Mass Balance Modelling of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier
Transcription
Mass Balance Modelling of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier
Mass Balance Modelling of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier Daniel Steiner, Institute of Geography, University of Berne, Switzerland Institute of Geography, University of Berne, Physical Geography, Hallerstrasse 12, CH-3012 Bern, Switzerland, e-mail: [email protected] Introduction 2000 1500 length (meters) As sensitive reactors to climate variability the data of the fluctuations of Swiss Alpine glaciers give us important and interesting results for the history of climate. In contrast to the glacier extent the glacier mass balance is a much exacter and directer indicator to climatic impacts. Therefore, the determination of glacier mass dynamics over the last few centuries is of major importance for understanding past (and future) climatic changes. In this project it will be the first time that the available data records of the well documented Lower Grindelwald Glacier will be analysed, evaluated and compiled to a mass balance history over the last 300-400 years. 1000 500 0 1550 Methods In a first step a critical interpretation and analysis of the selected data material, e.g. aerial photos, topographic maps and paintings, is made. With the aid of different photogrammetric methods a series of digital terrain models (DTM) over the last few centuries is calculated. By a simple comparison of the digital DTM’s we obtain a series of numerical terms which expresses the glacier mass dynamics. 1600 1650 1700 1750 1800 1850 1900 1950 -500 year (AD) Fig. 1: The length variations of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier 1577-1980, based on the position of 1970 (Zumbühl et al. 1983) Fig. 5: Summer temperature (JAS) in Meiringen, 1890-2000 (online data bank of “MeteoSchweiz”) Drawings, paintings 17 16 15 14 13 12 1890 1910 1930 1950 1970 1990 year (AD) precipitation (mm) 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1915 1935 1955 1975 mass balance variations 18 statistical model summer temperature (°C) 19 Fig. 4: Digital terrain model (DTM) of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier, 2000 (derived by a interpretation of aerial photographs) Fig. 2: Samuel Birmann: The Lower Grindelwald Glacier, 1826 Topographic Maps 1995 year (AD) Fig. 6: Annual precipitation in Grindelwald, 1914-2000 (homogenized data) The difficulty to use glaciers as climate indicators lies in the complexity of the transfer functions between glacier mass balance and climate which differ from glacier to glacier. In a second step a statistical climate-glacier model is calibrated and validated so that the corresponding mass balance history can be interpreted in terms of meteorological parameters predominantly influencing the glacier dynamics. Fig. 3: Wilhelm Jacky: Original plane-table sheet, 1860/61 References ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! Funk, M., Morelli, R., Stahel, W., 1997: Mass balance of Griesgletscher 1961-1994: Different methods of determinations. Zeitschrift für Gletscherkunde und Glazialgeologie, 33 (1), 41-55. Haeberli, W., 1996: Glacier Fluctuations and Climate Change Detection. Geogr. Fis. Dinam. Quat., 18, 191-199. Holzhauser, H., Zumbühl, H.J., 1996: To the history of the Lower Grindelwald Glacier during the last 2800 years - palaeosols, fossil wood and historical pictorial records - new results. Z. Geomorph. N.F., Suppl.-Bd 104, 95-127. Holzhauser, H., Zumbühl, H.J., 1999: Glacier fluctuations in the Western Swiss and French Alps in the 16th century. Climatic Change, 43, 223-237. Oerlemans, J., 1993: Modelling of glacier mass balance. In: Peltier, W.R. (ed.): Ice in the Climate System. Nato Asi Series I, 12, 101-116. Oerlemans, J., Schmeits, M.J., 1997: Simulation of the historical variations in length of Unterer Grindelwaldgletscher, Switzerland, Journal of Glaciology, 43, 152-164. Oerlemans, J., 2001: Glaciers and climate change. Balkema Publishers. Lisse. Wanner, H., Holzhauser, H., Pfister, C., Zumbühl, H.J., 2000: Interannual to century scale climate variability in the European Alps, Erdkunde, 54. Zumbühl, H.J., Messerli, B., Pfister, C., 1983: Die Kleine Eiszeit. Gletschergeschichte im Spiegel der Kunst. Katalog zur Sonderausstellung des Schweizerischen Alpinen Museums Bern und des Gletschergarten-Museums Luzern vom 9.6.-14.8.1983 (Luzern), 24.8.-16.10.1983 (Bern). Zumbühl, H.J., Holzhauser, H., 1988: Alpengletscher in der Kleinen Eiszeit. In: Die Alpen, Jg. 64, 3.Quartal, 129-322. Sonderheft zum 125jährigen Jubiläum des SAC. Herausgegeben vom Schweizer Alpen-Club. Bern. Zumbühl, H.J., Holzhauser, H., 1990: Alpengletscher in der Kleinen Eiszeit. Katalog und 14C-Dokumentation. Ergänzungsband zum Sonderheft «Die Alpen» (3.Quartal, 1988). Geographica Bernensia, G 31. Geographisches Institut der Universität Bern. Acknowledgments This project is funded by the University of Berne and other grants.