daily Gold 590513

Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
•Today Strategy: Gold $ * &2 ! .!-3SPDR 1
*- ( , +
1 $n 2
*'
6 48 " m *- ! &
ก!
+ * COMEX $ 1,263.11
14.20
*1!
ก
$ + ก- " '
)" - 1,263.11 v 1,280.60 0'
." -(
*-
1
." + ก
6 1,266
Key Factors
$ *
+ ' *
+ 0- ก$ * !&2
ก - - ! ก* &w
ก! -ก *-" ก ก#. '!$ )h
&
* . ' ก! ก - /2 $ &2 *
ก " ก* & k xก )
y + .* ! 2
ก! * !
+"'
ก
*- - . ก#* ! + ) )ก /2
) )
!
'! " กก , SPDR &' ) ! *12
$% ) ( , * *h. . $n 2013 - w
ก-*+ ก
(ก breakout + 0- $ )ก k* & k xก " x
•Gold
"
#$ % &'% 02-618-0626
6 !
,a
& )
019462
ก6f $g ! , hi
& )
053644
h k , h
3('0)"
*'
m ) - ก ! ก# .!-" ,
ก-+ ก
breakout Oil
! ก ก - + ก .$ก-
Market Movement
• Gold
. . 2559
13
Gold (Comex)
Silver (Comex)
SPDR (Tonnes)
iShare Silver Trust
USD Index
EUR/USD
USD/THB
ICE Brent
Nymex Crude
Dow Jones Index
SET50
-4
%Chg.
Chg.
-14.20 -1.11%
-0.43 -2.49%
+3.27 +0.39%
+0.00 +0.00%
+0.33 +0.35%
-0.0050 -0.44%
+0.06 +0.17%
+0.48 +1.01%
+0.47 +1.02%
+9.38 +0.05%
+15.83 +1.81%
Price
1,263.11
16.96
845.19
10,421.95
94.15
1.1375
35.33
48.08
46.70
17,720.50
890.37
-2
0
2
4
6
Gold
-1.96
Silver
-2.81
USD Index
0.27
EURO/USD
-0.24
USD/BAHT
0.57
ICE Brent
3.89
4.57
Exclusive News
SP500
0.34
• IEA $ &2 * & ก 6ก * *& ,$
! + *
ก&2
(- 1.2 '
*" $n 2016 ก !
ก 6. '
1.16 '
*- +
!. . IEA * &' ก* - $ ! 6ก 3 *
! + .
,
) 1, $
450,000
*ก ! " 2 $nก•
- (- ) * , +
2 $ "!
ก
+
{"
/(กก
กก
ก 6 - h
ก m$,|
& !*ก
ก )*,'
ก
- # , +
" '
• $ )h 6)ก ! hก , $ ( 1)
$ 3 - ) $% w '
/' " ก
ก{ !*/ * ก ก "w , $ ( () *- ).!- ก &2 12
) ก $ )0 !*+
" ' " ก ก &2 ) - 3 ก )
ก'
*- ก
SET
0.62
SET50
0.93
-5
0
5
10
15
1.64
4.76
-0.63
0.91
0.80
8.83
11.83
-1.05
-0.88
1.00
1.17
Crude Oil
Dow-Jones
-0.11
Gold
Silver
USD Index
EURO/USD
USD/BAHT
ICE Brent
Crude Oil
Dow-Jones
SP500
SET
SET50
" '1
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,
Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
13
. . 2559
Spot Gold
*' 1,280 /1,288
1,257 /1,243
Symbol
Gold
Gold 96.5%
GFM16
Resistance 1,280/1,288 21,510/21,640 21,540/21,680
Support
1,257/1,243 21,120/20,890 21,160/20,930
Technical Commentary
ก G HI &
+ ก
240
$ * &2 .$
*'
6 1,280 ก
ก)! &
! *.!-" , ก
0- ก mm 6 MACD
ก - * * ก - 0 ) RSI
ก - * .!-0
+ &**
! ก ก-*
ก&' )
!0
+"'ก ก ก - 1,260 v
1,280 " m
•Strategy : trading + ก
) follow ! breakout
•
*- ก
Price range
) ) : (-+ ก 1,200v1,310
) )ก : (-+ ก
1,140 v1,350
) ) : (-+ ก 1,100v1,400
Key Point
Positive View( + )
•
ก )*,' k xก & h
ก
•
!*' ก /
+ x )
!&2 ! * ก $ 3 3
Negative View( - )
•
&# - &2
ก
$
w
" '2
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,
Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
. . 2559
13
Gold Futures : GFM16
Remarks
ก 1 PQMM
ก 0.10 O
Gold Spot ILM% NLMH
IH& O ILM% NLMH
Gold Futures ILM% NLMH ( O
)
16.82
60.19
LR''% STQHS&PS
•
•
•
•
•
ก
ก
ก
ก
!
."
$ &2 *
$ )ก k*
&' 1
$ )ก k*
&
-
ก & h
ก " x5
& k xก & " x
& h
ก
) 1
& k xก
" '3
*- ก
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,
Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
13
. . 2559
ICE Brent
ICE Brent Futures
Technical Commentary
ก G HI &
! + ก
240
$ * &2 .$
*'
6 48 " m )
ก
&
ก!
)
!&2 .$
ก
mm 6 MACD $ * !&2 *- !0) ก !&2
RSI ! ก* +
6+ก ' overbought
ก - * ก&' + ก .$ก• Strategy trading + ก follow ! breakout
• N ST 48.2 / 48.5
• N O 46.0 / 44.3
•
Thai Baht
Technical Commentary
ก G HI
& USDM16 + ก
240
ก - * ก&'
! ) , *'
mm 6 MACD
) RSI $ * &2 */2
ก
) breakout + •g€ & &2
/' ) ,ก
'
! ก ) - - *• Strategy trading + ก follow ! breakout
• N ST 35.30 / 35.50
• N O 35.10 / 34.90
•
" '4
*- ก
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,
Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
. . 2559
13
Economic Calendar
Date
Country
Impact
Time
9- . .
JP
JP
EU
US
CN
CN
DE
US
US
US
JP
US
US
JP
EU
GB
GB
US
US
EU
US
US
US
US
US
US
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
3
1
2
1
2
2
3
2
2
3
3
3
2
3
1
6:50
12:00
15:30
21:00
8:30
8:30
13:00
17:00
21:00
21:00
12:00
21:30
1:00
6:50
16:00
18:00
18:45
19:30
19:30
16:00
19:30
19:30
19:30
19:30
21:00
21:00
10- . .
11- . .
12- . .
13- . .
Index
Actual
Forecast Previous
/ ก 63 ก $ )0,! - , & BOJ
! 0 ! 3(' w
!. .
40.8
40.8
41.7
!0 ! ก ,
. . Sentix
6.2
6.1
5.7
0 w )*
!. .
-0.9
-2.1
0
3(' w
!. . y/y
2.3% 2.3% 2.3%
0
3('3 *
!. . y/y
-3.4% -3.8% -4.3%
3 3 *w ,* "ก !
!. . m/m
-1.3% -0.2% -0.5%
0 h, ก &
#ก
!. .
93.6
93.2
92.6
* " กw ก ก * $
!. .
5.76M 5.55M 5.45M
*# ก ' !. .
0.1% 0.2% -0.5%
0 0 w ) k xก
!. .
98.4% 96.4% 96.8%
!
$ "
-3.4M 0.1M
2.8M
, $ )! 6& x ก " x5
106.5B 116.2B -108B
m0 )
!. .
1.89T 1.90T 1.73T
3 3 *w ,* "ก !
!. . m/m
-0.8% 0.1% -0.8%
,$
ก
BOE
/ ก 6 $ )h h
ก
ก{
* &&
ก ก $ "
294K 277K 274K
&'
!. . m/m
0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
* & GDP .* ! 1/2559 q/q
0.6% 0.6%
' $ ก (.!- !
" ))
!. . m/m
0.6% 0.2%
'$ ก
!. . m/m
-0.3% -0.3%
0
3('3 *
!. . m/m
0.3% -0.1%
0
3('3 *(.!- ! "
)
!. . m/m
0.1% -0.1%
! 0 ! 3(' w
. . !.!0 ก
89.9
89
*# ก ' w h, ก
!. . m/m
0.2% -0.1%
Impact:High Impactv 3 / Medium Impactv 2 / Low Impactv 1 / Non-Impactv 0
CN v China / DE v Germany / FR v France / ES v Spain / EU v European Union / IT v Italy / JP v Japan / TH v Thailand / US v United States
Sources:Reuters, Bloomberg ) Infoquest
" '5
*- ก
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,
Derivative
Daily Comment
ก
. . 2559
13
Investor Types
Futures Market (Z[[
)
15,000
Metal Futures (Z[[
7,435
10,000
400
5,000
200
0
0
-5,000
-200
-10,000
-400
-15,000
-600
-20,000
)
726
Currency Futures (Z[[
222
250
200
150
100
50
0
-50
-100
-150
-200
190
-800
17,101
Oil Futures (Z[[
536
600
9,666
)
)
3
2
2
1
0
0
-1
81
-2
141
2
-3
Market Summary
Symbol
Settlement Price
GF10M16
1
Close
2
Change
1
Change
2
Volume
1
Volume
2
2
Open Interest
Theory Price
3
Days to Expire
(Night)
(Day)
(Night)
(Day)
(Night)
21,290
21,360
-60
+70
6,380
6,626
14,557
21,346
47
GF10Q16
21,360
21,420
-60
+60
1,393
1,636
5,413
21,394
109
GF10V16
21,420
21,480
-70
+60
259
457
1,389
21,440
168
GFM16
21,310
21,350
-50
+40
508
319
1,563
21,346
47
GFQ16
21,360
21,370
-70
+10
61
105
484
21,394
109
GFV16
21,490
21,480
+20
-10
2
10
87
21,440
168
BRK16
1,695
1,670
+103
-25
227
38
149
1,689
17
USDK16
35.29
35.29
+0.00
+0.00
6
55
35.40
17
Sources: TFEX, Settrade
1 v End of Day (Evening Session)
*- ก
2 v Night Session
3 v Pre-Morning Session
" '6
ก ก
ก
! "# $% &' !( $ )ก ก * + + ก
, .!-. '! */,$ ) + ก 0ก0 " 0 +"'1 & *- - + 12
'
! "# - * $ )ก ก " - &' !( 3('
"# - ! ! !) ! - 0 /
! . '
&' !( $ ก4.!-. ' $% ก
&' #
*- - +
5 )3('
.!&'
!+ ก .$+0'.!- - ก 6+ 7
! ก - $%
& 3('
+0' $% &' !( $ )ก ก * +
ก , +0' ,
+ ก * +
,