Full Proposals for International Polar Year 2007

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IPY: Full Proposal Details (Printer Friendly Version)
http://www.ipy.org/development/eoi/proposal-details-print.php?id=99
Full Proposals for International Polar Year
2007-2008 Activities
Proposed IPY Activity Details
1.0 PROPOSER INFORMATION
(Activity ID No: 99)
1.1 Title of Activity
Ozone layer and UV radiation in a changing climate evaluated during IPY
1.2 Short Form Title of Proposed Activity
ORACLE-O3
1.3 Activity Leader Details
Peter von der Gathen
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research
Germany
1.4 Lead International Organisation(s) (if applicable)
NULL
NULL
NULL
NULL
1.5 Other Countries involved in the activity
Denmark
Argentina
Australia
Austria
Belgium
Canada
Czechia
Finland
France
Greece
Iceland
Italy
Japan
New Zealand
Norway
Poland
1.6 Expression of Intent ID #'s brought together in this proposed activity
542, 566, 28, 222, 312, 322, 371, 425, 438, 720, 808, 833, 919, 923
1.7 Location of Field Activities
Bipolar
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1.8 Which IPY themes are addressed
1. Current state of the environment
2. Change in the polar regions
3. Polar-global linkages/tele-connections
4. Exploring new frontiers
5. The polar regions as vantage points
6. The human dimension in polar regions
1.9 What is the main IPY target addressed by this activity
1. Natural or social science
2.0 SUMMARY OF THE ACTIVITY
The depletion of the polar ozone layer is one of the strongest anthropogenic signals in the earth
system. The IPY will approximately take place during the period of peak concentrations of
man-made ozone depleting substances in the region of the ozone layer. It is also the time when
potential effects from climate change, e.g. changes in temperature, water vapour abundances,
and/or circulation, might begin to manifest in the stratosphere and influence ozone recovery. In
April 2005, nearly eighteen years after the signing of the Montreal Protocol (MP), ozone loss is
as severe as ever over the Arctic, and the timing and extent of ozone recovery is uncertain.
Depletion of stratospheric ozone in polar regions has greatly enhanced harmful UV radiation in
the affected areas at times of the year when ecosystems are vulnerable. The state of the polar
stratosphere, and its future development will be, therefore, a major source of concern, both for
circumpolar communities and people living at lower latitudes in the International Polar Year
(IPY) and for decades thereafter. The project will be divided into seven main activities: 1) ozone
loss (detection and impact on UV radiation, 2) PSC (polar stratospheric clouds) and cirrus, 3)
atmospheric chemistry, 4) UV radiation, 5) ozone and climate change and feedback, 6) data
management, and 7) education, outreach and communication.
The project implies precisely quantification of polar ozone losses in both hemispheres achieved
with concerted international campaigns during which hundreds of ozonesondes will be launched
in real-time coordination from station networks in the Arctic and Antarctic. Satellite coverage of
ozone and ozone depleting substances will be unprecedented during the IPY, and data from
satellites such as ENVISAT, Aura, ACE, Odin, POAM III and SAGE III will be used in a novel
approach that combines these measurements with groundbased station data.
Understanding ozone depletion requires an understanding of PSCs which are known to initiate
ozone depletion through heterogeneous reactions and enhance ozone depletion through removal
of nitric acid (denitrification) by cloud sedimentation. Chemical, microphysical, and optical
properties of polar cloud particles and gas phase species will be obtained in-situ and remotely
from stratospheric balloons and several aircraft, including the high altitude research aircraft
Geophysica during a major Arctic field campaign. Complementary particle information will be
gained by lidar observations from several Arctic and Antarctic NDSC (Network for the Detection
of Stratospheric Change) research stations, including the development of PSC detection
capabilities with the satellite borne CALIPSO lidar.
During the project ground-based observations will be performed at many Arctic and Antarctic
NDSC-stations by means of remote sensing instruments operating in the infrared, UV/Vis and
microwave spectral regions to measure the seasonal and long-term variability of ozone, water
vapour, and numerous key ozone-related trace gases in the stratosphere, in addition to
tropospheric pollutants, greenhouse gases, and biomass burning. Radiosonde, lidar and satellite
will provide measurements of wind and temperatures in the troposphere, stratosphere and
mesosphere. The project also comprehends monitoring of UV-, visible, and infrared radiation and
ground/sea/ice albedo in various high latitude stations in the northern and southern hemisphere
together with modelling studies of ozone and UV in these regions, including an epidemiological
study of personal UV exposure.
Integration of field data and process studies within a modelling framework will enable predictions
the future evolution of the ozone layer as well as the potential feedback on the future polar
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climate. The modelling efforts will focus on assimilating the observations to yield a
comprehensive understanding that can both reproduce the observed circulation and chemical
evolution and predict the Arctic and Antarctic middle atmosphere response to changes in the
circulation and atmospheric chemistry. Atmospheric effects of manifestations of solar activity as
the short-term changes of the cosmic ray intensity, variations of the interplanetary electric field
and variations of the solar UV-irradiation will be included. Interactively coupled
chemistry-climate models (CCMs) of the troposphere and the stratosphere will be used to
investigate past and to assess future changes of climate and atmospheric chemical composition at
higher geographical latitudes of the Earth¡Çs atmosphere, particularly of ozone recovery in the
stratosphere. Related changes of solar ultraviolet (UV) radiation will be determined.
Some of the activities are part of existing long-term observations of several key species in the
Arctic. More information can be found in the particular Expressions of Intent.
2.1 What is the evidence of inter-disciplinarity in this activity?
The experimental and modelling research on the ozone layer, UV radiation and the effects of
personal UV exposure brings the science fields of physics/meteorology, chemistry,
biology/medicine, and mathematics together.
2.2 What will be the significant advances/developments from this activity? What will be
the major deliverables? What are the outputs for your peers?
The state of the ozone layer and the UV radiation in both polar regions during a time period when
the contents of ozone destroying components in the stratosphere are expected to be near the
maximum will be monitored. This takes place with a large suit of instruments which complement
each other in space and time resolution (e.g. ground based instruments, ozonesondes, air-borne
instruments, satellites). New insights in the formation of Polar Stratospheric Clouds will be
found. Deficits in our current understanding of ozone loss processes will be investigated. The
results and further investigations will be used to improve the prediction of future ozone and UV
level including ozone recovery. A comprehensive public information system will inform the
public about the state of the polar ozone layer and the seasonal development of the Antarctic
ozone hole throughout the project. The project will establish foundations for future data products
on UV and visible radiation which in turn will facilitate for upgraded operational products
including a variety of biologically effective doses. The research shall be of practical use for
people living in polar regions. More details can be found in the EoIs. Major deliverables will be a
huge amount of data in accessible data bases as well as talks presented during high-rank
conferences and workshops and papers published in peer-reviewed journals. One of the
workshops is part of this activity.
2.3 Outline the geographical location(s) for the proposed field work (approximate
coordinates will be helpful if possible)
Locations
Ozonesonde station network in Arctic, sub-Arctic and Antarctic
Polar NDSC stations
US NSF Polar Programs UV monitoring network
Andenes, Barrow, Longyearbyen
Summit Camp, Tromso
Dome C, Kohnen, Palmer, Scott Base
Troll, Ushuaia, Vostok, Wasa/Aboa
Patagonian region
Coordindates
More than 40 stations
2.4 Define the approximate timeframe(s) for proposed field activities?
Arctic Fieldwork time frame(s)
01/05 - 02/09
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Antarctic Fieldwork time frame(s)
01/05 - 12/08
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2.5 What major logistic support/facilities will be required for this project?
Existing field stations
Snow terrain vehicles
Fixed wing geophysical aircraft
Icebreaker
Fixed wing transport aircraft
Helicopters
Observatories
Further details – Satellites High performance computer Large hangars
2.6 How will the required logistics be supplied? Have operators been approached?
Source of logistic support
Consortium of national polar operators
Own national polar operator
Another national polar operator
National agency
Military support
Commercial operator
Own support
Other
Likely potential sources
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Y
Support agreed
2.7 If working in the Arctic regions, has there been contact with local indigenous groups
or relevant authorities regarding access?
3.0 STRUCTURE OF THE ACTIVITY
3.1 Origin of the activity
This is a pulse of activity during 2007-2009 within an existing programme
If part of an existing programme please name the programme – SCOUT-O3 and others
3.2 How will the activity be organised and managed? Describe the proposed management
structure and means for coordinating across the cluster
The project will be managed by a management committee with members from each of the EoI's.
The project will be divided into seven main activities: 1) ozone loss (detection and impact on UV
radiation, 2) PSC and cirrus, 3) atmospheric chemistry, 4) UV radiation, 5) ozone and climate
change and feedback, 6) data management, and 7) education, outreach and communication.
Activity leaders will be responsible for the scientific leadership of the project. The activity leaders
and contact persons for very big experiments (e.g. aircraft) will also be members of the
management committee. The project complements the European Commission funded Integrated
Project Stratosphere-Climate Links With Emphasis On The UTLS (SCOUT-O3) which mainly
focuses on chemical-, cloud-, and transport-processes in the tropical upper troposphere/lower
stratosphere (UTLS) and the influence on the ozone layer at mid-latitudes, including the pole
ward transport of water vapour. The coordinator and several of the management committee
members or activity
leaders are or intend to be represented in the Executive Committee of SCOUT-O3 or vise versa.
The project will take advantage of the SCOUT-O3 management structure including its science
planning, workshops and conferences, data management, and public outreach. Together the two
projects will constitute the current most comprehensive scientific effort for investigations of
process influencing the ozone layer at a global scale reaching from the tropics over mid-latitudes
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to the poles.
ORACLE-O3 forms part the sub-cluster 4.1 on Clouds, aerosol and chemical composition.
Beyond regular email corresponding it has been agreed that within this sub-cluster there will be
meetings of the project leads in order to foster collaboration between the different activities. It is
also proposed to have joint workshops and after the main field phase joint publication in journal
special sections involving several activities where appropriate.
3.3 Will the activity leave a legacy of infrastructure and if so in what form?
The instruments operated in the frame of the project have the vocation to be continued after the
IPY time frame for the survey of the recovery of the ozone layer. This will lead
to permanent high quality measurement programmes in both polar regions as well as an improved
operational radiation database, and foundations for widely available radiation data products.
Enhanced hangar and other airport facilities at Longyearbyen will be beneficial to future Arctic
research, based on aircraft, also beyond the IPY leading to a new long term observing platform
with technical capabilities not found at such high latitudes anywhere else. Used CCMs will be
part of so called Earth System models, which are currently under development. Model validation
will improve quality control of upcoming campaigns.
3.4 Will the activity involve nations other than traditional polar nations? How will this be
addressed?
Many involved nations do have no territories in polar regions. Some nations like e.g. Greece
don't have even polar stations.
3.5 Will this activity be linked with other IPY core activities? If yes please specify
This activity will be linked with other core activities mainly of the Topic "Clouds, aerosols and
atmospheric chemistry", i.e. POLARCAT, SYNSCOPE (to be submitted to the 30 September
deadline), AICI, ATMOPOL, OASIS, ArCDiv.
3.6 How will the activity manage its data? Is there a viable plan and which data
management organisations/structures will be involved?
Data will be managed according to the overall IPY data policy. Data management, data protocol,
and data storage will be made compatible to the SCOUT-O3 data management (including data
storage at the NILU database). There is a 15 year long tradition in data management based on
many big European and combined European/American stratospheric field experiments. The
project will use this experience. Additional groundbased observational data will be stored at the
NDSC database and the European UV database (EUVDB), and ozone and UV data will be also
submitted to the WMO WOUDC data base.
3.7 Data Policy Agreement
Will this activity sign up to the IPY draft Data Policy (see website)
Yes
3.8 How will the activity contribute to developing the next generation of polar scientists,
logisticians, etc.?
Many PhD students and post-doc positions will be associated with the project.
Collaboration with the local university at Svalbard will be considered.
3.9 How will this activity address education, outreach and communication issues outlined
in the Framework document?
The project will be presented on the internet partly in interactive form, and news media will be
informed by press releases and invited during campaign activities and open-day arrangements.
On institute level the public will be informed during open-day events, too, as well as through
lectures in schools. Beyond these direct contacts a comprehensive public information system will
inform the public about the state of the polar ozone layer and the seasonal development of the
Antarctic ozone hole throughout the project in particular in Southern South America. The public
will be able to follow, in real time, the course of polar air masses which have been exposed to
ozone loss on their way to mid-latitudes. The societies living in polar regions will be informed
about actual UV levels. In general we intend to embed many of these activities in the initiative
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"Environmental Science Published for Everybody Round the Earth" (ESPERE) which is an
international educational network driven by climate scientists and pedagogues
(http://www.espere.net).
The behaviour of polar stratospheric ozone, and its consequences on the earth's environment and
the polar ecosystems will be targeted in a major workshop within IPY. The main topics of the
proposed workshop are listed as follows: 1. Status of research based on long term studies going
back to the IGY: Satellite and ground based observations, modeling. UV changes and impact.
Policy issues. 2. Current challenges: Ozone depletion at northern latitudes, climate-chemistry
interactions/links, regional to hemispheric scale ozone pollution (air quality links). 3. Ozone
recovery and links to climate change: Modeling and observational systems (satellite, ground
based), detection of recovery, precursor scenarios. The future. 4. Impact on polar ecosystems and
policy issues.
Results from the project will be published in open scientific journals and presented at
international conferences.
3.10 What are the proposed sources of funding for this activity?
For some activities funding is already secured. However, for major parts of the projects
proposals will be or have already been submitted to national agencies and the EU. In order to
fund the overall management activities like dedicated workshops, travels, etc. an EU proposal for
a COST action will be submitted.
3.11 Additional Comments
1.5: Further involved countries: Russia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, The Netherlands, UK,
USA
2.3: Some of the ozonesonde and NDSC stations are also the place for other activities, i.e.
Eureka, Jokioinen, Ny-Ålesund, Reykjavik, Sodankylä, Søndre Strømfjord, Thule, Belgrano,
Davis, Dumont d'Urville, Marambio, McMurdo, Neumayer, South Pole, Syowa.
2.6: In general: some operators have been some have not been approached yet.
3.1: This question cannot be answered simple, since some sub-activies are new. There are also
lots of existing programmes involved.
This project has been endorsed by the International Ozone Committee (IO3C), the World
Meteorological Organisation/Global Atmosphere Watch (WMO/GAW), the Network for the
Detection of Stratospheric Change (NDSC) and the integrated EU funded project
Stratosphere-Climate Links With Emphasis On The UTLS (SCOUT-O3).
4.0 CONSORTIUM INFORMATION
4.1 Contact Details
Lead Contact
Dr Peter von der Gathen
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine Research
Research Department Potsdam Telegrafenberg A43 D-14473 Potsdam
D-14473
Germany
Tel:
-2698
Mobile: N/A
Fax:
-2748
Email:
[email protected]
Second Contact
Dr Niels Larsen
Danish Meteorological Institute
Lyngbyvej 100 DK-2100 Copenhagen
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DK-2100
Denmark
Tel:
-11284
Mobile: N/A
Fax:
-11330
Email: [email protected]
4.2 Other significant consortium members and their affiliation
Name
Prof. Eduardo Quel
Prof. Ruben Piacentini
Dr. Jorge Araujo
Dr. Nicholas Jones
Dr. Gary Burns
Dr. Andrew Klekociuk
Prof. Dr. M. Blumthaler
Dr. Stana Simic
Dr. Dominique Fonteyn
Dr. Hugo De Backer
Prof. Peter Bernath
Prof. Theodore Shepherd
Dr. Hans Fast
Dr. Pavla Skrivankova
Dr. Paul Eriksen
Dr. Signe B. Andersen
Dr. Bjørn Knudsen
Dr. Helge Jønch-Sørensen
Prof. Esko Kyrö
Dr. Outi Meinander
Dr. Leif Backman
Dr. Juha A Karhu
Dr. Jussi Kaurola
Dr. Petteri Taalas
Dr. Rigel Kivi
Dr. S. Godin-Beekmann
Dr. Christine David
Dr. Alain Hauchecorne
Dr. Florence Goutail
Mr. Julien Jumelet
Dr. Philippe Keckhut
Dr. Marion Marchand
Dr. Slimane Bekki
Dr. Roland Neuber
Dr. Markus Rex
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Organisation
Country
CEILAP (CITEFA-CONICET)
Argentina
IFIR (CONICET-Universidad Nacional de Rosario) Argentina
Instituto Antarctico Argentina
Argentina
University of Wollongong
Australia
Australian Antarctic Division
Australia
Australian Antarctic Division
Australia
University of Innsbruck
Austria
Universität für Bodenkultur
Austria
BIRA-IASB
Belgium
KMI-IRM
Belgium
University of Waterloo
Canada
University Toronto
Canada
MCS Toronto
Canada
CHMI
Czechia
Denmark
Denmark
Denmark
Denmark
Finnish Meteorological Institute
Finland
Finland
Finland
Finland
Finland
Finland
Finland
UPMC, Service d'Aéronomie
France
Service d'Aéronomie IPSL
France
France
Service d'Aéronomie du CNRS
France
France
France
France
France
Alfred Wegener Institute for Polar and Marine
Germany
Research
Germany
Research
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Dr. Ralph Lehmann
Research
Dr. Marion Müller
Research
Prof. Otto Schrems
Research
Dr. Franz Immler
Research
Dr. Sigrid Wuttke
Research
Dr. Gert König-Langlo
Research
Prof. Justus Notholt
University of Bremen
Prof. John Burrows
University of Bremen
Dr. Martin Dameris
DLR - Institute for Atmospheric physics
Dr. Christiane Voigt
Dr. Hans Schlager
Dr. Bernhard Mayer
Prof. Gunther Seckmeyer University of Hannover
Dr. Irina Smolskaia
University of Hannover
Dr. Ulrike Langematz
Freie Universität Berlin
Dr. Eberhard Reimer
Freie Universität Berlin
Dr. Christoph Brühl
Max-Planck-Institut für Chemie
Dr. C. Michael Volk
University of Frankfurt
Dr. Fred Stroh
Forschungszentrum Jülich
Dr. Birger Bohn
Dr. Rolf Müller
Dr. Jens-Uwe Grooss
Dr. Michael Höpfner
Forschungszentrum Karlsruhe
Dr. Michael Gerding
IAP Kühlungsborn
Mr. Hans Claude
German Weather Service
Mr. Horst Dier
German Weather Service
Prof. Christos Zerefos
University of Athens, Secretary of IO3C
Prof. Costas Varotsos
University of Athens
Prof. Alkis Bais
University of Thessaloniki
Dr. Hreinn Hjartarson
IMO Reykjavik
Dr. Ugo Cortesi
Institute for Applied Physics "Nello Carrara"
Dr. Francesco Cairo
IFA/CNR
Dr. Marcel Snels
IFA/CNR
Dr. Guido Di
ENEA-CLIM
Donfrancesco
Prof. Giorgio Fiocco
University of Roma "La Sapienza"
Dr. Daniele Fuà
Dr. Alcide di Sarra
Dr. Marco Cacciani
Dr. Giovanni Muscari
Prof. Guido Visconti
University of l'Aquila
Dr. Gianluca Redaelli
University of l'Aquila
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Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Germany
Greece
Greece
Greece
Iceland
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
Italy
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Dr. Giorgio Giovanelli
ISAC-CNR Bologna
Italy
Dr. Fabrizio Ravegnani
ISAC-CNR Bologna
Italy
Dr. Marco Cervina
ISAC-CNR Bologna
Italy
Prof. Kaoru Sato
National Institute of Polar Research
Japan
Prof. Takashi Yamanouchi National Institute of Polar Research
Japan
Dr. Naohiko Hirasawa
National Institute of Polar Research
Japan
Dr. Hideaki Nakajima
National Institute for Environmental Studies
Japan
Dr. Hideaki Nakane
National Institute for Environmental Studies
Japan
Dr. Isao Murata
Tohoku University
Japan
Dr. Steven Wood
National Institute of Water and Atmospheric
New Zealand
Research
Dr. Richard McKenzie
New Zealand
Research
Dr. Greg Bodecker
New Zealand
Research
Prof. Ivar Isaksen
University of Oslo, Chair of IO3C
Norway
Dr. Geir O.Braathen
Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Norway
Dr. Aasmund Fahre Vik Norwegian Institute for Air Research (NILU)
Norway
Dr. Georg Hansen
Norway
Dr. Yvan Orsolini
Norway
Dr. Ola Engelsen
Norway
Dr. Kerstin Stebel
Norway
Dr. Eiliv Lund
University of Tromsø
Norway
Dr. Jon Børre Ørbæk
Norwegian Polar Institute
Norway
Prof. Ulf Peter Hoppe
Forsvarets forskningsinstitutt
Norway
Dr. Zenobia Litynska
IMWM Warsaw
Poland
Dr. Vladimir Yushkov
Central Aerological Observatory
Dr. Valery Dorokhov
Central Aerological Observatory
Russia
Dr. Vladimir Radionov
Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute
Russia
Dr. Oleg Troshichev
Arctic and Antarctic Research Institute
Russia
Dr. Manuel Gil
INTA
Spain
Dr. Margarita Yela
INTA
Spain
Dr. Conchita Parrondo
INTA
Spain
Dr. Alberto Redondas
Observatorio Atmosferico de Izana
Spain
Prof. Sheila Kirkwood
Swedish Institute of Space Physics
Sweden
Prof. Donal Murtagh
Chalmers tekniska hogskola
Sweden
Dr. Lars-Erik Sarri
ESRANGE
Sweden
Prof. Niklaus Kämpfer
University of Bern
Switzerland
Dr. Dietrich Feist
University of Bern
Switzerland
Dr. Valentin Mitev
Observatory of Neuchatel
Switzerland
Dr. Pierre Viatte
MeteoSwiss Payerne
Switzerland
Dr. Rene Stübi
MeteoSwiss Payerne
Switzerland
Dr. Bram Bregman
KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute) The
Netherlands
Dr. Ankie Piters
KNMI (Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute) The
Netherlands
Dr. A. R. MacKenzie
Lancaster University
UK
Prof. John Pyle
Univ. Cambridge
UK
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Dr. Rod Jones
Dr. Neil Harris
Dr. Neal Butchart
Mr. David Moore
Dr. Martyn Chipperfield
Dr. Ken Carslaw
Dr. Brian Kerridge
Dr. J. J. Remedios
Dr. H. K. Roscoe
Dr. Ann Web
Dr. Geoff Toon
Dr. M. J. Mahoney
Dr. Michelle L. Santee
Dr. Ross Salawitch
Dr. Germar Bernhard
Dr. Edgar A. Bering III
Prof. Brian Tinsley
Prof. Terry Deshler
Dr. Jennifer Lynn Mercer
Dr. Chip Trepte
Dr. J. Herman
Dr. Francis J. Schmidlin
Dr. Richard Bevilacqua
Dr. Karl Hoppel
Dr. Jeff Thayer
Dr. Bryan Johnson
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Univ. Cambridge
European Ozone Research Coordinating Unit
UK Met. Office
UK Met. Office
University of Leeds
University of Leeds
Rutherford Appleton Lab
University of Leicester
British Antarctic Survey
University of Manchester
Jet Propulsion Laboratory
Biospherical Instruments
University of Houston
University of Texas at Dallas
University of Wyoming
University of Wyoming
NASA LaRC
NASA
NASA
Naval Research Laboratory
Naval Research Laboratory
University of Colorado
NOAA
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
UK
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
USA
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Full Proposals for International Polar Year 2007

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