2009 - Saft
Transcription
2009 - Saft
Saft Groupe SA Accelerating the Growth in New Applications November 2009 2 Disclaimer This document (the Presentation) has been prepared by Saft Groupe SA (the Company) solely for use at corporate presentations in the context of its proposed capital increase. By receiving this Presentation, you agree to be bound by the terms below. This Presentation contains certain forward-looking statements relating to the business, financial performance and results of the Company and/or the industry in which it operates. Forward-looking statements concern future circumstances and results and other statements that are neither reported financial results nor historical facts, and are sometimes identified by the words "believes", expects", "predicts", "intends", "projects", "plans", "estimates", "aims", "foresees", "anticipates", "targets", and similar expressions. 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Any decision to invest in the Company should be based exclusively on the information set forth in the relevant offering documentation, comprised of : (i) the Reference Document in the French language registered by the AMF on 2 April 2009 under number R09-014 and the update to the Reference Document in the French language filed with the AMF on November 2, 2009 under number D.09-0105-A01 and (ii) the note d’opération in the French language relating to the offering of securities by the Company on which the AMF granted visa number 09-317 on November 4, 2009. In particular, attention should be given to the risk factors affecting the Company as described on pages 64 et seq. and 107 et seq. of the Reference Document, in sections 2 of the update to the Reference Document and in section 2 of the note d’opération. 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In particular, the Presentation is directed only at persons who (i) are outside the United Kingdom, (ii) are “investment professionals” falling within Article 19(5) of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (as amended) (the “Order”), (iii) are persons falling within Article 49(2)(a) to (d) (“high net worth companies, unincorporated associations etc.”) of the Order or (iv) are other persons to whom an invitation or inducement to engage in investment activity (within the meaning of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000) in connection with the issue or sale of any rights or shares may otherwise lawfully be communicated or caused to be communicated (all such persons in (i), (ii), (iii) and (iv) together being referred to as “Relevant Persons”). The presentation is directed only at Relevant Persons and must not be acted on or relied on by persons who are not Relevant Persons. Any investment or investment activity to which this Presentation relates is available only to Relevant Persons and will be engaged in only with Relevant Persons. 3 1. Saft Today 4 Saft in 2009 - Key Figures Joint-Ventures with EADS: ASB Group (Thermal batteries) Equity accounted Space Joint-Ventures with JCI: Johnson Controls-Saft (HEV and EV batteries) Equity accounted Oil and gas Defence Power generation and distribution Specialty Battery Group €178.1m 43.4 % High performance primary and Rechargeable lithium and silver batteries for the electronics, defence and space industries. Professional Electronics and Security Systems Industrial Battery Group and Rechargeable Battery Systems €232.5m 56.6 % Sales 9M 2009 €410.6m Rechargeable nickel and lithium-based batteries for demanding industrial and professional applications. Telecommunication Aviation Rail and Mass Transit Emergency Lighting 5 Unique Combination of Resilient Characteristics and New Growth Opportunities In high-end niche markets >75% of sales in segments where Saft is leader N° 1 Industrial nickel-based batteries for aircraft, rail, standby power, emergency lighting N° 1 Primary lithium batteries for electronics and defence industries N° 1 Satellite batteries * 39%* Sales replacement batteries 4.9% Average growth 2005-08 at constant FX 11% Li-ion sales over first 9M 2009 Management 2009 estimates percentages are not additive 6 Diversified Applications and Technologies Portfolio 2009 YTD Sales by Application 2009 YTD Sales by Technology 6% 4% 11% 25% 19% 53% 30% 25% 22% 5% Stationary Transportation Emergency lighting Professional Electronics Defence Space Others Lithium-ion Primary Lithium Nickel 7 Strong Relationships With Blue-Chip Customers Segment Key Partners Stationary Transportation Electronics Defence Lighting Space ITRON 8 Strong Financial Track Record Since 2005 EBITDA (€m) Sales – At Actual FX Rates (€m) 566 2005 560 2006 601 609 2008 16.3% 19.7% 111.4 2007 18.1% 18.1% CAGR 2005-08: +2.5% 2005 Cash Flow from Operating Activities (€m) 110.1 101.6 98.0 2006 EBITDA 2007 Margin 2008 Net Debt / EBITDA (x) CAGR 2005-08: +3.0% 107.1 98.0 3.0x 83.0 3.0x 3.0x 97.3% 2.6x 2.5x 2008 H1 09 53.2 88.0% 81.7% 54.3% 2005 2006 2007 Cash Flow from Op. Activities (€m) 2008 2005 2006 As % of EBITDA Note: Sales at actual exchange rates; EBITDA restated including Research Tax Credit. 2005 EBITDA restated for IPO costs. 2007 9 Key Events in 2009 CONTRACTS Johnson Controls-Saft FINANCE AND CORPORATE Contracts totalling $13m from Raytheon for Improved Target Acquisition System. Selected to equip China’s new regional jet ARJ21 Multi-million dollar contract to develop next generation Li-ion technology for NASA 5-year master agreement with Boeing for Li-ion satellite batteries. Partnership with Schneider Electric for off-grid solar energy storage in Madagascar Johnson Controls-Saft contract with Ford Johnson Controls-Saft industrial project selected for grant of $299m from DoE and up to $148.5m tax incentives from Michigan State for Li-ion hybrid and electric vehicle battery plant in Michigan Mercedes S400 first Li-ion hybrid car on the road, using Johnson Controls-Saft technology Development agreement with Jaguar / Land-Rover Agreement for Volkswagen EV fleet program EV contract with Ford / Azure for commercial vehicles Successful €150m and $240m refinancing Merger of IBG and RBS Saft selected for grant of $95.5m from DoE and up to $20.8m tax incentives from Florida State and Jacksonville for Li-ion battery factory in Jacksonville 10 Q3 2009 Sales Highlights €m 3 Months ended 30-Sep 2009 2008 Growth at Actual Rates 70.1 84.9 (17.4)% (18.4)% IBG excl RBS 55.7 67.0 (16.9)% (18.2)% Former RBS 14.4 17.9 (19.5)% (19.5)% SBG 53.1 55.0 (3.4)% (5.0)% Total 123.2 139.9 (11.9)% (13.2)% IBG Q3 rate of decline stable vs. Q2 Negative impact of de-stocking starting to decrease Growth at Constant FX 11 9M 2009 Sales Highlights €m 9 Months ended 30-Sep 2009 2008 Growth at Actual Rates 232.5 273.7 (15.1)% (17.7)% IBG excl RBS 189.2 216.2 (12.5)% (15.4)% Former RBS 43.3 57.5 (24.6)% (26.4)% SBG 178.1 172.6 3.2% (0.1)% Total 410.6 446.3 (8.0)% (10.9)% IBG Growth at Constant FX 12 Q3 2009 – Focus on IBG Comments Q3 2009 (€m) 84.9 (18.4 %)* (17.4 )%** 70.1 Sales of new Telecom product line (Tel.X) slowly developing Unfavorable project phasing impacted rail battery deliveries during the quarter Q3 2008 Q3 2009 Stronger quarterly sales for the former RBS activities 9M 2009 (€m) 273.7 (17.7 %)* (15.1 )%** 9m 2008 * At constant exchange rates. ** At actual exchange rates. 232.5 9m 2009 Ongoing merger between RBS and IBG progressing in line with schedule €5m p.a. of synergies with full impact in 2011 Initial savings in H2 2009 13 Q3 2009 – Focus on SBG Comments Q3 2009 (€m) 55.0 (5.0% 53.1 )* (3.4)% ** Q3 2008 Q3 2009 9M 2009 (€m) 172.6 (0.1%)* 178.1 3.2%** 9m 2008 * At constant exchange rates. ** At actual exchange rates. 9m 2009 No change in demand from the metering and electronics markets for civil lithium product compared with Q2 Continued good YoY growth in the military markets Strong quarterly sales in the space market 14 FY 2009 Guidance FY 2008 Actual FY 2009 Outlook Sales 609.4 (7)% to (10)%* EBITDA margin % 18.1% ≥ 18 %** € v $ rate 1.47 €m Full year sales expected towards the bottom of the guidance EBITDA margin before impact from Jacksonville project ≥ 18% Approximate impact of a 10% US$ movement/€ Sales 4% EBITDA 6 - 7% * At constant exchange rates ** Before impact from Jacksonville project estimated at $1.5m in Q4 2009 15 2. The Li-ion Opportunity 16 Saft: An acknowledged Li-ion expertise A strong R&D commitment R&D investment : 5.6% of annual sales in 2008 from 3.7% in 2004 R&D staff: from 303 in 2004 to 355 in 2008 Regular relationship / partnership with several universities (ICMCB, Ecole Polytechnique) A long standing experience in Li-ion NCA technology as the best answer to market requirements Energy density: VERY HIGH Peak/continuous power: HIGH Cycle/calendar life: LONG Saft has also expertise on alternative technologies Iron Phosphate / SuperphosphateTM Nickel Cobalt Manganese 15 years of experience in R&D Longest large format Li-ion experience in the world Will have similar cost for high volume production 10 years of experience in production Require safety management through system integration All technology options: 17 Breakout Growth Opportunities Saft is ready to seize growth opportunities with new Li-ion-based products for its existing markets (Telecom, Military, Aviation): Ability to leverage on longstanding relationship with clients First successes: prototypes, cooperation agreements, contracts Very significant potential on two new markets: Clean vehicles and Renewable Energy Storage Sustainable development as a growth driver First mover advantage on Li-ion applications and first Li-ion automotive battery plant in the world Benefits from the JV Johnson Controls-Saft Selected to receive substantial US subsidies 18 2. The Li-ion Opportunity a. Growth Within Existing Markets 19 Growth opportunities for new products in existing markets: Telecom networks Advanced battery technologies for evolving Telecom networks architecture: Today: options are lead or nickel batteries (challenging environments) Tomorrow: architecture changes with more remote terminals and small wireless sites, benefiting from Li-ion technology: Small/light batteries Long life technology Resistance to adverse environments Li-ion business today: Batteries for micro base stations (Intensium product range) Additional products under development Proportion of market addressed by advanced technologies will increase in the coming years 20 Growth opportunities for new products in existing markets: Military The military business will also benefit from the Li-ion technology: Land systems: HEV vehicles Weapons systems Naval systems: surface ships and underwater systems New niche markets for Saft in the military business Prototypes delivered and cooperation agreements established: Raytheon: Li-ion battery systems for the Improved Target Acquisition System DCNS: alliance in innovative technologies BAE Systems: military vehicle demonstrators 21 Growth opportunities for new products in existing markets: Aviation Reduced fuel consumption is a top priority for aircraft manufacturers by reducing weight: More electric systems, more energy needed Higher performance and lighter batteries Li-ion is the answer: Weight reduced by 50% High energy density Average battery value / plane: three / four times higher than Nickel batteries Saft already positioned on this new opportunity with two landmark contracts: F35 Joint Strike Fighter A 350 XWB 22 2. The Li-ion Opportunity b. Li-ion for New Markets 23 New markets: sustainable development as a growth driver for Saft Political support and pressure EU: Renewable energy directive - 20 % renewable energy target in 2020 EU: max 130g CO2/km car emissions target in 2012 US: Corporate Average Fuel Economy (CAFE) US: Energy storage tax incentive in bill S.1091 recently proposed in the US Congress EU / US: incentive packages including green technology proposed US: $3.4bn funding to support upgrade and development of US electricity grid Oil prices outlook Consumer awareness An increasing trend in oil prices in the coming years due to: Eco-friendly attitude Incentive packages Growing demand Exhaustion of fossil resources 90% of Americans are open to buying a hybrid for their next vehicle* Steady growth of extraction costs *Source: “Powering the United States Hybrid Vehicle Industry,” May 2009, survey conducted by Harris Interactive and Johnson Controls 24 Johnson Controls–Saft is ready to capture part of the very significant potential on HEV / PHEV / EV markets Several figures available on the market size of clean vehicles batteries all showing very significant potential in the coming years Between €3.3bn – €5.6bn in 2014 according to Roland Berger* More than $10bn in 2015 according to other studies HEV / PHEV / EV is a top priority for Governments, auto OEMs, consumers Johnson Controls–Saft is ready to seize this breakout growth opportunity: First mover advantage on Li-ion applications Strategic advance through customer relationship and agreements Big winner of the recent US subsidies grants High volume manufacturing facilities ready by 2011 *in « Powertrain 2020, China’s ambition to become market leader in E-Vehicles » released by Roland Berger in April 2009 25 HEV / PHEV / EV characteristics Technology Battery size (KWh) Blended MPG EV range (miles) *Application will migrate to Li-ion HEV PHEV EV Mainly Ni-MH today* Li-ion Li-ion 0.6-2.4 10-22 9-53 19-50 - - - 12-62 55-250 Combustion Engine Combustion Engine Regenerative Breaks Regenerative Breaks Regenerative Breaks Electric Motor Electric Motor Electric Motor Batteries Batteries Batteries Gas Tank Gas Tank 26 Renewable Energy market potential: A strong rationale supporting growth Grid level Centralized Distributed Demand side High power Energy Storage Commercial Storage Smoothing / Ramping support Peak Shaving to avoid Demand charges Grid stabilization/Power Quality ABB ABB Ancillary services Bulk energy storage Energy dispatching Avoid disturbances Defer grid upgrades Smart Grids Controlled (upon demand) injection in peak periods Guadeloupe Guadeloupe Smart Houses Self-consumption Zero-energy houses Safe against outages High efficiency Sol-ion Sol-ion Apollo Apollo 27 Renewable Energy Storage outlook Power-oriented energy storage at grid level. Experts forecasts: GTM: $2.5bn market in 2015 Pike Research: $4.1bn market in 2018 Nano Markets: $8.3bn market in 2016 GTM estimates that 20% of the overall grid level energy storage market will be captured by Li-ion Distributed storage will bring additional opportunities Today: Governments are supporting demonstrator projects Several RfP under discussions 28 3. Saft Positioning on the Li-ion Opportunity 29 Saft: Recognized as a Very Credible Player Johnson Controls-Saft and Saft are together the leading beneficiaries of the US grants Johnson Controls-Saft* 299 Michigan project 249 A123 Systems KD ABG MI 161 LG Chem 151 119 EnerDel 106 GM Corp** Jacksonville project 96 Saft America Exide Tech.** 34 East Penn** 33 0 100 200 300 400 Focused solely on non automotive renewable energy project USD m * Johnson Controls-Saft industrial project submitted by Johnson Controls Inc. to the Department of Energy ** non Li-ion manufacturing projects Source: US DoE 30 Focus on Jacksonville Project Construction of a high-volume manufacturing plant to build advanced Lithium-Ion cells and batteries for military, aviation, telecom and renewable energy storage Investment project costs estimated c. $ 200m (including capex, opex and project costs) US Department of Energy funding details 50% funding of the project cost from the DoE - up to $95.5m - subject to successful contract negotiation Expected to be signed before year end The plant is planned for Jacksonville, Florida City and State to contribute up to $ 20.8m to the funding Expected timeline Facility to start production for existing customers as early as 2011 and to be fully completed by 2012 Objectives: Production capacity full by 2015: c. $ 200m worth of sales per year Estimated EBITDA margin of c. 15% by 2015 31 Focus on Michigan Project Construction of a high-volume manufacturing plant to build advanced Lithium-Ion batteries for hybrid and electric vehicles To be built in Holland, Michigan, to serve existing and future North-American and other global customers Investment in this facility estimated at c. $ 300m, on a total program cost of c. $ 600m agreed by the DoE US Department of Energy funding details 50% funding from the DoE - up to $299m (including $13m for a supplier) - subject to successful contract negotiation Expected to be signed before year end Funding details from State of Michigan for the Holland facility Johnson Controls-Saft is also selected to receive a combination of tax credits and incentives up to $148.5m Total includes a $100m battery manufacturing sales refundable tax credit ($25m per year from 2012) Expected timeline Facility to start production for existing customers as early as 2011 and to be fully completed by 2012 Expected full production capacity c. $450m worth of sales per year Objectives: Company EBIT break-even expected by 2012-2013 with total sales of c. $175m 32 Johnson Controls-Saft: a Broad Portfolio of Clean Vehicle Projects Johnson Controls-Saft has been selected as supplier to blue-chip partners Vehicle Type Availability Mercedes HEV Now BMW HEV Early 2010 Ford PHEV 2012E Azure Dynamics HEV Q4 2010 Volkswagen EV N/A Selected for an EV fleet Jaguar / Land Rover HEV N/A Development as preliminary to production Ford / Azure EV N/A Commercial delivery vehicles Carmaker New projects Highlight First ever Li-ion HEV batteries to supply the “S-Class 400” “7-series”, to start production Q4 2009, available early 2010 First Ford plug-in hybrid vehicle on the market Commercial vehicles for the North-American market 33 Summary of Investment Plans & Related Funding $m Estimated gross investment 500 Estimated Jacksonville total investment 200 Grant from DoE (95.5 ) Funding by Saft 104.5 Estimated Michigan total investment Grant from DoE 300 (150) Funding by shareholders of Johnson Controls-Saft 150 Funding by Saft (49%) 73.5 Estimated total project cost for Saft * Excludes all local grants. 178 * 34 Conclusion 35 Saft’s Key Strengths to Address Li-ion Opportunities Li-ion technology mastership / R&D expertise Unrivalled knowledge of industrial batteries markets and applications An industrial expertise built over 90 years of activity An existing industrial capacity: Already $92m / €63m of profitable sales from Li-ion (FY 2008) Contracts for both Saft and Johnson Controls–Saft Highly skilled and motivated people and management DoE grants demonstrate Saft’s credibility High volume manufacturing facilities ready by 2011 36 Saft Ambitions Maintain clear global leadership with attractive market positioning Pursue high margin business and resilient cash flow generation to invest in innovative Li-ion markets with leading-edge applications Greenfield strategy in promising new activities backed by its mastership of the Li-ion technology Build-up on the already successful joint-venture with Johnson ControlsSaft, supported by prestigious customers Duplicate this success story to be a pioneer in the energy storage thanks to its worldwide leadership of the Li-ion technology 37 Additional Materials 38 Example of Saft Projects Guadeloupe demonstration project 15 sites with 2.5 kWp PV and 11 kWh Li-ion batteries Enhanced power quality, Displacement of fossil generation Batteries all delivered. First systems installed and working well Saft and ABB project with EDF Energy UK Integration of Li-ion into SVC Light pilot system 200 kWh, 600 kW / 15 min. Operation to 5.8 kV Grid stabilisation. Voltage and power control Sol-ion project Partnered with Conergy & Tenesol 75 systems 5 -15 kWh in residences in France & Germany in 2009 / 2010 Saft Solar smart grid inverter project Partnered with Apollo Solar and funded by US DoE The c. 10kwh batteries designed by Saft will provide energy storage enabling solar energy to be effectively time shifted to match peak energy demand consumption