Top@Lon 2009

Transcription

Top@Lon 2009
Top@Lon 2009
Energy Efficiency and Building Controls
The Role & Position of LON in the European
Markets for BAS
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
Top@Lon 2009
About Frost & Sullivan
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
Introduction: Frost & Sullivan
ƒ Un cabinet d’études et de conseil en stratégie de croissance
ƒ 40 ans d’expérience
ƒ Une organisation par secteur d’expertise à travers 8 divisions
ƒ 1700 Analystes et Consultants spécialisés par secteur à travers le monde
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Introduction: Frost & Sullivan
ƒ Plus de 30 bureaux dans le monde Ö une couverture mondiale et une expertise locale
Oxford
Warsaw
London
Frankfurt
Paris
Sophia Milan
Antipolis
Dubai
Toronto
Palo Alto
New York
San Antonio
Seoul
Beijing
Calcutta
Tokyo
Shanghai
Bangalore
Mumbai Delhi
Chennai
Kuala-Lumpur
Singapore
Mexico City
Bogota
Sao Paulo
Buenos Aires
Sydney
Cape-Town
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Building Technologies & Services
ƒ Présentation de nos domaines d’expertise…
Energy Efficiency
Fire & Safety
•
•
•
•
•
• Green Buildings
• Home Automation
• Building Automation & Controls
• HVAC & HVAC Controls
• Micro-Renewables
Technologies
Products
Installation
Services
O&M etc.
• Fire & Life Safety
• Fire Detection
• Fire Suppression
• Evacuation & Notification
• Lighting & Lighting Controls
• Systems Integration
• Refrigeration Technology
• Technology Convergence
• Refrigeration Controls
Facilities Management
• Communication protocols
•
•
•
•
•
•
Asset Management
Security Services
Onsite Utility Services
Integrated Facilities Management
Performance Contracting
Energy Management
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Building Technologies & Services:
Etudes de Marché et Analyses Technologiques
ƒ Quelques Exemples d’études…
 North American BAS Services Market (2009)
 Growth Opportunities for Smart Buildings Markets
ƒ Etudes en Préparation…
 Building Automation Systems Protocol Analysis
 IP Convergence and Integration in the BAS, Fire
in Europe (2009)
 European Lighting Controls Systems Markets
Â
(2008)
Â
 Energy Efficient Lighting Controls Market in North Â
America (2008)
Â
 European Non-Residential HVAC Controls Markets
Â
- A Growing Emphasis on Open Protocols and
System Houses (2008)
Â
Â
Â
Â
Â
Â
North American Intelligent Buildings Market (2007) Â
Â
European Home Automation Markets (2007)
Â
Building Energy Management Systems (2007)
Â
Open Building Information Exchange (2007)
Â
Â
IP Protocols on Building Automation (2007)
and Security Market
Opportunities for Smart Buildings in Europe
European Building Automation Systems Market
The South African Lighting Controls Markets
Sub Saharan African Markets for HVAC
South African Building Automation and Control
Systems and Services Markets
NA BAS Protocols & Controls Market
NA BAS Installation and Services Markets
NA BAS Wireless Networks Markets
NA Green HVAC Solutions Market
India Lighting Controls & Systems Markets
Chinese HVAC Market
Chinese HVAC Controls Market
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Top@Lon 2009
Building Automation Systems
Overview
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
Merci
Je veux personnellement remercier
Mme Reka Szanto
De Frost & Sullivan UK
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Overview of the European BAS Products Market
ƒ A Building Automation System (BAS) is designed and implemented to monitor and control the
various building services, from heating to security to lighting. It optimizes the operations of the
various equipment by monitoring environmental conditions within the premises to minimize energy
consumption, but simultaneously maintain a desired level of comfort.
ƒ A network of controllers tied to one or ore operator
workstations.
ƒ Substations communicate with control components via
protocols.
ƒ All functions are controlled by a single or low number
of central control units.
ƒ The European market for BAS products is mature
with moderate growth rates.
ƒ Major drivers include the increase in energy costs,
the growing demand for better working environment
and the emphasis on climate change.
ƒ The market is highly dependent on energy efficiency
(EE) related legislation as well as the health of the
construction market.
Source: www.reliant.com
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Overview of the European BAS Products Market
12,800
1,800
12,600
12,400
1,700
12,200
1,600
12,000
11,800
1,500
11,600
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
11,400
2006
1,400
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Ä
ƒ The emergence of open systems and
wireless systems resulted in increased
flexibility in system designs, cost savings as
well as widened product functionalities,
benefitting customers in many aspects.
13,000
2005
ƒ The BAS market is a highly competitive and
concentrated market with high level of
consolidation.
13,200
units
1,900
2004
ƒ In terms of end-users commercial applications
account for the largest revenue share.
revenues (m USD)
2003
ƒ The largest market is Germany, followed by the
Scandinavian region.
2,000
2002
ƒ Also a key element of integration into smart
grids. Integration and IP networking remain
major trends in commercial sector.
Total BAS Products Market:Revenue Forecast (2007)
2001
ƒ Hit by weak construction in 2009, but
underlying drivers are strong due to pivotal role
in controlling energy consumption.
Building Controls
2007
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
2008
2009
2010
2011
Overview of the European BAS Products Market
The BAS Products Market: Percent of Revenues
by Geographic Regions (2007)
8%
10%
31%
The BAS Products Market: Percent of
Revenues by End-user Sectors (2007)
30%
57%
17%
13%
8%
Germany
Scandinavia
15%
11%
UK
Benelux
France
ROE
Commercial
Industrial
Governmental
Italy
Source: Frost & Sullivan
ƒ The three largest markets, Germany, Scandinavia and the UK, accounted for almost 2/3 of the total
market revenues in 2007.
ƒ Products for domestic use were not considered due to their insignificant proportion, however, there is a
real growth opportunity in this sector.
ƒ The Industrial sector is highly mature and its share in the total market is expected to decline
ƒ Growth in the Industrial sector is mainly due to legislation.
ƒ The public sector is highly dependant on budget allocation.
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Related Published & Upcoming Studies
ƒ IP Convergence and Integration in the BAS,
Fire and Security Market (to be published)
ƒ NA BAS Protocols Market
ƒ Opportunities for Smart Buildings in Europe
ƒ NA BAS Installation and Services Markets
ƒ European Building Automation Systems
Market (to be published)
ƒ NA BAS Wireless Networks Markets
ƒ The South African Lighting Controls Markets
ƒ Sub Saharan African Markets for HVAC
ƒ The South African Building Automation and
Control Systems and Services Markets
ƒ NA BAS Controls Market
ƒ NA Green HVAC Solutions Market
ƒ India Lighting Controls & Systems Markets
ƒ Chinese HVAC Market
ƒ Chinese HVAC Controls Market
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Top@Lon 2009
European Protocol Trends in Building
Automation
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
The Need for Standard Protocols
Past
•
•
•
•
•
Main concern to control the building
Proprietary communication protocols
End-user locked in
No compatibility within systems
Building subsystems operate separately
Present and Future
•
•
•
•
•
Energy efficiency above all
Standard communication protocols
Mix and match of the best
Integration of building subsystems
Truly open systems
ƒ Traditionally BASs would operate separately. As the systems from different manufacturers were not
compatible, facility owners had a difficult task if wanted to improve the performance of their premises.
ƒ Systems based on open communication standards could add value to the building. End-users can
choose the best available options and get the most out of their control systems to achieve a more
energy efficient, and therefore greener building.
ƒ There are more than one protocol to choose from, each with different functionalities. By the mix and
match of the best products and systems, best suiting one’s needs, the project can build on the
strengths of the different products using different vendors if necessary or preferred.
ƒ However, the concept does not necessarily translates into deployment in reality. The majority of
end-users would still only use products from a single supplier, even though the products themselves
are enabled to be connected to other manufacturers’ products.
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
The Need for Standard Protocols
ƒ Increasing demand for managing the entire building as an integrated system to make most of the
benefits on offer.
ƒ Communication protocols: a set of rules, message structures and the treatment of these codes and
structures, which provide rules for data and information exchange over a computer network.
ƒ Above all, they allow systems from multiple vendors to exchange information and synchronize
equipment to achieve optimum building performance.
ƒ Open protocols allow various products regardless their manufacturer to actively and interoperably
communicate information on a common network.
ƒ The levels of services offered by open protocols can differ from basic data sharing to more advances
services, such as scheduling or alarming.
Proprietary Protocols
•
•
•
•
In the past, protocols were specific to the
equipment manufacturer.
They were initially developed for
intercommunication with different components of
the same manufacturer’s system.
Systems based on proprietary protocols only allow
forward and backward compatibility with the
system of the same manufacturer.
Remains a choice for smaller installations
Non- Proprietary/ Open Protocols
•
•
•
•
Any products embedded with open protocol
technology can communicate directly with any
other product enabled with the same
communications protocol regardless the
manufacturer.
The most commonly used open protocols are
BACnet and LonWorks.
Others include TCP/IP, KNX, ModBus and
Ethernet.
Disadvantage: a standard system is sometimes
less customised
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
BACnet and LonWorks
ƒ BACnet, introduced in 1995 by ASHREA aimed to standardise communication between building automation
devices and systems from different vendors. Although it was originally developed for purely HVAC
applications, today BACnet applications include other building services from lighting to fire safety to security.
ƒ LonWorks, developed by Echelon as an open platform for networked devices, is based on the LonTalk
protocol. Each LonWorks compatible device must contain the proprietary Neuron Chip, although it can be
sourced from more than one supplier.
BACnet
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Specifically developed for building automation by a
wide group of industry professionals
Software based protocol
Network medium independent
Used for system-to-system integration
More suitable for management and automation
levels where a lot of processing is needed
Easier to engineer and commission
Cannot be changed without public consultation
LonWorks
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
Designed by using a bottom-up approach
Not limited to a specific application area, provides a
wider fit in terms of building applications
Best solution for device level integration
More common at field level
More can be achieved with it, but more complex to
set up
Need for more wiring
Creates a flat network architecture
The choice is down to which system can deliver the best value in a particular installation
• Each has its own merits and limitations
• Both has operational and economic benefits and therefore can complement each other
• In most cases a system would be a combination of the protocols
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
BACnet and LonWorks: What is Used in Reality?
ƒ BACnet and LonWorks are tend to overlap with and converge to each other.
ƒ Both are standardised Æ customers have a choice when selecting a system.
ƒ The choice is subjective and depends on various factors from the level of integration required in a
particular room/area to future expansion plans.
ƒ Successful implementation depends on system design, requires a knowledgeable vendor to make
the right technology choices to achieve ease of operation and maintenance as well as to
accommodate future expansion needs.
ƒ Even though the technology exist, customers are not fully educated and still more likely to ask for a
specific brand, then a system which is based on open protocols.
ƒ The majority of new installations would still use products of a sole manufacturer, even though the
system is open.
ƒ Therefore the question today is not about the split between open and proprietary or between
the standard protocols, but the level of integration.
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
BACnet and LonWorks: What is Used in Reality?
Geographical differences:
ƒ France and the Benelux are typical LON markets
ƒ UK: BACnet is very popular
It means that in Germany,
commercial end-users tend
to follow what is used by
public buildings and that is
BACnet
ƒ Germany: BACnet, due to strong push by public organisations, the country also has an influence on the
rest of Europe
ƒ South of Europe: mixed picture
ƒ New installations:
ƒ BACnet, LON or KNX
ƒ The majority of systems have the potential to be open, but only one in ten is believed to
be truly open, i.e. using third party devices
ƒ Refurbishments:
ƒ Depends whether it is possible to switch to open systems or it is too expensive
Reality: Many systems are open, but all parts come from the same manufacturer!
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Top@Lon 2009
Standard Protocols and Energy
Efficiency
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
Energy Efficiency and Communication Protocols
ƒ If all systems in a building can work together from heating to fire & security to lighting Æ the result is
the highest achievable comfort level.
ƒ In terms of technology, the possibility is there to achieve that. For instance, the light and airconditioning can be switched off if the room becomes unoccupied.
ƒ Building controls can play a huge role in making commercial buildings more energy efficient
ƒ However, effective control depends on real time knowledge of the internal environment.
ƒ The true value of BAS from the end-users’ point of view:
ƒ Simplified operation
ƒ Better coordination of the systems
ƒ Remote access to data at any time
ENERGY EFFICIENT BUILDING
ƒThe solution is interoperability, when all equipment associated with different building systems work
together, regardless of the manufacturer, even though multiple protocols exist within a building.
ƒThe best way is an open system, where the protocol language is shared between the various vendors
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Top@Lon 2009
The road ahead:
Smart Technologies
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants – 17 Novembre 2009 – Renault Square Com
The Future: IT and Building Automation
The importance of access to information
ƒ Buildings account for around 40% of all the energy we consume.
ƒ Within a commercial building lighting and HVAC consume around three quarters of the energy.
ƒ Connecting building functions together represents a huge potential for energy savings.
ƒ Energy savings is one of the most important objectives together with comfort and continuous
operation. In order to achieve that, one needs to have access to real-time data to make truly informed
decisions.
ƒ The more information ones has, the easier it becomes to take actions.
ƒ There are high benefits if one can access, monitor and control data and equipment by using open
protocols.
ƒ An intelligent or smart building means the complete integration of building automation and IT.
ƒ By utilising IT and internet, manufacturers can get real-time access and control over their facilities’
systems through web browsers.
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
The Future: IT and Building Automation
Convergence of systems over IT
ƒ Main challenge to improve operation & maintenance and reduce costs at the same time
ƒ Huge amount of data as a result of various building services being linked together
ƒ This data needs to be managed and used
Growing importance of TCP/IP network
• A group of protocols which documents data transmission and network user locations
• TCP is a connection-oriented protocol which facilitates reliable communications between the
source and the destination.
• Media independent, which allows for the best match between the required communication speed
and the cost for a given application.
• It facilitates interoperability among different building automation components from different
vendors
• Remote access Æ Facility managers have real time access and control over the building’s systems
• Also by sharing infrastructure and data, BAS becomes less expensive to install and operate
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Energy Efficiency and Building Controls:
Technology and Growth Roadmap
2009
1980
1990
Functional
Controllers
Evolution of
Building
Technology
Markets
HVAC Control
Building
Control
2000
2010
IT
Convergence
2020
Enhanced
Management
Construction
Energy
& Operational
Management Low Energy
Efficiency
Smart
Lighting
Building
Towns
MicroIntelligent
Automation
Renewables
Green
Home
Buildings
Intelligent
Automation Security
Building
Buildings
Convergence
Management
Energy
Systems
Integrated
& Control
Green
Control
Integration
Networking
Buildings
Building
Automation
Building
Performance
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Smart
Buildings
Global Smart Technology Markets for Energy
Efficiency: Headline Trends
Smart Energy Efficiency Technology Market:
Regional Life Cycle Analysis (World), 2009
ƒ With electricity demand growing faster than supply, there
is a clear opportunity for ‘intelligence’ to be integrated
into the energy management
chain to improve
efficiency.
North America
Western Europe
Asia
Latin America
Africa
Development
Middle East
Central & Eastern Europe
Maturity
Growth
Smart Energy Efficiency Technology Market:
Key Interlocking Issues (World), 2009
Connectivity
& Integration
Outlook for Smart Technologies
brings an opportunity to marry energy management with
digital communication technology.
ƒ Smart technology is changing the way users interact
with buildings and the way they interact with each other.
ƒ Opportunities are emerging along the entire network
from point of generation to point of consumption.
Energy
Supply
and Costs
Environment
ƒ Energy efficiency drivers are combining with the need to
modernise electricity supply networks. Smart technology
Construction
Activity
Global
Energy
Demand
Building
Intelligence
ƒ US market currently leading the way globally with strong
support from US Department of Energy, especially for
smart grids.
ƒ Significant global growth opportunities materialising for
smart technology in energy efficiency in the short and
medium term future.
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Global Smart Technology Markets for Energy
Efficiency: Emerging Market Themes
Demand for
Growth in
Energy Efficiency
Renewables
Government
Electric
Integration of
Support
Vehicles
Microgeneration
Emerging Smart Technology Themes
ƒ The main ‘Smart’ driver is the need for energy efficiency
Drivers
Drivers
Smart Energy Efficiency Technology Market:
Key Drivers & Restraints (World), 2009
throughout energy networks.
ƒ The convergence of technology (IT, automation, energy
Short Term
Lack of Standard
Budget
Cuts
Depressed Communication
High Cost of
during
Construction Infrastructure
Replacing
Recession
Industry
Installed Base
Restraints
Restraints
infrastructure etc.) is leading to the convergence of
competition with new players emerging in the energy
efficiency space (e.g. IBM, Cisco, etc.)
ƒ The broad themes of Smart Grids and Smart Buildings
are creating growth in both existing and new markets
(meters, software, T&D technology, automation, demand
Smart Energy Efficiency Technology Market:
Convergence of Competition (World), 2009
response management, sensors, analysis and reporting
etc.)
Energy/
Infrastructure
Players
ƒ The market has room for both niche suppliers and multisector players, but the leading players are already
positioning themselves as complete solution providers
IT Players
Automation/
Building
Control
Players
covering the whole energy chain (GE: from the power
plant to the consumer; Schneider Electric: From Plant to
PlugTM; ABB: Integration from Supply to Demand).
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Conclusions
ƒ Technology-wise it is all set for open systems, however, the role of consultants need to change from traditional
activities and disciplines orientation to aiming to go across and cover all functions, incorporating energy efficiency goals.
ƒ No single protocol will ever dominate the market Æ the industry is not about choosing one protocol over the other, but it
is about to try to integrate a multitude of protocols.
ƒ The future is some sort of open protocol combining various standards, including proprietary ones which are also
here to stay.
ƒ Every standard allows “extension” which can be used for differentiation Æ companies that offer a broad portfolio from field
devices to plant controllers will be the real winners.
ƒ Wireless:
• No significant demand yet
• There is future for it, the question is when it going to become a standard
• In new installations the cost is higher compared to traditional cabling
• Wireless is not to replace, but to complement wired systems
• The value of wireless system is higher in existing buildings due to
simplified refurbishment
• Main protocol is ZigBee
• At the moment there are still security and reliability issues at automation and
field levels
ƒ The vision of the future is the convergence of all systems over the IT network
However, the question remains open: Is there really a drive towards fully integrated
projects?
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com
Des questions?
Merci de votre attention!
Isabelle JEANNEQUIN
24 rue de Londres
75009 Paris - France
Phone: +33 (0)1 42 81 38 01
Email: [email protected]
Web:
www.frost.com
Séminaire sur les bâtiments performants - 17 Novembre 2009 - Renault Square Com