Returns to Talent and the Finance Wage Premium
Transcription
Returns to Talent and the Finance Wage Premium
Returns to Talent and the Finance Wage Premium∗ Claire Célérier † Boris Vallée ‡ First Draft: October,14 2010 This Draft: September 10, 2015 Abstract We study the role of talent in the distribution of pay in the finance industry since the 1980s. We exploit a special feature of the French educational system to build a precise measure of talent that we match with compensation data for graduates of elite French institutions. Wage returns to talent are three times higher in the finance industry than in the rest of the economy. This greater sensitivity to talent almost fully absorbs the finance wage premium, as well as its increase, since the 1980s. Finally, the share of variable compensation is positively correlated with returns to talent. Keywords: Finance, Compensation, Talent, Wage Distribution, Wage Structure, Superstars JEL codes: G2, G24, J3, J31, M5 ∗ We gratefully acknowledge helpful comments and suggestions from Philippe Askenazy, Bruno Biais, Gilbert Cette, Vicente Cunat, Rudiger Fahlenbrach, Thierry Foucault, Francois Geerolf, Mireia Gine (EFA discussant), Vincent Glode, Ulrich Hege, Johan Hombert, Steve Kaplan (NBER discussant), Augustin Landier, Arnaud Maurel, Steven Ongena, Evren Ors, Thomas Philippon, Thomas Piketty, Josh Rauh (AEA discussant), Jean-Charles Rochet, David Scharfstein, John Thanassoulis, David Thesmar, Alexander Wagner, Luigi Zingales and seminar and conference participants at Stanford University, Toulouse School of Economics, Paris School of Economics, University of Mannheim, Banque de France, University of Zurich, Rotman School of Management, Solvay Brussels School, Lugano Institute of Finance, the 2015 NBER Corporate Finance meeting, the AEA 2015 annual meeting, the European Labor Association conference, the EFA 2014 annual meeting, the AFFI annual meeting, the URPP Finreg conference, and the CSEF. We are very grateful to IESF and Chantal Darsch for providing data, and we also thank her for all her help and support. † Claire Célérier - University of Zurich, E-mail: [email protected] (Contact Author). Claire Célérier acknowledges financial support from the Swiss Finance Institute and URPP-Finreg. ‡ Boris Vallée - Harvard Business School, Email: [email protected]. 1 1 Introduction Compensation in the finance industry has been higher and more skewed than in other sectors since the beginning of the 1980s. Controlling for education and other individual characteristics, Philippon and Reshef (2012) find that the finance wage premium is, on average, 50% for 2006. The financial sector has therefore largely contributed to the observed gains at the top of the wage distribution since the 1980s (Kaplan and Rauh (2010), Bell and Van Reenen (2013)) and, consequently, has often been criticized as a source of growing income inequality. This public debate, associated with increased regulatory scrutiny, calls for an improved understanding of the drivers of bankers’ pay. A growing theoretical literature relies on talent as a key ingredient in models of bankers’ pay (Acharya et al. (2013), Benabou and Tirole (2015), Glode and Lowery (2015), Thanassoulis (2012)). However, empirically assessing the returns to talent across industries is difficult because it requires accurately observing and measuring worker talent. A unique feature of the French educational system is that prospective engineering students are selected solely based on their performance on a nationwide competitive exam that covers a wide range of subjects in both written and oral formats. We exploit this rigorous, multi-dimensional selection process to build a measure of talent, which we use to address our research question: Are wage returns to talent relatively high in finance compared to the rest of the economy?1 More broadly, do talent effects drive the cross-section of wages observed in finance? Using our novel measure of talent, we show that the returns to talent are three times higher in the finance industry than in the rest of the economy, and that they almost fully absorb the finance wage premium once included in the regression specifications. Returns 1 For the purposes of this analysis, we define talent as the aptitude to reach an objective in a competitive environment. Talent hence encompasses not only cognitive skills but also non-cognitive skills and personality traits, such as motivation, self-discipline, low cost of effort, and ability to perform in a competitive environment. 2 to talent have also increased threefold since the 1980s, which is in line with significant growth in bankers’ pay over this period. Additionally, we show that talented workers in finance receive a relatively large share of variable compensation. We discuss our findings in light of two complementary theories: competition for talent and moral hazard. We use the selectivity of French engineering schools to measure the talent of its alumni for the following reasons. The national competitive exam for engineering schools incorporates both written and oral sections covering a wide range of subjects. This exam assesses academic, cognitive, and communication skills, and it gauges personality traits such as endurance, commitment, ambition, and ability to perform in a competitive environment.2,3, 4 The highly selective and competitive environment of preparatory schools prior to the examination, as well as the high stakes of the exam outcome, indeed test candidate motivation and resistance to stress. In addition, with more than 35 hours of classes, heavy homework loads, and one written and two oral exams per week, the intense workload during these school years ensures that performance is unbiased by personal coaches, exam preparation boot camps, and other support resources that are often used by applicants to US universities. A further element of the suitability of our research set-up is its focus, by virtue of analyzing talent heterogeneity in a highly educated cohort, on the right tail of the population distribution.5 Finally, there are 225 small-scale engineering schools in France, which provides a high level of data granularity. We complement this school-level measure of talent, and control for school treatment 2 Ors et al. (2013) exploit this specificity of the French educational system for business schools. They find that males’ performance dominates that of females in competitive environments, whereas females outperform men on less competitive exams. 3 French engineering schools confer a generalist degree. The proclaimed objective of the selection process is to identify the most talented individuals in France, and therefore, it goes beyond assessing technical skills. 4 The literature shows that personality traits are important determinants of wages (Heckman (1995), Bowles et al. (2001), Heckman and Kautz (2012)). 5 The heterogeneity in talent at the right tail is typically overlooked in discreet population-wide measures, such as SAT scores, while the objective of the engineering school exam is to precisely discriminate among individuals in a highly educated and homogeneous population. 3 effects, by also considering the number of years it took a candidate to be admitted into a given “Grande Ecole”.6 A student accepted at a top school after only one year of exam training is likely more talented than a student who requires three years of training. We match these talent measures to detailed compensation survey data that cover 7% of the total population of French graduate engineers. The survey, which gathers alumni data from 199 of 225 French engineering schools, includes detailed information on education, occupation, family situation, industry, firm type and size, and compensation. It also provides us with the specific job title of the worker. Because engineering, business administration and medicine are the only fields that are selective in France, and engineering is the largest of the three, this dataset covers a significant share of the right tail of the skill distribution in the French population. Our dataset spans the period from 1983 to 2011. Each of the 15 repeated cross-sections covers, on average, 30,800 individuals working in France or abroad. Using these survey data, we show that French graduate engineers in the finance sector are better paid, earning a premium of 25% over our sample period. This premium has increased threefold since the 1980s. This finding is consistent with Philippon and Reshef (2012). In line with Bell and Van Reenen (2014) and Bell and Van Reenen (2013), we also observe relatively high and increasing skewness in the wage distribution in the finance industry. The central result of our paper is that returns to talent are significantly higher in the finance industry and that they almost entirely absorb the finance wage premium when included in the econometric specification. The main equation in our empirical analysis regresses the log of yearly gross wages on our talent measure and its interaction with industry dummies. Graduating from a school one notch higher in terms of selectivity induces a 6.5% average wage premium in the finance industry versus a 2% relative premium 6 Age at graduation maps with age at entry. While a large number of students repeat their last year of preparatory classes to improve their ranking, virtually no students skip or repeat a year during engineering school. 4 in the rest of the economy. When we include the interactions between our talent measure and sector fixed effects, we observe that the premium for working in the finance industry decreases from 25% to 2.4% and is no longer significant. The finance wage premium is thus disproportionately allocated to the most talented individuals in this industry. Within finance, returns to talent are even higher for front office jobs than for back office or support departments. The foregoing result is confirmed when graduation age is used as an alternative measure of talent, thereby allowing all unobserved school-level variables to be absorbed by school fixed effects. We again find that wage returns to talent are three times higher in the finance industry than in the rest of the economy and account for a significant part of the finance premium. This additional analysis eliminates alumni networks and school differences in quality of training or focus on finance as possible explanations for our main result. Our result is also robust to the introduction of individual fixed effects in a panel regression that estimates the effect on wages of switching into the finance industry from another sector. We track individuals across surveys via detailed sociodemographic variables, such as their father’s and mother’s occupations and year of birth, and educational variables, such as the name of their engineering school and type of specialization. We find that the wage premium obtained from switching into the finance industry is fully absorbed when we control for heterogeneous returns to talent across industries. Therefore, our main result should not be driven by unobserved time-invariant characteristics at the individual level, such as social background or risk aversion. All three results are robust to the introduction of industry-year fixed effects, which absorb any overall shift of wages in finance. We also observe a trend toward increasing returns to talent. Estimating our main 5 equation over each of the three decades reveals that wage returns to talent in finance have increased nearly threefold over the 1980–2011 period. The most talented individuals in finance have thus received most of the increase in the wage premium over the past decades. Our results shed new light on the wage growth in finance observed since the 1980s, and documented in the literature. Increasing returns to talent are also associated with an increasing share of talented individuals going into finance. Finally, we show that the share of variable compensation is positively correlated with returns to talent.7 Our findings thus point to an interaction between the returns to talent and the structure of compensation. We find alternative channels for higher returns to talent in finance difficult to reconcile with the empirical facts. A battery of specific tests precludes network effects, social background factors and compensating wage differentials as potential drivers of our results. For example, we find that returns to our talent measure are even higher for first-generation graduates, the children of parents without university degrees. Favorable social backgrounds or personal relations are unlikely to play an important role for this subsample of graduates. We then discuss the possible micro-foundations for the significantly higher and increasing returns to talent we observe in the finance industry. This gap might exist due to the heterogeneous preferences that segment the job market. The higher returns to talent we observe in finance may thus result from intense labor market competition coupled with a high talent scalability in finance. A growing theoretical literature hence investigates the effects of competition for talent in the finance industry (Acharya et al. (2013), Benabou and Tirole (2015), Glode and Lowery (2015), Thanassoulis (2012) and Bijlsma et al. (2012)).8 An alternative explanation posits that higher returns to talent result from 7 We calculate the variable wage from a survey question on compensation structure. Financial workers may be more talented at extracting rents from society rather than being more socially productive, as in Biais and Landier (2015) and Bolton et al. (2013). 8 6 rent extraction by finance workers from their employers. Talented workers may be more costly to incentivize due to superior outside options or be more costly to monitor, as they perform more opaque tasks (Axelson and Bond (2015), Biais et al. (2015)). These two mechanisms, competition for talent and moral hazard, are not mutually exclusive and are likely to interact (Benabou and Tirole (2015)). Our work expands on the recent empirical literature that has identified a high level of compensation in the finance industry relative to the rest of the economy and high skewness at the top of the wage distribution. Philippon and Reshef (2012), Oyer (2008), and Goldin and Katz (2008) – based on data from the Census Population Survey, a Stanford MBA survey, and a Harvard alumni compensation survey, respectively – find that the finance premium varies from 40% (in Philippon and Reshef (2012)) to more than 100% (in Oyer (2008), and Goldin and Katz (2008)). Philippon and Reshef (2012) documents a post-1980s increase in compensation in finance relative to the rest of the private sector after controlling for education, and Kaplan and Rauh (2010) and Bell and Van Reenen (2014) show that the financial sector share at the top end of the income distribution has significantly increased. The main contribution of the present paper is to attribute these wage distribution patterns in the finance industry to higher and increasing returns to talent. Our paper contributes to the literature that investigates the dramatic growth in top executive pay and earning inequalities observed since the 1980s. This literature includes theories of managerial power (Bebchuk and Fried (2004)), social norms (Piketty and Saez (2006); Levy and Temin (2007)), incentives, and competition for talent or managerial skills (Frydman (2007), Murphy and Zábojnı́k (2004), Gao et al. (2015), Geerolf (2014), Guadalupe (2007)). Our results are consistent with the evolution of wages reflecting a change in market returns to talent, magnified in recent decades by scale effects (Gabaix 7 and Landier (2008), Kaplan and Rauh (2013), and Greenwood and Scharfstein (2013)), skill-biased technological change (Katz and Murphy (1992); Garicano and Rossi-Hansberg (2006)), and deregulation (Boustanifar et al. (2015)). Our paper also provides new evidence on the interaction between competition for talent and the structure of compensation. Lemieux et al. (2009) show that wages are more closely related to worker production in performance-pay than in non-performance-pay jobs, and Cuñat and Guadalupe (2005) show that a higher level of product market competition increases the performance pay sensitivity of compensation schemes. Reliance on incentive pay may be higher for talented workers because of higher monitoring costs (Biais and Landier (2015)), higher productivity of effort, or better outside options (Giannetti and Metzger (2013)), but causality may also occur in the opposite direction: performance pay may be used as a sorting mechanism to attract talented workers (Benabou and Tirole (2015)). Finally, the results reported in this paper on the increasing returns to talent and talent allocation effects raise questions concerning the externalities that might be generated by high returns to talent in the finance industry. By offering relatively high wages for the same level of talent, the finance sector may lure talented individuals away from other industries (which Baumol (1990) and Murphy et al. (1991) argue may have a downward impact on economic growth) or from financial regulation (Shive and Forster (2014), Bond and Glode (2014)). Shu (2013), however, shows that the financial industry’s talent-capture effects are limited, and Böhm et al. (2015) find no evidence that the selection of talent into finance has increased or improved. Competition for talent can also generate inefficient risk taking (Acharya et al. (2013)), lead to excessive overbids (Glode and Lowery (2015)), increase the fragility of banks (Thanassoulis (2012)), or shift effort away from less contractible tasks, resulting in efficiency losses (Benabou and Tirole (2015)). 8 The paper proceeds as follows. In Section 2, we describe how we measure talent. In Section 3, we provide summary statistics for our dataset and assess the representativeness of the sample. We present our results in Section 4, and investigate the relation between returns to talent and the structure of pay in Section 5. Section 6 rules out alternative explanations for our results on the returns to talent in finance. Section 7 discusses and interprets our results in light of the predictions of related theories. Section 8 concludes. 2 Measuring Talent Measuring relative returns to talent in an industry is challenging because of how difficult it is to accurately observe talent. Disentangling talent from confounding factors, such as social backgrounds, especially at the top of the talent distribution, is also difficult. Endogenous industry-worker matching represents a final challenge for measuring the returns to talent. The ideal experiment for our study would therefore cover a highly and homogeneously educated population wherein talent and pay are perfectly observable to the econometrician. In addition, workers should be randomly assigned to a given industry. We argue in this section that the French educational system provides us with the closest feasible setup to the ideal experiment, as it differs from this ideal setup along only two dimensions and in a moderate manner. First, although talent is not perfectly observable, the selection process of the French education system allows us to build a comprehensive and robust proxy for talent within a highly and homogeneously educated subpopulation. Second, although allocation to a sector is not random, each sector is represented for each level of talent, which allows us to build robust counterfactuals.9 9 See Table A7 in the online appendix. 9 2.1 French Engineering Schools’ Selection Process We use the selection process of French engineering schools to build a measure of talent for the entire population of engineers. To earn the official title “graduate engineer”, students in France need to graduate from a master’s program in any field of engineering offered by one of 225 selective, small-scale institutions.10 These so-called “Grandes Ecoles d’Ingénieurs” select students on the basis of their ranking on a national competitive exam that includes both written and oral tests. Student performance on this exam reflects strong cognitive and academic skills as well as personality traits such as motivation, selfdiscipline, low cost of effort, and ability to work under pressure. Figure 1 summarizes the selection process of French engineering schools. First, written tests covering a wide range of subjects assess a large set of cognitive and academic skills, including compulsory mathematics, physics, programming, French literature, and foreign language sections. Candidates also select an optional topic from among biology, chemistry, engineering, or computer science. More than 80 hours of testing is involved over a three-week period (see Figure 1 for coefficients and exam lengths for each topic). The candidates are then ranked nationally, and they access oral examination with schools depending on their ranking. The second phase of the competitive exam includes a series of 20-minute oral exams, which assess presentation, communication, and interaction skills. Candidates solve problems in the same set of subjects and present their solutions to one or more professors in interviews. The process concludes with the assignment of a final national ranking that assures applicants to engineering schools a priority position. Students favor reputation over field expertise or location in their selection of schools, and deviations are quite rare, especially 10 Thirty thousand diplomas are awarded annually at the national level. Engineering, which is considered a generalist education, has traditionally been the main pathway to obtaining management or leadership positions in France. 10 for top schools. Admitted students study on campus for three years before being awarded a graduate degree. The two years that students spend preparing for the exam at highly selective institutions (Classes Préparatoires) are a fundamental part of the process. These preparatory schools are mainly public; they are free of tuition and provide subsidized housing. They select students on the basis of superior academic performance in high school, independently of their social or geographic origin.11 Top high school students are highly encouraged to apply to Classes Préparatoires. These two years of study, as well as the three years of engineering school, are virtually free, which limits concerns about selection on family wealth. Success in Classes Préparatoires requires a set of personality traits that have been proven to matter professionally, such as high motivation, self-discipline, low cost of effort, and ability to work under pressure. First, the workload is very heavy, with more than 35 hours of classes per week, one written and two individual oral exams every week, and a large amount of compulsory homework. Second, students have the option to switch into the non-selective French university system at any time. Third, students are ranked quarterly, and they are excluded after the first year if their performance is too low (Ors et al. (2013)). INSERT FIGURE 1 2.2 School Ranking and Talent Measure We arrive at a talent measure by classifying engineering schools into ten selectivity categories based on the nationwide competitive exam. Group 1, which enrolls, on average, the most talented students, includes the most selective school, while Group 10 includes 11 The average selection rate in the science and engineering fields is approximately 15% for those who hold a scientific Baccalauréat. Source: www.data.gouv.fr. 11 the least selective schools.12 We compute a school’s selection rate by dividing the rank on the national exam of the last admitted student by the total number of enrolled students nationwide. Information on the rank of the marginal student and on the total number of enrolled students is public and available for the 2002–2012 period.13 The precise methodology for this calculation is described in the online appendix. Selection rates for each category are reported in columns (1) and (2) of Table 2. The highest category includes the Ecole Polytechnique, which recruits the top 1.5% of students. The second highest category includes Mines de Paris, Ecole Centrale Paris, and Ecole des Ponts et Chaussées. The lowest category includes mainly schools that admit students directly after high school. The bottom part of Figure 1 plots the admission rate across the groups of our talent measure. Table A6 in the online appendix lists the rank and the selection rate of all schools in our sample. Our measure of talent possesses several unique advantages over previously used measures of talent. First, it covers, with high comparability owing to consistent ranking, the total population of French engineers since 1980, allowing us to focus on the right tail of the distribution of talent and therefore to be more precise than when using discreet population-wide measures, such as SAT scores. Second, the measure maps not only cognitive skills but also requisite traits for successful careers, such as motivation, resistance to stress, and interpersonal skills. Third, in terms of social prestige, and even pay-offs (as students from the top school are eligible for stipends), the stakes of the competitive exam are very high and comparable to those associated with professional careers. Fourth, the homogeneity of the population we analyze enables us to disentangle education from talent: All engineers have the same level of education and years of schooling, and they 12 Our results still hold when we use the selection rate directly as a talent measure (see Table A4 in the online appendix). 13 http://www.scei-concours.fr/. 12 followed the same educational path (they pursued a science major in high school and successfully applied to a selective preparatory school). Each student self selects, with respect to personal investment, to sit for the toughest of exams, despite guaranteed admission to a French university in any year following their high school graduation. Finally, the admission process is designed to limit distortions due to networking, social background, reputation, and donations, as the written exam is completely anonymous and there is no use of letters of recommendation. The heavy workload imposed on all students during the two years of preparation limits the potential benefits of additional resources, such as tutors or exam preparation boot camps. 2.3 Controlling for Treatment Effects: A Non-school-specific Measure of Talent We also use the student’s age at graduation as an alternative measure of talent, which enables us to differentiate among graduates within each school. In the French educational system, high-performing students, on average, graduate at a relatively younger age both because they skip a year and because less talented students often repeat years.14 Hence, a student who enters the first-ranked engineering school, the Ecole Polytechnique, at the age of 19 after two years of preparation will be more talented, on average, than a student who enters the school at the age of 21 after three years of preparation. Age at graduation, which is not school specific, enables us to control for unobserved school variables by introducing school fixed effects.15 Figure A4 in the online appendix plots the distribution of graduation age in our sample. 14 As many as 25% of students preparing for engineering schools repeat their second year of preparation to improve their results on the competitive exam. 15 For instance, schools might offer training of varying quality or a more specific focus on finance. 13 2.4 Industry- and Job-Employee Matching Another advantage of using the French engineering schools’ selection process to measure the returns to talent across industries is that a small fraction of graduates of each school go into the financial sector, which allows the building of credible counterfactuals both across industries for the same level of talent and across levels of talent for the same industry.16 In addition, our setup is immune to concerns over self-selection into finance of the bestranked graduates within a given level of talent. By construction of the selection process, the “bottom” graduates of a given talent level are indeed more talented, as measured by the competitive exam, than the top graduates of the level below. Another potential concern would be that, within a talent level, a specific subgroup, for instance, the most social students (as suggested by Shu’s (2014) results), are going into finance, whereas in lower talent groups, the opposite selection effect occurs, i.e., the least social individuals are going into finance. Such a selection effect could only drive our results over 10 groups of talent if it is itself highly correlated with our measure of talent, which seems unlikely. Including specifications with individual fixed effects also mitigates these concerns. Finally, endogenous matching may also happen at the job level, as talented people are more likely to obtain certain jobs. We address this issue by also conducting our analysis at the job title level. 16 See Table A7 in the online appendix for the distribution of respondents across industries and talent levels. 14 3 Data 3.1 Survey We empirically analyze the results of a detailed wage survey consisting of 324,761 observations of engineering school graduates from 1983 to 2011. The survey, conducted by the French Engineering and Scientist Council (IESF), a network of alumni organizations representing 199 of the 240 French engineering schools, or 85% of the total population of French graduate engineers in 2010, solicits the latest yearly gross wages, as well as detailed information on the demographics, education, career, job position, and employer, of each graduate.17,18 The survey explicitly asks for the yearly gross wages available on the latest December pay sheet and for the employer’s five-digit industry code. Yearly gross wages therefore include cash bonuses but exclude compensation as stocks or options. Incentives to misreport due to tax concerns are low, as in France, firms directly declare wages to the tax authority, and the survey is anonymous. In addition, we retain only observations accompanied by a valid industry code to ensure that respondents actually consulted their pay sheets, which thereby maximizes the accuracy of wage data and limits measurement error. Since the year 2000 survey, respondents have also reported the share of total compensation that is variable, which includes cash bonuses but again excludes stocks and options.19 Cleaning the survey data leaves us with 247,201 observations.20 17 http://www.iesf.fr/. Source: French Education Ministry. 19 If anything, we should expect this potential measurement error to bias our results on the pay structure downward. 20 We clean the survey data by retaining only respondents between the ages of 20 and 65 who are full-time employees, possess a valid industry code, and have more than one year of experience. We exclude respondents whose compensation is less than the legal minimum wage, and for each sector and year, we drop compensation above the top 1% of the distribution. We do not trim the data at the total sample level so that highly paid sectors are not overrepresented in the affected subsample. The results, however, are robust to using the total sample without dropping any observation (see Table A3 in the online appendix). Finally, all nominal quantities are converted into constant 2005 euros using the French National Price Index (IPCN) from the French National Statistical Institute (INSEE). The data are available at http://www.imf.org/external/datamapper/index.php. 18 15 Our analysis benefits from several key features of the IESF survey. Its provision of the name of the engineering school from which each respondent graduated is essential to the implementation of our talent measure. Its access to unique wage data, including information on the variable share, is key to our analysis. Finally, the substantial information the survey provides on demographics, job positions, employers, and work locations (including engineers working outside of France, for example, in London or New York) enables our analysis to control for a broad set of variables. 3.2 Summary Statistics Table 1 provides key variable summary statistics together with information on the scope of the survey. Its frequency increased from every five years from 1983 to 1986 to annually beginning in 2004. The final number of respondents per survey averages 17,885, and each survey represents, on average, 6.9% of the total population of French engineers. The response rate is 18.8%. Although response is voluntary and the survey is sent only to alumni whose names and addresses are known to the association, selection effects are likely to be low. First, the median gross wage including bonuses reported in the 2009 survey is similar to that computed for the same population in a 2009 survey of French companies conducted by Towers Watson, a leading compensation consulting company. Second, respondent demographics are similar to those obtained by the INSEE in the French Employment Survey whose sample is randomly selected. Third, selection effects would bias our analysis if and only if respondents declare wages differently according to both their talent level and their industry. If anything, we would expect these selection effects to bias our results downward. Talented individuals working in industries with high returns to talent would have indeed fewer incentives to respond to the survey because their opportunity cost is higher.21 21 The IESF mailed the survey until 2000, and it has e-mailed the survey since 2002. 16 INSERT TABLE 1 The wage distribution among French graduate engineers has become increasingly scattered over the past three decades. Whereas the average wage, in constant euros, decreased slightly in our sample, from 63,000 euros in the 1980s to 58,000 euros in the 2000s, due to composition effects, the wages at the 99th percentile increased by more than 14% over the same period.22 This result is in line with recent research showing that inequality has increased in most OECD countries, mainly at the very top of the wage distribution (Piketty and Saez (2003); Piketty and Saez (2006)). We define 48 industries based on the official industry classification codes respondents provided. Table 1 details the percentage share of respondents in the highest-paying industries (i.e., finance, oil, chemical, and consulting). Finance accounts for approximately 2% of the total sample.23 Table 1 also includes summary statistics on demographics, jobs, careers, employers, work locations, and compensation structures. The decrease in respondents’ average age is likely driven by the change to an e-survey format. The increase in the share of female respondents is in line with the evolution of the composition of the engineer population nationwide. The share of respondents working outside of France has dramatically increased, which is consistent with the improved mobility of highly qualified workers.24 3.3 The Talent Measure Table 2 reports the selection rate (column (2)) and the number of schools and students (columns (3) to (5)) by talent category. Our talent measure is available for 226,846 observations. By construction (of our talent measure), a larger number of respondents 22 The slight decrease is due mainly to the decrease in the age of the average respondent. See Table A7 in the online appendix for a detailed list of, and the distribution of workers across, all industries. 24 See the online appendix for a list of the questions asked in the 2008 survey. 23 17 is associated with a lower level of talent. Based on column (6), which reports the share of respondents that graduated at least one year earlier than the standard age by talent category, the age at graduation appears to be highly correlated with the level of talent. Its focus on a highly educated population notwithstanding, our sample offers considerable heterogeneity with respect to talent. INSERT TABLE 2 We confirm that our talent measure is correlated with individual productivity by focusing on a specific field for which proxies for productivity are available: academic research. We proxy output using citation counts from Google Scholar. We collect the information for all alumni from the top 16 French engineering schools who work as academics in US universities. We use LinkedIn and searches of top university departments to identify these alumni. Column (7) of Table 2 provides the predicted citation count for the 16 schools that correspond to the four highest levels of our talent measure. The predicted values result from an OLS regression that controls for the research field, gender, experience, experience squared and experience cubed. We observe that the number of citations indeed increases significantly with our talent measure. 3.4 Representativeness of the Sample We implement two checks to assess potential selection effects in our survey data. First, we benchmark our worker survey data to employer survey data from Towers Watson covering the French engineer population. Second, we compare the patterns of compensation in the finance industry observed in our data to those found in the literature. In both cases, we find highly similar statistics. In addition, we find that the demographic characteristics of respondents have evolved over time in a similar way in finance and in other sectors. 18 Figure A1 in the online appendix plots the median starting salary from both our worker survey and the Towers Watson employer survey by industry and level of talent.25 We observe that wages are similar for both surveys along these two divisions of the data. If anything, employers seem to report slightly higher wages than workers. As in any survey, respondents may misreport their income; typically, this takes the form of exaggerating income. However, this bias should be limited by the anonymous nature of this survey. In addition, this bias is also likely to be relatively constant across sector and level of talent. We then replicate the main stylized facts from the literature on bankers’ pay using our data. Figure 2 plots the evolution of the coefficient of the finance sector dummy in quantile regressions estimated at the 10th , 50th , and 90th percentiles in the 1980s, 1990s, and 2000s samples. Skewness in wages in our sample has increased significantly over the past decades, as already documented in Philippon and Reshef (2012) and Bell and Van Reenen (2014).26 INSERT FIGURE 2 We confirm this observation by estimating the annual wage premia in the finance industry via the following equation: wi,t = × T alenti + β × Ii + γ × Xi + µ × Dt + λi,t , (1) where wi,t is the log of yearly gross wages, T alent is the talent measure, Ii represents the vector of industry dummies, Dt is the vector of year dummies, Xi is a vector of individual characteristics, and represents the average returns to talent in the economy.27 This 25 We can only compare our data to the survey for starting salaries. See Figure A3 in the online appendix for a description of the evolution of wages at the 10th , 50th , and 90th percentiles of the earnings distribution in the finance, oil, chemical, and consulting industries. 27 For the purposes of clarity, and so that it increases with worker skill, T alent is defined in our main measure as 10 minus the rank of the school from which a respondent graduated. 26 19 estimation controls for our talent measure as well as for demographic, occupation, job, and employer characteristics.28,29 The results are displayed in column (1) of Table 3. The average wage premium in finance over the 1983–2011 period in our sample is 25%, compared to 14%, 13%, and 7% in the next best paying industries, consulting, oil and chemistry, respectively. Our finding that finance industry workers are the best paid is consistent with the results reported by Philippon and Reshef (2012), Oyer (2008), Goldin and Katz (2008). Our estimation of the finance wage premium is in the lower range of recent estimations reported in the literature, which is likely due to our rich set of controls, most importantly, our talent measure, and to the educational homogeneity of our sample. In addition, the explanatory power of our talent measure is relatively large compared to the usual measures in the literature, such as the principal component of the US Armed Services Vocational Aptitude Battery (ASVAB) tests or the Armed Forces Qualifying Test (AFQT).30 INSERT TABLE 3 The external validity of our sample is further supported by Table A2 in the online appendix, which replicates Table 6 from Bell and Van Reenen (2014). The first column of Table A2 of the appendix shows that the finance wage premium has increased from 28 Acemoglu and Autor provide evidence of the strong explanatory power of occupational categories in wage regressions. 29 Demographic controls include years of experience, experience squared, experience cubed, gender, marital status, and gender×marital status. We control for occupation using nine dummies (production, logistics, development, IT, commercialization, administration, executive, education) and for employer type using five dummies (self-employment, private sector, state-owned company, public administration, and other (e.g., non-governmental organizations)), and for firm size with four dummies (fewer than 20, from 20 to 500, from 500 to 2,000, and more than 2,000, employees). Job characteristics are represented by an “Ile de France” dummy (Paris area), a working abroad dummy (as well as country dummies for the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, Luxembourg, China, and Belgium from 2004), and four hierarchical responsibility dummies from no hierarchical responsibility to chief executive. Table A1 in the online appendix displays the coefficient of these control variables. 30 After controlling for experience and education, we indeed find that adding our talent measure induces an increase in the R2 four times higher than that induced by the usual talent measures (Bowles et al. (2001)).The change in the R2 is 2.8% in our specification versus a median value of 0.7% in the literature. This gap is likely to be underestimated because of our precise control for education. This relatively large explanatory power is likely due to the inclusion of personality traits, which are an important and increasing determinant of wages (Heckman (1995), Bowles et al. (2001), Heckman and Kautz (2012), Deming (2015)). 20 7%, on average, in the 1980s, to more than 30%, on average, over the 2004–2011 period, and the premium is much higher at the 90th than at the 10th and 50th percentiles of the wage distribution. The last row of the table shows the average annualized increase in the premia to be more than 2.8% at the 90th , less than 0.7% at the 50th , and 0.3% at the 10th , percentiles. Our finding that the finance wage premium has increased dramatically since the 1980s and that it is concentrated among top earners is also consistent with Philippon and Reshef (2012) and Bell and Van Reenen (2014). 4 Results 4.1 Heterogeneous Returns to Talent across Industries We report here our central result that returns to talent are significantly higher in the finance industry and almost entirely absorb the sector’s wage premium. Graphical evidence of this result is provided in Figure 3, which plots respondents’ predicted wage by industry over the ten categories of our talent measure using equation (1). We observe wages to be an increasing function of talent, and the magnitude of this relationship is significantly higher in the finance industry than in other sectors. For example, wages increase from the bottom to the top of the talent distribution in the finance industry by more than 64%, while in the oil industry, they increase by only 35%. The relationship between our talent measure and wages in finance appears to be convex. INSERT FIGURE 3 We specifically test whether and to what extent wage elasticity to talent is high in finance by including interactions between talent and each industry dummy in equation (1): wi,t = × T alenti + β × Ii + × Ii × T alenti + γ × Xi + µ × Dt + λi,t , 21 (2) where is the industry-specific component of returns to talent (the other variables are the same as in equation (1)). Column (2) of Table 3 reports the results. The positive and significant coefficient of the interaction term between the finance dummy and talent measure shows returns to talent to be significantly higher, three times higher in fact, in the finance industry than in the rest of the economy. Moving one notch up our talent scale yields a 6.3% increase in wages for a finance worker vs. 1.9% for a worker in the rest of the economy. The consulting industry, consistent with its high talent scalability, offers returns to talent twice as high as in the rest of the economy. Conversely, returns to talent are significantly lower in the oil and chemical industries than in the rest of the economy, likely because of strong physical constraints that limit the scalability of talent in those sectors. High returns to talent in the finance industry almost entirely absorb the finance wage premium. When we include the interaction term Ii × T alenti,t in our specification, the finance premium almost disappears and, at 2.4%, is no longer significant (column (2)). This result is strongly supportive of talent effects driving the finance wage premium and is robust to including industry time year fixed effects (column (3)) and alternative talent measures, such as 1–school selectivity rate and the most granular school ranking possible.31 We complement this result by implementing a Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of the finance wage premium. Figure A5 in the online appendix displays both endowment and coefficient effects for the following determinants of wages in finance: social background, gender, experience, and talent. Returns to talent appear to explain by far the largest share of the finance wage premium, whereas talent composition effects are limited. 31 See Table A4 in the online appendix for these robustness checks. The results are also robust to using the total sample (rather than the trimmed sample), as shown in Table A3 in the online appendix. 22 4.2 Controlling for Treatment Effects with School Fixed Effects Our result is robust to the inclusion of school fixed effects, which is possible when using the graduation age as a measure of talent. Columns (4) and (5) of Table 3 report the regression coefficients when we interact the age at graduation talent measure with our industry dummies. The specification for both of these regressions includes interaction terms between school fixed effects and the dummy for working in the finance industry to better control for potential differentiated effects in the finance industry. We find that, among alumni from the same school, those who graduate earlier in life are paid relatively more and that this effect is significantly stronger in finance. The effect is amplified when we control for industry-year fixed effects (column (5)). This result suggests that neither treatment effects during school nor school-specific alumni network effects explain our previous findings, which is consistent with the widely held view in France that most of the training occurs during the two years of hard work leading up to the selection exam rather than in the material taught at the schools themselves. 4.3 Controlling for Individual Fixed Effects We confirm our results by estimating panel data regressions with individual fixed effects that absorb any time-invariant unobserved characteristics. Returns to talent almost fully absorb the wage variation when a worker switches into or out of the financial sector. To include individual fixed effects, we convert our repeated cross-section data into panel data. We identify unique individuals across time using six sociodemographic variables: year of birth, sex, name of the engineering school, type of specialization and, most importantly, father’s and mother’s occupations. Identifying individuals along these 7 dimensions minimizes the likelihood of matching observations from different individuals. This converted panel covers the 2000–2010 period and includes 6,133 individuals who 23 switch sectors over the period, 421 of whom are entering or exiting the finance industry. We identify the impact of switching sectors on wages using the following regression: wi,t = αi + β × Ii,t + µ × Dt + λi,t , (3) where αi represents the vector of individual fixed effects, Ii,t is the vector of sector fixed effects t, and Dt is the vector of year dummies. The results are reported in column (6) of Table 3. The 34% wage premium enjoyed by the same individual for working in the finance industry is close to the level estimated using the cross-section for the same period (29.9%) and is significantly larger than the premium obtained by workers who enter other sectors.32 To test whether the same individual obtains higher returns to their talent in the finance industry than in other sectors, we include the interaction of the industry dummy with talent in this panel specification: wi,t = αi + β × Ii,t + × Ii,t × T alenti + µ × Dt + λi,t , (4) Column (7) of Table 3 displays the results for this specification. We find that talent fully absorbs the wage premium realized by a worker who joins the finance industry, and the coefficient of the finance industry dummy decreases to 9% (but is not significant). The elasticity of talent is significantly higher in finance than in other sectors. This point estimate relies on both entry and exit from the finance sector, is robust to including industry-year fixed effects (column (8)), and provides further evidence that returns to talent are higher in finance, even when controlling for all unobservable and time-invariant individual characteristics. 32 This result is consistent with Gibbons and Katz (1992), who find that the wage change experienced by a typical industry switcher closely resembles the difference in the industry wage differentials estimated in the cross-section. 24 4.4 Controlling for Job Fixed Effects We exploit the granularity of our data to ensure that the potential selection of graduates from top schools into relatively high paying jobs in the industry does not drive our result. Some occupations in the finance industry, such as traders, are indeed paid much more, on average, than other jobs. We reject this endogenous matching explanation by introducing exact job title fixed effects into equation (1) while restricting the sample to finance workers only. This enables us to compare, for the same role (e.g., Trader, Quant, Audit, IT), the wages of the alumni of top and lower ranked schools.33 Our main result is robust to this constrained specification. Column (1) in Table 4 reports the returns to talent for the subsample of individuals for which we possess a job title without the job titles fixed effects. Moving one notch up our talent scale yields a 7.3% increase in wages for a finance worker, which is close to the level found in our main specification (column (2) of Table 3). When we include job title fixed effects in column (2), we still find that returns to talent in the finance industry are more than twice as high as those in the rest of the economy: moving one notch up our talent scale yields a 4.9% increase in wages after controlling for job fixed effects. This means that a talented trader, all else equal, earns significantly more than a less talented one. INSERT TABLE 4 We complement this analysis by exploring whether returns to talent are higher for certain job categories or for engineers working in finance outside of France. Columns (3) and (4) in Table 4 show that returns to talent are significantly higher in front office jobs (which include Trader, Quant, Structurer, Sales, Asset manager, and Investment Banker) 33 Respondents are asked to give their job title in the 2006–2010 surveys. We manually sort selfdescribed job titles into 9 main job categories for finance workers: back office, support, IT, auditing, middle office, corporate finance, asset manager, trader, sales, and quant. 25 compared to other jobs in finance (IT, Audit, Middle and Back office, other support functions). Finally, the left-hand side of Figure 4 displays the estimated returns to talent for each job category in the finance industry. We observe that returns to talent are more than twice as high for front office jobs such as Sales, Asset managers, Traders or Quants than for Auditors or IT workers. Returns to talent are also stronger for engineers who work in finance outside of France. Column (5) includes a double interaction term between the talent measure and an indicator variable for working outside of France. The coefficient on this interaction term is positive and both economically and statistically significant. Returns to talent are indeed 25% higher abroad. The majority of engineers working in finance do so in London or in New York (more than 50% in our sample), which suggests that returns to talent are even higher in these geographic zones, perhaps due to more intense competition for talent. INSERT FIGURE 4 4.5 Increasing Returns to Talent in the Finance Industry and Allocation Effects We show that returns to talent have increased over time, which sheds new light on the increase in the finance premium since the 1980s documented by Philippon and Reshef (2012). These increasing returns to talent are associated with an increasing share of talented individuals working in finance. Columns (1), (2), and (3) of Table 5 report the OLS coefficients of equation (1) over three periods: the 1980s, the 1990s, and the 2000s. We find that the coefficient on the interaction term between talent and the finance industry dummy has increased more than twofold. In the 1980s, a one-notch increase on our talent scale translated into an average 1.8% increase in wages, compared to a 2.8% increase in the finance industry (column (1)). 26 In the 2000s, the same difference in talent generates a 7.6% increase in wages in finance, compared to a stable 2% increase in the economy at large (column (3)). The residual of the finance premium, measured by the finance sector dummy, remains stable over the different periods (columns (1) to (3)). Returns to talent thus increase in line with the finance wage premium.34 INSERT TABLE 5 The left-hand side of Figure 5 plots the evolution of the share of graduate engineers from our sample working in finance for the whole sample and for the three top levels of our talent measure.35 We observe that French graduate engineers have been increasingly working in finance and that this pattern is significantly more pronounced for the most talented individuals. While 4% of this group worked in finance in 1986, finance workers represent more than 10% of this subsample in 2011.36 The share of highly talented graduates choosing finance, however, might still seem low relative to the significantly higher returns to talent we observe. The right-hand side of Figure 5 displays the evolution of the share of graduate engineers 34 A possible explanation for this increase in returns to talent in finance would be a long-term, rigid supply effect. Thus, the pool of workers identified as talented may not have sufficiently adjusted to the increase in demand for skills in the finance industry over the last 30 years due to the limited number of students graduating from top schools. This explanation may not fully explain the increasing trend we observe for two main reasons: first, top schools have been increasing their number of students over the sample period. Hence, the number of graduating engineers from state engineering schools has increased from 25,000 in 1990 to 40,000 in 2008. The data source can be found at http : //media.enseignementsup − recherche.gouv.f r/f ile/2009/19/4/RERS20091 19194.pdf . Second, several studies show that the adjustment costs of supply to demand in the labor market are rather small over the long run, mainly because shifts in demands are matched by the entry of new workers (Shapiro (1986), Helwege (1992), Lee and Wolpin (2006)). An alternative explanation for increasing returns to talent in finance would be that individuals might be more likely to respond to an emailed survey than to a paper survey if they are working at more skill-intensive tasks and are thus spending more time on a computer. These talented individuals may then feel more comfortable exaggerating their incomes online than in paper. However, the survey is anonymous, which limits the incentives to misreport. In addition, to mitigate this concern, we also estimate the same regressions after winsorizing wages at the 10% threshold for each industry-year. Returns to talent still increase threefold over this period. 35 The pattern is similar if we use only the top level or the top two levels. 36 One concern, as with any survey data, is that the allocation of respondents across industries may not be perfectly representative of the whole population. However, this concern is mitigated by the fact that we consider the relative evolution across talent levels and industries. If anything, we should expect that talented finance workers have reduced incentives to answer the survey, as the opportunity cost of answering the survey increases. 27 from our sample that work outside of France in finance and in the rest of the economy. While this share has been increasing for the whole population in line with an increase in the international mobility of qualified workers, this trend is significantly more pronounced in finance than in the rest of the economy, especially for the most talented engineers.37 This geographic allocation effect is again consistent with the hypothesis that increasing returns to talent attract increasingly talented workers. Indeed, returns to talent are even higher for finance workers working outside of France. INSERT FIGURE 5 5 Returns to Talent and the Structure of Compensation We next investigate the relationship between returns to talent and the structure of pay. Compensation contracts that include a large share of variable pay may be associated with high returns to talent for several reasons. First, intense competition for talent may amplify the need for variable pay by increasing the cost of incentivizing talented workers, either because of their better outside options (Axelson and Bond (2015)) or because the productivity of their effort is higher. Second, high returns to talent may increase the need for retention mechanisms. Firms may use variable pay as a sorting mechanism for attracting and retaining talented workers (Benabou and Tirole (2015), Oyer (2004)). Third, the high returns to talent we observe in finance may result from better performance observability than in other industries, which translates into a higher share of variable pay, as the firm can contract on performance with the worker. We show that variable pay and returns to talent are closely related; a higher level of talent is associated with a larger share 37 The survey has been e-mailed since 2002, whereas it was previously mailed, which is likely to have increased participation from alumni working abroad across all sectors. We therefore focus on the evolution of the share of finance workers working abroad. 28 of variable compensation, and this is even more pronounced in sectors such as finance and in occupations such as trading in which the returns to talent are especially high. 5.1 Across Industries Our analysis of variable compensation confirms that variable pay is a key component of wages in the finance industry, as it is present in 65% of compensation packages in finance versus 41% in the rest of the economy. We test whether our talent measure relates to the share of variable compensation in the finance industry. Column (3) in Table 6 indicates that variable compensation represents a significantly larger share of total wages in finance than in other sectors and that more talented workers have a larger share of variable pay. Column (4) includes the interaction between the talent measure and the finance sector dummy. The coefficient of the interaction indicates that the effect of talent on the share of variable compensation is much larger in finance than in the rest of the economy, and the decrease in the coefficient on the finance dummy, which is divided by three, indicates that this talent effect largely explains the large share of variable pay in finance. INSERT TABLE 6 5.2 Across Jobs Using the detailed information we have on the exact job title of respondents from 2006 to 2009, we explore whether the returns to talent and the structure of compensation are correlated across jobs within finance. The right-hand side of Figure 4 plots returns to talent over the share of variable compensation for the main occupation categories in finance. We observe a strong positive correlation: occupations with the highest returns to talent also pay the largest share of variable compensation. 29 6 Alternative Channels This section discusses alternative explanations for our result that are not based on talent effects. 6.1 Alumni Network Effects Our results could be driven by alumni network effects rather than by talent. More precisely, the high returns to school ranking we observe in finance might come from alumni networks being more influential in finance than in the rest of the economy.38 Our specification using age at graduation as a measure of talent and including school fixed effects, however, controls for school-specific alumni network effects. Assuming that alumni networks do not discriminate by age of graduation, the fact that our main result is robust to this specification is not consistent with network effects driving the level of wages in the finance industry. In addition, after excluding individuals from the most well-connected schools, i.e., the Ecole Polytechnique and related schools from our sample, the returns to talent are still three times higher in the finance industry than in the rest of the economy (column (1) in Table 7).39 INSERT TABLE 7 Finally, column (7) in Table 2 shows that our talent measure is highly correlated with the productivity of French graduate engineers who work as academics in the United States, as measured by the number of citations. Academic paper citations are unlikely to 38 Recent studies on networks insist on their importance in labor market processes, such as hiring, promotion, and compensation setting (Butler and Gurun (2012), Engelberg et al. (2013) and Shue (2013)) 39 Graduates of these schools are over-represented among top executives and CEOs (Kramarz and Thesmar (2013)). The excluded schools are Ecole Polytechnique, Mines de Paris, Ecole des Ponts, Supelec, AgroParisTech Grignon, Supaero, INP-ENSEEIHT, Supoptic Orsay, ESPCI Paris, and Chimie Paris et Telecom Paris. We also exclude Centrale Paris because its selection rate is equivalent. 30 be driven by the network or prestige of the undergraduate engineering school of any of the authors. Our talent measure is therefore unlikely to capture network effects or prestige alone. 6.2 Social Background Our results might be driven by the social backgrounds of graduates if both the share of students with well-connected parents is higher in top schools and these connections are particularly valuable in the finance industry. We conduct two distinct tests to rule out this hypothesis. First, in columns (2) and (3) of Table 7, we restrict our sample to First Generation students whose parents do not possess university level educations and are therefore less likely to be well connected. We find that our results are robust to this subsample; in fact, they are actually strengthened, as the coefficient on the interaction between talent and finance is significantly higher than for the full sample. Second, in columns (4) and (5), we restrict our sample to graduates of non-French nationality, following the rationale that their parents are likely to be less integrated into French social networks. We find that our main result remains robust to this specification, making our data difficult to reconcile with a social background explanation. 6.3 Compensating Wage Differential A final alternative explanation would be that higher compensation in finance aims to offset tougher working conditions or higher income risks. More talented workers deserve a higher compensation differential because they work relatively harder or because their health, income or employment are more at risk. However, Philippon and Reshef (2012) and Oyer (2008)’s estimates of the lifetime pay premium in finance explicitly control for hours worked, wage risk, career length, and the risks of exiting the finance sector. 31 We nevertheless conduct additional tests to rule out this possibility using data on job satisfaction and hours worked, controlling for both stress and excessive workloads in equation (2).40 We use a dummy variable equal to one if a respondent reports suffering from stress and zero otherwise. We also introduce a variable that indicates whether a respondent works overtime occasionally, 5 to 10 hours, or more than 10 hours.41 We find no significant downward impact of these variables on talent returns in the finance industry. The results are reported in Table A5 in the online appendix. We employ two strategies to control for unemployment and income risks. We first observe the fraction of layoffs in the total population of French employees for each sector as a measure of unemployment risk, and we find that this risk is not higher in finance.42 Second, we restrict our wage regression to the fixed portion of workers’ compensation packages in columns (1) and (2) of Table 6 and find that finance workers also earn a premium on fixed pay, which presents low, if any, income risk. In addition, the level of talent explains the level of fixed compensation in the financial sector. 7 Discussion This section discusses two main theoretical frameworks that may explain the higher returns to talent observed in the finance industry: competition for talent and rent extraction. 40 We do not control for stress or excessive workloads in our main results, as this information is not available for the entire sample. 41 Note that self-reported level of stress and job security might be biased. Indeed, if individuals who work in finance are those who choose risky, high-pressure environments, they might not report different levels of stress or perceived job security even if a neutral observer would see a large difference. However, in equilibrium, these individuals should not receive such a large a compensating premium if they do not suffer from their working conditions. Therefore controlling for workers’ perceptions seems adequate in our setup. 42 Source: 2009 labor turnover data from the French Ministry of Labor, Employment and Health. http://travail-emploi.gouv.fr/etudes-recherches-statistiques-de,76/statistiques,78/emploi,82/lesmouvements-de-main-d-oeuvre,272/les-donnees-sur-les-mouvements-de,2268/les-donnees-sur-lesmouvements-de,2633.htmlWe find a negative correlation between wages and industry unemployment risk: unemployment risk has been constant in the financial sector over the 1999–2011 period (layoff rate = 1.7%), and the finance sector has one of the lowest layoff rates (whole economy average = 2.9%). Second, we use a survey question that asks if interviewees experience low job security as an additional control, which leaves our main result unchanged (see Table A5 in the online appendix). 32 7.1 Labor Market Competition for Talent In a competitive labor market, firms want to retain talented workers who exhibit high productivity. There are three main reasons why firm competition for talent in the presence of even small adjustment costs between industries may result in heterogeneous wage returns to talent among these industries. First, technology varies across industries, being more skill biased in some. Skill-biased technologies, such as computers, substitute for routine tasks but complement non-routine ones, hence increasing the returns to skills and the demand for high-skilled workers (Katz and Murphy (1992), Autor et al. (1998) and Autor et al. (2003)). Second, labor market competition also varies across industries. Competition for talent is higher in industries in which talent is both easily observable and portable across firms and is generally industry rather than firm specific. The matching of talents to tasks is more efficient when labor markets are more competitive, resulting in higher returns to talent. Third, the scalability of operations plays an important role in talent productivity: when talent can be easily leveraged, a small difference in talent leads to a high difference in productivity and, consequently, in wages. Scale effects are high for jobs such as novel writer or software programmer and low in physically bounded industries in which the level of physical capital is high, such as for restaurant owners.43 The finance industry ranks high in the three dimensions previously mentioned.44 In 43 A recent example of talent scalability and its potential impact on wages is evening class high school teachers in South Korea. Talent has always been key in teaching. However, the implementation of online technologies has led to a shock in teaching scalability, multiplying the productivity of talented teachers. This scalability effect has led the wages of top teachers to skyrocket, with some earning seven-figure pay checks. Source: http://online.wsj.com/article/SB10001424127887324635904578639780253571520.html 44 First, the use of information technology is ubiquitous in the finance industry and ranges from realtime databases to powerful in-house risk management and asset pricing software. Philippon and Reshef (2012) find that the finance industry has relatively high information-technology intensity. In addition, finance faces much fewer hard-wired technological constraints than does manufacturing, which increases plasticity and flexibility in financial activities and increases the scope for creative financial innovation. Second, talent is easily observable and portable across banks. The productivity of a given finance worker can be quantified by its P&L and can be observed inside and outside the firm at a low cost. This 33 addition, the integration of world capital markets, their deregulation since the 1980s, and the development of information technologies have reinforced these effects. Philippon and Reshef (2012) find that deregulation has been associated with an increase in skill intensity, job complexity, and wages for finance employers. Concerning scalability, Kaplan and Rauh (2010) estimate that capital per employee at top US securities firms has increased substantially from $124,000 (in 2004 dollars) in 1972 to $1,789,000 in 2004. They also observe a twenty-three-fold increase in capital per managing director since the 1970s. We develop a simple model in the online appendix based on Rosen (1981) and Gabaix and Landier (2008) in which competition for workers and scalability are associated and result in higher returns to talent. Introducing adjustment costs between sectors induces individuals with the same level of talent to earn significantly different wages across industries. These adjustment costs might encompass both differences in preferences among talented people and switching costs, the latter being likely to be higher for senior positions or positions requiring a high level of skills. Our empirical results are consistent with the main predictions of labor market competition theory. First, high returns to talent are associated with high skewness in the wage distribution, the so-called superstar effect. Second, in the time series, we observe that returns to talent have increased over the years, which is consistent with an increase in scalability due to deregulation and financial innovation. Third, returns to talent are higher in more scalable jobs, such as front office jobs, and in more competitive labor markets, such as in the United Kingdom and the United States. Finally, in the labor market competition view, variable compensation may be used to attract talented workers when talent is not perfectly observable (Benabou and Tirole (2015)), which is consistent with our empirical correlation between returns to talent and pay structure. facilitates efficient job assignments and capital allocation. Finally, the dematerialized nature of financial transactions induces low physical constraints and hence high flexibility of capital that can easily flow to talent. 34 7.2 Extraction of Rents from Employers Another stream of theoretical literature explores how the finance wage premium may come from finance workers extracting rents from their employers.45 The main reason why talented workers may be able to extract larger rents from their employers in finance is that moral hazard problems may be more severe in this industry.46 The exact effort of an employee may be difficult to monitor in innovative financial activities, which are often opaque (Biais et al. (2015), Biais and Landier (2015)). Employee marginal effort, on the other hand, would be even more critical in finance because of the large amounts of capital under management. Axelson and Bond (2015) develop a dynamic model of financial contracting taking into account this severe moral hazard problem in the finance industry. The fact that our main result is robust to job title fixed effects suggests that moral hazard might not be the sole driver of high returns to talent in the finance industry. One would indeed expect moral hazard to vary more with the type of task and less by the type of individual accomplishing it. Moral hazard, however, may interact with competition for talent and thereby result in higher returns to talent. More talented workers may indeed be more costly to incentivize when firms compete more for talent because of better outside options. Alternatively, high powered incentives may serve as a device for firms to attract or retain talented workers, the latter being more productive in rewardable tasks (Benabou and Tirole (2015)). This complementary interaction between competition for talent and incentive rents is also consistent with our empirical results. For example, the positive correlation between 45 This rent extraction is defined within the firm, as opposed to the view where finance workers extract rents for their employers. In this latter setup, banks will adequately pay workers as a function of their talent in extracting rents for the bank, which is consistent with the labor market competition theory. 46 A second reason would be that talented finance workers use their skills to capture a larger share of the pay setting process within banks, for example, through managerial power (Bebchuk and Fried (2004)). However, it is unclear why banks would consistently hire talented workers who use their skills to increasingly extract rents from them over time. 35 returns to talent and incentive rents suggest that variable pay is used both to incentivize talented workers and to attract talent when talent is not perfectly observable (Benabou and Tirole (2015)). 8 Conclusion The main contribution of this paper is to show that high and increasing returns to talent in finance explain the distribution of bankers’ pay and its evolution since the 1980s. To estimate returns to talent calls for an appropriate measure of talent. We exploit for this purpose the results of a competitive examination among highly educated candidates that captures not only cognitive skills but also personality traits such as motivation, self-discipline, and low cost of effort. Our results raise questions concerning the possible negative externalities that high returns to talent in the finance industry might generate. 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Journal of Finance 67 (3), 849–895. 38 A Figures Figure 1. Selection Process of French Engineering Schools High School - Science Major ⇓ Preparatory School (2 years, Selection rate: 15% ) Subject # Hours (per Week) # Exams (per month) 12 8 2 2 2 to 4 2 4 2 0 1 2 0 Mathematics Physics and Chemistry Industrial Science Literature Foreign Language Programming ⇓ National Competitive Exam Written Competitive Exam Subject Oral Competitive Exam Subject Coefficient Mathematics 1 Mathematics 2 Physics Industrial Science Literature Foreign Language Computer Science Coefficient Mathematics 1 Mathematics 2 Physics Industrial Science Literature Foreign Language Chemistry Sports 8 7 6 6 6 6 4 16 16 20 15 8 8 9 5 ⇓ Final Ranking 60 40 0 20 Selection Rate, in % 80 100 Distribution of Engineering Schools by Selection Rate 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 School Rank Note: This figure summarizes the selection process to enter in French Engineering Schools and displays the resulting distribution of engineering school selectivity by level of talent. French engineering schools, or “Grandes Ecoles”, select students for admission based on their national ranking in a competitive written and oral exam. Schools are sorted on their selection rate, measured as the ratio of the marginal student’s rank in the national competitive exam to the total number of competing students. 39 0 Finance Wage Premium, in % 20 40 60 80 Figure 2. Evolution of the Finance Wage Premium by Percentile of the Wage Distribution 1980s 1990s 10th Percentile 50th percentile 2000s 90th percentile Note: This figure plots the evolution of the coefficient of the financial sector dummy in quantile regressions estimated at the 10th, 50th, and 90th percentiles of the wage distribution, in which the dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. There are 48 industry dummies, with the sum of all industry dummy coefficients being constrained to zero. Each regression also controls for education, gender, marital status, occupation, firm type, firm size, hierarchical responsibilities, working abroad, working in the Paris area, experience, experience squared, and experience cubed. 40 100000 80,000 60,000 40,000 Yearly Gross Wage (in Euros) 120000 Figure 3. Predicted Wages by School Rank and Sector 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 Whole economy Chemistry Consulting Oil 2 1 Finance Note: This figure displays the predicted yearly gross wage calculated from the estimation of an OLS regression at the different levels of our talent scale, with average values for all other variables. The dependent variable in the estimation is the log of the yearly gross wage, and is estimated over the 2004-2011 period for five different samples: the whole economy (124,433 observations), and the chemistry (2,752 observations), oil (717 observations), consulting (3,773 observations), and finance (3,431 observations) industries. The model includes a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, six country dummies, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. 41 .07 .07 Figure 4. Returns to Talent and the Structure of Pay across Jobs in Finance Quant Trader Returns to Talent .05 Returns to Talent .03 .04 .05 .06 .06 Sales Asset Manager .02 Corporate Finance ra .03 s le Sa r Q ua nt er de ag Tr a ce an tM se As te Fi n an e g O ffi c e dl id po or IT C IT tin di Au M Auditing 10 R es to ft he Ec on om y .01 .04 Middle Office 20 30 40 Share of variable compensation in % 50 Note: This figure displays the estimated returns to talent for each job category in the Finance industry, and plot these returns over the share of variable compensation on the right hand side of the figure. Self described job titles of individuals from the 2000-2010 surveys have been manually sorted into job categories. Returns to talent are the coefficients on the interaction terms between our talent measure and job category indicator variable, in OLS regressions where the dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. The model includes a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, and four firm size dummies. 42 2 40 30 0 10 20 Share of Alumni Working Abroad (in \%) 6 4 Share of Alumni in Finance (in \%) 50 8 Figure 5. Alumni Allocation in Finance by Talent Level and Geographical Area 1985 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 1995 2000 2005 2010 Year Year Top Talent 1990 Finance*Top Talent All Talent Levels Finance Rest of the Economy Note: The left-hand side of this figure plots the evolution of the share of graduate engineers from our sample working in finance, for the total sample and for the three top levels of our talent measure. The right-hand side of this figure displays the evolution of the share of graduate engineers from our sample that work outside of France, for the whole sample, for engineers working in finance, and for top talented engineers working in finance. 43 B Tables Table 1. Summary Statistics 1980s 1990s 2000s Sample Size Average number of observations per survey Number of surveys Total number of observations Response rate (%) Coverage of total population of French engineers (%) 20,805 3 62,415 21 9 15,088 4 60,353 17 7.1 17,776 7 124,433 Nd 6.2 Compensation (in 2005 constant euros) Mean yearly gross wage 90th percentile 99th percentile Standard deviation 62,137 99,718 146,253 27,073 62,625 101,964 169,870 31,827 57,983 95,598 186,438 39,086 Engineers per sector (%) Finance Consulting Oil Chemical 1.9 0.0 3.1 3.6 2.3 1.5 1.8 3.8 3.5 3.6 0.7 2.6 Demographics Mean age Percent female Percent married Foreigners First Generation 38.4 6.1 77.7 - 38.2 11.9 73.6 - 35.1 15.3 77.2 8.6 11.8 Work location Percent working outside of France Percent working in the Paris area 2.6 46.9 4.1 42.4 12.1 39.3 Career Mean experience (years) Percent team manager Percent department head Percent top executive 14.6 32.1 15.9 6.5 13.6 25.2 19.2 11.3 11.9 21.4 17.7 7.1 This table reports summary statistics for the main compensation and demographic variables in our dataset. 1980s = graduates from the 1983, 1986, and 1989 surveys; 1990s = graduates from the 1992, 1995, 1998, and 2000 surveys; 2000s = graduates from the 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, and 2011 surveys. Source: IESF Compensation Survey. 44 Table 2. Measuring Talent School Rank Recruitment Level Graduates # Schools % Early Acceptance # Citations (Academics) % Share (5) (6) (7) (1) (2) (3) Number (4) 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Top 2% Top 5% Top 10% Top 15% Top 30% Top 40% Top 50% Top 60% Top 80% 100% 1 3 7 5 7 8 14 21 45 85 6,173 12,868 20,119 12,236 12,182 11,468 46,676 20,747 36,615 47,762 2.7 5.7 8.9 5.4 5.4 5.1 20.6 9.1 16.1 21.1 36.0 21.2 14.2 12.9 17.1 11.4 13.0 8.8 11.1 10.2 3,174∗∗∗ 1,897∗∗∗ 1,623∗∗ 1,147∗∗ - Total - 196 226,846 100.0 - - This table reports summary statistics for each level of our talent measure School Rank. This talent measure takes a value from 1 to 10 and sorts schools based on their selectivity rate. French engineering schools, or “Grandes Ecoles”, select students for admission based on student national ranking in a competitive written and oral exam. Recruitment level (column (2)) is the position of the marginal student for each school in the national ranking. Column (3) reports the number of schools for each level of our talent measure. Columns (4) and (5) give the number and share of students for each level of talent. Column (6) reports the share of respondents that are admitted in an engineering school early (at least one year ahead). Column (7) gives the predicted number of citations (after 9.7 years of experience) of academics that graduated from a school of the corresponding rank. The predicted values result from an OLS regression where the dependent variable is the 1% winsorized number of citations in Google Scholars. The sample consists of the 98 graduates from top engineering schools working in US universities. The control variables are gender, research area, experience, experience squared and experience cubed. Standard errors are clustered at the school level. 45 Table 3. Heterogenous Wage Returns to Talent across Industries Log(Wage) OLS Talent Measure Finance 11-School Rank (1) (2) 0.248*** (0.033) 0.024 (0.026) Talent × Finance Consulting 0.044*** (0.006) 0.139*** (0.012) Talent × Consulting Oil 0.128*** (0.010) Talent × Oil Chemistry Talent × Chemistry (3) (4) (5) 0.007 (0.025) 0.046*** (0.005) 0.032** (0.013) 0.020*** (0.003) 0.020 (0.015) 0.089*** (0.011) 0.004 (0.017) 0.052 (0.032) 0.053** (0.022) 0.021*** (0.003) 0.019*** (0.003) 0.019*** (0.003) 0.025*** (0.006) 0.025*** (0.005) Individual FE - - - - - School FE - - - Yes Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Year FE Yes Yes - (8) 0.052** (0.021) 0.057 (0.065) 0.006 (0.015) 0.005 (0.015) 0.102 (0.112) 0.001 (0.019) 0.107*** (0.041) 0.002 (0.013) R2 0.077 (0.102) 0.001 (0.016) 0.003 (0.013) Observations 0.331*** (0.066) 0.104* (0.056) -0.004** (0.002) Industry-Year FE (7) 0.021 (0.016) -0.004** (0.002) Talent (6) 0.080** (0.038) 0.139** (0.059) -0.005 (0.003) 11-School Rank 0.047*** (0.015) 0.042 (0.029) 0.155*** (0.019) -0.005 (0.003) 0.072*** (0.007) Graduation Age (# Years Ahead) 0.049*** (0.017) 0.020*** (0.003) Panel -0.001 (0.019) 0.105 (0.071) 0.001 (0.017) -0.000 (0.017) Yes Yes Yes Yes - - - Yes Yes - - - Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes - Yes - Yes - - Yes 198,886 198,886 198,886 52,332 52,332 62,718 62,718 62,718 0.698 0.701 0.703 0.557 0.561 0.950 0.951 0.951 This table reports the coefficient of OLS regressions, where the dependent variable is the log of yearly gross wage. All specifications include dummies for working in the oil, finance, chemistry, and consulting industries. In columns (1), (2), (3), (6), (7) and (8), Talent is equal to 11-School Rank, with School Rank based on the ranking of the marginal student in the national competitive exam, as defined in table 2. In column (4) and (5), Talent is equal to 26 - Age at Graduation. The average age at graduation is 23 years old. Highly performing students graduate earlier on average because they often skipped a year during primary school, whereas less talented students often repeat years during prep school to improve their result at the national competitive exam. In columns (6), (7) and (8), the sample is restricted to the 15,256 individuals that are uniquely identified and tracked over the 2000-2010 period through their demographic characteristics. Column (4) and (5) includes school fixed effects, and columns (6), (7) and (8) include individual fixed effects. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Columns (3), (5) and (8) also include year-industry fixed effects. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and reported in brackets, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 46 Table 4. Returns to Talent and Jobs in Finance Log(Wage) Sample Talent Finance Workers (1) (2) (3) (4) 0.073*** (0.007) 0.049*** (0.005) 0.053*** (0.005) 0.045*** (0.004) 0.487*** (0.035) 0.365*** (0.061) Front Office Talent × Front Office 0.067*** (0.007) 0.022** (0.009) Talent × Working Abroad Job Fixed Effects (5) 0.018** (0.009) - Yes - - - Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 2,399 2,399 2,399 2,399 2,399 0.512 0.622 0.593 0.595 0.513 Observations R 2 This table reports the coefficient of OLS regressions, where the dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. Yearly gross wage includes both fixed and variable compensation. The sample is restricted to the 2,399 workers in the finance industry who provide their exact job title. Columns (2) includes job category fixed effects. Self described job titles of individuals from the 2000-2010 surveys have been manually sorted into job categories, including IT, Auditing, Middle Office, Corporate Finance, Asset Manager, Sales, Trader and Quant. Columns (3) and (4) include a indicator variable for front office jobs, which include traders, quants, sales, investment bankers, and asset managers, and in column (4) this indicator variable is interacted with our talent measure. Column (5) include a dummy variable Working Abroad equal to one if the alumni works outside of France, which is interacted with our talent measure. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, and four firm size dummies. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and reported in brackets, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 47 Table 5. Increasing Wage Returns to Talent in the Finance Industry Log(Wage) S1980 (1) S1990 (2) S2000 (3) Finance 0.016 (0.021) 0.011 (0.026) 0.020 (0.026) Talent × Finance 0.010** (0.004) 0.024*** (0.004) 0.056*** (0.005) Talent 0.018*** (0.002) 0.018*** (0.003) 0.020*** (0.003) Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes 41,731 52,932 104,223 0.713 0.715 0.694 Observations R 2 This table reports the coefficient of an OLS regression over three samples: S1980 = 1986 and 1989 surveys (Column (1)); S1990 = 1992, 1995, 1998, and 2000 surveys (Column (2)); and S2000 = 2004, 2005, 2006, 2007, 2008, 2010, and 2011 surveys (Column (3)). The dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. Yearly gross wage includes both fixed and variable compensation. Talent (which takes a value from 1 to 10) is equal to 11-School Rank, with School Rank based on the ranking of the marginal student in the national competitive exam, as defined in table 2. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and reported in brackets, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 48 Table 6. Returns to Talent and Compensation Structure Fixed Compensation Log (Fixed Wage) Finance (1) (2) (3) (4) 0.045*** (0.012) -0.002 (0.019) 0.863*** (0.041) 0.250*** (0.075) Talent × Finance Talent Variable Share Log(1 + Share) 0.009*** (0.003) 0.118*** (0.012) 0.024*** (0.002) 0.023*** (0.002) 0.053*** (0.003) 0.045*** (0.003) Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes 52,777 52,777 52,777 52,777 0.413 0.413 0.134 0.136 Observations R 2 This table reports the coefficient of OLS regressions, where the dependent variable is the log of the yearly fixed wage in columns (1) and (2), and of the share of variable wage in columns (3) and (4). The sample is restricted to the period 2000 to 2011 for which our data includes information on the structure of pay. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and reported in brackets, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 49 Table 7. Controlling for Network and Social Background Effects Log(Wage) Sample Finance No-X Schools First Generation Foreigners (1) (2) (3) (4) 0.047 (0.032) 0.340*** (0.053) 0.020 (0.059) 0.471*** (0.057) (5) 0.175* (0.097) Talent × Finance 0.037*** (0.010) Talent 0.016*** (0.003) 0.020*** (0.003) 0.018*** (0.002) 0.023*** (0.004) 0.020*** (0.004) Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes 178,377 14,488 14,488 1,399 1,399 0.689 0.660 0.665 0.561 0.566 Observations R 2 0.074*** (0.013) 0.047*** (0.012) This table reports the coefficient of OLS regressions, where the dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. In column (1) the sample is restricted to schools that are not related to Ecole Polytechnique, the leading French Engineering school (The 14 excluded schools are Ecole Polytechnique, Mines de Paris, Ecole des Ponts, Supelec, AgroParis-Tech Grignon, Arts et Metiers Paris-Tech, Supaero, INP-ENSEEIHT, Ensta, Supoptic Orsay, ESPCI Paris, Chimie Paris, and Telecom Paris). In columns (2) to (3) the sample is restricted to ”first generation” students, whose parents do not have college education (the information is available from 2000 to 2010). In columns (3) to (4), the sample is restricted to individuals born outside France (the information is available from 2000 to 2010). Finally, in columns (6) and (7), the sample is restricted to individuals working outside France. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and reported in brackets, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 50 For Online Publication Appendix A - List of Main Variables Selection rate: the ratio of the rank of the last admitted candidate to the total number of applicants. Graduation age: the age at which a student obtains the “Engineer” degree; in France, a student who has neither skipped nor repeated a year of schooling usually graduates at 23 years of age. Predicted wage: the wage obtained when predicting wages using the coefficients of the main equation. Early graduation: an indicator variable for graduating earlier than the standard age (23 years old). Top manager : an indicator variable for holding a top management position, defined in the survey by being on the executive committee. Finance: an indicator variable for working in the financial sector, which includes banks, investment funds, and insurance companies. Wage: the gross annual salary of a given engineer, as disclosed in the alumni survey. It includes both fixed and cash variable compensation. Variable compensation: the annual amount of variable compensation, disclosed in a specific question on the survey. Job title: the exact occupation within finance (e.g., trader, risk manager, investment banker). School rank : the level of selectivity of a given engineering school within ten categories (see table ?? in the appendix for the list of schools by level of selectivity). X-schools: schools affiliated with the top French engineering school, Ecole Polytechnique. 51 Appendix B - Methodology for Selection Rate Calculation We compute a school’s selection rate by dividing the rank in the national exam of the last admitted student by the total number of enrolled students nationwide. We use information from the end of that sample period, as the level of school selectivity is strongly persistent. Our results are robust to using the average over the period. For prominent schools, namely “Ecole Polytechnique”, all “Ecole Centrales”, “Mines”, “Ponts et Chaussées”, “Supelec”, “Supaero” and “Telecom Paris”, we take the rank of the last admitted student as given. As an example, in 2012, the marginal student in the mathematics option in Ecole Polytechnique is ranked 124th , and 8,343 students take the national exam. Hence, the selection rate of Ecole Polytechnique is 1.5%. Because some students self-select and do not apply to the lower ranked schools, the rank of the marginal student for the other schools is biased upward. We therefore adjust the rank of the last admitted students for these schools by adding to the marginal student rank the number of students that do not apply. This calculation therefore assumes that the students that do not apply would be admitted if they do. Back to our example, the rank of the last admitted student in Enac Toulouse in 2012 is 1,645th in the mathematics option. Given that only 7,094 students applied to this school out of a total of 8,343 enrolled students nationwide, the adjusted rank of the last admitted students is 2,894th = 1,645+ (8,343-7094), which gives a selection rate of 34.7% (2894/8343). A smaller group of schools admit students directly after the Baccalauréat, and not through the national competitive exam following preparatory school. For this subgroup, we measure the selectivity of the Engineering school by using the average Baccalauréat grade of their admitted students. We allocate these schools across groups 7 to 10, where the average Baccalauréat grade of admitted students from other schools is comparable. Schools allocated to group 7 have an average Baccalauréat grade around 16/20, whereas the ones allocated to group 10 are around 12/20.47 47 Our results hold when excluding these schools (see Table A4 in the online appendix for more details.) 52 Appendix C - Figures 0 10,000 Yearly Gross Wage 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Figure A1. Starting Salaries: French Engineering School Alumni Survey vs. Towers Watson Survey Chemicals Finance Industry Rank 1 Alumni Survey Rank 2 Rank 3 Rank 4 Employer Survey (Towers Watson) Note: This graph plots the median yearly gross wage across sectors and levels of talent in 2008 and in 2010 for workers of less than four years of experience. Sources are the IESF alumni survey and the employer survey from Towers Watson. 53 5 10 Finance Premium in % 15 20 25 30 35 Figure A2. The Finance Wage Premium Evolution 1985 1990 1995 2000 Year of the survey 2005 2010 Note: The figure displays the evolution of the coefficient of the financial sector dummy in OLS regressions estimated over the 1983-2011 period, in which the dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. 54 Figure A3. Evolution of the Wage Premium in the Finance, Chemistry, Oil and Consulting Industries at the 10th , 50th and 90th percentiles of the wage distribution Oil Wage Premium in % 10203040506070 Wage Premium in % 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Finance 1980 1990s year 2000s 1980 2000s Consulting Wage Premium in % 10203040506070 Wage Premium in % 10203040506070 Chemistry 1990s year 1980 1990s year 2000s 1980 0.1q 0.9q 1990s year 2000s 0.5q Note: Each graph displays the evolution of industry dummy coefficients in quantile regressions estimated over three periods: the 1980s (1983, 1986 and 1989 surveys), the 1990s (1992, 1995, 1998 and 2000 surveys, 53,680 observations) and the 2000s (2005, 2006, 2007, 2009 and 2011 surveys, 96,611 observations) for q=0.1, q=0.5 and q=0.9. The four considered industries are the Finance, the Oil, the Chemical and the Consulting industries, which are the four highest-paying industries over the period. Each regression also controls for education, gender, marital status, occupation, firm type, firm size, hierarchical responsibilities, working abroad, working in Paris area, experience, experience squared and experience cubed. 55 20 0 10 Frequency, in % 30 40 Figure A4. Distribution of Age at Graduation 21 22 23 24 25 26 Graduation Age Note: This figure plots the distribution of graduation age across the survey sample, which maps into age at entry. Heterogeneity results mainly from some students skipping years before high school, while others repeat a year, typically the second year of preparatory class to improve their performance to the national competitive exam. 56 Figure A5. Blinder-Oaxaca Decomposition of the Finance Wage Premium 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 0.25 0.2 0.15 0.1 0.05 0 First Genera3on Foreigner Gender Experience Talent Other Total -‐0.05 Endowment Coefficient Note: This figures plots the results of the Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition of the gap in the log of the yearly gross wage between finance and non finance workers. 57 Appendix D - Tables Table A1. Standard Determinants of Wages (Controls) Log(Wage) (1) Female Age Married Experience (years) Experience2 Experience3 Paris Area Outside France Talent Hierarchical Responsabilities: Team Manager Hierarchical Responsabilities: Department Head Hierarchical Responsabilities: Top Executive Occupation: Production Occupation: IT Occupation: Sales Occupation: Office Work Occupation: Head Office Firm Size: 20 to 500 employees Firm Size: 500 to 2000 employees Firm Size: >2000 employees Firm Type: Private Sector Firm Type: State Firm Firm Type: Administration Firm Type: Other Year Fixed Effects Observations R2 -0.073*** (0.002) 0.009*** (0.000) 0.035*** (0.001) 0.054*** (0.001) -0.002*** (0.000) 0.000*** (0.000) 0.115*** (0.001) 0.323*** (0.002) 0.023*** (0.000) 0.076*** (0.001) 0.204*** (0.002) 0.322*** (0.003) 0.002 (0.002) -0.008*** (0.002) 0.064*** (0.002) 0.112*** (0.003) 0.156*** (0.004) 0.081*** (0.002) 0.127*** (0.002) 0.159*** (0.002) 0.065*** (0.004) 0.020*** (0.004) -0.178*** (0.004) -0.090*** (0.008) Yes 198,886 0.687 This table reports coefficients of OLS regressions over the total sample. The dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. The explanatory variables include all the controls used in the paper. 58 Table A2. The Finance Premia MEAN (1) 10TH (2) 50TH (3) 90TH (4) 1983 Premia 0.080 (0.014) 0.022 (0.022) 0.057 (0.013) 0.091 (0.022) 1986 Premia 0.032 (0.011) -0.002 (0.019) 0.029 (0.012) 0.029 (0.019) 1989 Premia 0.090 (0.011) 0.034 (0.017) 0.072 (0.012) 0.141 (0.016) 1992 Premia 0.086 (0.012) 0.045 (0.021) 0.058 (0.010) 0.081 (0.012) 1995 Premia 0.120 (0.017) 0.050 (0.033) 0.090 (0.015) 0.177 (0.025) 1998 Premia 0.131 (0.013) 0.035 (0.018) 0.074 (0.013) 0.169 (0.022) 2000 Premia 0.163 (0.014) 0.021 (0.019) 0.076 (0.012) 0.344 (0.026) 2004 Premia 0.250 (0.015) 0.071 (0.020) 0.126 (0.016) 0.579 (0.022) 2005 Premia 0.272 (0.013) 0.053 (0.018) 0.173 (0.012) 0.589 (0.019) 2006 Premia 0.320 (0.011) 0.082 (0.015) 0.163 (0.009) 0.740 (0.017) 2007 Premia 0.320 (0.010) 0.080 (0.015) 0.192 (0.009) 0.740 (0.014) 2008 Premia 0.231 (0.011) 0.068 (0.015) 0.125 (0.010) 0.479 (0.018) 2010 Premia 0.287 (0.012) 0.109 (0.016) 0.190 (0.012) 0.622 (0.020) 2011 Premia 0.301 (0.014) 0.096 (0.017) 0.219 (0.011) 0.655 (0.019) 1.109 0.329 0.659 2.837 Trend Estimate This table, which replicates Table 6 in Bell and Van Reenen (2010), reports coefficients of annual OLS (column (1)) and quantile regressions for q = 0.1 (column (2)), q = 0.5 (column (3)), and q = 0.9 (column (4)). The dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. All equations include a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, school fixed effects, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are reported in parentheses. Trend estimates are multiplied by 100 and adjusted by the number of years so as to be interpretable as the % relative annual wage increase for finance workers. 59 Table A3. Sample Heterogenous Wage Returns to Talent across Industries - Full Log(Wage) Talent Measure Finance 11-School Rank (1) (2) 0.253*** (0.036) 0.012 (0.028) Talent × Finance Consulting 0.145*** (0.015) Talent × Consulting Oil 0.124*** (0.010) Talent × Oil Chemistry (3) Talent × Chemistry (4) (5) 0.002 (0.026) 0.047*** (0.006) 0.049*** (0.005) 0.034** (0.013) 0.036** (0.018) 0.083*** (0.026) 0.037 (0.027) 0.024*** (0.004) 0.024*** (0.004) 0.020 (0.014) 0.147*** (0.018) -0.004 (0.003) 0.071*** (0.008) Graduation Age (# Years Ahead) 0.048*** (0.015) 0.021 (0.015) 0.142** (0.058) -0.004 (0.003) 0.092*** (0.011) 0.002 (0.017) -0.001 (0.017) 0.045 (0.033) -0.005*** (0.002) -0.005*** (0.002) 0.007 (0.015) 0.007 (0.016) 0.022*** (0.003) 0.020*** (0.003) 0.020*** (0.003) 0.026*** (0.007) 0.026*** (0.006) - - - Yes Yes Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Year FE Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes - - Yes - Yes 201,324 201,324 201,324 52,711 52,711 0.673 0.676 0.678 0.549 0.552 Talent School FE Industry-Year FE Observations R 2 This table reproduces Table 3 in the paper on the full survey sample, without trimming compensation at the top 1% of the distribution at the industry-year level. 60 Table A4. Alternative Talent Measures Log(Wage) Talent Measure Finance 1-Selection Rate (1) (2) (3) 0.284*** (0.038) 0.044 (0.038) 0.287*** (0.039) Talent × Finance Consulting 0.366*** (0.074) 0.161*** (0.014) Talent × Consulting Oil 0.122*** (0.009) 0.163*** (0.014) 0.140*** (0.020) 0.065*** (0.007) 0.079*** (0.013) 0.041 (0.042) 0.076*** (0.021) 0.001*** (0.000) 0.124*** (0.009) -0.025 (0.030) Talent × Chemistry Talent 0.069*** (0.020) (4) 0.003*** (0.001) 0.151*** (0.036) Talent × Oil Chemistry Granular School Rank (by selection rate) 0.132*** (0.021) -0.000 (0.000) 0.063*** (0.007) -0.025 (0.017) 0.075*** (0.013) -0.000 (0.000) 0.162*** (0.028) 0.146*** (0.026) 0.001*** (0.000) 0.001*** (0.000) Individual Controls Yes Yes Yes Yes Year Fixed Effects Yes Yes Yes Yes 152,487 152,487 152,487 152,487 0.698 0.700 0.696 0.698 Observations R2 This table reports the coefficient of standard OLS regressions. The dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. The oil, finance, chemistry, and consulting industries have a dummy variable. Talent is equal to 1 - the school selection rate at the national competitive exam in columns (1) and (2), and to the exact rank of each school according to this selection rate (no categories) in columns (3) and (4). All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are clustered at the school level and in parentheses, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 61 Table A5. Working Conditions Log(Wage) (1) (2) (3) Finance 0.313*** (0.043) 0.034 (0.027) 0.032 (0.026) 0.029 (0.027) Talent 0.023*** (0.003) 0.019*** (0.003) 0.019*** (0.003) 0.019*** (0.003) 0.057*** (0.005) 0.056*** (0.005) 0.057*** (0.005) Talent × Finance Perceived stress -0.004 (0.002) Overwork more than 5 hours a week 0.016*** (0.002) Overwork more than 10 hours a week 0.083*** (0.003) Perceived job insecurity Individual Controls Year Fixed Effects Observations R2 (4) -0.008* (0.005) Yes Yes 80,406 0.700 Yes Yes 80,406 0.706 Yes Yes 80,406 0.713 Yes Yes 80,406 0.707 This table reports the coefficient of standard OLS regressions. The dependent variable is the log of the yearly gross wage. The oil, finance, chemistry, and consulting industries have a dummy variable. Talent (which takes a value from 1 to 9) sorts schools based on level of recruitment, measured as the ranking of the marginal student in the national competitive exam. All equations include year dummies, a female dummy, a married dummy, a female × married dummy, a Paris area dummy, a working abroad dummy, experience level squared and cubed, four hierarchic responsibility dummies, nine occupation dummies, four firm size dummies, and four firm type dummies. Standard errors are in parentheses, * p<0.10, ** p<0.05, *** p<0.01. 62 Table A6: . Engineering School List School Name Ecole Polytechnique Mines Paristech Centrale Paris Ponts Paristech Espci Paristech Telecom Paristech Supelec Supaero (Isae) Toulouse Institut D’Optique Graduate School Ensta Paristech Centrale Lyon Centrale Lille Ensae Paristech Centrale Nantes Centrale Marseille Mines De Nancy Mines De Saint-Etienne Telecom Bretagne Chimie Paristech Ensica (Isae) Toulouse Grenoble Inp - Ensimag Agroparistech Grignon Montpellier Sup Agro Ensc Montpellier Grenoble Inp - Phelma Enac Toulouse Grenoble Inp - Ense3 Grenoble Inp - PhelmaElectronique Ensma Poitiers Agrocampus Ouest Enseeiht Toulouse Genie Electrique Enseeiht Toulouse Electronique Arts Et Metiers Paristech Ensat Toulouse Ensc Lille Enscbp Bordeaux - Chimie-Physique Ensea Cergy Ensci Limoges Ensi Poitiers Eau Et Genie Insa Rennes Insa Toulouse Insa Strasbourg Insa Lyon Insa Rouen Supmeca Paris Ensc Rennes Ensta Bretagne (Ex Ensieta) Ensaia Nancy Engees Strasbourg (Apprenti) Ensiacet Toulouse Genie Industriel Ensicaen Informatique Enseirb-Matmeca Bordeaux Electronique Ensic Nancy Ensmm Besancon Ensem Nancy Enitab Bordeaux (Civil) Eost Strasbourg Cpe Lyon Electronique 63 Rank Admission Rate (%) 1 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 1.5 2.5 4.6 4.9 6.8 8.1 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.5 9.9 10.2 11.7 11.8 12.1 14.4 15.9 19.8 23.9 24.8 26.4 28.5 28.9 31.4 33.1 34.7 35.2 37.5 39.9 40.0 40.0 41.4 41.6 44.3 46.7 48.1 49.5 49.8 50.0 Baccalaureat Grade (PostBac Schools) 16 16 16 16 16 50.0 52.4 52.6 53.2 53.5 53.8 53.9 54.1 56.2 56.8 57.6 58.0 58.3 58.4 Table A6 – continued from previous page School Name Ensp Strasbourg Ensil Limoges Ee Union Des Insa (2000) Utc Compiegne Inp Toulouse Enesad Dijon Isima Clermont-Ferrand Ensiame Valenciennes Meca Energ. Ensg Nancy Ecpm Strasbourg Ensc Mulhouse Entpe Vaulx En Velin Eivp Paris Esial Nancy Telecom St Etienne Enssat Lannion Telecom Sudparis - Cursus Evry Vetagro Sup Clermont-Ferrand (Civil) Agrosup Dijon Ecole Des Mines Nantes Estp Paris Topographie Polytech Lille Ecole Des Mines Douai Ecole Des Mines D’Ales Polytech Nantes Ecole Des Mines D’Albi Enstib Epinal Polytech Paris-Upmc Polytech Nice Isat Nevers Esil Marseille Biomedical Epf Sceaux Utt Troyes Ensgsi Nancy Estaca Levallois-Perret Insa Val De Loire Polytech’Montpellier Ifma Clermont-Ferrand Inpl Nancy Ist Bretagne Groupe Polytech Marseille Polytech Grenoble Ensg Marne La Vallee Eivl Blois Enitiaa Nantes Enise Saint-Etienne Telecom Lille1 Ensccf Clermont-Ferrand Eisti Cergy-Pontoise Grenoble Inp Polytech Orleans Esstin Nancy Esmisab Brest Polytech Tours Isty Versailles Istil Epu Lyon 1 Polytech Clermont-Ferrand Ensc Bordeaux 64 Rank Admission Rate (%) 8 8 8 8 8 8 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 9 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 59.1 59.4 Baccalaureat Grade (PostBac Schools) 15 15 15 15 60.0 60.0 60.0 60.2 61.1 65.4 65.9 66.4 66.7 67.1 67.6 68.4 69.6 69.8 69.9 72.0 72.2 73.2 73.8 74.1 74.5 75.8 76.0 77.0 79.6 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 14 80.2 81.2 81.5 81.8 82.7 82.7 82.7 82.7 Table A6 – continued from previous page School Name Esirem Dijon Info-Elec. Ensim Le Mans Sup Galilee Villetaneuse Lasalle Beauvais Isen Brest Isep Paris Escom Compiegne Hei Ensisa Mulhouse Informatique Et Reseaux Ensisa Mulhouse Textile Et Fibres Eseo Angers Ece Paris Ensiie Evry Eigsi Ecam Lyon Ensait Roubaix Esigelec Rouen Esme Sudria Ivry Sur Seine Esb Nantes Efrei Paris Esiee Amiens Esigetel Fontainebleau Ei-Ispa Alencon 3Il Limoges Grenoble Inp - Genie Industriel Enit Tarbes Polytech Paris Sud Ecam Rennes Enim Metz Esilv La Defense Ebi Cergy Ensgti Pau Esiea Paris Itech Lyon Itii Bass-Normandie Mecanique Ensicaen Itii Picardie Mecanique Cnam Itii Alsace Mecanique Insa Strasbourg Itii Pays De Loire Inform. Ind. Eseo Itii Pays De Loire Enspm Rueil-Malmaison Isa Lille Polytech Savoie Itii Alsace Informatique Loire Isara Lyon Ingenieurs 2000 Cefipa Ifitep Fiti2A Quimper Itii Pays De Loire Btp Cesi Isupfere Itii Aquitaine Prod. Maintenance Isa Angers Esgt Le Mans Utbm Belfort-Montbelliard Ist Vendee Mecanique Et Automatique Esitapa Val De Reuil Istp Ensme St Etienne Esite Epinal 65 Rank Admission Rate (%) 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 82.7 82.7 82.7 83.1 84.4 85.6 85.8 85.9 86.4 86.6 87.1 87.9 88.0 88.9 89.8 92.6 94.5 95.0 96.0 96.6 97.0 97.6 98.2 98.5 100.0 Baccalaureat Grade (PostBac Schools) 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 13 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Table A6 – continued from previous page School Name Rank Ist Toulouse Cnam Itii Champagne-Ardenne Mecanique Ensam Itii Aquitaine Materiaux Enscpb Itii Deux Savoies Isel Le Havre Itam Isiv Fip Itii Bourgogne Genie Industriel Dpe Itiape Lille Istimm Ist Nord Itii Lyon Informatique Itii Aquitaine Mecanique Itii Hte-Normandie Mecanique Eia-Cesi Igii Lens Eme Ker Lann Itii Centre Production Polytech’Orleans 66 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 10 Admission Rate (%) Baccalaureat Grade (PostBac Schools) 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 12 Table A7: Distribution of Workers Across Industries Firm Sector 1 2 3 Aero Agriculture Air Alcohol Auto Carsale Cement Chemicals Construction Consulting Drugs Education Elec Equip Electricity Electronic Engineering Finance Food Food Retail Furniture Glass Health Holding Insurance It Machinery Media Metal Mining Misc. Bus. Services Misc. Cons. Goods Non Food Retail Oil Organization Paper Plastic Printing Public Realestate Restaurant Ship & Rail Soap 4.7 0.5 1.0 0.0 4.2 0.1 0.3 2.1 2.7 4.4 0.5 1.1 1.6 3.4 6.2 11.2 9.2 0.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 5.4 1.0 6.4 1.7 1.1 2.3 0.6 1.1 0.1 0.1 1.6 0.6 0.1 1.1 0.1 7.1 0.3 0.0 1.0 0.4 3.4 0.1 0.8 0.1 6.9 0.1 0.7 3.1 6.7 4.4 0.6 0.5 1.8 4.4 4.0 14.1 7.6 0.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 3.6 1.2 5.9 3.1 0.7 1.5 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.3 3.0 0.4 0.3 1.3 0.2 3.0 0.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 8.6 0.0 0.7 0.1 6.2 0.1 0.2 1.5 2.5 3.1 0.4 0.9 3.5 4.8 13.6 14.2 3.3 0.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 1.9 0.7 7.3 4.2 0.7 2.2 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 1.5 0.2 0.1 1.2 0.2 3.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 0.8 4 School Rank 5 6 7 8 9 10 Total 4.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 6.9 0.1 0.9 2.3 4.9 2.4 0.6 1.0 2.7 5.1 5.7 16.1 3.5 0.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.2 2.1 0.9 7.7 5.7 0.5 2.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.3 2.6 0.2 0.4 1.5 0.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.9 5.5 2.1 0.4 1.0 2.3 0.0 0.5 6.2 0.9 3.2 1.7 1.3 0.8 2.4 2.1 13.4 4.0 9.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.2 2.5 0.7 4.2 2.4 0.4 1.6 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.2 2.3 1.7 0.4 1.2 0.1 8.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.6 2.9 0.8 0.1 0.3 5.1 0.2 0.3 8.0 1.4 2.0 2.6 1.3 2.9 2.2 6.6 15.1 1.6 2.8 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 2.3 0.4 8.0 4.4 0.7 2.2 0.4 0.9 0.4 0.2 1.6 1.3 0.5 2.0 0.1 3.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 2.8 3.3 0.2 0.4 0.3 5.8 0.3 0.7 2.5 8.1 2.1 1.3 1.1 2.2 2.0 4.3 13.4 2.4 4.3 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 2.0 0.6 8.9 4.5 0.7 2.2 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.5 2.4 0.2 3.8 1.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 2.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 4.9 0.2 0.4 2.4 4.3 2.5 1.2 1.2 4.1 2.4 8.9 11.3 2.5 1.8 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.3 1.9 0.6 11.3 5.8 0.8 2.5 0.3 0.9 0.4 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.6 1.9 0.2 2.0 0.3 0.1 0.6 1.7 4.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 5.6 0.2 0.6 3.1 4.6 2.4 1.2 1.0 3.1 3.2 7.3 13.6 2.9 2.3 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 2.1 0.6 7.9 5.2 0.7 2.4 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 1.4 0.7 0.7 1.8 0.3 3.5 0.5 0.1 0.6 1.5 67 6.9 0.3 1.5 0.3 3.1 0.0 0.2 3.2 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.2 3.5 4.4 8.5 14.3 2.0 1.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.1 0.4 5.4 4.5 0.5 1.7 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.8 1.8 6.1 0.8 1.7 3.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.4 4.8 0.2 0.3 0.2 7.1 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.7 1.5 0.9 0.8 3.8 3.5 8.3 14.7 1.6 1.3 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.2 1.5 0.6 6.2 7.6 0.4 3.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 1.3 0.4 0.6 2.1 0.2 3.3 0.6 0.0 0.5 1.2 Table A7 – continued from previous page School Rank 6 7 Firm Sector (in % of workers) 1 2 3 4 5 Steel Telecom Textile Transport Utilities Wholesale Total 2.0 5.6 0.2 2.7 1.2 1.4 100.0 3.2 1.4 0.3 2.6 1.2 2.1 100.0 1.4 3.1 0.1 1.9 0.4 2.0 100.0 2.7 1.2 0.4 2.5 0.9 2.5 100.0 3.1 0.5 0.3 1.1 1.1 4.9 100.0 68 2.0 1.3 0.4 0.9 1.1 4.7 100.0 2.4 1.5 0.3 1.5 0.6 3.2 100.0 8 9 10 Total 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.8 1.7 4.9 100.0 1.9 1.8 0.6 1.6 0.7 3.6 100.0 1.5 3.0 1.4 1.3 0.5 5.0 100.0 2.0 2.0 0.6 1.6 0.8 3.7 100.0 Appendix E - Model This section develops a simple partial equilibrium model of the labor market in which firms compete for talent. As in standard superstar models (Rosen (1981)), workers are heterogeneous in talent, and returns to talent are increasing. This model differs in the assumption that the economy is composed of several industries with heterogeneous output returns to talent. It develops predictions on the wage distribution and wage elasticity to talent across industries. Consider a one period economy composed of i = 1, ..., S industries. In each industry, firms produce output by combining exactly one worker with talent T and capital. Specifically, the profit of a firm of size k from hiring a worker of talent T in industry i is π(k, T, i) = T i k αi − k − w(T, i) where i ≥ 1, αi < 1. w(T, i) denotes the market wage of a worker of talent T in industry i. The unitary cost of capital is one. The key parameters in this model are i and αi . These values are determined by technology, and vary across industries. αi represents talent scalability. If αi is high, an increase in one worker’s talent will be matched by a large increase in the size of the firm he is working at. Talent scalability is higher in industries with low physical constraints/replication costs. i represents the output elasticity of talent. In industries in which the organizational structure is flatter, the impact of talent is higher and i is higher. The assumption that i ≥ 1 is meant to capture increasing returns to talent, whereas αi < 1 implies decreasing returns to scale. All firms can observe the talent T of every worker in their industry. In each industry, at the beginning of the period, firms enter freely at any firm size k. Next, all firms make simultaneous job offers and wage bids to all workers in their industry. After that, workers decide which offer to accept. The free entry of firms implies that a worker of talent T is hired by the firm of size k ∗ (T ) that is the best match for his level of talent. k ∗ (T, i) = arg max T i k αi − k − w(T ) k which induces 1 1−αi k ∗ (T, i) = αi i (5) T 1−αi Within each industry, competition among firms for workers’ talent ensures that firms earn zero profits. The market wage of a worker of talent T in industry i is w(T, i) = T i kT∗αi − kT∗ Introducing (5) αi 1−αi i w(T, i) = T 1−αi αi (1 − αi ) (6) Consistent with Rosen (1981), wages are increasing and convex in talent T . What does this process imply concerning the distribution of wages within each industries? One measure of inequality is return to talent, which is given by w0 (T, i) = w(T, i) αi 1−αi i αi i αi 1−αi T 1−αi αi i T 1−αi −1 (1 − αi ) i w0 (T, i) = w(T, i) T (1 − αi ) We can see that the greater talent scalability αi and output elasticity of talent i are, the higher wage returns to talent are. If talent scalability αi is high, an increase in worker’s talent will be matched by a large increase in the firm’s capital, which will increase the worker’s rent substantially. Similarly, as the output elasticity of talent i increases, the higher the impact of talent on output. We also have αi i ∂2w i −2 1−αi = α ( − 1)T 1−αi i i 2 ∂T 1 − αi Prediction 1 As talent scalability αi or output elasticity of talent i increase, the more convex the wage schedule is. 69 This prediction implies that when, in a specific industry, wage returns to talent are high, one should observe more convexity in the distribution of wages. The model also makes predictions in terms of inter-industry wage differentials. Let us consider two workers with the same level of talent T working in two different industries, i and j, with i 6= j. The wage ratio is given by i w(T, i) − j = T 1−αi 1−αj w(T, j) The wage ratio increases with the level of talent. Plugging the log, we obtain the central equation of the paper: j i ln(w(T, i)) − ln(w(T, j)) = ( − )ln(T ) 1 − αi 1 − αj Prediction 2 For two workers of the same level of talent T working in industries i and j, with i 6= j, j w(T,i) i can be explained by the difference in wage elasticity to talent 1−α − 1−α . the wage ratio w(T,j) i j Predictions 1 and 2 have empirical implications concerning the distribution of wages within and across industries. Let consider an industry in which wage elasticity to talent is relatively high (the ratio i 1−αi is high) . Prediction 1 implies that the distribution of wages should be more skewed than in other industries, Prediction 2 that the wage differentials should be higher at the top of the wage distribution and that the wage premium can be explained by higher returns to talent. 70 Version du 4 mars 2009 20e enquête du CNISF sur la situation socioéconomique des ingénieurs en 2008 Le questionnaire principal porte sur les données suivies régulièrement dans l’observatoire des ingénieurs (situation, emploi, rémunération, satisfaction professionnelle) Dans la mesure du possible les questions qui ne vous concernent pas sont occultées. Il vous faudra une quinzaine de minutes pour y répondre. Si vous souhaitez accorder un peu plus de temps à cette enquête (10 minutes supplémentaires), nous vous proposons d’approfondir trois grands sujets d’actualité. Souhaitez vous répondre aux chapitres optionnels suivants ? : 1. Compléments sur l’innovation (positionnement de votre entreprise et expérience personnelle) 1 - oui 2- non................................................................................................................................................. INNOV 2. Les critères d’attractivité des entreprises 1 - oui 2- non .......................................................... ATTRACT 3. Votre avis sur la situation économique 1 - oui 2- non ............................................................CRISE I Signalétique personnelle Votre année de naissance : 19 /__/__/ ............................................................................................................................ GEN Vous êtes : .1 Un homme .2 Une femme .......................................................................................................................... SX A quel pays correspond votre nationalité : /__/__/ ........................................................................................................ NAT II Formation d'ingénieur Votre formation à l'entrée en école d'ingénieur : ......................................................................................................... FOPR 1. Bac (prépas intégrées) 2. Classes préparatoires 3. DUT 4. BTS 5. Autres Bac+2 ou 3 6. Bac + 4 ou plus 7. Autre, dont diplôme étranger Votre diplôme d'ingénieur a-t-il été obtenu : ..............................................................................................................FORM 1. En formation scolaire initiale 2. Sous statut d'apprenti 3. En formation continue 4. Par DPE ou VAE totale Votre 1er diplôme d’ingénieur en France : Sigle de l’école _______________________________________________________________________________ ASS1 Localisation (code du département) /__/__/ .................................................................................................................... DT1 Année de sortie /__/__/__/__/ .............................................................................................................................. PROMO1 Votre spécialité à l’issue de votre formation d’ingénieur : ............................................................................................ SPE 1. Agronomie, sciences de la vie, agro-alimentaire 2. Chimie, génie des procédés 3. STIC (Électronique, télécommunications, informatique, génie logiciel, mathématiques appliquées) 4. Électrotechnique, automatique, électricité 1 Version du 4 mars 2009 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. Génie civil, BTP, mines, géologie Mécanique, production, productique Physique, matériaux, énergétique Économie, gestion, finance, audit Généraliste, multiple ou sans spécialité dominante Autre (bois, textile, eau, environnement…) En quelle année avez-vous commencé à travailler comme ingénieur ? : /__/__/__/__/ ........................................... ANING III Autre(s) diplôme(s) obtenu(s) après celui d’ingénieur Commercial/gestion/management, type IAE, DESS, MBA, Master... : ............................................ 1 oui 2 non DIPGEST Scientifique type DEA, DESS, Master : ..................................................................................................1 oui 2 non DIPSC Mastère spécialisé de la Conférence des Grandes Ecoles :.............................................................................1 oui 2 non MS Thèse ou PhD : ............................................................................................................................................... 1 oui 2 non TH (Si TH=1) Cette thèse a t’elle été faite en France ......................................................................................1 oui 2 non THFR Si vous avez obtenu un second diplôme d’ingénieur d’une école de France, précisez le sigle de l‘école .................... ASS2 Avez-vous aussi obtenu un double diplôme d’ingénieur ou un diplôme conjoint d’ingénieur à l’étranger ? 1 oui 2 non INGET IV. Votre situation au 31.12.2008 Quelle était votre situation au 31-12-2008 ? ............................................................................................................... CSP 1 Activité professionnelle comme cadre 2 Activité professionnelle sans statut cadre 3 En recherche d'emploi 4 Sans activité professionnelle 1 Vous aviez une activité professionnelle comme cadre : ........................................................................................ CSP1 Salarié...................................................................................................................................................................................... 1. Salarié en contrat à durée indéterminée 2. Salarié en contrat à durée déterminée 3. Préretraité en activité rémunérée 4. Retraité avec activité rémunérée 5. Titulaire de la fonction publique (Catégorie A) 6. Intérim, vacations ou contrat précaire 7. Contrat lié à une thèse : ATER, CIFRE, post doc…. 8. Volontaire International en entreprise 9. Autre Non Salarié 10. Travailleur indépendant, consultant, expert 11. Chef d’entreprise, gérant ou dirigeant 2 Vous aviez une activité professionnelle sans statut cadre : .................................................................................. CSP2 1. Agriculteur exploitant 2. Technicien, contremaître, agent de maîtrise 3. Ouvrier 4. Autre 3 Vous étiez demandeur d’emploi ............................................................................................................................. CSP3 4 Vous n’aviez pas d’activité professionnelle : ......................................................................................................... CSP4 1. En congé parental 2. Au foyer 3. Préretraité sans activité rémunérée 2 Version du 4 mars 2009 4. Retraité sans activité rémunérée 5. Invalidité, maladie longue durée 6. Autre Avez-vous déjà interrompu votre activité professionnelle plus de 3 mois ? ........................................ : 1 oui 2 non FINAP Si oui était-ce pour : 1. Maladie ou grossesse................................................................................................................................. RAISMAL 2. Chômage ................................................................................................................................................... RAISCHO 3. Vous occuper de vos enfants ou d'un membre de votre famille ................................................................ RAISENF 4. Formation ...................................................................................................................................................RAISFOR 5. Parce que votre conjoint changeait de lieu de travail ............................................................................. RAISCONJ 6. Autre .......................................................................................................................................................... RAISAUT SI CSP =1 ou 2 Si vous ne travaillez pas à plein temps, indiquez pour quel pourcentage du temps plein /__/__/ %............................. TPS En 2008, avez-vous fait des heures supplémentaires (rémunérées ou non) ................................................................ HSUP 1. Jamais ou rarement 2. Ponctuellement 3. Régulièrement, de 5 à 10h par semaine 4. Régulièrement, plus de 10h par semaine V. L'entreprise qui vous employait au 31.12.2008 (Pour CSP =1 ou 2, uniquement) Dans quel pays travaillez-vous (liste des pays) ...................................................................................................... PAYSW Si c’est en France : indiquez le département) /__/__/................................................................................................... DTW Nature de l'entreprise ............................................................................................................................................... NATEN 1. Entreprise individuelle ou travailleur indépendant 2. Secteur privé 3. Entreprises nationales (EDF, SNCF…), économie mixte, EPIC 4. État, collectivités territoriales, secteur public hospitalier 5. Autre, associations, ONG, organismes internationaux…. Secteur d’activité de cette entreprise au 31.12.2008....................................................................................................... SEC 1. Agriculture, sylviculture et pêche Industrie 2. Énergie 3. Minerais, métallurgie, fonderie, travail des métaux 4. Production minéraux non métalliques, matériaux construction, céramique, verre 5. Industrie chimique 6. Industrie parachimique ........................................................................................................................................... SEC6 1. Dont parfum, cosmétique, arômes 2. Dont détergents, produits d’hygiène 3. Dont peintures, encres, vernis 4. Autre parachimie 7. Industrie pharmaceutique 8. Fabrication d'équipements mécaniques, de machines, d'armement 9. Matériel électrique, électronique, informatique ..................................................................................................... SEC9 S'agit-il d'industrie de défense ou de sécurité 1 - Oui 2 - Non 10. Constructions automobiles, navales, matériel de transport 11. Aérospatial ............................................................................................................................................................. SEC11 1. Aéronautique 2. Spatial 12. Industries agroalimentaires 13. Industries textiles, habillement, chaussures 3 Version du 4 mars 2009 14. Papier, carton, caoutchouc, matières plastiques 15. Autre 16. Bâtiment, travaux publics Services et tertiaire 17. Grande distribution 18. Commerce, location de matériel, réparation, hôtellerie, restauration 19. Transports routiers, ferroviaires, aériens… 20. Télécommunications 21. SSII (Soc. de services et d'ingénierie en informatique) et éditeurs de logiciels 22. Ingénierie, sociétés de services aux entreprises autres qu'en informatique Ce volet s’ouvre pour SEC=22 ................................................................................................................................... SEC22 Veuillez préciser votre activité propre au secteur de l’ingénierie (selon la convention SYNTEC) 1. Jeune ingénieur d’études, travaillant sous le contrôle d’un chef de projet 2. Ingénieur métier confirmé ou référant dans une discipline technique 3. Ingénieur projets impliquant un volume d’études inférieur à 50 000 heures 4. Chef de projet confirmé gérant des projets impliquant un volume d’études de plus 50 000 heures au moins 5. Directeur de projets gérant un ensemble de projets d’au moins 50 000 heures et rendant compte à la direction générale 6. autre 23. Assainissement, eau, gestion des déchets… 24. Assurances, banque, immobilier, holdings 25. Fonction publique d'Etat, territoriale ou hospitalière ............................................................................................ SEC25 1. Dont enseignement 2. Dont organismes de recherche 3. Dont autre fonction publique 26. Organismes internationaux 27. Autre tertiaire Code NAF (ce code de 3 ou 4 chiffres et une lettre figure sur votre bulletin de salaire) : /__/__/__/__/__/ ..................NAF Quel est le principal marché de cette entreprise ? ............................................................................................. MARCH 1 Le marché des biens ou services aux entreprises 2 Le marché des consommateurs finaux 3 Elle intervient sur ces deux types de marchés Taille de l’entreprise (uniquement pour NATEN différent de 4) ............................................................................... TAILE 1. 0 à 19 salariés 2. 20 à 249 salariés 3. 250 à 499 salariés 4. 500 à 1 999 salariés 5. 2000 salariés et plus L’établissement où vous travaillez est-il (uniquement pour NATEN différent de 1, 4 ou 5) : .......................... INDEP 1. Indépendant 2. Dépendant d’un groupe français 3. Dépendant d’un groupe étranger 4. Vous ne savez pas Il y a 5 ans (fin 2003), dans quel secteur travailliez-vous ? : ................................................................................... SECW5 En quelle année avez-vous été recruté par cette entreprise ? : /__/__/__/__/ .............................................................. ANC1 Travaillez-vous dans la même entreprise depuis votre sortie de l’école ?...............................................1- Oui 2- Non UNE Si non, dans combien d’entreprises avez-vous travaillé depuis votre diplôme : /__/__/ .......................................... NBENT VI. Caractéristiques de votre emploi au 31-12-2008 (Si CSP = 1 sauf CSP1= 3ou 4) 4 Version du 4 mars 2009 Vos responsabilités Vous avez le statut «cadre» .............................................................................................STATU1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous avez des responsabilités de budget ? .................................................................. RESPCA1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous avez des responsabilités à l’international ......................................................... RESPINT1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous animez une équipe (sans responsabilités hiérarchiques) ...................................... RESPW1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous êtes chef de projet .............................................................................................. CHFPRO1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous prenez des décisions stratégiques ............................................................................ STRT1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous êtes expert technique ................................................................................................. EXP1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous êtes membre du comité de direction ou du directoire ............................................CODIR1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné Vous avez des responsabilités hiérarchiques ? ................................................................RESPH1 oui 2 non 3 pas concerné et si oui ..........................................................................................................................................................................RESP 1. Vous encadrez une petite équipe 2. Vous encadrez un service ou un département 3. Vous avez des activités de direction générale Combien de personnes encadrez-vous ? : /_/_/_/_/_/ ........................................................................................ NBENCA Comment qualifiez-vous votre profil / carrière : .................................................................................................... CARR 1. D’expert technique 2. D’ingénieur polyvalent 3. De manager mobilisant une expertise technique importante 4. De manager mobilisant une expertise organisationnelle ou financière 5. Variable selon les époques 6. Autre type de carrière / de profil Pensez-vous avoir des perspectives de promotion à court terme ? 1- Oui 2 Non 3 NSP .............................. PERSPRO Si oui, ce sera ...................................................................................................................................................... PERSPRO1 1. En augmentant vos responsabilités dans votre spécialité d’expertise 2. En augmentant vos responsabilités dans votre activité dominante 3. En changeant d’activité et en allant vers :(ouvrir la boite de dialogue avec ACTDCOURT) Production et activités connexes Études, recherche et conception Systèmes d'information, informatique Commercial, Marketing Administration, Gestion Direction générale Enseignement Divers autres 4. En changeant d’entreprise Votre activité ............................................................................................................................................................. ACTD Quelle est votre activité dominante ? (Un seul choix) 1 Production et activités connexes 11 Production, exploitation, process, chantiers, travaux 12 Maintenance, entretien 13 Organisation, gestion de la production, pilotage, ordonnancement 14 Achats 15 Approvisionnements 16 Logistique 5 Version du 4 mars 2009 17 Qualité, hygiène, sécurité, environnement, développement durable 18 Autre 2 Études, recherche et conception 21 Recherche fondamentale 22 Conception, Recherche et développement 23 Ingénierie, études techniques, essais 24 Conseil, études non techniques, journaliste 25 Autre 3 Systèmes d’information (informatique et réseaux) 31 Production et Exploitation 32 Etudes développement et intégration 33 Support et assistance technique aux utilisateurs 34 Conseil en Systèmes d'Information, maîtrise d’ouvrage 35 Direction, administration et gestion 36 Autres Pour ceux qui ont coché ACTD = 31 à 36 Dans quel domaine exercez-vous ces fonctions d’informaticien ? .......INFOSPE 1 Informatique industrielle 2 Informatique de gestion 3 Systèmes d'informations 4 Réseaux/ Télécommunications 5 Informatique embarquée 6 Internet, multimédia 4 Commercial, Marketing 41 Commercial, après vente, avant vente 42 Chargé d'affaires, chargé de marché 43 Technico-commercial 44 Marketing, communication produits 45 Autre 5 Administration, Gestion 51 Finances, gestion 52 Audit 53 Juridique, brevets 54 Communication d'entreprise 55 Ressources humaines et formation 56 Autre 6 Direction générale 7 Enseignement - formation 71 Enseignement supérieur 72 Autre enseignement 73 Formation continue 8 Autre Quel est l’intitulé de votre poste : _________________ (merci de ne pas employer d’abréviations et de contrôler l’orthographe) ................................................................... POST Cet emploi :................................................................................................................................................................. EMPL 1. Est votre premier emploi après votre formation 2. Fait suite à un recrutement externe 3. Fait suite à une mobilité interne 4. Est un emploi que vous avez créé 6 Version du 4 mars 2009 Depuis combien d’années êtes-vous dans ce poste ? /__/__/ .................................................................................ANACTD Il y a 5 ans, fin 2003, quelle était votre activité dominante ? (selon la nomenclature de la question....... ACTD5) : /__/__/ (Pour ceux qui ont répondu 1 ou 2 à la question EMPL) Si vous avez changé d'emploi dans les cinq dernières années, comment avez-vous trouvé l’information relative à cet emploi ?............................................................................................................................................................... MODAL 1) Par candidature spontanée 2) Via un organisme (APEC, ANPE…) 3) Par un site spécifique d'emploi sur Internet 4) Par un site Internet d’entreprise 5) Par une annonce presse (passée par vous ou lue dans la presse) 6) Par votre école ou par les anciens élèves 7) Suite au stage ou à l’apprentissage dans l’entreprise 8) Vous avez été contacté par l’employeur ou un chasseur de têtes 9) Par un de vos proches (famille, ami) 10) Par une relation professionnelle 11) Suite à un concours 12) Autre (forum, salon…) VII. Entreprenariat et Innovation (Pour CSP=1) Entreprenariat Etes-vous chef d'entreprise (salarié ou non) ? 1 oui 2 non ............................................................................... CHEFEN Travailliez-vous dans une entreprise que vous avez Reprise : 1 oui 2 non ............................................................................................................................................... CREERE Créée : 1 oui 2 non ................................................................................................................................................. CREECR Depuis combien d’années cette entreprise a t’elle été créée ou reprise ?......................................................... ANCREE Dans les deux prochaines années, envisagez-vous de créer ou reprendre une entreprise ? .............................CREE2 1 oui 2 non. 3 Vous ne savez pas Si vous envisagez de reprendre une entreprise, s’agit-il de celle où vous travaillez actuellement ? 1 oui 2 nonREPW Avez-vous été préparé à créer ou reprendre une entreprise au cours de vos études d’ingénieur ? 1 oui 2 nonPREPCR Innovation Vous intervenez dans l’innovation et l’adaptation de process ? 1 oui 2 non .................................................................INNO Vous intervenez dans la conception de nouveaux produits ? 1 oui 2 non ...................................................................CONC Vous intervenez dans la conception de nouveaux services ? 1 oui 2 non................................................................... SERVI Vous participez aux réflexions à moyen terme sur les nouveaux produits ou process ou services 1oui 2non.......... MTPRO Votre activité vous conduit à travailler avec des designers 1 oui 2 non ................................................................. DESIGN Votre entreprise emploie des salariés designers ou fait appel à des agences de design ?1 oui 2 non 3 nsp ............. AGDES Votre entreprise a une politique de veille concurrentielle stratégique 1 oui 2 non 3nsp ....................................... POLVEIL Vous participez à l’élaboration de sa stratégie technologique ? 1 oui 2 non ..............................................................STRTE Dans les 5 dernières années (2004 à 2008) : Vous avez été déposant ou co-déposant inventeur ou inventeur salarié d'un brevet ? 1 oui 2 non ...................... BREV Vous avez participé à un programme de R&D de l'Union européenne ? 1 oui 2 non ..........................................PRUE VIII. Rémunération 2008 pour l'emploi que vous venez de décrire (CSP=1 sauf CSP1 =3 ou 4) Reportez le salaire cumulé brut pour l’année 2008 apparaissant sur votre bulletin de paie de décembre 2008 (salaire variable, primes, 13e mois et avantages en nature inclus, hors intéressement et participation) Salaire brut cumulé pour l’année 2008 : /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros ................................................................... SALBR08 OU 7 Version du 4 mars 2009 Salaire net cumulé pour l'année 2008 /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros ....................................................................SALNET08 SI ces montants ne correspondent pas à un temps plein ou à toute l’année 2008 : À combien de mois de travail correspondent-ils ? /__/__/ mois (plafonner à 12) ......................................................... MS1 À quel pourcentage du temps plein ? /__/__/__/ % ....................................................................................................... PTP Si vous avez une rémunération variable, quel pourcentage du montant annuel de votre salaire représente-t-elle ? PVAR /__/__/__/ % Est-elle déterminée ................................................................................................................................................ DETVAR 1. sur des objectifs strictement individuels 2. sur des objectifs collectifs 3. sur des objectifs à la fois individuels et collectifs Quelle évolution de salaire envisagez-vous pour l'année 2009 ?................................................................................ EVOL 1. Stabilité 2. Une hausse de : /__/__/, /__/ % ..................................................................................................................... PHAUS 3. Une diminution de : /__/__/, /__/ ................................................................................................................... PBAIS 4. Vous ne savez pas 5. Quels sont les avantages et primes dont vous avez bénéficié en 2008 ? AVAN 1 à 16 1. Intéressement1 oui 2 non .............................................................. montant /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros MONTAN1 2. Participation1 oui 2 non ................................................................ montant /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros MONTAN2 3. Stock options 1 oui 2 non 4. Attribution gratuite d’actions 1 oui 2 non 5. Attribution d’actions à prix réduit 1oui 2 non 6. Retraite par capitalisation 1oui 2 non 7. Abondement du plan d'épargne d'entreprise1oui 2 non 8. Prévoyance santé 1oui 2 non 9. Voiture de fonction utilisable à titre personnel 1 oui 2 non 10. Logement 1 oui 2 non 11. Ordinateur portable1 oui 2 non 12. «Blackberry», iPod ou équivalent1 oui 2 non 13. Treizième mois (ou plus) 1oui 2 non 14. Prime exceptionnelle 1oui 2 non 15. Compte épargne temps 1oui 2 non 16. Autre 1oui 2 non POUR LES RETRAITES (CSP1=4 ou CSP4=4) Montant brut annuel de votre retraite ............................................................................ : /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros RETR Avez-vous une part de retraite par capitalisation.................................................................................... 1 oui .2 non CAPIT Si oui, quel en est le montant annuel ......................................................................... : /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros RETRC POUR LES NON-SALARIES (CSP1 = 10 ou 11 ) Quelle est votre rémunération brute fiscale en 2008 : .......................... /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros REMFISC Si vous étiez salarié, quel salaire brut vous assurerait le même niveau de revenu : /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ /__/__/__/ euros SALEGU IX. Vos satisfactions professionnelles (si CSP=1 sauf CSP1=3 ou 4) SATIS 1 à 27 Parmi ces items, lesquels sont pour vous des sources : Votre travail 1 de satisfaction 2 d’insatisfaction 3 indifférent ou sans objet 1. La sécurité de l'emploi 8 Version du 4 mars 2009 2. Le contenu du travail, l'intérêt des missions 3. Les opportunités de développement de votre carrière 4. Les missions à l'étranger 5. Les relations inter-personnelles 6. Le niveau de stress 7. La charge de travail 8. L'autonomie dont vous disposez 9. Les possibilités de faire évoluer vos compétences 10. La diversité des tâches à accomplir 11. La part de créativité de votre travail 12. L'exercice de responsabilités 13. La formation proposée par votre entreprise 14. Le sens, la valeur de votre travail 15. L’épanouissement personnel 16. Votre rémunération et ses compléments 17. L’équilibre travail/vie personnelle L'organisation générale de l'entreprise 18. La pertinence de sa stratégie 19. La lisibilité de sa stratégie 20. La qualité de sa communication 21. La qualité de l'organisation générale de l'entreprise 22. Le style de management 23. 24. 25. 26. 27. La façon dont vos propositions sont prises en compte La reconnaissance de votre travail par la hiérarchie La reconnaissance de votre travail par les autres ingénieurs La reconnaissance de votre travail hors de l’entreprise (congrès, séminaires, activités d’enseignement…) L’animation d’équipe et la gestion de projet Diriez-vous que vous n'avez aucune cause d'insatisfaction majeure dans votre travail ?.................... SATNO : 1 oui 2 non X. Mobilité et changement Ne proposer MOB4ans que lorsqu’ANING est inférieur à 2004 Quelle(s) mobilité(s) avez-vous connue(s) ? .............................................................. MOB2008 1 à 12 - MOB4ans 1 à 12 1. Géographique, vers l'étranger.......................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 2. Géographique, dans le pays............................................................................. 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 3. Vers un nouvel établissement (entreprise ou groupe) ..................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 4. Vers une nouvelle activité ............................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 5. Changement de niveau hiérarchique ............................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 6. Vers un nouveau service ................................................................................. 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 7. Vous avez perdu votre emploi (licenciement) ................................................ 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 8. Vous avez retrouvé un emploi......................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 9. Vous avez changé d’employeur ...................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 10. Vous avez pris votre retraite ........................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 11. Vous êtes passé en préretraite ......................................................................... 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 12. Aucun de ces changements ............................................................................ 1 En 2008 1 Entre 2004 et 2007 inclus 9 Version du 4 mars 2009 XI. Travail à l’étranger (si CSP=1 sauf CSP1 =3 ou 4 ET PAYSW NE1) Si vous travaillez à l’étranger, êtes-vous parti à la demande de votre employeur ? ......................................... CHOIXETR 1. Oui 2. Non, c’est votre premier emploi 3. Non, vous avez quitté votre emploi pour aller travailler à l’étranger 4. Non, mais vous avez la possibilité de retrouver votre emploi en France (disponibilité, congé sabbatique…) 5. Non, vous étiez sans emploi quand vous êtes parti 6. Autre Pensez-vous rechercher un travail en France dans l’avenir ? ....................................................................... RETOURETR 1. Non 2. Oui à long terme 3. Oui à moyen terme 4. Oui d’ici moins d’un an 5. Vous ne savez pas ou ceci ne dépend pas de vous Comment estimez-vous votre situation à l’étranger comparée à celle que vous pourriez connaître en France : En terme de 1Supérieure2 Equivalente 3 Inférieure ................................................................................. QUAL 1. Qualité de vie 2. Rémunération 3. Opportunités professionnelles Avez-vous des inquiétudes pour : 1oui 2 pas ou peu 3 pas concerné .................................................... PREOC1 à 4 1. Votre retour en France 2. La réinsertion professionnelle de votre conjoint(e) 3. L’éducation de vos enfants 4. Votre retraite XII. Vos débuts dans la vie professionnelle (uniquement PROMO1 compris entre 2000 et 2008 inclus et pour FORM =1 ou 2) Vous avez trouvé votre 1er emploi ............................................................................................................................. REMP 1. Avant votre sortie de l’école 2. Vous avez cherché........................................................................................................................ /__/__/ mois TEMP 3. Vous n’avez pas encore trouvé En quelle année avez-vous commencé votre recherche :................................................................ /__/__/__/__/ ANRECH Ce 1er emploi était dans l'entreprise où vous aviez fait un stage ou votre apprentissage ?...................... STAG 1 oui 2 non Avez-vous trouvé votre premier emploi suite à une formation complémentaire à votre formation d'ingénieur ? MOYTROU 1 oui 2 non Si votre 1er emploi n'était pas un emploi d'ingénieur avez-vous réussi à en obtenir un par la suite ? ...... SUIT 1 oui 2 non Si oui combien de mois après avoir commencé à travailler ..................................................... : /__/__/__/ mois MOISING Considérez vous que votre formation vous a suffisamment préparé à exercer l’activité que vous exercez ? ............ PREPA 1. Oui, totalement 2. Oui, plutôt bien 3. Suffisamment 4. Non, insuffisamment 5. Non, pas du tout 10