel ont conduit les téléphones portables qui sonnaient du haut des Twin Towers, alors que leurs porteurs étaient probablement déjà morts. Y aurait -t-il un portable après la mort ? • L'impérieuse nécessité d'un téléphone portable comme outil d'autonomie à l'âge adolescent où l'on veut être libre (ce que notait Philippe Mallein dans ses travaux déjà anciens sur le concept du "séparés ensemble"). • Sa petite note de musique qui fait de "sa" sonnerie un double de sa personne. • Les retrouvailles familiales des parents qui osent à nouveau téléphoner à leurs enfants, car avec un portable, c'est ludique. Et du coup … pas intrusif, de mon pint de vue. • Le fait que le mobile soit le plus souvent porteur d'un non-événement (T'es où ? Tu m'entends ? je ne t'entends plus !) • Le gestuel autour du portable, qui leur fait, à juste titre, penser à celui de la cigarette. • Leur analyse du regard social sur le portable ne peut manquer de me faire penser à son revers direct : le vol massif des portables, que j'aurais aimé voir pris en compte. • L'impossibilité de l'isolement, que ce soit de la voix ou du SMS, qui me rappelle les raisons - évidement indirectes - de l'assassinat tragique de Marie Trintignant pour cause de SMS mortel. • Le savoir-vivre du téléphone portable, dont les auteurs relèvent l'ambivalence, et qu'on ne peut s'empêcher de rapprocher de la "Netiquette", autrement plus contraignante. • Le concept de communauté compatissante qui est bien sûr lié au téléphone, mais qui le dépasse largement, puisque consubstantiel de nos sociétés contemporaines, tant au plan familial qu'au plan social, qu'au plan politique. …"Les foules sentimentales" qu'Alain Souchon célèbre avec les mots du poète. • Le pacte, sans cesse renégocié et mouvant, qui remplace la loi non appliquée et rigide (elle-même antinomique des communautés compatissantes). Je terminerai cette note de lecture en vous disant que j'ai beaucoup aimé l'épilogue que je vous laisse découvrir. Book Review 219 The authors claim that the mobile phone is a multi-purpose object (for better or worse), which is not necessarily used for its main function, namely telephony. In this respect, mobile phones are no different to all domestic objects, which are constantly used for another purpose to that for which they were intended (for a more detailed discussion of this topic see the work of Philippe Mallein). The authors are right when they add that the mobile phone belongs to a range of objects that reflect an individual's status, but that it is no different to Swatch watches, Nikies, cameras or Palms at the end of the day. All this is true and has been confirmed by several studies of technical and communication objects. However, it is rather pleasant to recognise oneself in the little strategies adopted by various individuals to give the impression that they use their mobile phone differently to their friends and acquaintances, by creating their own private bubble, by turning the telephone on the moment they wake up to mark the beginning of the day, by telephoning while in the company of others (three cheers for café terraces!), and so on. It is in the context of this family of communication and information tools (ranging from the fixed telephone to the mobile, via minitel, the Internet, palms, etc.) that mobile telephony should, in my opinion, be analysed. Unfortunately the authors of Mobile Attitude seem to be under the impression that they are dealing with the first ever personal and portable communication object, and do not spare a thought for the chain of objects that preceded and paved the way for the mobile phone. However, the authors of Mobile Attitude essentially have their own way of relating this "change of scene" and I would like to highlight some of their stronger concepts in their work. These ideas are that: • The mobile phone is a technological object that fills the "existential" gap (empty time, boredom, dead time, all of those interstitial spaces, which unfortunately, from my point of view, represent moments for taking stock and reflection). • The mediation of relationships between me and the others. The authors present a broad range of examples that illustrate how the mobile phone marks the pace of our entire life. What I regret is that they do not analyse the grief caused by the mobile phones that continued to ring at the top of the Twin Towers after their owners had probably already died. Will there be a mobile phone after death? • The imperative necessity of owning a mobile phone as a tool of independence for adolescents who have reached an age where one wants to be free (a point already made by Philippe Mallein in older research into the concept of "separated together"). • The mobile phone's musical touch that makes "its" ring tone a double of its owner's personality. 220 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 • Renewed family bonds with parents who dare to ring their children again because mobile phones make this fun - and suddenly not so intrusive in my opinion. • The fact that mobile phones often bear the news of non-events (Where are you? Can you hear me? I can't hear you!) • All the gestures related to mobile phones, which are reminiscent of smoking. • The authors' analysis of the social attention attracted by the mobile phone inevitably made me think of its flip side, namely the widespread theft of mobile phones, which I would like to have seen dealt with. • The impossibility of isolating oneself, whether this be from voice or SMS communications. • The good manners of mobile telephony, whose ambivalence is underlined by the authors and which one cannot help comparing to "Netiquette", which is more restrictive in a different way. • The concept of the caring community, which is of course related to the telephone, but which goes far beyond it, since it lays the foundation of contemporary society, both in terms of family-life, social interactions and political reality. • The pact, constantly renegotiated and changing, that replaces the non applied and rigid law (itself antinomic to the concept of caring communities). I would like to conclude this review by saying that I deeply enjoyed the book's epilogue, which I will leave its readers to discover for themselves. Debra HOWCROFT & Eileen M. TRAUTH (Eds) Handbook of critical Information Systems Research Theory and Application Edward Elgar publishing, 2005, 426 pages by Jean-Gustave PADIOLEAU This book provides an excellent opportunity for readers to familiarise themselves with an increasingly popular research paradigm in organization and management studies, namely critical realism. This volume is a welcome addition to the previously published works of reference (including: M. ARCHER et al., Critical Realism, Essential Readings, Routledge, 1998, London; S. ACKROYD et al., Realist Perspectives on Organization and Management, Routledge, 2000 London; Critical Realist Applications in Organization and Management Studies, Routledge, 2001, London). In a few words, critical realism aims to be an alternative research paradigm to positivism and to post-modern relativism. Realism? There is a world which exists independently of the researcher's representation of it. Critical? Social Book Review 221 sciences have an emancipatory potential. They can be critical of the social phenomena they observe. Realism favours normative judgments. This normative agenda may disturb or irritate potential readers of the Handbook of Critical Information Systems Research. The contributions include numerous neo-marxist and feminism critiques. Nevertheless, this collective work deserves attention. The Handbook of Critical Information Systems Research offers valuable insights into, for instance, the complex issues of "rationalities and emotions" and "power" in Information Systems. Economists and specialists will appreciate the provocative analysis of wide-spread phenomena, although the cases of "Is failure" and "design fallacies" merit further study. Other stimulating contributions include "management fashions and informations systems", "the ethnical turn in Information systems" and "competing rationalities." Once again, some aficionados of the "lieu commun" in positivist social science against normative judgements will disregard this challenging paradigm in progress. However, like it or not, let's recognize that the academic labour of critical realism has an emancipatory potential of liberating our closed minds. Dan REINGOLD with Jennifer REINGOLD (Eds) Confession of a Wall Street Analyst: A True Story of Inside Information and Corruption in the Stock Market HarperCollins Publishing, New York, NY, 2006, 368 pages. by James ALLEMAN Dan Reingold not only lays outs his career as a telecommunications analyst on Wall Street in this professional autobiography, but sets forth quite explicitly many of the problems with the financial services industry and the information and communications technology (ICT) sector it supported. Unfortunately, most of these problems have not been resolved by legislation arising from the scandals, accounting frauds, and deceptive practices at Enron, Qwest, WorldCom, Global Crossings, and other companies that resulted in bankruptcies, losses of trillions (yes a "t") in stockholders' value, tens of thousands of redundancies and employees losing their retirement plans and savings. Reingold takes a swipe at interlocking directorships, particularly in the case of AT&T and Citigroup, the indefeasible rights of use (IRUs) and their accounting treatment. Reingold provides details on Bernie Ebbers and the rise of WorldCom and Jack Grubman's role on the financial side, as well as Grubman's intimate relationship with Ebbers. The rise and fall of Global Crossing, Qwest, and other companies, with the aid of analysts and bankers, 222 No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 are detailed in the book. In addition, the author indicts the accounting industry, particularly the quality and reliability of auditors, for whom he earlier had admiration. He points out the changes in their practices that aided and abetted the nefarious practices of the ICT sector. Reingold indicates how the investment bankers both scorn analysts and attempt to coerce, intimidate and sway them to rate their clients favorably. At the same time, many analysts were under pressure to provide advance notice to bankers of down grades in ratings. With respect to IPO's Reingold notes: "The problem was that the IPO shares were being spun, certain investors got inside information and the rest of the investing public was playing in a rigged game and didn't even know it." (p. 274). For those who lost some of the trillions of dollars in the market, the book is sure to confirm their suspicions and annoy them. More importantly, according to Reingold, the systemic problems have not been addressed. This points to additional problems, disappointments and a lack of confidence in the veracity of the stock market in the future. According to Reingold the "Chinese Wall" separating the analyst and the investment banking segment of the firm is breached – more often than one would like to think. Moreover, he stresses the importance of information, which moves the market, by millions, if not billions. Early access to this "insider" information can make fortunes for the insiders (and rarely leads to a jail term, even if offenders are caught). Reingold cites the example of Fidelity, in the days before Reg FD (Fair Disclosure), which requires all information about a company to be released to everyone simultaneously. The analysts would fly to Boston and brief Fidelity first, and then move on to others. Thus, Fidelity would get the early news on the buys and when to sell. "Trying to mimic Fidelity's stock purchase was a good strategy, one that many individuals and companies employed, but it had a major downside: if you were still in when 'FIDO' started selling, you were toast." (p. 110). Another example of the power of insider information was with Global Crossing, in which only a handful of people were privy to a briefing (p. 237) which indicated problems with Global Crossing's business plan – its stock price fell by 17 percent within two hours of the meeting. More importantly, he indicates how both Wall Street and the ICT sectors were complicit in the collapse of the ICT sector. Reingold also notes how the research arms of banks were continually pressured to support banking side deals (pp. 36, 71, 103, 104, 112), as blatant as tying analyst's compensation to the banking side revenues (p. 186) or more subtle forms of incentives or threats. He discusses how the Security and Exchange Commission's (SEC) "No-Action Letter" and knowingly looking the other way facilitated the conflicts of interest between research and banking (pp. 41, 103, 163-165 ), which have not been addressed. Book Review 223 In this easy to read and informative book, Reingold (with Jennifer Reingold, his niece) traces his career from MCI to Morgan Stanley, to Merrill Lynch, and finally, to Credit Suisse First Boston (CSFB) during the stock market's "go-go" years of the late nineties and early in this century. Along the way, he introduces many high-rollers on Wall Street and the ICT sectors – their arrogance, hubris, and conceit, but most of all their greed. In particular, his evil "twin," Jack Grubman of Smith Barney, is one of the major villains of the piece. According to Reingold, Grubman is constantly revealing privileged information after going "over-the-wall," that is, talking to the investment banking side of the business and their clients. Grubman, according to Reingold, would spread this knowledge through out the industry in order to gain status and be known as an insider (pp. 77, 71, 133, 174, 224, 285). Unfortunately, this could cost the unaware investing public, and even some of the professional investors, hundreds of millions of dollars; in one case Reingold documents, a three billion dollar swing in a day (p. 78). But yet, even when the law comes down on Grubman, he only has to pay a 15 million dollar fine, less than half of his severance package and only a small piece of his reported 80 million dollars of compensation during the period (pp. 288-289). Crime pays! But Reingold goes further than this well publicized story to criticize the fact that Spitzer or other crime fighters did not investigate how high up the ladder the corruption went; although one gets a clue in the actions of Sandy Weill, Chairman and CEO Citigroup at the time, and Grubman to cite a specific example. Michael Armstrong, head of AT&T, expressed to Weill, who was on AT&T's Board, his annoyance with Grubman's negative views on AT&T. Weill asked Grubman to "take another look" at ATT shortly before ATT spun-off its wireless business and would need an investment bank to handle the world's largest IPO. In the end Grubman raised the rating on ATT, and got his two children into the desirable 92nd. Street Y pre-school with Weill's assistance. The pre-school received a one-million dollar donation from Citigroup (a tax write-off for the firm). And, Citigroup became one of the lead bankers on the AT&T offering and made 63 million dollars for the firm (pp. 197-199). Later, Grubman returned to verbally dissing AT&T while maintaining its high "buy" rating and within a few months had lowered it by two notches. By the way, Armstrong was used to solidify Weill's power at Citigroup by helping oust his rival co-chairman. This is one, but perhaps the most well known, example cited by Reingold of conflicts of interest in the industry. Reingold's focus on the incentive structure offered by the banks and the industry is critical to the understanding of the remedies, which he does not feel the current reform captured. Every securities policymaker should read the last chapter – "Afterword" – of Confessions… to understand how the current legislation and regulations are not adequate to control and correct the practices of the finance sector. Indeed, he feels that Elliot Spitzer did not No. 62, 2nd Q. 2006 224 go far enough. He failed to reach the highest level of the executive suite. The famous 1.4 billion dollar settlement with the financial industry, for example, only "punished" the firms and not the individuals involved. Indeed, it is a small sum to pay when the industry made over 80 billion dollars in profit during the period (p. 288). "I just hoped he [Spitzer] wouldn't stop at firms, but would take his crusade right to the door of individuals who broke the rules. After all… if firms are fined, the stockholders suffer. By contrast, if individual executives are punished, shareholders will benefit because executives are more likely to behave better in the future and spend more time running their companies instead of lining their own pockets." (p. 288). The research environment steadily deteriorated over this period, and it does not appear to have improved despite all the rule changes and legislation. "This job was less about analysis and more than ever about who you knew." (p. 205). This is why the last chapter of the book is so important; it provides guidance on how to rectify these issues from someone who knows the problems and conflicts intimately. As with several books on the collapse of the ICT sector and practices of its financial enablers, this book reads like a novel, except no publisher would accept it as believable. But this is not fiction and the problems, issues and conflicts remain, much to the detriment of the society and the investing public. Would that all analysts had the ethics of a Dan Reingold; regrettably, it appears they do not. Thomas SCHULTZ Réguler le commerce électronique par la résolution des litiges en ligne Une approche critique Bruylant, Cahiers du centre de recherches informatiques et droit, Brussels, 2005, 672 pages by Jean-Pierre DARDAYROL Ce livre traite des relations qu'entretiennent d'une part, la régulation du commerce électronique et d'autre part la résolution des litiges en lignes. Il est tiré de la thèse en doctorat de l'auteur. L'approche, présentée comme pluridisciplinaire, est principalement juridique. Elle s'adresse à un public de spécialistes. L'ouvrage aborde successivement trois sujets : - la théorie générale de la régulation du cyberespace en s'attachant principalement à décrire l'état du droit dans le cyberespace, les trois principaux modèles de régulation, avant de présenter la thèse de l'auteur : "le réseau : méta-modèle de régulation ; Book Review 225 - le mouvement "on line dispute resolution" qui est analysé, puis présenté comme une voie privilégiée d'accès à la justice ; - l'analyse critique et fouillée des conditions de validité d'une régulation du cyberespace par la résolution des litiges en ligne. La thèse de l'auteur - riche et large - repose sur des idées fortes : - pour les petites et moyennes transactions, les acteurs du on line dispute resolution sont bien positionnés ; - alors que les formes classiques de justice sont peu accessibles, mal adaptées et coûteuses ; - les résolutions en ligne par des acteurs déterritorialisés reposeront sur deux piliers : d'une part, "des principes fondamentaux communs" et d'autre part, l'autoexécution des accords. En face de cette innovation fondamentale, l'auteur souhaite la mise en place d'une intervention de l'Etat pour l'encadrer, notamment en cas de dérives. The book, based on the author's doctoral thesis, examines the relations between electronic commerce regulation on the one hand and online dispute resolution on the other. Although presented as multi-disciplinary, the approach adopted is mainly juridical and the book is aimed at specialist readers. The book centres on the following three topics: - a general theory of cyberspace regulation, which offers an overview of cyberspace legislation and the three main regulatory models adopted, before moving on to present the author's thesis: "The network: a metamodel of regulation"; - the trend towards "online dispute resolution," which is analysed and subsequently presented as a privileged form of access to justice; - a critical and detailed analysis of the validity of regulating cyberspace via online dispute resolution. - The author's thesis – rich and extensive – is based on strong ideas: - online dispute resolution players are well-placed when it comes to small and medium-sized transactions; - traditional forms of justice, by comparison, are inaccessible, ill-suited and expensive; - online resolutions by players outside national jurisdictions will be based on two mainstays: "fundamental common principles" on the one hand and self-enforced agreements on the other. Confronted by this radically innovative process, the author expresses his desire to see a State body set up to oversee online dispute resolution, especially if the situation drifts out of control.