Fighting austerity in Greece and beyond A historic moment for the
Transcription
Fighting austerity in Greece and beyond A historic moment for the
LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Fighting austerity in Greece and beyond AhistoricmomentfortheEuropeanLeft Introduction GreecehasbeenatthecentreoftheEurocrisisforyears.NowhereelseintheEurozoneisthe economiccrisisdeeperandthesocialsituationworse.Theausteritymeasuresimposedbythe governmentandtheTroikaareaimingtofundamentallychangethedistributionofwealthand therelationsofpowerwithinGreeksociety,especiallybetweenlabourandcapital.These policieshavereflectedbackontherestoftheEurozone,e.g.throughtheFiscalcompactin2012 ortheCompetitivenesspactdiscussedsinceearly2013.Greececanthereforebeseenasthe laboratoryfortheneoliberalrestructuringforEuropeasawhole.Thepoliticalexperiments Greeksocietyisputthroughmaybemoreradicalthanelsewhere,butatleastindirectlyaffect everyoneintheEurozoneandtheEU. Atthesametime,GreeceisthecountrywherethechancesforapartyoftheLeft,SYRIZA,toget intopowerarebiggest.Fiveyearsago,SYRIZAbarelymanagedtopassthethresholdofvotes requiredtoenterparliament.Todaytheyarethemainoppositionforce,leadingthepollsbya largegap.ASYRIZAgovernmentwouldbethefirstandonlyoneintheEurozonetoopenly opposetheausteritypoliciesandtheneoliberalrestructuringdescribedabove.Theelections whichcouldmakethispossiblewillbeheldin2016atthelatest,butarewidelyexpectedtotake placeinlate2014orearly2015.TheseprospectshavemadeGreecethemajorplaceofhopefor leftistsandthosefightingausterityacrossEurope.Inthissense,theimportanceofSYRIZA’s strugglegoesbeyondGreece:Iftheymanagetogetintopowerandimplementtheirpolicies,this willopenspacesforleftalternativesalloverEurope.Iftheyshouldfail,theLeftinEuropemay losecredibilityandhopeforalongtime.Thus,thequestionofhowwecancontributetoa politicalchangeinGreeceandinextensionEuropeisthemainfocusofthispaper. First,wegiveanoverviewofSYRIZA’shistoryanddiscusstheircharacterizationasanewkind ofparty,closelyconnectedtothesocialmovementscreatedbycrisisprotests.Second,we analysethechallengesSYRIZAwillfaceinthenearfuture,especiallyontheEuropeanlevel.We distinguishbetweenthreephases:theelectoralcampaign;theprocessofformingagovernment aftertheelections;thefirstmonthsofapossibleSYRIZAgovernment.Third,wepresenta strategicapproachandconcreteideasleftistsandausteritycriticsoutsideGreececoulduseto supportSYRIZAinthiscrucialperiod.WethinkthatifaleftgovernmentinGreeceistohavea chance,thisisnotpossiblewithoutseriousandcoordinatedsupportfromotherpartsofEurope. WewilltrytoinitiateasolidaritycampaigninAustria,onwhichwealsomakesomeremarksin thelastchapter. OurpaperisbasedonaseriesofinterviewswithpoliticiansandactivistsfromSYRIZA,the broaderGreekLeftandotherexpertsfromAustriaandGermany.Theinterviewswere conductedinAthensinearlySeptemberorviatheinternet.InthecaseofGiorgosChondros, IoannaMeitani,JohnMilios,EvaVölpel,WalterBaierandHarisTriandafilidou,wetranslatedthe quotesfromGerman.Wethankourintervieweesfortheirtimeandopennessandwishthemall thebest.TheirstruggleiscrucialnotonlyforthepeopleinGreece,butthewholeofEurope. 1 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 I. SYRIZA History Asanelectoralcoalition,SYRIZAwasfoundedin2004byalargenumberofpartiesand organisationsfromdiverseLefttraditions,includingCommunist,Trotskyist,Maoist,Greenand Feministgroups.ThestrongestgroupwithinSYRIZAwasandisuntiltodaySynaspismos.It developedfromvarioussplitsoftheCommunistpartysince1968.Synaspismoswasitselfan umbrellagroup,comingfromaeurocommunisttradition.Intheyearsleadinguptothe foundationofSYRIZA,itsmembershadgainedexperiencesinmobilisationslikeagainsttheG8 summitinGenoa2001,openingthepartytothetopicsandpracticesofsocialmovements.The firstyearsofSYRIZAweremarkedbyconflictsoverstrategicperspectivesanddisappointing electoralresults,forexample4,6percentatthegeneralelectionin2009.In2010,therightwing ofSynaspismos,whichadvocatedamoregovernment-orientedstrategyandcoalitionwith PASOK,splitfromtheparty.TheywentontobecomethemoderateleftpartyDIMARwhichlater supportedtheausteritygovernmentunderSamaras.FollowingitssupportoftheDecember 2008revoltandthesplitoftherightwing,SYRIZAtookaleftturnandre-assuredtheirstrategic orientationtowardsthemovements.Inspring2012,SYRIZAannouncedthattheywereseeking toformthenextGreekgovernment.(Candeias/Völpel2014:171;Laskos/Tsakalotos2013:128) SYRIZAreceived16,8%ofthevotesintheelectionofMay2012andasnogovernmentcouldbe formed,anelectionwascalledagaininJune.Thecampaignculminatedinaconfrontation betweenSYRIZAandtheconservativeNDandendedwithSYRIZAcomingsecondwith26,9%. NDwonwithaslightmargin(29,7%)andformedagovernmentwithPASOKandDIMAR.Ever since,SYRIZAhasconcentratedondevelopingaleftgovernmentprogramme,buildingEuropean networksandstrengtheningtheirrelationshipwiththemovements.InJuly2013,SYRIZA,upto thenstillanelectoralcoalition,becameaparty.Intermsofelectoralsupportthepartystabilised, comingfirstwith26,5%intheEuropeanelectionsof2014.Thesimultaneouslocalelections yieldedmixedresultsasSYRIZAistraditionallyweakeronthelocallevel,butthecountry’s largestregionAtticanowhasaSYRIZAgovernor. Characteristics Apluralisticparty The2013politicalresolutionofSYRIZAsays:„SYRIZAhasbeenestablishedasaunified, democratic,multi-tendency,masspartyofthecontemporaryLeftforthestrengtheningofan alreadypowerfulpopularmovementofsubversionwiththeaimofcancellingthememoranda, erasingmostofthedebtandimplementingaprogramofsocialandproductivereconstruction.“ (left.gr2013)Fromthebeginningoftheelectoralcoalitionintheearly2000suntiltoday, SYRIZAunitesleftistsfromdiversebackgroundsandgenerations.Manywerestrongly influencedbytheanti-warandaltermondialistmovements,andtheyareunitedbya commitmenttoatransformativepathtoSocialism.(Candeias/Völpel2014:171; Laskos/Tsakalotos2013:128)DissentfromwithinthepartyisprominentlyvoicedbythesocalledLeftPlatform.Itdemandsastrongerfocusonmovementsandsocialstrugglestoattach largerpartsofthepopulationtotheparty.Also,itismorefavourableofanexitfromthe Eurozonethanthepartymajorityandleadership.(Dericquebourg2013)TheLeftPlatformhas considerablestrengthwithinSYRIZA:Atthe2013partyconvention,itsmotionsreceived between25and40percentofvotes.Aroundadozenoftheparty’s70MPssupporttheLeft Platform.(Kouvelakis2013)Sofar,thedifferentgroupsandfactionshavemanagedtodealwith theirdifferencesinaproductiveway,notendangeringtheparty’sascent. 2 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Commitmenttothemovements ThemostcentralandnotedfeatureofSYRIZAliesintheirrelationshiptoandunderstandingof theimportanceofpoliticalmovements.Theparty’sgeneralunderstandingofpoliticsisbuilton theindispensablerelationshipofleftpartiesandapossiblegovernmentwithmovements. SYRIZAwasactiveinandinsolidaritywithmovementsevenbeforetherecentcrisis.Theyhave supportedthediversestrugglesofrefugees,studentsandothersandvoicedtheirsupportofthe December2008riotsdespitemassivepoliticalandpublicpressure.Since2010,SYRIZAhasbeen stronglyinvolvedintheanti-austerityprotests,movementsandthedevelopingsolidarity initiativessince2010.Members,activistsandMPstookpart,providedsupportandputforward leftanalysesandproposals.Thiscommitmenttoequalparticipationinandcooperationwiththe movementsisvoicedthroughouttheparty.ForAlexandrosBistis,SYRIZA’smaincampaign coordinator,theattitudeisclear:“Weneedyourparticipationandactionsandweneedtobe withyou,everyday.Whateverhappensthere,wewilltrytodoittogether.”Throughthisorganic participation,SYRIZA’srejectionofthememorandumandtraditionalclientelisticpolitics becamecredibletolargepartsofthemovements.WhenSYRIZAannouncedtheirclaimforaleft governmentin2012,“itwaspossibleforthepartytotransporttheprotestandsocialstruggles intothebourgeoisstate,tosharpenexistingpoliticalconflicts,andtodeepenthecrisisof bourgeoishegemony“(Milios/Triandafilidou2013;Völpel2014:149;Laskos/Tsakalotos2013: 119) Theparty’scommitmenttothemovementsbecomesclearinthewaytheplatformSolidarity4All wassetup.FundedbyashareofSYRIZA’sMPs’salaries,itsupportssolidarityinitiatives throughoutGreecelikesolidarityclinics,communitygardens,socialcentresandothers.The platformdoesnotinterfereorcoordinate,buttriestosupportthedecentralisedeffortsoflocal groupsbyprovidinginformationandinfrastructure. SYRIZA’sleftgovernmentprojectisalsobasedontheideathatthestateisonlyoneofmany importantpoliticalbattlegroundsforradicalchange.Milios/Triandafilidou(2013)expressthis atttitudethefollowingway:“Socialstrugglesincivilsocietyandsocialstrugglesinsidethestate havetostrengthenoneanother.Seekinggovernmentpowerisnotthegoalbutanindispensable intermediatestep.Weallknowthatwinninggovernmentdoesnotmeanwinningstatepower andevenlessmeanswinningbackstructuraleconomicandsocialpower.Butitcanhelpto changepowerrelations.” Whilethisunderstandingissharedthroughouttheparty,somebelievethatSYRIZAdoesnotdo enoughtosupportsocialstruggles.ChristosGiovanopoulosfromSolidarity4Allargues:“My critiquetoSYRIZAandtheradicalLeftisthatwhiletheytrytoprepareaviablealternativefor aftertheelections,notmuchhasbeendonetoorganisepeoplefrombelow.Itisgoodtorespect their[themovements’]autonomy,butSYRIZAshouldworkasaproviderofthepoliticalglue”, i.e.acommoncausethatconnectsthediversestruggles. Fromconnectivetostrategicparty ArecenttheoreticaldebatehasidentifiedSYRIZAaswhatPorcarocallsaconnectiveparty. (Porcaro2013)Ratherthantheoldmassparties,whichmeanttoorganiseandleaditsmembers andfollowers,aconnectivepartyisacoalitionofparties,unions,movementsorother organisations.Whilethemasspartieswererepresentationsoftheold,relativelyhomogenous classesofthe19thand20thcentury,theconnectivepartyorganisestoday’smorefragmented society.Amongitsmaincharacteristicsisthepracticeof“explicitlymakingthesocialand culturaldivisionswithinthesubalternclassesandtheirovercominganissueofpoliticalanalysis andstrategicplanning.”(Rehmann2013)Thetraditionalparty,whichisjustonepartofthe connectiveparty,doesnotseektodominatetheotherorganisations.Rather,dependingonthe situationofstruggles,adifferentpartofthecoalitiontakestheleadtemporarily.Whenstreet 3 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 mobilisationsdominate,movementsdirecttheaction.Ifparliamentbecomesthearenaofthe commonstruggle,thepartydoes.Thesamegoesforunionsincaseofstrikes.Inmanycases,the diversepartnersoftheconnectivepartyarelinkedbyindividualsbeingactiveinmorethanjust oneofthem.SYRIZA,givenitspluralisticcharacteranditsrelationshiptothemovements,seems tocomeclosetothedefinition. However,theconnectivepartyfacesatleastthreelimits(Porcaro2013):First,itdependsonits abilitytoorganiseaverylargepartofthepopulation.Second,itismosteffectivewhenthereare manyandregularlychangingsocialissues,ratherthantheneedtofocusononetask.Third,it doesnotsolvetheproblematicrelationshipthemodernLefthaswiththestateandpolitical power–eventhoughrealchangeseemstobeimpossiblewithoutthem.AccordingtoPorcaro,if theconnectivepartywantstoovercometheselimits,itmusttransformintoastrategicparty. Thestrategicpartyretainsthepluralityofitspartsandfunctions,butmanagesto“condense themintoacommon,yetflexiblepolicy.”(Candeias/Völpel217)Thequestionsthisposesinthe Greekcaseis:CanSYRIZAturnthestruggleagainstthememorandaandforapolitical alternativetoausterityintotheunifyingpurposetheformationofastrategicpartyneeds?Will thepartybeabletoprovidethe“glue”ChristosGiovanopoulosmentionedabove? Inanycase,thecharacteristicsthatmakeSYRIZAanewkindofpartyhavemadetheman inspirationtoleftistsalloverEurope. SYRIZA’s strengths and weaknesses Factorsforsuccess ThemainstructuralfactorforthefundamentalchangesintheGreekpoliticalsystemisofcourse thedeepeconomiccrisisandthepoliticalchoicesoftherulingclasses.Undertheregular conditionsofneoliberalcapitalism,itsconsequenceslikeunemploymentandpovertyareusually attributedtoindividualshortcomingsofthoseaffected.Leftpartiesfinditincreasinglydifficult toaddressthemasstructuralproblems.IntheGreekcase,therapidaccelerationofthecrisisand itseffectonhugepartsofthepopulationmadethisindividualisationofsocialproblems impossibleandopenedupaspaceforleftinterpretationsanddemands.However,ashistory shows,thiscanalsoworkinfavouroftheextremeright. ThereasonswhySYRIZAstillemergedasthemainpoliticalbeneficiaryaremanifoldandthereis anon-goingdebateaboutthem.Forthepurposeofthispaperwehighlightthreefactorswe considerrelevantforfurtherstrategies. Mass movements against austerity Itwasnotprimarilytheharshnessoftheausteritymeasures,butthemassivepopularresistance againstthemthatprovidedthebasisfortheshifttotheleft.“Themovementwasabigcatalyst forchange”,PanagiotisSotiris,sociologistandactivistwithAntarsya,says.“Thereisno automaticlinkbetweensocialcrisisandfarrightrise.Ifthereisamovement,itcanalsoleadto solidarity,collectiveaspiration,beliefinthepossibilityofcollectivechangeanddemocracy.” Especiallywhentheprotestsweremetwithbrutalrepressionanddidnotleadtoanypolitical changes,peopleturnedawayfromthetraditionalpartieswhichtheyperceivedascorruptand detachedfromthepopulation.HarisTriandafilidoudescribesthedynamicasfollows:“There wasaradicalisationinallofsociety.Thisdoesnotmeanthattheyallbecameleftistsatonce,but youcouldveryintenselyfeeltheruptureofthehegemonicdiscourse.Andthisangerresonated inthe2012elections.”ThisradicalisationopenedupthespaceforSYRIZA,whichhad consolidatedasapartyandstrengthenedtheirtieswiththemovementsinthepreviousyears. Theyhadchosentofightthecrisispoliciesbothinsideparliamentandoutinthestreets.Their organicparticipationintheprotestsandstrugglesprovidedthemwithcredibilityin representingadifferentpoliticalprogrammeaswellasadifferentwayofpoliticsaltogether. 4 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Claim to power at the right moment AnotherreasonthatprovedessentialforSYRIZA’squickrisewastheirstrategicchoicetomakea claimtopower.WhenthepartyannouncedthattheywantedtoleadthenextGreekgovernment aheadoftheelectionsinspring2012,theywereapartyof5percentandneitherpoliticallynor organisationallypreparedforgovernment.However,bypromisingtotakethestruggletothe levelofthestate,theyprovidedanewvisionafterthedisillusionmentwiththemainstream partiesandtheslowingmobilisations.AftertheelectionofMay2012,SYRIZAwasaskedtojoina governmentof“nationalsalvation”withND,PASOKandothers.Theyrefused,statingtheother parties’attachmenttothememorandaandausterityasthereason.Whenthemandatetoforma governmentmovedontoSYRIZA,“ouranswerwasnottotalktothebigparties,whichweknew wouldachievenothing,buttothetradeunionsandorganisationsoftheleft.Thisearnedustheir respect,”saysHarisTriandafilidou.SYRIZA’sfirmpoliticalattitudeandtheir–albeitsymbolic– inclusionofthebroaderleftinthepost-electionprocessfurtherhelpedtoestablishthemasa crediblealternativetothetraditionalparties. Weakness of other left parties WhywasitSYRIZAwhoprofitedfromthesituation–andnotanotherpartyoftheLeft?Before thecrisiseruptedin2010,socialdemocraticPASOKhadastrongbasethroughoutthecountry andhadjustwonnationalelections.AfterthePASOKgovernmentsignedthememorandaand enforcedausterity,theirsupportcollapsedspectacularly.Thethirdestablishedparliamentary partyoftheleft,KKE,isanorthodoxcommunistpartywhichdistancesitselffrommostother partiesandmovements.Theirdogmaticviewsandrefusaltosupportaleftgovernment alienatedpartsoftheirbase.DIMAR,whichstartedoutasaright-wingsplitfromSYRIZAand waslaterjoinedbyformerPASOKMPs,lostitscredibilityasaleftalternativewhentheyjoined theausteritygovernmentin2012.Smaller,non-parliamentaryleftpartieslikeANTARSYAonly benefittedalittlefromtheshifttotheleftduetothepolarisationofthepoliticalconfrontation. Inthispoliticallandscape,peopleturnedtoSYRIZA,whostoodoutaspluralist,honestly opposingausterityandproposingarealalternative. Remainingweaknesses Targeting new voters SYRIZAhavebeenleadingthenationwidepollssincefall2013.In2014,theycamefirstinthe Europeanelections.Withnationalelectionsexpectedsoon,oneofthechallengeswillbeto expandandstrengthentheirelectoralbase.Recentanalysesshowanincreaseofclass polarisation:SYRIZAarestronginlargeandmediumcities,wherethecrisisandthe consequencesofausterityhavehithardest.Theyalsohavestrongresultsinworkingandlower middleclassareas,withyoungvotersandpublicemployees,whiletheyareweakwith pensionersandprivatesectoremployees.The2014electionsalsoemphasizedtheparty’sneed tobuildandstrengthenlocalstructures,asSYRIZA’sresultsintheEuropeanelectionswere betterthaninthesimultaneouslocalelections.(ThePressProject2014;Laskos/Tsakalotos 2013:127) Expanding the party base Whileelectionsareoneveryone’sagenda,SYRIZAofficialsarealsoconcernedabouttheweak connectiontotheirbase.Whiletheirpresenceinmovementsandelectoralresultsarestrong,the numberofpeoplewhoareactivelyinvolvedwiththepartyisconsideredmuchtoolow. AlexandrosBistis,SYRIZAcampaigncoordinator,explainshisview:“Wehaveofficesallover Greeceandwehaveactivists,butnotenoughtosaythatwerepresent30%oftheGreekpeople. Abigproportionofthevotewegotwaswithoutrealcontactwithus.Soonlyfewofthemare reallyawareofourideologyandprogramme.Mostchooseusbecausetheycannotstandtheway thingsareanymore.Theyshiftfromonepartytoanother,hopingthatourpartyisnotgoingto disappointthemlikepreviouspartiesdid.Butthereisnosolidconnectionbetweenourideology andtheirvote–that’sabigproblem.”Thislackofconnectionwiththebaseandrealadoptionof 5 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 SYRIZA’sprogrammebyvotersbringsaboutseveralproblems.Itendangersthestabilityoftheir electoralresultsaspeoplearemorelikelytomoveawaywhentheydon’tfeelconnectedtothe partyandtheirprogramme.Morefundamentally,iftheirvotersdon’tshareSYRIZA’sconviction, anyleftgovernmentprojectandstepstowardsradicalchangesareendangered.Itwillbe essentialforthepeopletowithstandtheuncertaintyofaconfrontationwithEuropeanelitesand possiblefuturehardshipincontextwithsocialtransformation.AndasmanyinSYRIZAhavetold us:Aleftgovernmentwillneeddeterminedpeopleandstrongmovementstopushitforward. Furthermore,ifapartyof30percentstillhasthestructuresandnumberofactivistsofapartyof 5percent,itishardertodefendagainstopportunistswhomightjustwantashareofSYRIZA’s success. The left government project Thepoliticalprogramme Since2012,SYRIZAhasbeenpreparingintenselyforaleftgovernmentproject.Thereversalof thememorandumpoliciesisthemostimmediateaim.Itishoweverusuallylinkedinthedebates totheparty’sambitiontostartaprocessoffundamentalsocialandpoliticaltransformation.In September2014,AlexisTsipraspresentedthecornerstonesofagovernmentplanfor reconstruction(Macropolis2014): Debt:SYRIZAwilldemandthecancellationofalargepartoftheGreekdebtandtotie futurerepaymenttogrowthrates.AcentralideathatJohnMiliosandotherhave repeatedtousisaEuropeandebtconference,wherethesovereigndebtofallEuropean countriesshouldbedebatedandpartlycancelled.SYRIZAwillalsopushforaEuropean publicinvestmentprogrammeandfortheECBtodirectlybuysovereignbonds. Humanitariancrisis:Witha2billionpackage,includingfreeelectricityandfood subsidiesfor300,000households,SYRIZAwantstosupportthosehithardestbythe crisis.Theywillre-establishfreeaccesstohealthcare,increasethelowestpensionsand introducerentsubsidies.Thesemeasureswillbenon-negotiable. Growth:Themostimportantaspectoftheplanforgrowthistherestorationofthe minimumwagetothepre-crisislevelof751eurosandtheincreaseofthetax-free threshold.Thewidelycriticisedgeneralpropertytaxshouldbereplacedbyataxonlarge realestates.ThebiggestGreekbanks,whichthestatenationalisedtoalargepartbutleft inthehandsoftheirformerowners,shouldberestructured.Also,newlyfoundedspecial purposebanksshouldadministerthereconstructionofcertainsectorsoftheeconomy. Regardingtheprivatedebtproblem,thereshouldbeahaircutforallbelowthepoverty lineandtheestablishmentofaspecialboardtonegotiateloansettlementsbetween debtorsandbanks. Employment:Thelabourrightsframeworkwillberestoredtoitspre-crisissituation,reestablishingcollectivebargainingandjobprotection.SYRIZA’splansalsoincludeajob creationprogrammefor300,000jobsintheprivatesectorandlocalgovernmentswithin twoyears. Memorandum:AnotheroneofSYRIZA’smajordemandsisthecancellationofthe memoranda.Thisaimmightproveevenmoredifficulttoreachthanothers.“Wherethe strugglereallyliesandwherewewillreallyneedalliesisinabolishingthememorandum andregardinglabourrelations”,HarisGolemis,directorofNicosPoulantzasInstitute, says.WhatthiscancellationwouldmeanforfuturevisitsbytheTroikaremainsunclear tous. 6 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Animpossibletask? ThereareconcernsamongcriticsandmembersofSYRIZAalikewhetherthepartywill managetheseeminglyimpossible:topushmeasuresforimmediaterelief,renegotiatewith theEuropeanInstitutionsandcreditorsandpursuearadicalprogrammeoftransformingthe state.Theseareseriousandrelevantconcerns.Aleftgovernmentprogrammecangowrong inmanydifferentways.PushingforarupturewithEUactorstoostronglyorsooncould quicklyalienatetheGreekpeopleanddeprivethepartyofthepossibilitytogovernfurther. NotpushinghardenoughandacceptingtoomanycompromisescanleadtothefearedsocialdemocratisationofSYRIZA,pullingitawayfromitspoliticalidealsandgoals.However,allof ourintervieweeswereverymuchawareofthesedangersandshowedastrongwilltotry andmakeitwork.Thereisastrongconsensusthatsmallmeasuresofreliefand renegotiationandmoreradicalchangeswillnotbepossibleapartfromoneanother.First, everyincreaseinsocialrightsorwagesshouldbeconsideredradicalinthecurrentsituation. Second,becausetherewillsimplybenoturningbacktotheperiodandsocialarrangements ofthepre-2008era.ManywithinSYRIZAareawarethattherewillnotbeanin-between,or astwooftheirprominentofficialsputit:“Themostlikelyresolutiontothecrisiswillbe eitherinthedirectionofafarmoreauthoritariancapitalismormovestotranscend capitalisminsomeimportantdimensions.“(Laskos/Tsakalotos2013:9) 7 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 II. Challenges Phase 1: Winning the election Thenextelection:2015or2016? Inordertoformagovernment,SYRIZAneedstowinthenextgeneralelectionwhichhastobe heldinJune2016atthelatest.However,ourintervieweesunanimouslyexpectasnapelectionto takeplaceeitherinlate2014orearly2015.Ontheonehand,thegovernmentofNDandPASOK isgettingweakerbythedayandbothpartiessufferedhugelossesattheEuropeanelectionsin May2014.InOctober2014,thecoalitionhadtoresorttoavoteofconfidenceinparliamentto keeptheirMPsinline.(Kathimerini2014)Ontheotherhand,theGreekoppositionwillhavethe chancetoforceasnapelectioninearly2015.InFebruary,thecurrentpresidentKarolos Papouliaswillleaveofficeandhissuccessorhastobeelectedbyparliament.Thecandidate needs200outof300votesinthefirsttwoballotsand180votesinathirdandlastballot.Ifthere isnosuchmajority,theGreekconstitutiondemandsthedissolutionofparliamentandasnap election.(Kadritzke2014)Sincethecoalitionisonlybackedby155votes,itwouldneedthe supportofatleasttwoofthesmalleroppositionpartiesand/ormostofthe23independentMPs. Privatetalkswiththosegroupshavebeeninitiatedbygovernmentrepresentativesasearlyas summer2014.However,alloppositionpartieshavepubliclydeclarednottosupportany governmentcandidate.Iftheelectionofanewpresidentreallyshouldfail,parliamentwill dissolveinFebruaryorMarchnextyearandtheelectionhastobeheldwithin40days. (ConstitutionofGreece:Art.32)Toourinterviewees,itisunlikelythatNDandPASOKwillwait foracertaindefeatinparliamentbutmightratherstopnegotiatingatsomepointandcallfora snapelectionthemselves.Inouropinion,themostlikelyscenarioisforthegovernmenttowait fortheofficialexitfromthememorandainDecember2014beforecallingtheelection,sothey canusethispoliticalsuccessintheircampaigns. Lookingback:The2012elections LookingbackatthelastgeneralelectionsgivesusanideaofsomeofthechallengesSYRIZAwill befacingontheEuropeanfront.Thetwoballotsof2012sawSYRIZAjumpingfrom5to17and finally27percentofvotesagainstalmosteveryone’sexpectations.Thistriggeredawaveof propaganda(againstSYRIZA)andblackmail(againsttheGreeksovereign)withoutprecedentin thehistoryoftheEU: ThemostdirectinterventiontookplacewhentheTroikaheldbackpartofacreditdisbursement afewdaysaftertheMayelections.(AlJazeera2012)Thiscanbeinterpretedasanattempttoput pressurebothontheGreekpoliticalestablishmentandthevoters.Otherinterventionswere intendedtoinfluenceorratherblackmailtheGreekelectoratemoredirectly.Beforethefirst election,GermanfinanceministerWolfgangSchäublethreatenedGreekvotersbysayingthatif theresultwasamajorityagainstthememoranda,“Greecewillhavetobeartheconsequencesof that.”(DigitalJournal2012)InanotherinterviewhecalledSYRIZA“demagogues”.(Mannheimer Morgen2012)FrenchpresidentFrançoisHollande“warned”Greeksontheirnationaltelevision that“iftheimpressionisgiventhattheGreekswanttomoveawayfromcommitmentsthatwere taken[…],therewillbecountriesintheEurozonethatwillwanttoendthepresenceofGreecein theEurozone.”(Guardian2012a)AustrianfinanceministerMariaFekterstatedthat“Greecewill notreceiveanymoreeconomicaidiftheelectionon17Juneresultsinagovernmentthat refusestokeeptothetermsofthememorandum.”TheInstituteofInternationalFinance,the largestglobalassociationofthefinancialindustry,publishedareportstatingthatacoalition betweenNDandPASOKwasneeded.Ifthenewparliamentwastoofragmentedtoallowforthat, anunelectedgovernmentoftechnocratsshouldbeinstalled.(Kathimerini2012)Leadingmedia outlets,especiallyinGermany,assistedinthepropaganda.Threedaysbeforethesecondelection inJune2012,FinancialTimesDeutschlanduseditseditorialarticletoissuealettertotheGreek electorate.InGreekandGerman,itdemandedthatthey“resistthedemagogues”ofSYRIZAand 8 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 voteforNDinstead.(FinancialTimesDeutschland2012)Onedaybeforetheelection,Germany’s majortabloidnewspaperBILDfollowedtheexampleandpublishedtheirownlettertitled“Dear Greeks,makenomistakerightnow”.ItwentonthatGreekscouldvotefor“everyclownfromthe leftorrighttheywanted”iftheydidn’tneedGermany’sbillions.Theletterclosedbysayingthat Greeksinfactdidn’thaveanychoice,because“youronlychoiceisbetweenpainfulsanityor totaldoom.” Asintended,thispropagandaandblackmailspreadfearanduncertaintyamongGreeks. AccordingtoSYRIZA’scampaignmanagerAlexandrosBistis,theirmainproblemwasthenotion thataSYRIZAwinwouldmeantheexitfromtheEurozoneoreventheEU.“Thecultivationof fearandourlackofself-confidencewasourmainopponent”,Bistissaysinretrospect.Heknows ofcompanyexecutiveswhowarnedtheiremployeesnottovoteforSYRIZA.IncaseofaSYRIZA win,thecompanywouldmoveabroadandalljobswouldbelost.Bistis:“Thefearexistsonall levelsoflife,publicandpersonal.” Lookingahead:The2015/6election,nationallevel Intheupcomingelectoralcampaign,SYRIZAwillfacenumerouschallengesonthenationallevel. SinceourfocusisontheEuropeanlevel,weonlynamesomeofthem.First,findingandkeeping thebalancebetweenSYRIZA'stworoles,i.e.representingacrediblealternativetothe establishmentandpreparingforgovernment,willbecomeevenmoredifficultaselections approach.Witheachstep,thepartyriskseitheralienatingitsleftistbaseorlosingitsappealto mainstreamvoters.Atthesametime,SYRIZAneedstofosterastrongerconnectiontoasmany peopleaspossibletoensurethattheprospectofaleftgovernmentisacceptedamongthem. Also,theGreekmediaareveryhostiletowardsSYRIZA,usingthewholespectrumofanti-left demonisation.“Theysayweareanti-religiouscommunists,willconfiscateprivateproperty. Also,wearecalledfriendsofterrorismandanarchism”,Karitzissays.Thisshowsthatfearwill beamongSYRIZA’smainproblemsagain–butthistimeitwillmostlybespreadbythenational government,notEuropeanprotagonists.“Theywillsay:Youhavelostmuch,sokeepwhatyou haveleft.SYRIZAwillcomeandtakeitfromyou,too”,KostasIsychosfromtheparty’sforeign relationsdepartmentexpects.SimilarargumentsmightbeusedinregardstoGreece’s geographicalproximitytoUkraineandtheMiddleEast,usingpeople’swishforpeacetomake votingfortheLeftseemdangerous.SYRIZAplanstocountergovernmentcampaignsbasedon fearbyemphasizingthatitispossibletochangecurrentpoliciesandthatpeoplehavetheright todemandthis.“Themainideaistosupportsociety’sself-confidence,tofighttheideathatwe aretotallydependentonsomebodyelseandthatwecannotmakeourownplansasapeople”, Bistissays.Europeansocietieswereindangerofacceptingthattheywouldn’tbefreetodecide onissueslikeeconomicpolicyandthatdemocracymustnotaffectmarkets,Karitzisadds.“There arehistorictimeswereyouhavetofightforyourvalues,likedemocracy,liberty,dignity.We shouldtrytogivehopetopeople.Wehavetosay:Thingsarenoteasy,wehavetobepreparedto fight–butthat’snotSYRIZA’sfault,that’sourhistoricpredicament.” Lookingahead:The2015/6election,Europeanlevel OntheEuropeanlevel,however,ourintervieweesexpectlessopenhostilitythanin2012.“They won’tdousthefavourtoopenlyopposeus.Thistime,iftheyarehostileitwouldbeagoodthing forus”,Karitzissays.Accordingtothispointofview,Europeaneliteshaveacceptedtheprospect ofaSYRIZAgovernmentandmadeplansforthatscenario.Itwasthelackofsuchaplanin2012 thatcausedtheirresorttopropagandaandblackmail.Thistime,Europeanelitesmighttakea morepatientapproachandquietlytrytomakeaSYRIZAgovernmentfail,relyingonthe austerityregimeestablishedinEuropethroughnewinstitutionsandcontractsduringthelast years.“Theywillacceptus,negotiatewithusatthebeginning.Theywillsay:‘Let’sseewhatyou cando.Therearerulesyoucannotviolate,thereareagreementsyoushouldrespect.’Theyare confidenttheycreatedasituationsince2012nogovernmentcanchange.”However,Karitzis adds:“Thisdoesn’taffectwhattheyaregoingtosaytoEuropeansocieties.”OutsideGreece,antiSYRIZA-propagandawillstillbestrong,especiallyinGermany.Recentelectoralsuccessesby chauvinistAlternativefürDeutschlandcouldpushthepublicdebateontheGreekelectioneven 9 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 furthertotheright–unlesstheLeftintervenes.GermanauthorandactivistEvaVölpelexpects publicinterventionsbyJensWeidman,presidentoftheBundesbank,otherneoliberal economistsandkeymedia. Generalsentiment:Optimism Despiteallthesechallenges,thegeneralsentimentamongSYRIZAofficialsandactivistsisthat theywillwintheelectionandformthenextgovernment.Thisoptimismisbasedonseveral arguments:First,SYRIZAwontheEuropeanelectioninMay2014andachievedsomesignificant winsattheregionalelectionstakingplaceatthesametime.Second,theyhavebeenleading nation-widepollsformonths,scoring36percentinlateSeptember2014.(GreekReporter 2014)Third,themajority-friendlyelectorallawallowsforanabsolutemajorityat35to40per centofvotes,dependingonthenumberofpartiespassingthethreshold.Thepollcitedabove givesSYRIZA146outof300seatsinparliament. Phase 2: Forming a government IfSYRIZAwinsthenextgeneralelectionbutfailstogainanabsolutemajority,itisnotcertain thattheywillbeabletoformagovernment. Lookingback:Thetechnocraticgovernment Again,lookingbackonthenearpastshedslightonpossiblescenarios.InNovember2011,prime ministerGiorgosPapandreouresignedandwasfollowedbycentralbankerLucasPapademos. HistechnocraticgovernmentwasbackedbyPapandreou’sPASOK,then-oppositionalNDandthe extremerightLAOS.Itenforcedausteritymeasuresandconcludedthenegotiationsforasecond memorandumbeforegivingwaytothetworoundsofelectionsof2012.Allkeystepsinthat process–Papandreou’sresignation,ND’ssupportforthetechnocraticgovernmentandthe choiceofPapademosasprimeminister–wereorchestratedbyJoseManuelBarroso,president oftheEUcommission.(FinancialTimes2014)AscenariobasedonthisexperienceisthatEU elitesmightexertpressureonallnon-SYRIZAparties–probablyexceptGoldenDawnandKKE– toformaso-calledgovernmentofnationalunityagainstSYRIZA.Weconsiderthistobepossible yetunlikely. Lookingahead:Securingamajorityafterthenextelection IfSYRIZAfailstogainanabsolutemajority,therewillbenolikelypartnertoformacoalition. KKE,whocampaignedwiththeslogan“Don’ttrustSYRIZA”in2012,hasruledoutanyformof cooperation.(Candeias/Völpel2014:176,198)DIMARissplitoverwhethertosupportSYRIZA, buttheywillprobablynotpassthe3percentthresholdneededtoenterparliament.PASOKisin adeepcrisistoo,losingmanyofitsvoterstoSYRIZAandthusattackingthemfiercely.Somein SYRIZAseePASOKasapossiblecoalitionpartner,potentiallyafterasplit.“Theradicalleftused torejectanyparticipationinagovernment”,SYRIZAyouthactivistHarisTriandafilidousays. “Butnowthatwehavehegemony,theconditionsforcooperationwithsocialdemocracyhave changed.”However,thegeneralattitudeamongourintervieweesisthatthinkingthroughall thesescenariosisnotessential.TheGreekpartysystemishighlyunstableandstillin realignment.Itisunclearwhichandhowmanypartieswillstillmakeitintothenextparliament. Phase 3: Breaking with austerity IfSYRIZAsucceedsinformingagovernment,theywillfaceahugenumberofchallengesonthe domesticandEuropeanlevel.ThedomesticchallengesforSYRIZAwillberelatedtoopposition bybusinessandtheausterityparties,aswellastotherelationshipwiththeirsupportersandthe dynamicwithintheparty(seechapterII).WefocusontheEuropeanchallenges,aswewillthen lookatLeftstrategiesofsupportforGreece.Inouropinion,Europeaneliteswillprobablychoose oneoftwostrategies:Thefirstoptionistryingtotoppletheleftgovernmentprojectassoonas 10 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 possiblebyexertingthemaximumamountofpressure.Theaimwouldbetoreplaceitwith anotherobedientgovernment,technocraticorND-led.Thesecondandmorelikelyoptionisthat EuropeaneliteswillattempttocorruptSYRIZA.Thiswouldensurethecontinuationofthe austerityandcompetitivenessagenda,butalsopreventleftistsandmovementsfromaround EuropefromrallyingbehindSYRIZAandGreece.Whilethefirststrategywouldbemorebrutal anddirect,thesecondoneismoredangerousfortheGreekandEuropeanLeft,doinglong-term damagetotheirplansandhopes.BelowwewilldiscusswayshowEuropeanelitesmighttryto influenceaSYRIZAgovernment,thoughtheirformwilldependonthechosenstrategy. NegotiatingwithEUpartners OneofthefirstactionsofaSYRIZAgovernmentwillbetodemandareductionofpublicdebtin GreeceandEuropethroughaninternationaldebtconference(seechapterII).Itislikelythatthe Europeangovernmentsandinstitutionswillenternegotiations,butwithoutmakingany concessions.ThemainopponentsareseentobetheGermangovernmentandtheEU commission.AndreasKaritzissaysthat“theyareconvincedthatwewilleventuallycompromise, thattimeisagainstus,sotheywon’tbetoohostileinthebeginning.”GiorgosChondros,director ofSYRIZA’sdepartmentforenvironmentalpolicy,expectsnegotiationstodragonforawhile. “WewillnotonlyhavetofighttheGreekelites,butalsotheEuropeanones.Thismakesour situationmuchmoredifficult.We’llneedthesupportofmovementsinthewholeofEurope.” JohnMilios,professorofpoliticaleconomyandSYRIZAMPisanticipating“psychological warfare”onbehalfofEUelitesandcreditors.However,heandothersarguethattheEuropean UnioncannotaffordtokickGreeceoutoftheEurozoneforeconomicreasons.(Candeias/Völpel 2014:196) PressurebyEuropeanelites ThewaysEuropeanelitescanusetoexertpressureonaSYRIZAgovernmentaremanifold.A generalclimateofhostilityatEUsummitsandduringnegotiationscanbeexpectedandwill influenceallotherfactors.Moreconcretely,Greecewillmostlikelyviolatesomeofthe provisionsoftheEU’seconomicgovernance,e.g.thedeficitrules.“Thereisnodoubtthatthe numbersweseeaboutGreekgovernmentaccounts,the[nationalised]banks,theirassetbooks, areallforged”,YanisVaroufakisprofessorofeconomicsandSYRIZAadvisor,suspects.Thetrue stateofpublicfinanceswillprobablycometothesurfacesoonafterthenewgovernmentis instated.Also,GreekeconomicelitesmightusetheEU’slegalframeworktoworkagainst SYRIZA,e.g.bankownersfilinglawsuitsattheEuropeanCourtofJusticeagainstthe restructuringofthebankingsector.Theseproceduresandtrialswilltakeacertainamountof timebeforetheyeffectivelyinterferewithSYRIZA’sgovernment. Therearehoweverseveralother,moreshort-termwaysofpressureEuropeanelitescoulduse. Theycould“createanextremelynastypictureofGreeceforEuropeantourists”,Yanis Varoufakissays.TourismhasbeenoneoftheveryfewsectorsoftheGreekeconomyto growduringthelastyears,generatingmuchneededtaxrevenues.Sabotagingtourism wouldseverelyhurttheeconomyandtherebyaleftgovernment’sabilitytofundtheir projects. AbankruninsideGreececouldbetriggeredbystatementsofEuropeanelitesand financialmarketactors. TheECBmightstopreturningitsprofitsfrominterestonGreekgovernmentbonds.As withsabotagingtourism,thiswouldharmthestatebudget.(Varoufakis2013), LessstructuralfundsmightbeawardedtoGreece.YanisVaroufakistellsusthattherules concerningthesefundshavebeenloosenedinthepasttosupportthecurrentGreek government:“AccordingtoEuropeanrules,therehastobeco-financingforthesefunds. Ifthereisaroadtobebuilt,theEUpays50percentandtheGreekgovernmentpaysthe other50percent.Iftheycan’tcomeupwiththatmoney,theyneedbanksorother investorstojumpin.Ourbanksarebankruptandinvestorswon’ttouchGreekprojects. SowhattheydidwasthatBrusselsignoresitsownrules.Theygivethemoneywithout co-financing.ThatonlyhappenedbecauseGermanyandBrusselshadaninterestin 11 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 supportingthecurrentgovernment.Ifthereisanewone,theycansimplyswitchthis off.”, BerlinandBrusselsmightagitateinvestorsagainstGreece.Greecehasstartedlong-term borrowingfromfinancialmarketsagainthisyear.AstheGreekstateistodayevenmore heavilyindebtedthanbeforeits“rescue”andtheeconomyisstillinrecession,thiswas onlypossiblethroughanimplicitguarantee.AccordingtoYanisVaroufakis,Berlinand theECB“winkedatinvestors‘Look,buythesebonds.IftheGreekscan’trepayyou,we will.”IfDraghi’sandMerkel’swinksandcommentshaveenabledGreecetosell governmentbondsagain,theymightaswelldotheoppositetoincreasefinancial pressureonaleftgovernment. ThepossiblyworststrategywouldbefortheECBtothreatentostopprovidingliquidity toGreekbanks.YanisVaroufakisdescribesthisinstrumentasa“nuclearweapon”,which couldbringtheGreekbankingsectordownalmostimmediately.TheprospectoftheECB doingthismightseemextremeandunlikely,butitwouldnotbenews:In2011,theECB threatenedtocutoffIrishbanksfromitslendingactivities,unlessthegovernmenttook overalldebtofinsolventbanks.Varoufakisisconvincedthatthegovernmentcould indeedfallquicklyjustoverthepossibleexternalpressures. WhatremainsunclearatthispointishowSYRIZAwilldealwiththeTroika.Afterthe memorandahaveexpired,controlsbytheCommissionandtheECBarescheduledeverysix monthsuntil75percentoftheloansarepaidback.Atthemoment,thiswouldmean25yearsof Troikavisits.Evenmoreyearswouldbeaddedincasetheloansarestretched,whichiscurrently beingdiscussed.Inanycase,theCommissioncanalwaysjustextendthemonitoringunlessthe Councilvetoes.Thecontrolsmightalsoleadtosanctions,whichareonlyvaguelydescribedas “correctivemeasures”.(Kathimerini2013) Generalsentiment:Carefuloptimism Despiteallthosechallenges,thepeoplewespoketoshowacertainoptimismregardingthe negotiationsontheEUlevel.Althoughmanyconsideritpossiblethattheirgovernmentcould lastonlyforafewweeks,theysaytheirchancesarebettertodaythantheywouldhavebeenin 2012.TheyseefractionswithintheneoliberalblockthatSYRIZAcouldtrytoexploit,likethe ECB’sfearofdeflation,thepositionofItaly’sprimeministerMatteoRenziandtherecent conflictswithintheFrenchgovernment.HarisGolemis,directorofSYRIZA’sPoulantzasInstitute, saysaboutAlexisTsiprasrecentmeetingwithECBpresidentMarioDraghi:“Ofcourseheisnot ‘withGreece’,butheisagainsttheobviousfallaciesofthebeliefsoftheGermangovernment.”By gettingintogovernmentandimplementingfirstmeasures,SYRIZAhopestoaccelerateexisting debates,especiallywithinEuropeansocialdemocracyandthetradeunions.YanisVaroufakis expectsSYRIZA’sbehaviourintheCounciltotriggerconflictscurrentlyrepressed.Hetoldusofa conversationhehadwiththefinanceministerofalargeEurozonecountry,whoagreedwith Varoufakis’positionsbutdidn’tvoicethemintheECOFINbecausethatwouldonlymeantheend ofhispoliticalcareerwithoutchanginganything.“Butwhatifyourministeroffinancespeaks outandvetoestheexistingpolicies?Ifhedoesso,peoplelikemyselfcouldchipintothe conversation”,theministertoldVaroufakis. 12 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 III. STRATEGIES Solidarity: A task for the European Left AfterdecadesofweaknessoftheLeftinEurope,afteryearsofausterityandmillionsrisingup againstit,weareindireneedofgoingfurther.WithSYRIZAandtheGreekmovements,thereis nowtherealpossibilityofaleftgovernmentwitharadicalprogrammeofsocialtransformation. ThestrugglesinGreeceandinSpainalreadyprovideuswithimportantlessonsandinspiration. Aleftgovernmentthattriestodothingsdifferently,tobreakwithausterityandtofollowa differentvisionofsocietycouldcreateamomentumfortheLeftoutsideGreece,too.While neoliberalhegemonymightnotbeasstrongasitusedtobe,thepoliticalsituationinmostof Europeisstillhopelesslyhostile.Insomeareaspublicdebatehasbecomesonarrowthatthe mostbasicleftconceptsandpoliciesareperceivedasutopianornaive.Furthermore,decadesof politicalchangeshaveonlyknownonedirection:cutstowelfare,educationandhealthcare, pressureonwages,deregulationoflabourmarketsandtaxcutsforcorporationsandtherich.A leftgovernmentprojectinGreececanbreakwiththislogicandincreaseminimumwagesand socialexpenditurewhilefollowingamoreradicalvision.Throughthis,aspaceforleftideasand debatescanopenup.WhatisbeingdoneinGreecemightsuddenlyseemimaginableinother places,too. Ifthismomentcomes,thetaskfortheEuropeanleftisnotonlytosupportGreece,buttouseitas bestaswecantostrengthenstruggles,ignitenewonesandshiftexistingpowerrelations. Gettingthereanddoingthatisatremendoustaskandbringsaboutdifficultstrategicquestions. Wehavechosentofocusonthefirstpartofthistask:TosupportSYRIZAandthebroaderGreek leftinwinningthenextelection,formingaleftgovernmentprojectandstartingtofight austerity.TheirstrugglesareEuropeanandtheiroppositionwillbeEuropean,soitisour struggle,too.Intherestofthischapterwewilloutlineideasforthisstrategy.Webelievethat thisisthepreconditionforplanningfurtherahead,i.e.onhowtousethemomentumgenerated bySYRIZAforachangeoutsideGreece.Wealsohopethatsomeofourideaswillsupport thinkinginthisdirection. Attitude: Our common struggle IfpartsoftheLeftinEuropedecidetosupporttheGreekstrugglesmoreactively,weneeda commonunderstandingofwhyandhowwearedoingit.Beinginsolidaritywithandsupporting SYRIZAisnotthesameasblindadorationoruncriticalbelieving.Wecanandneedtoquestion theirpositionsandthechoicestheymake.Incasetheyformagovernment,itisessentialthatwe criticallyexaminewheretheyaregoing.Butweneedtodothiswithanattitudeofrespectand support. Furthermore,supportingSYRIZAandtheGreekleftisnotabout“helpingGreece”,butabout advancingourcommonstruggle.Weshouldnotbemotivatedbyguiltbecauseourgovernments areresponsible–thiswouldmeanreproducingnationalistsplitsbetweenpeople.Weshould alsonotbeactingoutofcompassion–thiswouldmeandepoliticisingtheissue.Instead,weneed tolinkSYRIZA'sstrugglestoourownanddevelopwaystopromotemutuality.Thefightsof SYRIZA,theGreekmovementsandsolidarityinitiatives,thecleaners,theworkersofERTand thepeopleofChalkidikiarenotGreekproblemstobeovercome,butpartsofwhatneedstobea unitedfightagainstoppression. AsolidaritycampaignshouldaimatopposingthepressurethatEuropeaneliteswillexerton SYRIZA.Ithastopushpoliticalprotagonistslikegovernmentsandtradeunionstochangetheir standtowardsGreeceandatleastnotfightwhattheleftgovernmentistryingtodo.Itshould 13 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 interveneinpublicdebatestomaketherealityofGreekausterityandwhatSYRIZAstandsfor visibletopeopleinothercountries.Ithastotryandrevealthepoliticalprogrammeandclass characterbehindausterityinGreece.AnditshouldaimtogetpeopleinotherpartsofEuropein touchwiththestrugglesoftheGreekpeople. Structure: Organising a European campaign Inouropinion,bothanAustrianandaEuropeancampaignwillworkbestiftheycombine decentralisedactivitieswithcoordinatingefforts.Differentaspectsofasolidaritycampaigncan attractdifferentpartsoftheLeft:whilesomemightwanttosupportthestrugglesofSYRIZAasa party,othersmightwanttofocusontheworkofthesolidarityinitiatives,thefightagainst austerityorotherpartsofbroaderpublicmobilisations.Forsome,theprospectofaleft governmentprojectwillbethemostinterestingpart,whileothersmightwanttofocuson opposingthethreattoGreekdemocracy. InorganisingadecentralisedcampaigninAustria,weproposeacoordinatingteam.Itsmembers shouldparticipateincertainactivitiesthemselves,butalsoactivelyinvolveothergroupsand providesideasandsupportforthemtogetinvolved. Measures: What a campaign could look like AcampaignshouldcoverallofthephasesdescribedinchapterII:thetimebetweennowandthe nextelections,thephaseofformingagovernmentand,mostimportantly,thestartofaleft governmentproject.TheideasaredevelopedfortheAustriancontext,butifthereisa coordinatedcampaigninseveralcountries,therecanbecommonandseparateactivities.We willproposeaseriesofcampaignideas,ofwhichonlyafewaretargetedataspecificphase.The ideasarestructuredbytargetgroupswethinkwillbeessentialtoaddress. Targetgroup:Journalistsandmedia Aim: Change the way news about Greece and SYRIZA are reported. Break up problematic narratives like the equalisation of left and right as extremism and anti-Europeanism. Debunk the attempts of the current Greek government and the troika to sell Greece as a success story. PublicdebatepanelsandjournalisticbackgroundtalkswithcriticalGreekeconomists likeYanisVaroufakis,MaricaFrangakisorJohnMilios.Besidescriticismofcurrent policiesandinputontheGreeksituation,someofSYRIZA’smaindemandscanbe introducedthisway(seebelow).Preferably,theseeventsandtheaccompanyingpress workwillbedoneincooperationwithdifferentpartnerorganisations. Aseriesofopinionpiecesonthe“theoryofextremism”innewspapersandspecial interestmagazinesforjournalists.Thiscouldincludeatheoreticalperspectiveonits non-validitybyapoliticalscientist,ahistoricalanalysisofthedefamationofprogressive strugglesinthepast,andotherapproachesvoicingadifferentfacetofcritiquebutallin connectionwithcurrentpoliticaldebates. Targetgroup:Politicalorganisations,activistsandsupporters Aim: Heighten awareness on the issues and debate the connection between Greek and local struggles. Mobilise activists for the support of the Greek Left in their political contexts (parties, trade unions, youth organisations, student groups, church organisations, etc.). 14 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 SpeakerstourwithactivistsofSYRIZAand/orSolidarity4All,forexampleHaris TriandafilidouorGiorgosChondros.Anumberofeventscouldbehostedalloverthe countryincooperationwithvariouslocalgroupswhowanttoworkontheissue. AsolidaritytriptoGreecewithrepresentativesoftheorganisationsmentionedabove. Anexchangetripliketheyarealreadyhappeninginthetradeunionsandothercontexts canbringpeopleofvariousorganisationalbackgroundintouchwiththeGreekstruggles andwithopportunitiestoconnectthemtotheirown.Theycouldthencarrytheir experiencestotheirpoliticalcontexts. DiscussSYRIZA’smaindemandsandpolicies(seeabove)withrelevantstakeholders beforetheelectiontomakecentralpoliticalgroupsfamiliarwiththeissuesthatwillbe raised.Possibilitiestodothisinclude: o ArticlesbyGreekeconomistsinprogressivepublicationsorblogs,trade union/chamberoflabourmagazines,etc. o SeekingbackgroundtalkswithmembersoftheSocialDemocraticandtheGreen partytodiscussSYRIZA’splansandtheirpositionstowardsthem. TargetGroup:Thepoliticalpublic Aim: Shift the public debate on Greece. Make the drastic economic and social situation visible. Present SYRIZA and the left government project as a realistic alternative for Greece and other parts of Europe. BailOut–Thefinalverdict:ThiswouldbeanupdateoftheAttacprojectof2013,where calculationsshowedhowmostofthebailoutmoneywentbacktothefinancialsector. Thecalculationscouldbeupdatedandpresentedforthe(probably)officialendofthe programmeinDecember2014. OpinionpiecesinAustriannewspaperstodiscussvariousaspects: o Opinionpiecesinnewspapersinfall2014tomakeactivistsofthesolidarity campaignknowntomediaasexpertsonvariousaspectsoftheGreekcrisis.This wouldbeinpreparationofthemomentwhenreportingonGreecestartsagain. o OpinionpiecescounteringthesuccessstoriesoftheGreekgovernmentand Europeanelites,witheconomic,political,socialandotheraspects.Different aspectscouldbecoveredbypeoplefromdifferentfieldsandtheyshouldbe connectedtothebroaderEuropeanausterityandcompetitivenessagenda. o Asatiricalopinionpieceaboutthemisjudgedresultsandgreatsuccessofthe memoranda,whichsucceededperfectlyinmakingtherichricher,increasingthe exploitationoflabourandfreecorporationsfromtheburdenofenvironmental regulationsandtaxes. SocialMediaactionsatcrucialmoments,forexampleafterinterventionsfromEuropean politiciansorotherEuropeanactors.Messagescouldbealongthelinesof“letthemvote” or“saveGreekdemocracy”andactivitiesshouldinvolveonlineparticipation. Socialmediacampaign:“KreiskywouldvoteforSYRIZA” ImagesoffamousleftistsorleftsocialdemocratslikeBrunoKreiskyorWillyBrandt, combinedwithelementsoftheirpoliticalprogrammewhichresembleSYRIZA'splans. AsolidaritydelegationofprogressiveintellectualstoGreeceafteraSYRIZAgovernment takesoffice,sendingthemessagethattheleftprojectinGreeceisnotalone. 15 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Targetgroup:Generalandculturalpublic Aim: Reach people who are not very interested in politics through cultural channels. Get people in touch with the social and political reality in Greece. Support affection and feelings of mutuality. BookpresentationanddebatewithMarleneStreeruwitz,awell-knownAustrianauthor whojustpublishedanovelcalled“ThetravelsofayounganarchistthroughGreece”.Her bookiswidelycoveredinAustrianmedia,soapoliticalpresentationanddebateofit couldattractanaudienceinterestedinliteratureaswellasmedia. AphotoexhibitionoftheGreekcrisisandGreekresistance.Thereareseveralcollections byGreekphotographerswhichhavealreadybeenshowninexhibitionsinGreece.They couldbebroughtovertoAustriaandshowningalleriesinViennaand/orothercities. TranslationandpublicationofaGreekcrisisnovel:Intheseturbulenttimes,thereisa largenumberofGreeknovelsdealingwithlifeduringthecrisisandwiththepolitical strugglessurroundingit.Asolidaritycampaigncouldcreatethelinkbetweenselected publicationsandAustrian/Germanpublishinghouses.Theaimwouldbeatranslated novelwhichisreviewedinnewspapers,soldinbookstoresandattractivetoreadersand peoplewhotraveltoGreece. “HumansofGreece” “HumansofGreece”wouldbeasocialmediacampaignmodelledafterthevery successful“HumansofNewYork”,whichdailypublishesaphotoandaquotebyaNew Yorker,sometimesexplicitlypolitical,sometimesnot.“HumansofGreece”,couldbea lightandpopularwayofcommunicatingtherealityoflifeinGreece. Artisticexpression:AnimateAustrianactors,performersorcomedianstoworkonthe Greekcrisis 16 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Sources AlJazeera(2012)Greekfar-leftleaderfailsincoalitionbid,09.05.2014, http://www.aljazeera.com/news/europe/2012/05/20125919544731172.html ConstitutionofGreece,http://www.hellenicparliament.gr/UserFiles/f3c70a23-7696-49db9148-f24dce6a27c8/001-156%20aggliko.pdf Dericquebourg,Baptiste(2013)WhereSYRIZAstands,July2013, http://mondediplo.com/2013/07/07SYRIZA DigitalJournal(2012)GermanfinanceministersendswarningonGreekelections,05.05.2012, http://digitaljournal.com/article/324320 FinancialTimesDeutschland(2012)Αντισταθείτεστoδημαγωγό-WiderstehtdenDemagogen, 14.06.2012,http://archive.is/hX1r FinancialTimes(2014)HowtheEurowassaved,11.05.2014, http://www.ft.com/intl/cms/s/0/f6f4d6b4-ca2e-11e3-ac05-00144feabdc0.html GreekReporter(2014)RecentPollShowsSYRIZALeadsOverNewDemocracy,27.09.2014, http://greece.greekreporter.com/2014/09/27/recent-poll-gives-SYRIZA-lengthening-leadover-new-democracy/ Guardian(2012a)'FriendofGreece'FrançoisHollandegivesbailoutultimatum,14.06.2012, http://www.theguardian.com/world/greek-election-blog-2012/2012/jun/14/greecebailout-hollande-ultimatum-eurozone Guardian(2012b)Greekelections:angerhasgivenwaytothepoliticsoffear,13.06.2012, http://www.theguardian.com/world/greek-election-blog-2012/2012/jun/13/greek-elections Kadritzke,Nils(2014)GriechenlandIII:AusVerachtungderpolitischenKlassewirdAbscheu– EinNeubeginnistnochnichtinSicht,17.01.2014, http://www.nachdenkseiten.de/?p=19953 Kathimerini(2012)NDhitsbackatIIFreportonelections,04.04.2012, http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite1_1_04/05/2012_440680 Kathimerini(2013)Greececanchooseitsgovernment,butnotitseconomicpolicy,24.10.2013, http://www.ekathimerini.com/4Dcgi/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite3_1_24/10/2013_524640 Kathimerini(2014)Greekcoalitionwinsconfidencevote,gainingsupportonlyfromownMPs, 10.10.2014, http://www.ekathimerini.com/4dcgi/_w_articles_wsite1_1_10/10/2014_543635 Kouvelakis,Stathis(2013)Greece:SYRIZAafteritsfoundingcongress–viewsfromtheparty’s left,18.07.2014,http://links.org.au/node/3460 Laskos,Christos,Tsakalotos,Euclid(2013)CrucibleofResistance.Greece,theEurozoneandthe WorldEconomicCrisis.PlutoPress. left.gr(2013)ThepoliticalresolutionofthefirstcongressofSYRIZA, http://left.gr/news/political-resolution-1st-congress-syriza 17 LisaMittendrein,ValentinSchwarz momentum14,October2014 Macropolis(2014)AbreakdownofTsipras’spledgesoneconomicstrategyinThessaloniki, 17.09.2014,http://greekindependentnews.net/2014/09/a-breakdown-of-tsiprass-pledgeson-economic-strategy-in-thessaloniki MannheimerMorgen(2012)NurwennAthendieReformenumsetzt,kanndasGeld weiterfließen,24.05.2012, http://www.wolfgangschaeuble.de/index.php?id=37&textid=1522&page=1 Porcaro,Mimmo(2013)MassParty,ConnectiveParty,StrategicParty,http://leftdialogue.blog.rosalux.de/2013/01/30/mimmo-porcaro-mass-party-connective-partystrategic-party/ Rehmann,Jan(2013)VerbindendeParteioderzurückzum“Bewegungskrieg“? http://www.zeitschrift-luxemburg.de/verbindende-partei-oder-zurueck-zumbewegungskrieg/ ThePressProject(2014)Europeanelections2014:theelectorate΄sdividinglines,30.05.2014, http://www.thepressproject.net/article/62972/European-elections-2014-the-electoratesdividing-lines Varoufakis,Yanis(2013)CanGreece’sSYRIZAChangeEurope’sEconomy?In.BostonReview, 03.12.2013,http://yanisvaroufakis.eu/2013/12/03/can-greeces-SYRIZA-change-europeseconomy-from-the-boston-review/ 18