SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING PREVISION DES

Transcription

SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING PREVISION DES
CENTRE AFRICAIN POUR LES APPLICATIONS
DE LA METEOROLOGIE AU DEVELOPPEMENT
Institution Africaine parrainée par la CEA
AFRICAN CENTRE OF METEOROLOGICAL
APPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT
et l’OMM
African Institution under the aegis of UNECA and WMO
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING
PREVISION DES CONDITIONS METEO A FORT IMPACT: PSN01- 478
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Date of issue / Etablie le: May, 13 2013
Ce bulletin donne une prévision à trois
trois jours de l’occurrence de six phénomènes météorologiques
météorologiques à fort impact (voir les indications ci
après))
après
This bulletin is a three days forecast for occurrences of six severe weather phenomena (see indications below)
below)
Phenomena
Heavy
Rainfall/
Phenoméne
Strong
wind/
Very high
temperature
Very low
temperature
Dust or
Sand
Wave
vent fort
Températures
Températures
Extrêmes
Extrêmes
Températures
Températures
Extrêmes
Extrêmes
Poussière
ou vent de
sable
Vague en
mer
>20 kt
Maxi > 40°C
Visibility
<5 Km
>3m
Fortes Pluies
Threshold
Seuil
> 50mm en
24 heures
Mini <0°C
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AFFECTED AREAS
MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 14 2013
Medium Confidence:South West CAR,
North East DRC, Central Ethiopia, South
East Uganda, South West Kenya, East
Tanzania.
Atmospheric dust
Visibility < 5 Km
Temperature > 40°C
Nil.
Atmospheric dust
Visibility < 5 Km
East Western Sahara, Mauritania, North
Senegal, the major part of Mali,
Central/South/West Algeria.
Nil.
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
North east Algeria, North Chad, South
Marocco.
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Medium
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
South-east off Coast of South Africa.
Wave>3m
85, Avenue des Ministères
: (227) 20 73 49 92 -- Fax : (227) 20 72 36 27 --
BP : 13184 Niamey- Niger
: [email protected] --
Web : http//www.acmad.org
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AFFECTED AREAS
MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 15 2013
Atmospheric dust
Visibility < 5 Km
Medium Confidence:North
Cameroon, South CAR, East DRC.
Temperature >40°C
Atmospheric dust
Visibility < 5 Km
Nil
East Western Sahara, Mauritania, East
Senegal, the major part of Mali,
Central/South Algeria, Central Niger
and Chad, West Libya,
East/Central/Chad, East Soudan.
Nil.
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
North Algeria, South West MArocco,
North Chad.
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Medium
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
South off Coast of South Africa
Wave>3m
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AFFECTED AREAS
MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 16 2013
Temperature >40°C
Medium Confidence: South-east
Nigeria, South-west/North
Cameroon, South CAR, Central
Ethiopia, East Kenya.
Nil.
Temperature >40°C
Central Algeria, East Western
Sahara, South Mauritania, North
Mali, East/Central Niger, North
Chad, East Soudan.
Nil.
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Medium
Rainfall > 50mm/24h
Confidence: Low
Nil.
South off Coast of South Africa.
Wave>3m
85, Avenue des Ministères
: (227) 20 73 49 92 -- Fax : (227) 20 72 36 27 --
BP : 13184 Niamey- Niger
: [email protected] --
Web : http//www.acmad.org