A High Speed Rail World Overview

Fast track to Sustainable Mobility
A High Speed Rail World
Overview
Jean-Pierre Loubinoux
Chairman and C&O, SNCF International
17 – 19 March 2008
1
5 main issues about the undertaking of a high-speed project
¾ 1. Major projects in operation or in preparation
17 – 19 March 2008
2
France - History
¾ Since its creation in 1981, the TGV
network has been extended to cover
1,840 km
¾ The TGV initially launched at 270km/h,
today travels at 300km/h, even 320km/h
on some stretches
¾ 440 train sets
¾ 180 stations
¾ Over 1.4 billion passagers in 25 years
17 – 19 March 2008
3
France – Planned
Projects
PLANNED: 2145 km
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275 km: Extension Rhin – Rhône West and South / 2011
275 km: Nîmes – Perpignan / 2012
350 km: LGV Aquitaine / Tours-Bordeaux / 2013 – 2016
405 km: Grand Sud / Bordeaux-Narbonne
165 km: Bretagne / Le Mans-Rennes
235 km: Pays Basque / Bordeaux-Hendaye
105 km: Est Europe /
175 km : Lyon-Tunnel
225 km : Côte d’Azur
Extensions to other countries
ƒ Germany, with the LGV Est
ƒ Spain, with the construction of the mixed-use PerpignanFigueras line (of which the 45 contracted km are to enter into
service in 2009)
ƒ Italy, with the construction of the mixed-use Lyon-Turin line
(300km)
17 – 19 March 2008
4
Germany – The network
Completed high-speed sections
High-speed sections planned or under
construction
Section taken by Thalys
17 – 19 March 2008
5
Spain – The Network
1992: Madrid – Seville
2003: Madrid – Lerida
Network being extended:
- 1225 km in use,
- 500 km under construction
Links planned for other
countries: France, Portugal
(Madrid- Lisbon 2013)
Line in use
Line under construction
Line at planning stage
Line at study stage
17 – 19 March 2008
6
Italy – The Network
Bern - Zürich
Lyon
Innsbruck - München
Ljubljana
•
1992: Historic RomeFlorence axis “Direttissima”
(line in use since 1978, with upgrades)
• 248 km to 250 km/h
• 314 km to 300 km/h
• Tilting technology
• 3,000V
• 15.1 billion
passenger-km per year (2001)
Line in use
Line under construction
Line at planning stage
Line at study stage
17 – 19 March 2008
7
Great Britain
HIGH SPEED ONE : gaining 20 min on the Paris-London route (14/11/2007)
London-Southfleet Junction: 39 km at 300 km/h
High-speed service to and from Kent
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•
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•
•
First regional high-speed service in the world
London – Stratford – Ebbsfleet – Ashford line
Serves other towns in the region (Canterbury, etc.)
Regional trains travel at 225km/h
Operated under contract (2008)
Iintermediary stations
17 – 19 March 2008
8
HSL Planned in other
European countries
PLANNED:
Poland
ƒ 500 km: Warsaw-Lodz-Wroclav-Poznan (300 km/h)
Russia
ƒ 650 km: Moscow-St Petersburg (300 km/h)
Sweden
ƒ 750 km: Stockholm-Malmö / Goteborg (300 km/h)
17 – 19 March 2008
9
Stockholm
Tallinn
Göteborg
Glasgow
Edinburgh
St.Petersburg
Helsinki
Oslo
Riga
Kobenhavn
Moskva
Vilnius
Minsk
Hamburg
Dublin
Berlin
Hann
Amsterdam
W arszawa
London
v > 250 km/h
Bristol
Brux
Köln
v > 250 km/h Planned
Kiev
Katowice
Krakow
Praha
Frankfurt
Lux
Nürnberg
Paris
W ien
München
180 < v < 250 km/h
Nantes
Bratislava
Budapest
Chisinau
Zürich
Ljubljana
Other lines
Zagreb
Milano
Lyon
Beograd
Bordeaux
Genova
Bologna
Sofia
Skopje
Tirana
Marseille
European
HS Network
Valladolid
Zaragoza
Bucuresti
Sarajevo
Roma
Istanbul
Porto
Barcelona
Madrid
Napoli
Bursa
Ankara
Sivas
Valencia
Konya
Lisboa
Alicante
Athinai
Izmir
Sevilla
Forecast for 2020
Málaga
0
500 km
17 – 19 March 2008
10
HSR in other parts of the world
China
Japan
South Korea
Taiwan
USA
Morocco
Argentina
Brazil
India
Saudi Arabia
Iran
Turkey
17 – 19 March 2008
IN OPERATION:
HSLs in operation in
other countries
China
ƒ 442 km: Qinhuangdao-Shenyang (200 km/h) 2003
ƒ 330 km: Jinan-Qingdao (250 km/h) 2006
Japan
ƒ 515 km: Tokyo-Osaka (270 km/h) 1964
ƒ 161 km: Osaka-Okayama (270 km/h) 1972
ƒ 393 km: Okyama-Hakata (300 km/h) 1975
ƒ 466 km: Omiya-Morioka (270 km/h) 1982
ƒ 240 km: Omiya-Niigata (270 km/h) 1982
ƒ 125 km: Takasaki-Nagano (260 km/h) 1997
ƒ 97 km: Morioka-Hachinohe (270 km/h) 2002
ƒ 128 km: Yatsuhiro-Kagoshima (270 km/h) 2004
South Korea
ƒ 330 km: Seoul-Daegu (300 km/h) 2004
Taiwan
ƒ 345 km: Taipei-Kaohsiung (300 km/h) 2007
USA
ƒ 362 km: North East Corridor (Boston-New York-Washington)
(240 km/h)
17 – 19 March 2008
12
HSLs Planned in other
countries
PLANNED:
Morrocco (2015)
ƒ 240 km: Casablanca-Marrakech (250 km/h)
Argentina (2020)
ƒ 315 km: Buenos Aires-Rosario (250 km/h)
Brazil (2025)
ƒ 500 km: Rio de Janeiro / Sao Paulo (300 km/h)
Mexico (2025)
ƒ 615 km: Mexico City / Guadalajara (300 km/h)
USA (2025)
ƒ 900 km: Los Angeles-Sacramento (300 km/h)
17 – 19 March 2008
13
HSLs Planned in other
countries
PLANNED:
China (2010)
ƒ 1320 km: Beijing-Shanghai (350 km/h)
ƒ 1100 km: Beijing-Wuhan (300 km/h)
ƒ 905 km: Harbin-Dalian (250 km/h)
ƒ 260 km: Tianjin-Qinhuandao (250 km/h)
ƒ 490 km: Nanjung-Wuhan (250 km/h)
India
ƒ 495 km: Mumbai-Amehdabad (250 km/h)
Iran
ƒ 475 km: Tehran-Isfahan (250 km/h)
Japan (2020)
ƒ Shin Tosu-Nagasaki (270 km/h)
Saudi Arabia (2015)
ƒ 550 km: Medina-Jeddah-Mecca (300 km/h)
Turkey
ƒ 570 km: Istanbul / Ankara (250 km/h)
17 – 19 March 2008
14
UNDER CONSTRUCTION:
HSLs Planned in other
countries
China
ƒ 115 km: Beijing-Tianjing (300 km/h) 2008
ƒ 1045 km: Wuhan-Guanzhou-Shenzhen (300 km/h) 2010
ƒ 190 km: Shijiazhuang-Tai Yuan (250 km/h) 2010
ƒ 454 km: Zhengzhou-Xian (250 km/h) 2010
ƒ 1600 km: Hangzhou-Ningbo-Fuzhou-Shenzhen (250 km/h) 2010
Japan (2013)
ƒ 60 km: Hachinohe-Aomori (270 km/h)
ƒ 121 km: Wuhan-Guanzhou-Shenzhen (270 km/h)
ƒ 193 km: Morioka-Aomori (160 km/h)
South Korea
ƒ 82 km: Daegu-Pusan (300 km/h)
17 – 19 March 2008
15
Comparison
KM of HS Lines in
the world
Europe
Asia
Other
countries
In operation
5174
3168
362
Under construction
2417
3860
Planned
7765
5595
7456
7028
15 356
12 623
TOTAL in 2010
TOTAL in 2025
TOTAL WORLD
2010
14 846
2570
2932
TOTAL WORLD
2025
30 911
17 – 19 March 2008
16
5 main issues about the undertaking of a high-speed project
¾ 2. The importance of selecting a good project manager : principles
17 – 19 March 2008
17
Exemple d’équipe MOA
Comité de Maitrise d’ouvrage
décisionnelle
-
-
Financier
Juridique
SPS
Ingénieur sécurité
Chargé de Communication
Homologation
Assistante
Responsable
Offre
commerciale
Responsable
Achat et
Comptabilité
Responsable
Exploitation
Chargé de
Comptabilité :
ONCF
Activités
voyageurs
Chargé Achats :
Chargés de contrats
Directeur du projet
MOA opérationnel
- Budget + suivi coûts
- Qualité
- Chargé de Planification
Directeur AMO
Directeur technique (Adjoint au directeur)
Responsable
Maintenance Infra
ONCF
Infra
Responsable
Matériel Roulant
Responsable
Installations Terminales en
site exploité y compris
Construction atelier
Matériel Roulant
Chargé marché
rames
Responsable
Construction LGV
Génie Civil, Etudes et
Travaux
Equipements
Ferroviaires (EF)
Chargé EF
Chargé du
Foncier
Chargés du
oncier
Chargé Atelier
Chargé
maintenance
des rames
Chargé Exploitation
Chargé 1 GC
Chargé 2 GC
ONCF
Matériel
Chargé 3 GC
17 – 19 March 2008
18
5 main issues about the undertaking of a high-speed project
¾3. Accurate and detailed market researches
17 – 19 March 2008
19
TGV traffic growth
TGV yearly traffic growth 1981 - 2006
(thousands of passengers)
thalys
eurostar
nord-europe
intersecteur
atlantique
sud-est
19
81
19
3 8
19
85
19
87
19
89
19
91
19
93
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
thousands of
100 000
passengers
90 000
80 000
70 000
60 000
50 000
40 000
30 000
20 000
10 000
0
17 – 19 March 2008
20
Market share Rail / Rail + Air versus rail journey time
Rail market share
( in % )
100
Paris - Bruxelles ( Thalys )
90
Paris - Lyon ( TGV South-East )
82
80
M adrid - Séville ( AVE )
Paris - Londres ( Eurostar )
Paris - Bordeaux ( TGV Atlantique )
Stockholm - Goteberg
Paris - Marseille/Montpellier ( as from June 2001 )
65
60
Tokyo - Hiroshima
40
Paris - Toulouse / Toulon
25
20
Paris - Nice
0
1
2
3
2h15
2h55
4
5
6
6h25
7
8
9
10
TGV journey times
( in hours )
17 – 19 March 2008
21
Market share Rail/Air/Road shift
Paris – Marseilles*
Madrid
X3.0
– Sevilla
Paris – Brussels
X2.8
X2.2
24%
52%
53%
19%
65%
22%
Before TGV (1999)
After TGV (2005)
Before AVE (1991)
After AVE (1997)
Before Thalys (1994)
After Thalys (2005)
*regardless of road market share
AIR
RAIL
ROAD
17 – 19 March 2008
22
5 main issues about the undertaking of a high-speed project
¾ 4. Financing a project
17 – 19 March 2008
23
Financing of a BOT / BOTM Project
ƒ The singularity of Build-Operate-Transfer and Build-Operate-Transfer and Maintain (BOT and
BOTM) contracts lies in the existence of a private part in the financing of the project, provided
by the builder of the project.
ƒ The private part may be one of three types:
1. Senior lenders
- The senior lenders are in fact development banks.
- The servicing of their loans holds priority over the payment of the other funders.
2. Junior lenders
- The junior lenders are the commercial banks.
3. Self-financing by the shareholders of the operating company
- 2 categories of funding contracts in BOTs and BOTMs
- contracts on the subject of the loans
- contracts covering the loan guarantees.
17 – 19 March 2008
24
PPP World Bank evaluation
Average duration
Management Contracts
+
-
Better management of infrastructures
No global optimisation of infrastructure design and
operation
< 5 years
Private know how
commercials risks take by privates partners
Lease contracts
Budget balance for the entire duration of the contract
From 10 to 15 years
Incitation to performance
Greenfield contracts
From 15 to 30 years
Use of private sectors know how
Risks for public sector in case of underestimation of
the demand
private share of investment financing
difficulty to control private partners
Entire loss of public authorities control
Concessions
From 25 to 30 years
Private financing of investments
Divestitures
Limitation foreseeable in specific cases
improvement of quality of the service
17 – 19 March 2008
25
CAPEX breakdown
High speed lines costs breakdow n
Catenary
4%
SignallingTelecom 9%
Rights of Ways
9%
Rights of W ays
Infrastructure
Track
Signalling- Telecom
Catenary
Energy supply
Track
# 14%
Misc
Infrastructure
# 62,5%
17 – 19 March 2008
26
5 main issues about the undertaking of a high-speed project
¾ 5. Identifying the main priorities
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Rolling stock (maintenance and availability)
Track (cost of building, cost of maintenance)
Size of the paths (mixed traffic, inter-modal transports)
Location and operating stations (client service
Operator’s role, training, transfer of know-how regarding
maintenance, operation….
17 – 19 March 2008
27