Ocean-atmosphere coupling for prediction of Mediterranean heavy
Transcription
Ocean-atmosphere coupling for prediction of Mediterranean heavy
Ocean-atmosphere coupling for prediction of Mediterranean heavy precipitation events: better modeling and impacts of river run-off and sea state 3-y PhD Position Place : CNRM, Toulouse, France The Western Mediterranean regions are prone to heavy precipitation. Daily rainfall amounts above 150 mm are not uncommon, possibly leading to flash-flooding. The marine strong winds that frequently prevail during heavy precipitation events increase the evaporation from the Mediterranean Sea and transport towards the coastal regions low-level moist air that feeds the heavy precipitation systems. The low-level strong winds also disturb the coastal upper-ocean circulation and contribute sometimes to accentuate flooding by the swell and waves. For instance, a major precipitation event occurred in December 2003 leading to a historical flooding over Southern France, with the Rhône river peaking to 13000m 3/s. The strong south to southeasterly winds (gusts up to 100-150km/h), associated with high waves (up to 8m) and storm surge (~0.8m) disturbed the Rhône river run-off at Sea and accentuated the flooding. HyMeX (www.hymex.org) is an international research program devoted to the understanding of the Mediterranean water cycle with emphasis on high-impact weather events in order to better predict them. Within the framework of HyMeX, CNRM designed fine-scale coupled modeling systems in order to better understand the interactions between atmosphere, sea and continental hydrology and their role in producing heavy precipitation events and associated impacts (Lebeaupin Brossier, 2007 ; Vincendon, 2010). During the recent years, a coupled ocean-atmosphere model at kilometric resolution over the western Mediterranean has been developed, based on the MétéoFrance operational atmospheric model AROME (Seity et al., 2011; Fourrié et al., 2015) and the NEMO ocean model (Madec, 2008). The impact of the coupling on the prediction of two heavy precipitation events observed during the first HyMeX field campaign in autumn 2012 (Ducrocq et al., 2014) has been assessed (Rainaud, 2015). The overarching objective of the PhD project is to improve the understanding and modeling of the atmosphere-ocean-waves-continental hydrology coupled processes during heavy precipitation and flash-flooding events through: (i) A better modeling of the river discharges and run-off in the AROME-NEMO coupled modeling system through interfacing the system with high-frequency and fine scale observations and analyzed discharges, combined with a better description of the vertical run-off. The aim is to better represent the fresh water input to the sea and the main river plumes such as the Rhône one and their impact on the ocean circulation. The study will investigate the impacts on the local ocean stratification, the turbulence within and at the edge of the river plume, the upper-ocean currents near the river mouth, specifically during and just after a flash-flooding event. (ii) A better modeling of the waves effect in the AROME-NEMO coupled modeling system. As a first step, the waves will be taken into account in the estimation of the air-sea turbulent fluxes using wave effect parameterizations as in Thévenot et al. (2015). Then, the integration of the Météo-France operational wave model MFWAM to the AROME-NEMO system will allow to examine the coupled processes between ocean-waves-atmosphere-river run-off for several case studies from HyMeX. Ocean and atmospheric water and heat budgets will be used to analyze the coupled processes during heavy precipitation and flash-flooding events. Supervisors Dr Cindy Lebeaupin Brossier, Dr Marie-Noëlle Bouin (HDR), Dr Véronique Ducrocq (HDR) About CNRM and the PhD Funding The French National Center for Meteorological Researches (CNRM, www.cnrm-game-meteo.fr), affiliated as a joint research Unit (UMR 3589) to Météo-France and CNRS, account eighty researchers and hundred and fifty engineers, technicians and administration staff. CNRM hosts between fifteen to twenty new doctoral students each year. The PhD project is submitted to the doctoral research support of the Languedoc-Roussillon MidiPyrenees Region for a half grant, the other half is funded by Météo-France. Qualifications and experience required Candidates are expected to have a Master-of-Science-equivalent university degree when they start their Ph.D. project, preferably related to ocean physics, atmospheric sciences or geophysics. The candidates should be under 35 years of age. Good communication skills in both written and spoken English, good experience in scientific programming and interest in numerical simulations on supercomputers are seeking. Application: Candidates should send a Curriculum Vitae and copies of education certificates including university transcripts of grades, a cover letter describing background, training and research interests and the contact information of two referees to: [email protected] and [email protected] Application deadline is April 27, 2016. References Ducrocq, V., et al, 2014: HyMeX-SOP1, the field campaign dedicated to heavy precipitation and flash-flooding in Northwestern Mediterranean. Bull. Amer. Meteorol. Soc., 95,1083–1100, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-12-00244.1 Fourrié, N., E. Bresson, M. Nuret, C. Jany, P. Brousseau, A. Doerenbecher, M. Kreitz, O. Nuissier, E. Sevault, H. Bénichou, M. Amodei, F. Pouponneau, 2015 : AROME-WMED, a real-time mesoscale model designed for HyMeX Special Observation Periods. Geosci. Model Dev., 8, 1919-1941, doi :10.5194/gmd-8-1919-2015. Lebeaupin Brossier, C., 2007: Etude du couplage océan-atmosphère associé aux épisodes de pluie intense en région méditerranéenne. PhD. Thesis, Univ. P. Sabatier, Toulouse. Lebeaupin Brossier, C., T. Arsouze, K. Béranger, M-N. Bouin, E. Bresson, V. Ducrocq, H. Giordani, M. Nuret, R. Rainaud, I. Taupier-Letage, 2014: Ocean mixed layer responses to intense meteorological events during HyMeXSOP1 from a high-resolution ocean simulation. Ocean Modelling, 84, 84-103. Madec , G., 2008: NEMO ocean engine, Note du pole de modélisation, Institut Pierre Simon Laplace (IPSL), France, N° 27 ISSN N° 1288-1619. Oost, W. A., G. J. Komen, C. M. K. Jacobs, C. Van Oort, 2002: new evidence for a relation between wind stress and wave age from measurement during ASGAMAGE. Bound. Lay. Meteorol., 103 (3), 409-438. Rainaud, R., 2015: Modélisation couplée océan-atmosphère pour l’étude des évènements météorologiques intenses en Méditerranée occidentale. PhD. Thesis, Univ. P. Sabatier, Toulouse. Seity, Y., P. Brousseau, S. Malardel, G. Hello, P. Bénard, F. Bouttier, C. Lac, V. Masson, 2011 : The AROME-France convective scale operational model. Mon. Wea. Rev., 139, 976-991. Thévenot, O., M-N. Bouin, V. Ducrocq, C. Lebeaupin Brossier, O. Nuissier, J. Pianezze, F. Duffourg, 2015 : Influence of the sea state on Mediterranean heavy precipitation: a case study from HyMeX SOP1. Quart. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., doi :10.1002/qj.2660. Vincendon, B., 2010 : Apport des modèles météorologiques de résolution kilométrique pour la prévision des crues rapides méditerranéennes : vers une prévision d'ensemble des débits en région Cévennes-Vivarais, PhD. Thesis, Univ. P. Sabatier, Toulouse.