SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING PREVISION DES
Transcription
SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING PREVISION DES
CENTRE AFRICAIN POUR LES APPLICATIONS DE LA METEOROLOGIE AU DEVELOPPEMENT Institution Africaine parrainée par la CEA AFRICAN CENTRE OF METEOROLOGICAL APPLICATIONS FOR DEVELOPMENT et l’OMM African Institution under the aegis of UNECA and WMO SEVERE WEATHER FORECASTING PREVISION DES CONDITIONS METEO A FORT IMPACT: PSN01- 478 th Date of issue / Etablie le: May, 13 2013 Ce bulletin donne une prévision à trois trois jours de l’occurrence de six phénomènes météorologiques météorologiques à fort impact (voir les indications ci après)) après This bulletin is a three days forecast for occurrences of six severe weather phenomena (see indications below) below) Phenomena Heavy Rainfall/ Phenoméne Strong wind/ Very high temperature Very low temperature Dust or Sand Wave vent fort Températures Températures Extrêmes Extrêmes Températures Températures Extrêmes Extrêmes Poussière ou vent de sable Vague en mer >20 kt Maxi > 40°C Visibility <5 Km >3m Fortes Pluies Threshold Seuil > 50mm en 24 heures Mini <0°C th AFFECTED AREAS MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 14 2013 Medium Confidence:South West CAR, North East DRC, Central Ethiopia, South East Uganda, South West Kenya, East Tanzania. Atmospheric dust Visibility < 5 Km Temperature > 40°C Nil. Atmospheric dust Visibility < 5 Km East Western Sahara, Mauritania, North Senegal, the major part of Mali, Central/South/West Algeria. Nil. Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low North east Algeria, North Chad, South Marocco. Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Medium Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low South-east off Coast of South Africa. Wave>3m 85, Avenue des Ministères : (227) 20 73 49 92 -- Fax : (227) 20 72 36 27 -- BP : 13184 Niamey- Niger : [email protected] -- Web : http//www.acmad.org th AFFECTED AREAS MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 15 2013 Atmospheric dust Visibility < 5 Km Medium Confidence:North Cameroon, South CAR, East DRC. Temperature >40°C Atmospheric dust Visibility < 5 Km Nil East Western Sahara, Mauritania, East Senegal, the major part of Mali, Central/South Algeria, Central Niger and Chad, West Libya, East/Central/Chad, East Soudan. Nil. Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low North Algeria, South West MArocco, North Chad. Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Medium Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low South off Coast of South Africa Wave>3m th AFFECTED AREAS MAP OF SW OCCURRENCE ON May, 16 2013 Temperature >40°C Medium Confidence: South-east Nigeria, South-west/North Cameroon, South CAR, Central Ethiopia, East Kenya. Nil. Temperature >40°C Central Algeria, East Western Sahara, South Mauritania, North Mali, East/Central Niger, North Chad, East Soudan. Nil. Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Medium Rainfall > 50mm/24h Confidence: Low Nil. South off Coast of South Africa. Wave>3m 85, Avenue des Ministères : (227) 20 73 49 92 -- Fax : (227) 20 72 36 27 -- BP : 13184 Niamey- Niger : [email protected] -- Web : http//www.acmad.org