Malaysia`s Relations with Major and Middle Powers
Transcription
Malaysia`s Relations with Major and Middle Powers
O B S E R VAT O I R E A S I E D U S U D - E S T 2 0 1 4 / 2 0 1 5 étude Malaysia’s Relations with Major and Middle Powers Cheng-Chwee Kuik, National University of Malaysia (UKM) Étude trimestrielle « pays » n°1/8, cycle 2014/2015, Observatoire Asie du Sud-est Mars 2015 Cette étude sur la Malaisie lance une série de publications sur les relations entre États sud-est-asiatiques et grandes ou moyennes puissances périphériques. Kuala Lumpur se présente comme un (possible) partenaire privilégié pour la France, notamment pour la vente d’armes et d’avions, d’où l’importance de prendre connaissance avec précision de tout son spectre diplomatico-stratégique grâce aux travaux de Dr. Cheng-Chwee Kuik. 71 boulevard Raspail 75006 Paris - France Tel : +33 1 75 43 63 20 Fax : +33 1 75 43 63 23 www.centreasia.eu [email protected] siret 484236641.00029 Biography Kuik Cheng-Chwee is an associate professor at Strategic Studies and International Relations Program at the National University of Malaysia (UKM) and an associate member of the Institute of China Studies at the University of Malaya (UM). From September 2013 until July 2014, Dr. Kuik was a postdoctoral research associate in the PrincetonHarvard China and the World Program at Princeton University. Cheng-Chwee has researched and published on China-Southeast Asia relations, regional multilateralism, weaker states’ alignment choices, and East Asian security. He holds a PhD from the Johns Hopkins University and an M.Litt. from the University of St. Andrews. He has held visiting fellowships at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Shanghai Institutes for International Studies, Lee Kong Chian Reference Library (Singapore), American University’s ASEAN Studies Center, the Centre for Strategic and International Studies (Jakarta), and the Oxford University. He can be contacted at [email protected]. Introduction As Malaysia assumes the chairmanship of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN) and a non-permanent seat on the United Nations Security Council (UNSC) in 2015, growing attention has been focused on how the smaller state could steer towards promoting greater regional integration, reducing tensions in the South China Sea, and managing its multifaceted relations with powers at the global and regional levels. This paper analyzes Malaysia’s relations with and policies toward major and middle powers, mainly China and the United States, but also Japan, India, Republic of Korea (ROK) and the European Union (EU). These relationships are among the key components of the smaller state’s external policy. They have been fostered side-by-side with Putrajaya (Malaysia’s administrative capital)’s ties with the neighboring fellow members of ASEAN, which have remained the cornerstone of Malaysia’s foreign policy. Malaysia’s relations with the major and middle powers are vital for the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition’s pursuit of “national” interests in virtually every aspect of policy domains. As discussed below, these include trade volume and investment, defense and security, technology and human capital development, language and sociocultural exchanges, and perhaps indirectly, political development as well. China, the United States, Japan, EU, and Korea are among Malaysia’s top trading and investment partners. America and its allies have been Malaysia’s traditional security partners. China and India are the ancestor countries of about 25% and 7% of Malaysian population, respectively. The United States, Europe, Korea, Japan, China, and India are among the main sources of popular culture and education opportunity for Malaysians, shaping the values of the country’s young and older generations. 1. A Glimpse into the Past Malaysia’s history, in many ways, is a history of great power politics. It is a history of how the great powers of the day have affected the fates and shapes of a small territory on the southern extremity of the Asian continent between the two oceans of the Indian and the Pacific. The land’s strategic location and natural resources have been both a blessing and a curse to the successive polities on the territory. While bringing about opportunities for commercial and civilizational exchanges, they have also attracted unsolicited attention and competition for domination among the powerful actors of different eras. This recurring theme is well illustrated by the country’s historical timelines: the rise and fall of the Malacca Sultanate (seen by many Malaysians as the predecessor polity of the country), the successive colonial rules by the Portuguese (1511-1641) and the Dutch (1641-1795, 1818-1825) and then the British (1795-1818, 1826-1957), the changing shapes of colonial Malaya after the 1824 Anglo-Dutch Treaty, the Japanese occupation (December 1941-August 1945), the independence of the Federation of Malaya as a sovereign state in 1957, and finally, the very creation of Malaysia in September 1963, when Malaya merged with the other former British colonies of Singapore, Sarawak, and North Borneo (now Sabah) to form a larger pro-West, antiCommunist (anti-Soviet and anti-China) federation at the height of the Cold War. While different powers have come and gone, the inherent vulnerability of the territory remains. Although the presentday Malaysia is not threatened by the militarily stronger powers the same way as its predecessor polities experienced during the age of European colonization and the Pacific War, its existence and wellbeing as a sovereign actor has continued to be affected by the actions and interactions among the great powers of the contemporary era, particularly the United States and China. 2. Relations with the United States and China Relations with the United States and China are among the most vital aspects of Malaysia’s external policy. Both sets of bilateral relations are, fundamentally, asymmetric power relations.1 In part because of this structural attribute, the smaller state’s perceptions and policies toward the two major powers have been characterized by enduring ambivalence.2 It was ambivalent in that the weaker state’s successive leaders have held mixed feelings about both America and China. In the case of Malaysia’s U.S. policy, the Lilliputian has long viewed the superpower as a key partner for its economic wellbeing and security, but paradoxically, also a source of political pressure and irritation. This was so especially under the country’s fourth Prime Minister Mahathir Mohamad, who ruled the country from 1981 to 2003. Although Malaysia is never a formal U.S. ally, the United States has been one of the most important economic and military partners of Malaysia since the Cold War decades. It was during the Mahathir years that the U.S.-Malaysia trade and investment cooperation developed in leaps and bounds, and the bilateral security ties institutionalized. Politically, however, Mahathir saw the U.S. post-Cold War “liberal internationalist” strategy and its tendency to interfere in others’ internal affairs as a source of threat to his rule.3 Bilateral political ties sank to a low point in the late 1990s. Political tensions emerged over Mahathir’s currency control policy during the Asian financial crisis as well as his treatment of his deputy Anwar Ibrahim. Pamela Sodhy, The U.S.-Malaysia Nexus: Themes in Superpower-Small States Relations (Kuala Lumpur: Institute of Strategic and International Studies, 1991); James W. Gould, The United States and Malaysia (Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, 1969). 2 Cheng-Chwee Kuik, “Malaysia’s U.S. Policy Under Najib: Structural and Domestic Sources of a Small State’s Strategy,” Asian Security 9, No. 2 (2013): 143-164. 3 Helen E. S. Nesadurai, Malaysia and the United States: Rejecting Dominance, Embracing Engagement, IDSS Working Paper Series no. 72 (Singapore: Institute of Defense and Strategic Studies, 2004). 1 2 However, post-Mahathir era witnessed an improvement in bilateral relations. Under Abdullah Ahmad Badawi (20032009), Mahathir’s immediate successor, Putrajaya’s ties with Washington made progress on multiple fronts. A more significant progress has been made under the current Prime Minister Mohd Najib Tun Razak (2009-present). Under Najib, Malaysia’s U.S. policy has been more cooperative in gesture and more pragmatic in tone. Substance wise, he has made a more concerted effort than all his predecessors to cultivate a stronger and more comprehensive partnership with the global superpower, with marked progress in all key domains (discussed below). U.S. President Barack Obama’s visit to Malaysia in April 2014 – the first by a sitting American President since President Lyndon Johnson’s visit in October 1966 – was a testimony to this transformed relationship. Nevertheless, despite this observable progress, the Anwar factor and the U.S. government’s occasional statements over the country’s rule of law and religious freedom have continued to push Malaysian elites to view America as a source of political pressure. In late 2014, when the United States expressed concerns over Putrajaya’s use of the colonialera Sedition Act to clamp down on dissent and stifle the opposition, many BN elites hit out at Washington for trying to “interfere” with Malaysia’s domestic affairs.4 In February 2015, after the Malaysian Federal Court announced its decision to convict and sentence Anwar for sodomy, the U.S. embassy expressed that “[the] United States are deeply disappointed and concerned” by the decision and Anwar’s conviction.5 Malaysia’s relations with China are even more complex. The bilateral ties have been shaped not only by vast power asymmetry as in the case of Malaysia-U.S. relations, but also by longer historical links, geographical proximity, and demographic structure (about a quarter of its populations are ethnic Chinese).6 Malaysia’s relations with China have gone through an even bigger transformation, from mutual hostility during the Cold War to close and cordial partnership in the post-Cold War era.7 Notwithstanding their ideological and political problems against the backdrop of East-West confrontation, Malaysia – under its second Prime Minister Tun Abdul Razak Hussein – was the first ASEAN state to establish diplomatic relations with Joseph Sipalan, “Don’t ‘pressure’ Malaysia over Sedition Act use, Home Minister tells US,” Malay Mail Online, October 19, 2014. Available at: http://www.themalaymailonline.com/malaysia/ article/dont-pressure-malaysia-over-sedition-act-use-homeminister-tells-us#sthash.SY1h5kNp.dpuf. 5 “US, Australia tick off M’sia over sodomy verdict,” Malaysiakini, February 10, 2015. Available at: http://www. malaysiakini.com/news/288872. 6 Stephen Leong, “Malaysia and the People’s Republic of China in the 1980s: Political Vigilance and Economic Pragmatism,” Asian Survey 27, no. 10 (1987): 1109-1126; Cheng-Chwee Kuik, “Making Sense of Malaysia’s China Policy: Asymmetry, Proximity, and Elite’s Domestic Authority,” Chinese Journal of International Politics 6, no. 4 (2013): 429-467. 7 Joseph Liow Chinyong, “Malaysia-China Relations in the 1990s: The Maturing of a Partnership,” Asian Survey 40, no. 4 (2000): 672-691; Abdul Razak Baginda, “Malaysian Perceptions of China: From Hostility to Cordiality,” in Herbert Yee and Ian Storey (ed.), The China Threat: Perceptions, Myths and Reality (London: Routledge Curzon, 2002), 227-247. 4 China back in the 1970s. It has also been one of the most active ASEAN members to engage China in the postTiananmen, post-Cold War era. Despite their overlapping claims in the Spratlys in the South China Sea, Malaysian leaders from Mahathir onwards have repeatedly declared that Putrajaya does not see Beijing as a threat, but an opportunity. Abdullah and Najib have both chosen China as the first country outside ASEAN to visit upon assuming their respective premierships. Since 2009, China has been Malaysia’s largest trading partner, and Malaysia China’s largest trading partner in the ASEAN region. In October 2013, during President Xi Jinping’s visit to Malaysia, the two countries agreed to elevate bilateral ties to a “comprehensive strategic partnership.” The bilateral relations seemed to be reaching a new height. Few months later, however, the relationship was tested in a big way by two unprecedented events. The first was the reappearance of Chinese military vessels in James Shoal (Beting Serupai in Malay, 80 kilometers from the Malaysian coast) in January 2014, after a similar occurrence in March 2013. The second was the mysterious disappearance in March 2014 of Malaysia Airlines flight MH370, two thirds of whose passengers were Chinese citizens. The furious reaction in the Chinese media and cyberspace as well as the pressure from the Chinese government caught many Malaysians by surprise. As emotions ran high in China with netizens posting angry comments against Malaysia, certain groups taking to the streets, and some even calling for a boycott of all things Malaysian, many in Malaysia felt rattled. The backlash came at a time when the two countries were celebrating the 40th anniversary of their diplomatic ties. Although the troubled relations appear to have recovered from a low point after Najib’s visit to China from May 27 to June 1 that year, Malaysia’s concern about the downsides of living with an increasingly powerful neighbor may have deepened. In order to better evaluate the impact of the recent developments on Malaysia’s overall strategic position visà-vis the two major powers, it is important to pay attention to the structural and domestic conditions underpin the weaker state’s interactions with the United States and China since 2009 under Najib Razak. When Najib came to power in April 2009, Malaysia was confronted with a different domestic and external environment. Internally, the March 2008 general elections severely weakened the ruling BN coalition, when it lost its two-thirds majority control of Parliament and 5 of 13 states to the oppositions. This took place when Malaysia was struggling to cope with economic difficulty in the wake of the 2008 global financial crisis. The political and economic challenges combined to make performance legitimacy an even more salient pathway of political authority for the United Malay National Organization (UMNO)-led BN coalition. The May 2013 general elections, which saw BN returning to power with a reduced majority in the Parliament and losing the popular vote, further deepened this trend. Externally, the post-2008 environment has witnessed a number of changes. Chief among these are China’s rapidly expanding influence, its more assertive behavior over the maritime disputes, as well as the Obama administration’s “pivot” to Asia strategy. The U.S. rebalancing signals 3 Washington’s greater resolve to push back Beijing’s growing regional clout by revitalizing its alliances and partnerships in the Asia-Pacific region, by enhancing its involvement in the ASEAN-led forums and other regional multilateral platforms, and by promoting the Trans-Pacific Partnership (TPP) as a high-standard, 21st century trade agreement. These structural changes – along with Japan’s and India’s respective enhanced activism towards ASEAN – have engendered a growing power competition, thereby presenting both challenges and opportunities to regional countries, Malaysia included. 2.1. Malaysia’s U.S. policy under Najib Najib has moved to grasp the opportunities unleashed by the U.S. rebalancing, with the aim of using a strengthened partnership with the global superpower to solidify Malaysia’s security fallback position. Perhaps more importantly, the move is also motivated by domestic economic and political calculations. Besides eyeing at maximizing commercial gains from America, Putrajaya has also hoped to capitalize on the increasingly warm bilateral ties as a leverage to reduce Washington’s support for the Anwar-led opposition and civil society movements, which are posing a growing challenge to BN after 2008. These structural and domestic factors have coalesced to push the Najib government to embrace a friendlier posture towards the United States. Accordingly, Malaysia has taken steps to improve its political relations with the superpower, enhance the bilateral trade and investment links, and strengthen their long-standing military cooperation. Under Najib, there have been more Malaysian security personnel taking part in military programs in America, more U.S. ships visiting Malaysia, as well as more joint exercises and more high-level defense consultations being conducted.8 On political and diplomatic domains, Putrajaya has collaborated with Washington on issues that the Obama administration is most concerned about. These issues range from Iran, North Korea, and Iraq, to nuclear nonproliferation and human trafficking. By cooperating with the U.S. on these issues, Putrajaya seeks to showcase its value while giving deference to the superpower to enhance Malaysia-U.S. relations. Economic consideration is one of the key drivers of Najib’s U.S. policy. At a briefing for Malaysian journalists during his U.S. visit in April 2010, Najib said: “Economic and trade investment will be a key component of our bilateral ties as we move forward because the U.S. is a big source, not only in terms of export market for our manufacturing industry but also a source for new technology such as ICT and biotechnology.”9 Indeed, despite the economic downturn, the United States has remained one of the top foreign investors and trading partners for Malaysia.10 Beyond economic and structural drivers, Najib’s U.S. policy has been motivated by domestic political motives as well, i.e. a calculation to mitigate the political challenge Andrew J. Shapiro, U.S. Assistant Secretary of State, Remarks at the Malaysian Armed Forces Defense College, Kuala Lumpur, February 15, 2012. 9 Lim Ai Lee, “Obama congratulates Najib on his stance on weapons of mass destruction,” The Star, April 13, 2010. 10 United States Census Bureau website. Available at: http://www. census.gov/foreign-trade/balance/c5570.html. 8 arises from the U.S. tendency to comment on the BN government’s treatment of political dissents and handling of human rights issues. The U.S. tendency to express concerns on those issues is not new. They were voiced in a stronger tone against the Malaysian government in the late 1990s, as noted earlier. But unlike Mahathir who reacted to U.S. interference in an antagonistic way, the Najib administration has adopted a different approach. It has attempted to “neutralize” the political challenge by forging deeper collaboration with Washington, particularly on issues that would enhance its value to the superpower. Thus far, this approach seems to have yielded desired results to Putrajaya. During Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s visit to Malaysia in November 2010, although she did comment on the Anwar trial, the Secretary however chose not to meet the opposite leader. During Obama’s high-profile visit to Malaysia in April 2014, the President also chose not to meet Anwar, drawing criticism that the leader was putting trade deals and other interests above democratic principles.11 Najib’s push to enhance Malaysia’s ties with the United States, however, has been constrained by several imperatives at different levels. Structurally, as a weaker state, Malaysia is concerned about the danger of being entrapped in potential U.S.-China conflict, the uncertainty in U.S. long-term commitment, as well as the risks of antagonizing the proximate rising power. These concerns together have prevented Malaysia from fully supporting and aligning militarily with America. A case in point is Putrajaya’s reaction to the international news reports in September 2014, which quoted the U.S. Navy’s chief of naval operations Admiral Jonathan Greenert’s speech in Washington that Malaysia “has offered to host” U.S. Navy P-8 Poseidon aircrafts at a base close to the South China Sea to conduct surveillance activities over the disputed areas where China operates.12 Malaysian Defense Minister Hishammuddin Hussein denied this.13 Defense analyst Dzirhan Mahadzir writes that Malaysia’s foreign military cooperation activities are often conducted on a “caseby-case” and an “ad-hoc” basis. He describes the option of allowing America to set up a base in East Malaysia for the purpose of monitoring China as politically infeasible and strategically “counter-productive”, as it “would only provoke the Chinese to set up their activities in the area, further taxing the RMN and RMAF.”14 Domestically, there is also a political rationale on the part of the ruling elites of not wanting to appear too closely aligned with America, in order to avoid alienating Malaysia’s Muslim majority voters, many of whom have been critical of U.S. policies in the Muslim World. Other domestic factors have compelled Najib to adopt a cautious approach in interacting with Washington. This is so not only in military and security cooperation, but also in economic matters, including the TPP. Some business groups, political parties, and individuals (e.g. former premier Mahathir) have strongly P. Ramani, “PKR disappointed Obama not meeting Anwar,” The Free Malaysia Today website, April 22, 2014. Available at: http://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2014/04/22/ obama-will-not-be-meeting-anwar/. 12 Trefor Moss, “Malaysia offers to host U.S. navy aircraft,” Wall Street Journal, September 12, 2014 13 Jane Perlez, “Malaysia risks enraging China by inviting U.S. spy flights,” The New York Times, September 13, 2014. 14 Dzirhan Mahadzir, “No, Malaysia would never host a US spy base,” The Diplomat, September 19, 2014. 11 4 opposed against the TPP. Najib said in October 2013 that he was “prepared to stay out of the deal if Malaysians oppose it.”15 2.2. Malaysia’s China policy under Najib In the case of Malaysia-China relations, Najib – a son of Tun Razak who established diplomatic relations with China in 1974 – has pursued a policy that is marked by an increased pragmatism in all key domains. This is evidenced by Putrajaya’s greater readiness to collaborate with Beijing in economic, transnational security, and even defense domains, despite Malaysian defense planners’ growing concern over China’s increasing assertiveness. This pragmatism is chiefly rooted in the BN elites’ desire to further enhance the overall bilateral ties and, accordingly, further maximize economic benefits from China. This is not purely a foreign policy or economic matter, but also an issue of crucial political significance for Najib. To regain political ground for BN, Najib has adopted measures aimed at enhancing his government’s performance in ensuring and delivering economic growth, alongside other pathways of legitimation. BN’s weakened position after the cliffhanger May 2013 elections has further increased the salience of performance legitimation for Najib. It is in this light that maximizing economic benefits from China and other major markets is deemed a crucial domestic political matter. China has emerged as Malaysia’s largest trading partner in recent years, as noted. Under Najib, Malaysia has not only sought to strengthen the already robust bilateral trade, but it has also taken steps to enhance bilateral investment and financial cooperation. These include: creating industrial parks in Qinzhou and Kuantan, setting up a Bank Negara Malaysia representative office in Beijing, and renewing their bilateral currency swap deal for RM90 billion. Malaysian Minister of International Trade and Industry Mustapa Mohamed remarked in October 2013, as “China is becoming an important source of investment in the world compared with the United States, European countries and Middle-East”, Malaysia wants to tap in its stronger bilateral relations to capture US$25 billion worth of investment from China over the next five years.16 Malaysia also eyes at boosting Chinese tourist arrivals in the coming years.17 The BN elites’ economic cum domestic political motivations, however, are not the only drivers of Malaysia’s move to develop cooperative and comprehensive ties with China. There are geopolitical and strategic considerations at work as well. As a weaker state, Malaysia’s perceptions and policies toward China have always been shaped by long-term geopolitical considerations. The twin realities of geographical proximity and power asymmetry – intertwined with the elites’ historical memory of Malacca-China interaction and the Malaysia-China Cold War hostility – have a deep impact on the elites’ belief that China could help and hurt Malaysia much more than any other actor (with Barry Porter and Chong Pooi Koon, “TPPA: Najib may stay out If Malaysians oppose it,” New Straits Times, October 12, 2013. 16 “Malaysia hungry for Chinese investments,” Free Malaysia Today, October 5, 2013. Available at: http://www. freemalaysiatoday.com/category/nation/2013/10/05/msia-hungryfor-chinese-investments/. 17 “Malaysia eyes 1.4 million Chinese tourist arrivals in 2015: Nazri,” New Straits Times, December 22, 2014. 15 the exception of the United States). Accordingly, Malaysia has since the early 1990s exhibited a noticeable readiness to recognize, accommodate, and whenever possible, capitalize on China’ growing power. For instance, the two countries’ collaboration in promoting the institutionalization of East Asian cooperation throughout the mid-1990s and 2005 – a period that witnessed the creations of the ASEAN Plus Three (APT) and the East Asia Summit (EAS) – indicates that Malaysian elites have increasingly come to view the rise of China as a long-term geopolitical trend that Malaysia must adapt to and benefit from. China’s growing influence after the 2008 global financial crisis seems to have reinforced such a view. As enunciated by a former Malaysian envoy recently: Putrajaya wants to develop a strong relationship with Beijing so as to “invest in the emerging China”, because the rising power is playing an increasingly vital role in regional and global affairs.18 Indeed, Malaysia under Najib has expanded bilateral cooperation with China in virtually all sectors. These include security and defense realm, which has long been the least developed aspect of the bilateral ties. In October 2014, Malaysian Defense Minister Hishammuddin Hussein and the visiting Chinese State Councillor Yang Jiechi declared that both countries “need to beef up their military cooperation and defense industries”, as well as “work together to fight militancy in all forms”.19 In November 2014, Hishammuddin attended the Xiangshan Forum, a biennial security forum hosted by China to compete with the Western-backed Shangri-La Dialogue. In December 2014, the Malaysian Armed Forces (MAF) and the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) held their first joint table top exercise at the MAF’s Joint Warfare Center to develop a common framework for humanitarian and disaster relief operations.20 2.3. An equidistance posture For these multiple reasons, Malaysia is determined to maintain its cordial and productive relationship with China despite its concern about Beijing’s increasing maritime assertiveness. Hence, although the maritime concern is one of the reasons leading Putrajaya to welcome the U.S. pivot and upgrade its cooperation with Washington, the Najib government has taken great care to do so without hurting its relations with China. It is on the basis of this “equidistant” posture that the Najib government has sought to concurrently enhance Malaysia’s relations with America and China, building stronger bilateral relationships with both powers without departing from its non-alignment stance, with effects serving to reinforce its fallback position. In August 2014, in responding to a question from one of the delegates at the Malaysian Student Leaders Summit about “who should Malaysia choose” between the two major powers, Najib said Malaysia’s foreign policy “is based on principle” and the country “did not really need to choose between the United States and China” because of “the strength of both countries.”21 Personal communication with a former Malaysian envoy, Kuala Lumpur, August 12, 2014. 19 “Malaysia, China to work together to fight militancy in all forms: Hishammuddin,” The Straits Times, October 8, 2014. 20 Nicholas Cheng, “Malaysia and China hold first-ever joint military exercise,” The Star, December 23, 2014. 21 “Najib: Why should Malaysia choose between US and China?” The Star, August 24, 2014. 18 5 2.4. Impact on Malaysia’s evolving South China Sea policy What are the implications of such equidistance posture for Malaysia’s South China Sea policy? Unlike Manila and Hanoi who have moved closer militarily to Washington and used it as the main leverage to counter Beijing, Malaysia has continued to prioritize its productive ties with China and emphasize the use of diplomatic means in managing the disputes, even after the James Shoal incidents in 2013 and 2014. On March 26, 2013, four Chinese vessels led by the Jinggangshan amphibious landing ship appeared near the shoal, the southernmost tip of China’s expansive territorial claims. On January 26, 2014, a three-ship flotilla from the Chinese Navy conducted maritime exercises in the disputed waters. These incidents have pushed the elites in Putrajaya to begin questioning their long-held view that China has a benign policy towards Malaysia in the South China Sea. Such concern has propelled Putrajaya to adjust its policy by hedging more deeply vis-à-vis the increasingly powerful and assertive Beijing, largely via taking steps to beef up its defense posture in the areas (e.g. by announcing the establishment of a marine corps and a new naval base in Bintulu), enhancing its military partnerships with the United States and other players, and promoting ASEAN unity on the South China Sea issue. Nevertheless, despite these adjustments, Malaysia has adopted a seemingly contradictory stance of simultaneously developing a closer and more comprehensive relationship with China. It has done so by sending positive signals to Beijing that Malaysia has not diverted from its equidistant position and non-confrontational policy towards China, while taking pragmatic steps to deepen bilateral collaboration on areas highlighted under the comprehensive strategic partnership framework. When interviewed by the Japanese media during his visit to Tokyo in May 2014, Najib responded: “We must look at the big picture and not define relations with China on a single-issue basis but look at the broad spectrum of the relations, and recognize the strategic importance of our bilateral relationship with China.”22 About a week later, in a joint communiqué issued by Najib and his Chinese counterpart Li Keqiang, the Malaysian and Chinese governments “reaffirmed their commitment to handling bilateral relations with a strategic, comprehensive and long-term perspective.” On the South China Sea, both sides “emphasized that all sovereign states directly concerned shall exercise self-restraint and settle their differences by peaceful means”, and “recognized the fact that intervention or involvement of parties not directly concerned could be counter-productive and further complicate the aforementioned differences.”23 These statements reflect the Najib government’s persistence of not letting the territorial issue affect the overall MalaysiaChina ties. They also reflect the weaker state’s insistence of not taking sides and not wanting to be entrapped in great power conflict. “Najib stresses China ties despite growing Asia territorial disputes,” The Star, May 22, 2014. 23 Joint Communiqué between the People’s Republic of China and Malaysia in Conjunction with the 40th Anniversary of the Establishment of Diplomatic Relations, Beijing, May 31, 2014. 22 3. Malaysia’s Relations with “the Other Powers” In comparison, Malaysia’s relations with “the other powers” – i.e. Japan, South Korea, India, and the EU – are strategically less intense. They are more economically and functionally-driven than survivability-oriented, at least under the current scenario. These relations are steered primarily by the ruling BN elites’ calculation on: to what extent should Malaysia interact with each of these powers in ways that would help boost the country’s development and Putrajaya’s governance performance. This is not to say that strategic dimension is absent in Malaysia’s ties with these powers. Rather, the point is that Malaysia’s policies towards these players are motivated more by maximizing development returns than by mitigating existential risks. 3.1. Malaysia-Japan relations Malaysia’s policy towards Japan has been marked by economic pragmatism. Despite the memory of Japanese brutality during the World War II, Malaysia’s successive leaders all want to develop a close and productive relationship with Japan. The country’s first Prime Minister Tunku Abdul Rahman decided not to allow the issue of war reparation from affecting Malaysia-Japan relations. His successor Tun Razak sought to develop a stronger economic tie with Japan to boost his New Economic Policy (NEP) policy. The leaders’ pragmatism is shared by a segment of the local Chinese business elites. Despite the ethnic Chinese community’s resentment of Japanese atrocities during the Japanese occupation, some Chinese capitalists ventured with their Japanese counterparts in resource-processing sectors, which laid the foundation for the robust bilateral trade and investment links in the subsequent decades.24 By 1970s, Japan emerged as Malaysia’s largest commercial partner.25 Economic pragmatism was a particularly salient theme during the Mahathir era. Shortly after taking over the leadership from Tun Hussein Onn, Mahathir launched the “Look East Policy” (LEP), which aimed to emulate Japan’s efficient style of management and designate Japan Incorporated as a model of development for Malaysia.26 Under this policy, the Mahathir government endeavored to attract more investment and technology transfer from Japan to help accelerate Malaysia’s industrialization process.27 Throughout the 1980s, Japan was the most dominant economic partner of Malaysia, accounting for about a quarter of the country’s exports and imports as well as the largest source of its foreign direct investment (FDI), Khadijah Khalid and Lee Poh Ping, Whither the Look East Policy (Bangi: Penerbit UKM, 2003), esp. 45-48. 25 Johan Saravanamuttu, Malaysia’s Foreign Policy The First Fifty Years: Alignment, Neutralism, Islamism (Singapore: ISEAS, 2010), 132-136. 26 David Camroux, ‘Looking East’ … and Inwards: Internal Factors in Malaysian Foreign Relations During the Mahathir Era, 1981-1994, Australia-Asia Paper no. 72 (Centre for the Study of Australia-Asia Relations, Griffith University, 1994), esp. 30-36; Khadijah and Lee, Whither the Look East Policy. 27 Fumitaka Furuoka, “Malaysia-Japan Relations under the Mahathir Administration: Case Studies of the ‘Look East’ Policy and Japanese Investment in Malaysia,” Asian Survey 47, no. 3 (2007): 505-519. 24 6 especially in the manufacturing sector.28 The appreciation of Yen following the 1985 Plaza Accord further increased the inflow of Japanese capital to Malaysia over the next decade. Although Japan has lost its dominant lead in Malaysia’s economy since the 1990s due mainly to its “lose decades” at home, it is still an important partner for Malaysia. During the 1997 Asian financial crisis, in the wake of the spurned IMF and other Western assistance, Japan’s US$2 billion worth of aid under the Miyazawa Initiative was one of the factors “that ensured the economic and political survival of the [BN] regime in the midst of a debilitating crisis.”29 Under Abdullah Badawi, Malaysia entered into a bilateral Economic Partnership Agreement (EPA) with Japan in December 2005, which came into force in July 2006. This was the first bilateral FTA Malaysia had signed with a trading partner. Under Najib, Malaysia has proposed to implement “Look East Policy’s second phase (LEP2)” as a framework to enhance bilateral relations. Najib’s efforts to deepen Malaysia-Japan cooperation overlap somewhat with his Japanese counterpart Shinzo Abe’s determination to strengthen Japan-ASEAN ties. Their driving motives, however, differ. While Najib is motivated primarily by economic considerations, Abe’s move is driven chiefly by strategic calculations: to solidify Japan-ASEAN partnerships in the face of China’s expanding power and its increasing assertiveness in the East and South China Sea.30 Given these diverging motives, and given Malaysia’s insistence of avoiding confrontation in the disputed waters, it is not surprising that Najib is lukewarm about Abe’s strategic agenda. A Japanese analyst observes that while Putrajaya “carefully but steadily deepens security cooperation with the US as a hedge against a rising China, it obviously sits on the fence with Abe’s new agenda.”31 term programs, and educational exchanges.32 Bilateral trade increased more rapidly from this period onwards, particularly in the post-Cold War era. The new era has witnessed Malaysia-Korea interactions at the regional multilateral level, alongside the traditional bilateral channels. The creations of various regional forums since the end of the Cold War – namely APEC, ARF, APT, the parallel ASEAN-Plus Ones, EAS, ADMM-Plus – have provided Malaysia and Korea (or for that matter, Malaysia’s interactions with the other East Asian players and major powers, including Japan) the additional platforms to pursue multi-sector collaboration in multilateral settings. Such multilateral processes have contributed to closer bilateral cooperation. The East Asian-wide APT cooperation, for instance, has reinforced the “East Asian” identity and created numerous opportunities for Malaysian and Korean officers to cooperate directly on various regional issues. In addition, the ASEAN-Korea FTA offers a basis for Korea to propose a bilateral FTA with Malaysia. In 2013, MalaysiaKorea trade rose by 13.7% to US$18.04 billion. In the first half of 2014, total bilateral trade increased 11.4% to US$10.76 billion compared to the corresponding period of 2013.33 The two countries’ decision in 2014 to implement the bilateral currency swap facility is expected to further boost the bilateral trade. Beyond these inter-governmental domains, Malaysia-Korea relations have progressed vigorously at the people-to-people level in recent years. As a result of the Korean cultural wave created by popular Korean films, TV dramas and pop songs, there has been a greater interest among Malaysians in things Korean.34 This interest has in part led to a marked increase in educational, tourism, and socio-cultural exchanges between the two countries. 3.3. Malaysia-India relations 3.2. Malaysia-Korea relations Malaysia-ROK ties similarly have focused on economic cooperation, albeit at a relatively lower scale and pace. Developed on the basis of a stable political relationship, Malaysia’s trade with Korea has gradually increased since the two countries established diplomatic ties in 1960. Malaysia persistently enjoyed a trade surplus throughout the first two decades, thanks in large part to Korea’s huge demand for Malaysia’s resources and raw materials. Over time, bilateral trade structure had evolved from predominantly commodity-based to manufacturingbased. Bilateral investment ties took off much later, when the Koreans began to invest in Malaysia in the 1980s. Although Mahathir’s LEP anchored principally on Japan, Korea was part of the “East” the Malaysian leader had in mind. Many Malaysian students, engineers and other professionals, and government officials were sent to Korea (though comparatively less than those going to Japan) for university education, industrial training, short- Malaysia’s relations with India, although not as vibrant as the country’s ties with the three Northeast Asian economies, have a longer history dating back well before the pre-colonial period. The Indianized kingdoms in the Malay Peninsula were important ports on the ancient maritime trade route between India and China before the arrival of Islam in Southeast Asia.35 Several waves of migrations of people from India into the Malay Peninsula made ethnic Indian a fixture in Malaysia’s present-day demographic structure. The community’s socio-cultural linkages with the subcontinent are both a heritage and an asset for the ongoing construction of commercial and strategic cooperation between the two countries. During the early independence years, Malaysia’s relations with India were underpinned by shared democratic value and solidarity. Kuala Lumpur supported New Delhi in the 1962 Sino-Indian border war. Malaya openly criticized China’s actions and launched a Save Democracy Fund to “help Cho Chul Ho, “Korean Wave in Malaysia and Changes of the Korea-Malaysia Relations,” Malaysian Journal of Media Studies 12, No. 1 (2010): 1-14, esp. 4. 33 “Currency swap to boost Malaysia-South Korea bilateral ties,” The Malaysian Insider website, November 22, 2014. Available at: http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/business/article/currencyswap-facility-to-boost-malaysia-south-korea-bilateral-ties#sthash. VYzRD6oy.dpuf. 34 Cho, “Korean Wave in Malaysia.” 35 Veena Sikri, India and Malaysia: Intertwined Strands (New Delhi: Manohar, 2013). 32 Khong Kim Hoong, “Malaysia-Japan Relations in the 1980s,” Asian Survey 27, no. 10 (1987): 1095-1108. 29 Karminder Singh Dhillon, Malaysian Foreign Policy in the Mahathir Era 1981-2003: Dilemmas of Development (Singapore: NUS Press, 2009), p. 179. 30 Ayame Suzuki, “Dissonance in Malaysia-Japan Relations,” New Mandala, June 3, 2014. Available at: http://asiapacific. anu.edu.au/newmandala/2014/06/03/causes-to-dissonance-inmalaysia-japan-relations/. 31 Ibid. 28 7 India defend itself against Chinese aggression.”36 Nonetheless, Malaysia-India ties only made very gradual progress in the subsequent decades. The bilateral relations trailed behind Malaysia’s relations with China and other key Asian players not only in terms of trade and economic exchanges, but also diplomatic and regional collaboration. In 2013, India was Malaysia’s 11th largest trading partner with a total bilateral trade of RM42.12 billion (3.1% of Malaysia’s total trade), as compared to China-Malaysia trade of RM203.23 billion (14.8% of Malaysia’s total trade) and Japan-Malaysia trade of RM136.1 billion (9.9%).37 Throughout the post-Cold War era, the frequency of highlevel visits and the scope of bilateral cooperation between Malaysia and China far exceed that between Malaysia and India. In terms of regional cooperation, while Malaysia and China shared eye-to-eye on the promotion of East Asian cooperation (as evidenced by their collaboration in promoting APT and EAS), Malaysia and India sometimes diverged in their positions on certain regional arrangements. Examples include Malaysia’s opposition to the proposal of creating a separate India-ASEAN Summit in the early 2000s, as well as India’s opposition to Malaysia’s request to include fellow Muslim country Pakistan into the ARF.38 In the more recent years, however, Malaysia and India have made some headway in several key domains. Among the bright spots are economic and defense cooperation. In terms of commercial linkages, Malaysia and India entered into a landmark Comprehensive Economic Cooperation (CECA) in 2011. There has been a surge in two-way investment flows. In terms of defense, the scope of bilateral cooperation has grown steadily. About ten years after the signing of the 1993 MoU on Defense Cooperation (the first such MoU of Malaysia with a country outside of ASEAN), the Malaysian and Indian armed forces have gradually moved to enhance and institutionalize their collaboration in domains ranging from policy consultation, military exchanges, training, procurement, and logistic support.39 Over the past decade, the two countries have institutionalized the annual Malaysia-India Defense Cooperation Committee (MIDCOM) meetings, regularized staff talks between their three services, and increased high-level military visits and exercises.40 Because of the two countries’ shared strategic importance in the Andaman Sea and the Malacca Straits, interactions between the navies are the most intense.41 Because of their possession of several common weapon systems, Malaysia has been seeking training assistance from India on the equipment. Under a 2008 agreement, India helped trained Malaysian military personnel on the induction and operation of the SU-30MKM.42 Malaysia has also expressed interest in procurement of the supersonic cruise missile BrahMos.43 India’s growing technological base, its familiarity with Russian defense systems, as well as its experience in licensed production and its capability in missiles and communication systems make it a potential partner for Malaysia’s effort to develop defense industry.44 3.4. Malaysia-EU relations Malaysia’s relations with the EU – much like the broader ASEAN-EU relations – have been shaped by the interplays of enduring historical legacies, evolving economic importance, and changing geopolitical dynamics. As the only Southeast Asian nation that was colonized not by one but by three European powers consecutively, Malaysia’s policy towards Europe in general and the EU in particular have been colored by its ruling elites’ collective memory of its colonized past. This memory in part explains Malaysia’s sensitivity about sovereignty when dealing with the more powerful actors from the “West”. At a more micro level, the longevity of the British rule and the endurance of British influence in the immediate post-independence Malaya/Malaysia explain why, for a considerable period of time, Malaysia’s contact and interactions with Europe had remained concentrated mainly on the United Kingdom, much more than countries in continental Europe. The post-war geopolitical realities of decolonization and the presence of an overwhelming U.S. military power in Asia – as a countervailing force to check the expansion of communist powers – further reduced the necessity for Malaysia to expand its relations with other European countries.45 This pattern, however, has gradually changed over the decades. Not only that Malaysia has developed more institutionalized linkages with the EU, it has also stepped up its engagement with individual EU countries. These developments are in part because of the emergence of the EU in the post-Cold War world affairs, and in part the growing economic importance of the individual EU members, most notably Germany and France. The above factors have combined to push Malaysia to pursue a more balanced policy towards the EU and its key member states, a trend that has continued and deepened in the postMahathir era. In 2003, the EU opened the EU Delegation in Kuala Lumpur. In 2010, Najib and the EU leaders launched the negotiations for two major EU-Malaysia initiatives, namely the FTA and the Partnership and Cooperation Agreement (PCA). The PCA is aimed at “creating a new strategic dimension for the EU-Malaysia political dialogue and economic cooperation.”46 At another level, Malaysia’s bilateral ties with some individual EU members have Vivek Raghuvanshi, “India training Malaysian pilots in Russian jets,” Defense News, January 7, 2008. 43 “India’s navy chief to visit Malaysia,” Bernama, September 23, 2013. 44 K. S. Nathan, “India-Malaysia Defense Relations,” in Ajaya Kumar Das (ed.), India-ASEAN Relations, RSIS Monograph No. 28 (Singapore: RSIS, 2013), 225. 45 Ruhanas Harun, “Reinvigorating Malaysia-Europe Relations in the New Era,” in Abdul Razak Baginda (ed.), Malaysia’s Foreign Policy: Continuity and Change (Singapore: Marshall Cavendish Editions, 2007), 133. 46 Delegation of the European Union in Malaysia Website, “Political and Economic Relations.” Available at: http://eeas. europa.eu/delegations/malaysia/eu_malaysia/political_relations/ index_en.htm. 42 J. Saravanamuttu, The Dilemma of Independence: Two Decades of Malaysia’s Foreign Policy, 1957–1977 (Penang: Penerbit Universiti Sains Malaysia, 1983), p. 27 37 Malaysian Ministry of Finance website. Available at: http:// www1.treasury.gov.my/data/le/jp3_3.pdf. 38 Faizal Yahya, “Challenges of Globalization: Malaysia and India Engagement,” Contemporary Southeast Asia 27, no. 3 (2005): 472498, esp. p. 475. 39 High Commission of India in Kuala Lumpur. Available at: http:// www.indianhighcommission.com.my/Defence.html. 40 Ibid. 41 Suseela Devi Chandran, “Malaysia-India Defense Cooperation: Need for a Paradigm Shift before Strategic Partnership,” Strategic Analysis 38, no. 1 (2014): 79-90. 36 8 progressed faster than the institutional development of EU-Malaysia relations. Malaysia-France ties, for instance, have grown impressively in multiple sectors, particularly defense and economic cooperation. Malaysia is France’s second largest commercial partner in ASEAN region, with some 260 French companies operating in the country. It has continued to attract French investors. Among the recent investments are: a biotech firm in Terengganu and a US$135 million factory in Negeri Sembilan to manufacture carbon discs for aircraft brakes for the entire Asian market.47 Defense cooperation between the two countries is even more thriving. France has been one of the main suppliers of Malaysia’s military equipment and a main partner for defense training and technical assistance. Malaysia has partnered with France in its effort to create a submarine force. Two Scorpene class submarines were purchased from France, in an arrangement that included training of 160 Malaysian crews since 2004. Other purchases included: the A400 M aircraft, the EC 725 helicopters, missiles, military electronics and equipment in heavy tanks, and tactical radios of the armed forces.48 Significantly, Malaysia’s effort to develop more institutionalized ties with the EU was not only made bilaterally, but also at inter-regional level. As one of the founding core members of ASEAN, Malaysia has been committed to strengthen the regional organization’s linkages with other key players, including the EU. As the ASEAN Chair in 2015, Malaysia has sought to work towards reviving negotiations on the stalled ASEAN-EU FTA. Najib remarked at the close of the ASEM in Milan in October 2014 that the inter-regional FTA “can complement and value add to the existing EU’s FTA with Singapore as well as the EU FTAs to be concluded with several other ASEAN member countries.”49 Conclusion As a smaller state, Malaysia’s growing interactions with the more mighty powers on multiple domains are increasingly presenting both opportunities and vulnerabilities to its quest for survival and the ruling elites’ domestic political functions. This paradox is likely to persist, mainly because of the ambivalent nature of all power relations, but also because of the Lilliputian’s inherent internal weaknesses, its heavy dependence on foreign trade, and its location at a center of international maritime interests and power contestation. Zuhrin Azam Ahmad, “Malaysia continues to draw French investors,” The Star, July 30, 2013. 48 Embassy of France in Kuala Lumpur Website, “Franco Malaysian bilateral relations.” Available at: http://www. ambafrance-my.org/Franco-Malaysian-bilateral. 49 Esther Ng, “Malaysia to work towards reviving ASEAN-EU FTA talks, says Najib,” The Star, October 17, 2014. 47 9