Updating the future for the Port of Rotterdam

9th September 2014
Updating the future for the
Port of Rotterdam
George Wurpel
Advisor to the Port of Rotterdam
4th National Port of the future conference Paris 9-10 sep. 2014
Scenario Standard+
• Continuation megatrends
• Abundant non-renewable raw
materials
• Technological development at
historical rate
Vision for the future
• Growth limited by availability
of capital and pollution
• Global pollution crisis
Michael Wolf,Hong Kong, architecture of density
http://photomichaelwolf.com/
10
Scenario Technology
• Same as standard +
• Accelerated technological
development
• Same industrial output with
fewer non-renewable
resources
Vision for the future
• Growth limited by availability
of capital
• Stable but poorer
11
Scenario Integral
• Same technological
acceleration scenario
Technology
• Social innovations lead to
lower demand for goods
Vision for the future
• Stable and prosperous
The vegetarian Butcher
12
1. The Port of Rotterdam does not prepare for decline,
it is preparing for transition
13
2. We need to change the way we measure success
14
3. Systemic challenges require partnerships
15
4. There are limits to growth,
but no limits to our imagination
“Earthrise" Taken by Apollo 8 crewmember Bill
Anders on December 24, 1968.
“Three Sphinxes of Bikini”
Salvador Dali (1947)
16
Merci pour votre attention
For more information;
George Wurpel
+ 31 6 484 238 11
[email protected]
The report is available from:
http://www.portofrotterdam.com/en/News/pressreleases-news/Pages/policyremains-unchanged-sharp-decline-throughput-2040.aspx
4th National Port of the future conference Paris 9-10 sep. 2014